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Thread: Bookie Buster Monday Service Plays 7/30

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  1. #1 Bookie Buster Monday Service Plays 7/30 
    Banned Bookie Buster's Avatar
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    Larry Ness
    Pitching Showdown of the Week
    15* Chicago Cubs

    Larry Ness
    Pitching Showdown of the Week
    15* Chicago Cubs
    SCOTT SPREITZER
    (**MLB MISMATCH GOW**)
    Toronto Blue Jays

    Big Al
    MLB Divisional Total of the Year
    Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
    Pick: under

    Mighty ! Quinn
    Philadelphia Phillies

    Hondo
    July 30, 2007 -- Hondo followed up his Saturday night sweep with a lone conquest yesterday, breezing with the Blue Jays to decrease the damage to 535 halickis.

    Tonight, he's hoping Lilly doesn't gum up the works at Wrigley - 10 units on the Cubs

    LT Profits
    Kansas City Royals (110)
    Mon Jul 30 '07 8:10p

    Royals +110 with Meche to stun Twins

    As much as we like Scott Baker of the Minnesota Twins, we simply must back Gil Meche and the Kansas City Royals as an underdog in this spot.
    There was some controversy when the Royals signed Meche to a fat contract in the off season, but he the Kansas City All-Star representative has proven to be the real deal. Meche may be just 7-7, but keep in mind that the Royals are 10 games under .500 overall, and they are actually a positive 12-10 in all the games that Meche has started.
    His key numbers tell a better story, as Meche has a fine 3.76 ERA and 1.39 WHIP overall this season, and he has been even better on the road, where he is 4-2 with a sparkling 2.97 ERA. The last time he pitched away from home, he held the hot-hitting Tigers to two runs on just five hits in seven innings. He should have a fairly easy time shutting done this Minnesota offense that is averaging a meager 3.30 runs while batting just .249 as a team over their last 10 games.
    Now Baker will be a nice pitcher in this league for years to come, but he is just too inconsistent at this time to be trusted vs. a hot offense. Baker has a high 5.85 ERA and 1.55 WHIP here at home this season, and he is facing a Kansas City lineup that is batting a whopping .314 while averaging an impressive 5.90 runs in the last 10 games.
    To summarize, the Royals have the better starting pitcher on this game, as well as the far superior offense over the last 10 games. Even the bullpens are not as far apart as you might think, as the Kansas City pen has improved to the point where it now ranks in the top half of the Major League with a 3.83 pen ERA. Grab the Royals as a dog here.

    Pick: Royals +110

    Big Al's
    Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs

    At 7:05pm our selection is on the Chicago Cubs over the Philadelphia Phillies. Don't look now, but here comes the Cubbies. Chicago is surging and its neighbor to the north, the Brewers, are faltering and they are now in a virtual dead heat with Milwuakee for the Division Lead. Lou Piniella has the boys playing with some intensity now and especially the starting pitching has been firing on all cylinders. Zambrano pitched a shutout on Sunday, and now their hottest starter, lefthander Ted Lilly, gets the call against talented youngster and fellow southpaw Cole Hamels. As good as Hamels has been (their overall numbers are so close it's scary), Lilly has been even better. The Cubs have won Lilly's last six starts and he has given up only a single run in four of his last five. In addition, the Cubs seem to really go to bat for Lilly, as they have scored a minimum of seven runs in each of his last six outings. Lilly's numbers on the year are so good (11-4 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP with 102 K's in 132 innings) that I believe he must now be considered a contender in the race for the National League Cy Young. There's no doubt that the loss of second baseman Chase Utley (hand) has hurt the Phils, and although the recently acquired (from the White Sox) Tadahito Iguchi is a quality infielder, he cannot even begin to fill the void left by Utley's bat being out of the lineup. Take the Cubs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie

    Vegas Experts
    Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
    Sunday, July 29th, 1:35 P.M. EDT

    Phillies have roughed up the Pirates' staff in the first two games of this series and should continue here vs. Ian Snell who has a 9.00 ERA his last three starts and the Bucs bullpen which has a road ERA of over 4.70. PITTSBURGH is also 31-19 OVER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season while PHILADELPHIA is 40-26 OVER against right-handed starters this season.

    Play on: Over

    Scott Spreitzer
    Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs
    Monday, July 30th, 8:05 P.M. EST EST

    Ted Lilly has allowed no more than one run in four of his last five starts and he's 5-0 with a 1.84 ERA in the month of July. Also, Philly hitters are batting just .180 against the lefthander. Meanwhile, the Cubs have had some success against Cole Hamels who has a .319 opponent batting average vs the Cubs and he got blasted in his only start at Wrigley Field last year giving up five runs and nine hits in only two innings.

    Play on: Chicago

    Bobby Maxwell
    Kansas City (+125) at MINNESOTA

    Tonight we go to Minnesota and we're going to get some plus-money as we go with the suddenly red-hot Royals as they visit the Twins.
    Going with the Royals and Gil Meche (7-7, 3.76 ERA) in this one as they have won three of five against the Twins this season.
    Meche is 4-2 on the road with a 2.97 ERA and last time he pitched on the highway he allowed just two runs on five hits over seven innings of a 10-2 win over the Tigers in Detroit. The Royals have won five of his last stix starts.
    In his last 10 starts, only twice has he allowed more than four earned runs. He's keeping Kansas City in each game and giving the Royals a chance to win.
    Scott Baker (4-4, 5.30) is on the mound for Minnesota and his home ERA is 5.85. The Twins are 0-2 in his last two outings and he's given up seven runs on 16 hits in losses to the Tigers and Blue Jays. He faced the Royals last season and lost 3-1, giving up three runs in seven innings.
    The Royals just swept the Rangers, outscoring Texas 22-6 in the three games. Play Kansas City to keep it up tonight.

    2♦ KANSAS CITY

    Michael Cannon
    Philadelphia at CHICAGO CUBS (-110)

    Take the Cubs as the small home chalk tonight over the Phillies.
    The Cubs have gone 16-8 this month to pull within one half game of the division leading Brewers. With a victory today, the Cubs will move ahead by percentage points of the Brewers.
    Ted Lilly will start for the Cubs and he's seeking his eighth consecutive win. The left-hander is 7-0 in eight starts since June 15, has won his last six outings and has a 1.83 ERA in five starts this month.
    The Phillies will counter with Cole Hamels and he's returning to the site of his worst start of his professional career. He surrendered nine runs and nine hits in just two innings of an 11-2 defeat to the Cubs on August 24 of last season.
    Take the Cubs as the small home chalk as they grab the win.

    3♦ CHICAGO CUBS

    Karl Garrett
    Philadelphia at CUBS (-115)

    Tonight we are sticking with the Cubs to hanlde matters at home against the Phillies. Both teams have been playing some fine baseball of late as the Phils have won 3 in a row, and 8 of their last 9, while the Cubs have won their last pair, and 4 of 6.
    The difference tonight is going to be the venue, as the Cubbies have been playing playoff-like baseball at Wrigley these days, and starter Ted Lilly just doesn't lose! Lilly has won 6 straight starts, and has allowed just 11 runs in his last 40-plus innings of work!
    No doubt Cole Hamels has also been throwing well, but remember Hamels had the worst start of his youg career last August at Wrigley as the Cubs lit up the southpaw for 9 hits and 9 runs - 5 earned, in just 2 innings of work.
    The Cubbies can pull into a first place tie in the Central Division with the win tonight as Milwukee is idle. The G-Man expects it to happen!

    Take Sweet Lou's Cubs to get the win.

    2♦ CUBS

    Sports Gambling Hotline
    Philadelphia at CUBS (-115)

    Tonight at Wrigley look for the pitchers to rule the roost, and for the Phillies-Cubs game to stay UNDER the posted total.
    Both teams were involved in UNDERS on Sunday, as Chicago is currently 5-1-2 UNDER the posted price in their last 8 games. Starter Ted Lilly has been very stingy this season with an 11-4 mark, and a 3.46 ERA. Lilly did defeat the Phillies back on May 13th, working 8 innings while allowing only 1 run to score.
    His counterpart Cole Hamels has only surrendered 3 earned runs over his last 14 innings of work, and he also owns a win over the Cubs back in the middle of May as he worked 7 frames and allowed just 2 runs to score.
    5 of the last 7 meetings between the teams at the Friendly Confines have stayed UNDER the posted total, and this one will as well.

    Play the UNDER.

    4♦ UNDER

    Dave Cokin
    Take "(908) SEA Mariners"

    Both the Angels and Mariners really enjoyed the weekend, with each team scoring a home sweep. That's a great setup for this crucial series. Kelvim Escobar is having a great year for the Halos and should have been an All Star. But his worst effort of the year was at Safeco, and the Angels are only a .500 team on the road. Meanwhile, the Mariners are a superb 33-19 at home and Miguel Batista has been a very reliable performer that keeps his team in the game almost every start and allows that outstanding Mariners pen to close things out. I see plenty of value here in taking the home dog, so the Mariners are the choice

    Jim Feist
    Take "(902) CHI Cubs"

    Excellent pitching matchup here on Monday as the Phillies Cole Hamels faces off against the Cubs' Ted Lilly. Hamesl, 11-5 (3.63 era), has already beaten the Cubs this year with a seven inning, seven hit, two earned run performance. The one concern is that Hamels isn't performing quite as good recently as he's won just two of his last five decisions. Lilly's numbers are almost identical to that of Hamels, as he's 11-4 with a 3.46 era on the season. However, where Hamels has struggled of late, Lilly has been very good. Not only is Lilly 6-0 in his last six starts, but he's only allowed 11 earned runs in those contests. Very small price to lay here at home with Lilly. We'll do just that as we go with the Cubs on Monday.
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  2. #2  
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    charlie
    mlb. la angels @ seattle under 8' runs (500*)

    mlb. toronto @ tampa bay over 9 runs (30*)

    mlb. oakland-120 (20*)

    mlb. cubs-110 (20*)

    mlb. seattle-130 (10*)

    mlb. minnesota-110 (10*) free play
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  3. #3  
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    EZ winners

    2 STAR: OVER 9 (+$100) Toronto @ Tampa Bay
    (Listing McGowan and Sonanstine)
    (Risking $200 to win $200)

    Toronto's starter Dustin McGowan has been up and down this season. He is coming off of a strong outing against Minnesota where he allowed zero earned runs, but he has had some bad outings following solid starts this season. On June 24th he allowed 0 earned runs in a complete game again Colorado at home and in his next start at Seattle he allowed 5 earned runs in five innings. At Oakland on July 4th he allowed 0 earned runs in seven innings and then followed that up with a 6 earned runs game in five innings at Boston. His opponent on the mound for the Devil Rays, rookie starter Angy Sonanstine is 1-6 this season with an ERA of 5.57. Sonanstine allowed 6 earned runs in seven innings to the Blue Jays earlier this season. The D-Rays bullpen is usually good for at least a couple of runs as well. The Over is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in games played at Tampa Bay.


    1 STAR: (905) KANSAS CITY (+$110) over Minnesota
    (Listing Meche and Baker)
    (Risking $100 to win $110)

    KC is playing very well right now, having won four straight games. The Royals are also 8-4 on the road since June 25th, a stretch that included series against Cleveland, Boston, Detroit and the LA Angels. They are 13-10 overall in July with two games left, assuring them of a second straight winning month for the first time since the 2003 season. They have their ace Gil Meche on the mound tonight and he has done very well against the Twins in the past. Meche is 5-1 with a 4.44 ERA in nine starts against the Twins and he has been good on the road this season where he is 4-2 with a 2.97 ERA. The Royals are also 6-1 in Meche's last seven starts as a road underdog. The Twins starter Scott Baker has pitched pretty well at home, but he is 0-2 with a 4.26 ERA in three career starts against Kansas City. I think the trade rumors have been a big distraction in Minnesota and their bats have not been doing much at all as they are averaging less than three runs per game over their last seven games. I like the surging, young Royals here!




    YESTERDAY'S RECAP - We were 2-1 on Sunday. A $100 player won $171. We got back on track yesterday cashing in two out of three plays, but the Red Sox really left a bad taste in my mouth. I got what I expect out of Dice-K, but the Sox offense and bullpen didn't show up yesterday. A profitable day, should have been a huge day, if these clowns would have showed up.
    CHICAGO (-$155) WON +$300
    BOSTON (-$143) LOST -$429
    ATLANTA (-$134) WON +$300
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  4. #4  
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    Jimmy Broadway

    Nice way to end a good week yesterday going 2-1 picking up 700 stars. More to come today.

    Here are my Monday picks.

    400 Stars Cubs

    300 Stars Toronto

    EZ winners

    2 STAR: OVER 9 (+$100) Toronto @ Tampa Bay
    (Listing McGowan and Sonanstine)
    (Risking $200 to win $200)

    1 STAR: (905) KANSAS CITY (+$110) over Minnesota
    (Listing Meche and Baker)
    (Risking $100 to win $110

    Jeff Bonds

    PICK: Tampa Bay Devil Rays +120 MLB)

    NSA WINS

    Kansas City @ Minnesota
    Time : 8:10 PM EST

    Pick: OVER 9

    WINNING POINTS

    BEGINNING MONDAY JULY 30



    Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs (4) 30th, 31st, 1st, 2nd

    Both these teams have turned a tidy profit against righthanders (Phillies +$565, Chicago +$290) but they’ve been dreadful vs. lefthanders so far (Cubs -$1030, Phillies -$610). Both pitching staffs have a mix of righties and lefties, so we’ll wait for the right situation. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. righthanders.



    Toronto at Tampa Bay (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

    The Blue Jays have underperformed offensively this season (.258 overall team BA, only 3.4 runs per game last 10 days) and they’ve not fared well outside of Rogers Centre (-$580). But the Devil Rays are floundering (-$1485) and their lack of pitching (5.82 ERA) makes it impossible to back them. PREFERRED: None.



    Kansas City at Minnesota (4) 30th, 31st, 1st, 2nd

    The Twins have a losing record against the Royals in head to head play this year (2-3, -$215) and KC has a terrific record vs. righthanders in road games (+$1260). Minnesota has had a very difficult time with lefthanders at home (-$755), so we’ve got a few angles where we can use the visitor. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. the Twins/Royals in night games vs. righthanders.



    L.A. Angels at Seattle (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

    The Angels have dominated the Mariners in head to head play so far (7-2, +$460) but Seattle has outperformed LA in recent weeks, closing to within a couple of games in the AL West. They’ve been very tough at Safeco (+$1115) while the Angels have struggled on the road (-$170 overall). We’ll stick with the hot home team in this key division matchup. PREFERRED: Mariners in all games.



    Detroit at Oakland (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

    The Athletics have produced the fewest runs in the AL this year (only 4.1 per game with a .251 team BA), proving that you need more than great pitching to compete effectively. They’ve lost money here at McAfee

    (-$1305) and the Tigers are the best road team in baseball (+$1685). PREFERRED: Tigers in all games

    Vernon Croy

    Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB)
    Jul 30, 2007 7:05 PM EDT

    Play: Chicago Cubs


    1 Unit - Take the Chicago Cubs -108, Very good value here with the Cubs who are 7-2 when favored at home by -100 to -125 this season. Lilly has pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 2.25 and he has also pitched very solid at home this season. Lilly allowed just 3 hits over 8 innings in his only meeting against the Phillies this season

    Jennifer Barry
    Monday, July 30 2007

    Sport: MLB
    Matchup: Philadelphia at Chicago

    Prediction: Chicago Cubs -110 W/ Lilly

    GUARANTEED SPORTS PICKS

    SEATTLE MARINERS

    Alex Smart

    Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs
    Jul 30 2007 7:05PM

    Prediction: Chicago Cubs

    Reason: The Philadelphia Phillies enter this game against the Chicago Cubs in top form having won 8 of their L/9 games. But against a Cubs team that has also been hot, their winning ways will come to end , at least for tonight. Look for Cubs veteran starter Ted Lilly , who has won 6 straight outings, while garnering a very stingy 1.83 in 5 starts this month to help stymie a Phillies team that has been hit with a sudden rash of injuries, including to, all star Chase Utley (broken hand). Final notes & Key Trends: Cole Hamels(11-5,3.63 ERA) the Phillies starter in this spot suffered his worst beating of the season against the Cubs in Wrigley last year allowing 9 runs in just 2 innings of work. Play on Chicago

    COMPUTER PLAYS

    * NO BEST BETS FOR MONDAY

    7:05 p.m. Chicago Cubs - 110
    8:10 p.m. Minnesota Twins - 125

    Winners Inc

    Philadelphia Phillies ~vs~ Chicago Cubs

    Philadelphia Phillies +100

    Hot Lock $ports
    8-7 +76


    Kansas City Royals ~vs~ Minnesota Twins

    Minnesota Twins -120

    Carlo Campanella


    Game: Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Jul 30 2007 8:10PM

    Prediction: Kansas City Royals

    Reason: The Royals have had a tough year, but are currently playing solid baseball while on a 4-game winning run that includes victories over the Yankees and a three game sweep of the Rangers. The Twins start Scott Baker on the mound, who's lost his last 2 starts against KC, while getting shelled for 7 Earned Runs in just 13 Innings Pithced. Expect the winning to continue for at least one more night as they open a new series on Monday at Minnesota.

    7* Play On Kansas City

    MTI Sports


    Game: Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics Jul 30 2007 10:05PM

    Prediction: Oakland Athletics

    Reason: The Tigers are 4-17 on the road when they are off a loss in which they never led and it is the first game of a series while the Athletics are 16-4 at home when their line is within 20 cents of pickem and it is the first game of the series. Consider Oakland.


    Larry Ness' 15* Pitching Showdown of the Week (now 81-26 with 15* GOW plays TY!)

    My 15* play is on the Chi Cubs at 7:05 ET. The Phillies have won eight of nine (averaging 7.6 RPG) to close within 3 1/2 games of the Mets in the NL East, while the Cubs' steady climb (a ML-best 33-17 since June 3) has got them within a half-game of the Brewers in the NL Central. Tonigh's pitching showdown features one of the NL's best young left-handers, Philadelphia's Cole Hamels (11-5, 3.63 ERA) against Chicago's veteran lefty Ted Lilly, who is havinga career-season (11-4, 3.46 ERA). Who gets the edge? The Cubs and Lilly do. Lilly has been near-perfect since getting ejected against the Braves back on June 10 (after getting just two outs!). He's 7-0 with a 1.83 ERA in eight starts since that incident, with the Cubs going 7-1 in the eight contests. While Philly has done better lately vs left-handers, the Phils are just 15-19 against lefties on the season. Meanwhile, Hamels is returning to the site of the worst start of his brief big league career. He surrendered a career-high nine runs (five earned) and nine hits, including two homers, in just two innings of an 11-2 defeat at Wrigley on Aug. 24 of last season. The Cubs' 27-24 home mark is deceiving, as the Cubbies are 12-4 their last 16 at Wrigley.

    Pitching Showdown of the Week 15* Chi Cubs.

    Good Luck...Larry

    YOURWINNERSONLY

    COMP PHILLY/HAMELS+101


    THE SPORTS ADVISORS


    NATIONAL LEAGUE

    Philadelphia (55-49) at Chicago Cubs (55-48)
    Two of the hottest teams in the National League square off today at Wrigley Field in Chicago when the Phillies send Cole Hamels (11-5, 3.63 ERA) to the mound to face the Cubs’ Ted Lilly (11-4, 3.46).
    Philadelphia has gone 8-1 in its last nine games overall, including Sunday’s 5-1 home victory over the Pirates to conclude a three-game weekend sweep over the in-state rivals. The Phillies outscored the Pirates 23-7 in the three games.
    The lefty Hamels has gone 5-3 on the road this season with a 3.84 ERA and last time out he gave up two runs on six hits over seven innings of a 7-5 win over the Nationals on Wednesday. Hamels has held the opposition to three runs or less in five of his last six outings and last time out on the road he held the Padres to one run on two hits over seven innings.
    Hamels has faced the Cubs once this season and gave up two runs on seven hits over seven innings of a 7-2 win back on May 11.
    Chicago is 12-4 in its last 16 games at Wrigley Field and the Cubs are 23-9 in their last 32 games overall, including Sunday’s 6-0 win in Cincinnati. The Cubs went 4-2 on their just-completed road trip.
    Southpaw Ted Lilly has won his last three outings and has a 2.25 ERA. His mark at Wrigley Field is 6-3 with a 3.16 ERA. He’s allowed just one run in four of his last five starts and the Cubs have rattled off six straight wins with Lilly on the hill.
    Last time out was Wednesday for Lilly when he gave up one run on six hits in seven innings of a 7-1 win in St. Louis. He faced the Phillies back on May 13 and allowed one run on three hits over eight innings of a 4-1 victory.
    The over has been the play in five of Lilly’s last seven starts and six of the Phillies last nine overall. The under is 6-2-1 in the last nine head-to-head meetings between these two in Chicago but the over is 13-3-2 in Philadelphia’s last 18 games as an underdog.

    ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE



    AMERICAN LEAGUE

    L.A. Angels (61-42) at Seattle (57-46)

    The top two teams in the AL West meet at Safeco Field in Seattle tonight as the Angels send Kelvim Escobar (11-4, 2.91) to the mound against the Mariners’ Miguel Batista (10-7, 4.48).
    The Angels come into this one having won four straight, including Sunday’’s 13-4 victory against the Tigers at home. Los Angeles outscored the Tigers 34-13 over the weekend during a three-game sweep in Anaheim.
    The Angels have dominated Seattle this season, going 7-2 in the previous nine encounters, including taking two of three at Safeco Field in mid May.
    Escobar is 5-1 on the road this season with a 4.22 ERA and his ERA over the last three starts is just 1.59. The Angels have won six of his last seven outings with the only loss coming Tuesday when he gave up three runs on nine hits over seven innings of a 4-3 loss to the A’s.
    In Escobar’s last road start he blanked the Devil Rays on nine hits over 7 2/3 innings of a 3-0 Angels’ win. He faced the Mariners back on May 15 and he got battered around, giving up eight runs (six earned) on 2 1/3 innings of an 11-3 loss.
    Following Sunday’s 14-10 victory over Oakland, the Mariners are on a 17-5 run at home. Seattle took three straight over the A’s after dropping Thursday’s contest.
    Batista is 2-0 in his last three starts with a 4.08 ERA and at home he is just 5-4 with a 4.53 ERA. The Mariners are 4-2 in his last six outings, but in his last start he got battered around by the Rangers, giving up five runs on eight hits in six innings of a 7-6 loss in Texas.
    Batista has been knocked around by the Angels twice this season, giving up a combined 10 runs on 19 hits over 11 1/3 innings.
    The under is 8-3 in Seattle’s last 11. The over is 6-2-1 in L.A.’s last nine overall and 12-5-1 the last 18 head-to-head meetings between these two.

    ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS

    Wise Owl Syndicate- Tigers


    Straley - Blue Jays over 9

    Kevin Allen

    MLB - Philadelphia

    Gambling Farm

    MLB - Toronto (-132)

    Donald Tran
    Monday, July 30, 2007

    Sport: MLB
    Matchup: Toronto at Tampa Bay
    Prediction: Tampa Bay Devil Rays +115 W/ Sonnanstine

    VEGAS EXPERTS

    Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
    Monday, July 30th, 8:10 P.M. EDT

    Teams have gone under in 14-of-19 here in Minnesota. Twins have gone under in 9-of-12 Baker starts. Meche shows a 2.97 road ERA. KANSAS CITY is 31-16 UNDER in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 18-8 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.

    Play on: Under

    Chad Jordan
    Monday, July 30 2007

    Sport: MLB
    Match up: Kansas City at Minnesota
    Prediction: Kansas City Royals +110 W/ Meche


    LARRY NESS
    COMP

    Royals at Twins

    The Royals went just 62-100 in 2006 but at plus-$1,123, the team ranked sixth in the ML standings. It's deja vu all over again in 2007, as their 47-57 mark has them at plus-$904 this year, the fourth-best mark in MLB. KC is on the verge of completing back-to-back winning months, something that hasn't happened since 2003. They are 27-22 since June 1 and 8-4 on the road since June 25. At plus-$1,263 in road games in '07, no team has made more money for its backers than the Royals. Gil Meche has been super away from home this year, posting a 4-2 mark with a 2.97 ERA in 10 road starts (team is 6-4). Meanwhile, the Twins are beginning to lose 'touch' in the AL wild card chase. Scott Baker will get the start tonight and he has not been effective in the Metrodome. He's allowed 41 hits in 32.1 innings with a 5.85 ERA in six starts.

    Take the Royals.

    Glen C-Stars Sports

    Monday
    When PHILADELPHIA team played as a road team - During the month of July - During the 2007 season 11-2 O/U in this spot

    LT Profits


    Kansas City Royals (110)
    Mon Jul 30 '07 8:10p

    Royals +110 with Meche to stun Twins

    As much as we like Scott Baker of the Minnesota Twins, we simply must back Gil Meche and the Kansas City Royals as an underdog in this spot.

    There was some controversy when the Royals signed Meche to a fat contract in the off season, but he the Kansas City All-Star representative has proven to be the real deal. Meche may be just 7-7, but keep in mind that the Royals are 10 games under .500 overall, and they are actually a positive 12-10 in all the games that Meche has started.

    His key numbers tell a better story, as Meche has a fine 3.76 ERA and 1.39 WHIP overall this season, and he has been even better on the road, where he is 4-2 with a sparkling 2.97 ERA. The last time he pitched away from home, he held the hot-hitting Tigers to two runs on just five hits in seven innings. He should have a fairly easy time shutting done this Minnesota offense that is averaging a meager 3.30 runs while batting just .249 as a team over their last 10 games.

    Now Baker will be a nice pitcher in this league for years to come, but he is just too inconsistent at this time to be trusted vs. a hot offense. Baker has a high 5.85 ERA and 1.55 WHIP here at home this season, and he is facing a Kansas City lineup that is batting a whopping .314 while averaging an impressive 5.90 runs in the last 10 games.

    To summarize, the Royals have the better starting pitcher on this game, as well as the far superior offense over the last 10 games. Even the bullpens are not as far apart as you might think, as the Kansas City pen has improved to the point where it now ranks in the top half of the Major League with a 3.83 pen ERA. Grab the Royals as a dog here.

    Royals +110


    PLATINUM PLAYS

    MLB: the Toronto Blue Jays & Tampa Bay Rays Over 9 runs

    2 COMPS TO GO WITH THAT PREMIUM PLAY


    Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs Jul 30 2007 7:05PM
    Prediction: Chicago Cubs
    Reason: At 7:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Chicago Cubs over the Philadelphia Phillies. Don't look now, but here comes the Cubbies. Chicago is surging and its neighbor to the north, the Brewers, are faltering and they are now in a virtual dead heat with Milwuakee for the Division Lead. Lou Piniella has the boys playing with some intensity now and especially the starting pitching has been firing on all cylinders. Zambrano pitched a shutout on Sunday, and now their hottest starter, lefthander Ted Lilly, gets the call against talented youngster and fellow southpaw Cole Hamels. As good as Hamels has been (their overall numbers are so close it's scary), Lilly has been even better. The Cubs have won Lilly's last six starts and he has given up only a single run in four of his last five. In addition, the Cubs seem to really go to bat for Lilly, as they have scored a minimum of seven runs in each of his last six outings. Lilly's numbers on the year are so good (11-4 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP with 102 K's in 132 innings) that I believe he must now be considered a contender in the race for the National League Cy Young. There's no doubt that the loss of second baseman Chase Utley (hand) has hurt the Phils, and although the recently acquired (from the White Sox) Tadahito Iguchi is a quality infielder, he cannot even begin to fill the void left by Utley's bat being out of the lineup. Take the Cubs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.



    LAST BUT NOT LEAST
    Toronto Blue Jays (McGowan) over TB Devil Rays (Sonnanstine

    Rocco Spacamuro
    50 * Devil Rays +112

    charlie
    mlb. la angels @ seattle under 8' runs (500*)

    mlb. toronto @ tampa bay over 9 runs (30*)

    mlb. oakland-120 (20*)

    mlb. cubs-110 (20*)

    mlb. seattle-130 (10*)

    mlb. minnesota-110 (10*) free play

    Big Al's MLB Divisional Total of the Year.
    Game: Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Jul 30 2007 10:05PM
    Prediction: under
    Reason: At 10:05 pm, our AL West Total of the Year is on the 'under' in the Seattle/Anaheim game. Miguel Batista will take the mound for Seattle, and he's gone 'under' the total in 11 of his last 17 starts. Batista's mound opponent will be Kelvim Escobar, who has gone 'under' in 12 of his last 16 games (including all 4 of his July starts), and 33 of 48 since last year. Escobar's in terrific form, as he's given up just 5 earned runs and put on only 36 baserunners in July (29 2/3 innings) for a 1.51 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Look for a low-scoring game at Safeco tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

    Scott Spreitzer

    Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs
    Monday, July 30th, 8:05 P.M. EST EST

    Ted Lilly has allowed no more than one run in four of his last five starts and he's 5-0 with a 1.84 ERA in the month of July. Also, Philly hitters are batting just .180 against the lefthander. Meanwhile, the Cubs have had some success against Cole Hamels who has a .319 opponent batting average vs the Cubs and he got blasted in his only start at Wrigley Field last year giving up five runs and nine hits in only two innings.

    Play on: Chicago

    Gator's MLB 70% Situational Report:


    MLB (Monday): Play Against MLB (NL) road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 with a team that averages >=5.3 runs per game facing a starting pitcher with an ERA <=3.70, and a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the year.
    (38-10 since 1997.) (79.2%)

    PLAY: Chicago Cubs -110

    SCOTT SPREITZER'S MLB MISMATCH GOW!

    Game: Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Devil Rays Jul 30 2007 7:10PM

    Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

    Reason: Tampa Bay's Andy Sonnanstine is 0-3 with an opponent batting average of .308 at home and in his last four games overall he's allowed 16 earned runs and 30 hits in 26 innings pitched. Meanwhile, Dustin McGowan has shown flashes of brillance with the Blue Jays this season, including a near no-hitter and he's coming off two quality starts where he's given up only two earned runs in 14 innings. The Devil Rays have returned to their usual ways losing 25 of their last 31 games. Take the Blue Jays to get the win on Monday, my Mismatch GOW. Thanks! GL! Scott.

    RAZOR SHARP

    MINNESOTA/KANSAS CITY UNDER the total of 9

    BRIAN GABRIELLE

    At this week’s Canadian Open, take Mike Weir (8-1), 1/6 unit: In his last three tournaments he’s gone T20 (U.S. Open), T8 (AT&T National) and T8 (at last week’s British Open)---all high profile tournaments with strong fields. The Ontario native is trying to make it on the President’s Cup team, which will be held later this year in Montreal, and despite missing the cut the last two years he’s always played well at the Canadian Open (his best finish was a playoff loss to Vijay Singh in 2004). Take Vijay Singh (14-1), 1/6 unit: Singh’s been no slouch of late either with two top-10s in his last three tournaments (T27 at the Open last week). And he’s done pretty well in this tournament: since 2002 he’s gone T6, T6, P1 (over Weir) and T7 last year. Don’t look now but Vijay’s been putting well. Take John Rollins (40-1), 1/6 unit: Rollins won the tournament in 2002 and his only other win on Tour came at the B.C. Open last year. Currently 12th in FedEx Cup points, he’s had an excellent year with a handful of top-10s and 11 top-25s. Dependable in every facet of the game, including driving accuracy, which will be important this week with reported thick rough.

    TOTALS 4 U

    DETROIT/OAKLAND UNDER 9 1/2


    Ben Burns' ESPN Game of the Month (8-1 L9 MLB!)

    Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs Jul 30 2007 7:05PM

    Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

    Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Phillies struggled against southpaws earlier in this season. However, as the saying goes, that was then and this is now. Indeed, the Phillies are 5-1 their last six games against left-handed starters, averaging an incredible 10 runs (10, 15, 12, 7, 6 and 10) over those six games. Looking back a little further and we find that Philadelphia has scored a minimum of six runs in ALL nine of its last nine games against left-handed starters. That kind of run support (or anything even close) should be more than enough for Philadelphia's young ace Cole Hamels, who sits at 11-5. Hamels would have won his 12th game last time out but the bullpen blew a 4-2 lead in the 9th inning. He was also a hard-luck loser in his previous start, allowing only two hits and one run but losing 1-0 vs. fellow Cy Young candidate Young of San Diego. Like Hamels, Lilly is having an excellent season and he's admittedly been great lately. However, he's been a mediocre pitcher his entire career and in my opinion his "stuff" isn't quite as nasty as Hamels'. Well one could make a case for either starter, there's no denying the fact that Lilly will be supported by a Cubs team which has gone 1-4 its last five games against left-handed starters, averaging only two runs in the four losses. Looking back a bit further and we find the Cubs at a poor 7-13 their last 20 games against southpaws. The Phillies, who are 8-1 their last nine games, have won four of the last five meetings in this series and nine of the last 12. Catching their hosts playing the first game back home off a 6-game road trip, I expect the Phillies to continue that dominance by grabbing tonight's series opener. *ESPN Game of the Month


    Ben Burns' "BLUE CHIP" Total (11-2 L13 Totals!)
    Game: Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Jul 30 2007 10:05PM
    Prediction: under
    Reason: I'm playing on the Angels and Mariners to finish UNDER the total. Both teams reached double-digits yesterday but I'm expecting the bats to cool off in a big way tonight. Batista's 4.48 ERA may not sound very impressive. It isn't. However, when one considers that it was once 15.48 earlier in the season, we realize that he's been pitching well lately. In fact, over his last nine outings (8 starts) he has allowed 17 earned runs through 51 innings for a highly respectable 3.00 ERA. Despite his last start finishing above the number, the UNDER remains a profitable 11-6 the last 17 times that Batista took the mound. He'll face Kelvim Escobar who has allowed a mere five runs over his last four starts, pitching a minimum of seven complete innings each time out. Considering that Escobar has a miniscule 1.52 ERA during that stretch, it's no surprise that the UNDER was a perfect 4-0 in those games. Looking back a bit further and we find that 12 of Escobar's last 16 starts have finished beneath the number. Escobar has also seen the UNDER go 3-1 the last four times that he faced the Mariners and 4-1 the last five times he pitched at Seattle. Look for a well pitched affair that stays beneath the number with the UNDER improving to 4-1 the last five times that the Angels played on the road.



    COMP FOR MONDAY
    Game: Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
    Jul 30 2007 8:10PM

    Prediction: under

    Reason: The UNDER is 9-3 the last 12 times that the Twins and Royals faced each other, including a 1-0 pitcher's duel in the most recent meeting. The games here at Minnesota have been particularly low-scoring. In fact, the UNDER is 13-2-1 the last 16 times that the Royals traveled here. No reason to think this one won't be another low-scoring affair. Pitching at home, Meche got roughed up a little by the Yankees his last time out. However, in his previous start, at Detroit, Meche held the hot-hitting Tigers to only five hits and two runs, capping off a 7-game hot streak which saw him go 4-0. Baker has also been solid. Baker has allowed four earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts and has walked one batter or less in eight straight. He has also seen the UNDER go 3-0 his last three starts and 14-6 his last 20. Consider a play on the UNDER
    MIKE WYNN

    Kansas City/Minnesota Under 9 Runs

    HUDDLE UP

    Toronto McGowen -125

    #1 SPORTS

    TAMPA BAY DEVIL RAYS + 115

    Tony Mathews

    Matchup: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

    Selection: Los Angeles Angels (-130)

    Explanation: We will side with the Los Angeles Angels as they face-off against the Seattle Mariners in Monday's MLB contest.

    The Los Angeles Angels will use starting pitcher Kelvim Escobar. Kelvim Escobar has pitched well this season. In fact, Kelvim Escobar has a 2.91 ERA on the season. In addition, Kelvim Escobar has a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 starts. It's safe to say that the Seattle Mariners will struggle to score tonight.

    On the other hand, the Seattle Mariners will use starting pitcher Miguel Batista. Miguel Batista has struggled for the most of this season. This is shown true by Miguel Batista's 4.48 ERA on the season. This very talented Los Angeles Angels offense should have no trouble scoring many runs tonight.

    The Los Angeles Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Seattle Mariners, and we expect them to get another easy win tonight.

    Take the Los Angeles Angels

    VEGAS SPORTS PICS

    Philadelphia (Hamels) +100* over Chicago Cubs (Lilly)
    L.A.Angels (Escobar) -130* over Oakland (Haren)

    HD'S ACTIONLINE

    Kansas City Even over Minnesota

    Mensapicks

    7/30/2007 at 10:05:00 PM
    Angels of Anaheim/K Escobar R at Seattle Mariners/M Batista R

    Angels of Anaheim


    YESTERDAY 2-0
    LAST 7 DAYS 16-8

    Templer's Sports Picks

    7/30/2007 at 10:05:00 PM

    Angels of Anaheim/K Escobar R at Seattle Mariners/M Batista R overunder


    Angels of Anaheim/Seattle Mariners o8.5

    CAPPERS ACCESS

    (Mon) MLB Detroit
    (Mon) MLB Cubs

    JIMMY THE MOOSE

    Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs - The Phillies have won 8 of their last 9 games but 5 of the wins have come at the expense of the Pirates and Nationals. The Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 games played on Monday's. Hamels is on the mound tonight and is his last 5 starts to open a series the Phillies are 1-4. In his last 5 starts as a road dos the Phillies are also 1-4. The Cubs are 12-4 in their last 16 home games. In their last 32 games overall they are a money making 23-9. Chicago has won Lilly's last 6 start and they have also won his last 4 home starts. In his last 5 starts as the favorite the Cubs are a perfect 5-0.

    Play on the Cubs
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    MLB LONG SHEET

    Monday, July 30

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (55 - 49) at CHICAGO CUBS (55 - 48) - 8:05 PM
    COLE HAMELS (L) vs. TED LILLY (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 24-31 (-11.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 25-34 (-18.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 19-14 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 122-144 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 63-69 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 122-141 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 9-15 (-10.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 33-48 (-26.5 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 45-55 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

    COLE HAMELS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    HAMELS is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 7.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
    His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

    TED LILLY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
    LILLY is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.500.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (52 - 52) at TAMPA BAY (39 - 65) - 7:10 PM
    DUSTIN MCGOWAN (R) vs. ANDY SONNANSTINE (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 44-62 (-40.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
    TORONTO is 5-15 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 59-53 (+17.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 9-2 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
    TORONTO is 49-44 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 95-60 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 39-65 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 27-46 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 35-65 (-26.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 4-5 (+0.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

    DUSTIN MCGOWAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
    MCGOWAN is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.411.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    ANDY SONNANSTINE vs. TORONTO since 1997
    SONNANSTINE is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.143.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    KANSAS CITY (47 - 57) at MINNESOTA (53 - 51) - 8:10 PM
    GIL MECHE (R) vs. SCOTT BAKER (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 101-77 (+13.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 87-61 (+19.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 47-57 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 23-26 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 84-108 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 35-39 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 49-57 (+19.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 29-31 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 33-41 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MECHE is 30-24 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    MECHE is 16-7 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    MECHE is 8-3 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
    MECHE is 6-1 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    MINNESOTA is 18-23 (-13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KANSAS CITY is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

    GIL MECHE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
    MECHE is 5-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.310.
    His team's record is 6-3 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+4.8 units)

    SCOTT BAKER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
    BAKER is 0-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.053.
    His team's record is 1-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA ANGELS (61 - 42) at SEATTLE (57 - 46) - 10:05 PM
    KELVIM ESCOBAR (R) vs. MIGUEL BATISTA (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 57-46 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    SEATTLE is 34-19 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    SEATTLE is 28-17 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 54-43 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
    SEATTLE is 41-31 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    SEATTLE is 33-23 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    SEATTLE is 20-16 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BATISTA is 31-22 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    BATISTA is 29-21 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    LA ANGELS are 118-100 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    LA ANGELS are 40-25 (+17.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    LA ANGELS are 59-38 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
    LA ANGELS are 114-95 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    LA ANGELS are 32-20 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA ANGELS is 7-2 (+4.6 Units) against SEATTLE this season
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

    KELVIM ESCOBAR vs. SEATTLE since 1997
    ESCOBAR is 4-5 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.484.
    His team's record is 9-6 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-6. (+2.3 units)

    MIGUEL BATISTA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
    BATISTA is 2-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 8.16 and a WHIP of 1.884.
    His team's record is 2-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.9 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (60 - 44) at OAKLAND (49 - 56) - 10:05 PM
    JORDAN TATA (R) vs. JOE BLANTON (R)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    JORDAN TATA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
    No recent starts.

    JOE BLANTON vs. DETROIT since 1997
    BLANTON is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 8.27 and a WHIP of 1.898.
    His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MLB SHORT SHEET

    Monday, July 30th

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    National League

    Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
    Cole Hamels (L) vs. Ted Lilly (L)
    Hamels: Philadelphia 10-23 SU as an underdog of +150 or less
    Lilly: 3-0 TSR, 2.25 ERA L3 starts


    American League

    Toronto at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
    Dustin McGowan (R) vs. Andy Sonnanstine (R)
    McGowan: Toronto 5-15 SU Away off a SU win
    Sonnanstine: Tampa Bay 24-11 Over off a win

    Kansas City at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
    Gil Meche (R) vs. Scott Baker (R)
    Meche: 16-7 TSR off a team win
    Baker: 8-1 Under in night games

    LA Angels at Seattle, 10:05 ET
    Kelvim Escobar (R) vs. Miguel Batista (R)
    Escobar: 4-11 TSR off BB Angels wins
    Batista: 22-12 TSR as an underdog

    Detroit at Oakland, 10:05 ET
    Jordan Tata (R) vs. Joe Blanton (R)
    Tata: Detroit 15-2 Over vs. AL West
    Blanton: 0-3 TSR, 6.51 ERA L3 starts

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MLB WRITE-UP

    Monday, July 30

    Hot Pitchers
    -- Lilly is 6-0, 2.45 in his last six starts. Phillies are 14-5 in Hamels' last nineteen starts.

    -- McGowan is 3-1, 2.73 in his last four starts.
    -- Royals won five of last six Meche starts.
    -- Escobar is 2-1, 1.52 in his last four starts. Mariners are 11-6 in last seventeen Batista starts.

    Cold Pitchers
    -- none

    -- Devil Rays lost last eight Sonnanstine starts, outscored 54-25.
    -- Baker has 5.92 RA in his last four starts.
    -- Tata was 3-3, 3.29 in 11 AAA starts, allowing 54 hits in 63 IP. Blanton is 0-3, 7.46 in his last four starts.

    Totals
    -- Over is 5-2 in Lilly's last seven starts.

    -- Under is 3-0-1 in Sonnanstine's home starts.
    -- Over is 5-2 in last seven Meche starts.
    -- Last four Escobar starts stayed under the total.
    -- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Blanton starts.

    Hot Teams
    -- Phillies won eight of their last nine games. Cubs won eleven of their last sixteen games.

    -- Toronto won six of its last eight games.
    -- Twins lost last two games, allowing total of three runs, after losing previous five games. Royals won four in a row, scoring total of twenty-nine runs.
    -- Angels won last four games, scoring 41 runs. Seattle won last three games, scoring 25 runs.

    Cold Teams
    -- none

    -- Devil Rays lost eight of last nine games, allowing 85 runs.
    -- Tigers lost last four games, allowing 38 runs. A's lost last three games, 7-1/4-3/14-10.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------

    MLB ADDITIONAL



    Monday, July 30


    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Tips and Trends
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs (ESPN | 7:05 PM ET)

    Philadelphia starter Cole Hamels is an even 1-1 with a 7.00 ERA in two career starts against Chicago. He’s allowed seven earned runs and 16 hits in nine innings of work. SLIGHT EDGE: CUBS
    Hamels has been brilliant in his last two road starts against Houston and San Diego, surrendering just two runs and 10 hits over 14 innings. The left-hander is 5-3 with a 3.84 ERA in 11 overall starts away from Citizens Bank Park. EDGE: PHILLIES
    Chicago’s Ted Lilly picked up a victory in his only career start versus Philadelphia, allowing just one run and three hits over eight strong innings. SLIGHT EDGE: CUBS
    Lilly is a perfect 5-0 with an outstanding 1.83 ERA in five starts this month. He’s walked just nine batters while fanning 21 in 34 1/3 innings. BIG EDGE: CUBS
    With a win, the Cubs will pull into a tie for first place atop the NL Central with the Brewers. EDGE: CUBS



    Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Devil Rays (7:10 PM ET)

    Toronto right-hander Dustin McGowan is 3-4 with a 5.13 ERA in nine road starts this season. The Blue Jays have alternated wins and losses in his last six games away from the Rogers Centre, with his last one resulting in a 3-2 victory over New York. SLIGHT EDGE: DEVIL RAYS
    McGowan has enjoyed a successful month of June, posting a 3-1 record and 2.73 ERA in four starts. He’s gone 2-1 with a 3.72 ERA in three starts since the All-Star break. SLIGHT EDGE: BLUE JAYS
    Tampa Bay starter Andy Sonnanstine is still searching for his first home victory this season, as the right-hander is 0-3 with a 4.72 ERA in four starts. The Devil Rays offense has failed to score more than four runs in all of his outings at Tropicana Field. SLIGHT EDGE: BLUE JAYS
    The Devil Rays have lost nine of Sonnanstine’s ten starts this season, with the only victory coming way back on June 10. EDGE: BLUE JAYS
    The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings.



    Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins (8:10 PM ET)

    Kansas City’s Gil Meche is 5-1 with a 4.44 ERA in nine career starts against Minnesota. The right-hander hasn’t faced the Twins since 2005, allowing 11 earned runs and 16 hits over 14 1/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: ROYALS
    Meche has collected a 4-2 record and 2.97 ERA in 10 road starts this season. The Royals have won three of his last four starts on the road, as the offense has supplied him with 34 runs of support over that span. EDGE: ROYALS
    Minnesota right-hander Scott Baker has thrown the ball quite well since the All-Star break, posting an even 1-1 record and 4.19 ERA. He’s walked just three batters and struck out 11 over his last 19 1/3 innings. EDGE: TWINS
    Baker has collected four wins in nine career starts in July – his most wins of any month. EDGE: TWINS
    The Royals are 11-28 in their last 39 games on Field Turf.



    Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics (10:05 PM ET)

    Detroit’s Kenny Rogers is an impressive 21-7 in 59 career outings against Oakland, including a perfect 3-0 last season. EDGE: TIGERS
    The Tigers have lost two of Rogers’ last three starts, as the veteran left-hander has given up 17 earned runs and 21 hits in his last 15 1/3 innings of work. EDGE: A’S
    Oakland right-hander Joe Blanton has compiled a 2-1 record in three career starts versus Detroit, even though he brings in an inflated 8.27 ERA. He’s allowed an incredible 28 hits in just 16 1/3 innings against them. SLIGHT EDGE: A’S
    Blanton is an even 4-4 with a 2.62 ERA in 10 home starts in 2007. He’s allowed just six home runs and 61 hits in 75 2/3 innings in Oakland. EDGE: A’S
    The Tigers are 5-0 in the last five meetings.



    Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (10:05 PM ET)

    Los Angeles right-hander Kelvim Escobar is a disappointing 5-8 with a 5.05 ERA in 28 career appearances against Seattle. He picked up a 11-3 defeat on May 15 at Safeco Field, lasting just 2 1/3 innings and allowing six earned runs on eight hits. EDGE: MARINERS
    The Angels have won six of Escobar’s last seven starts, including four straight games away from Angel Stadium. BIG EDGE: ANGELS
    Seattle starter Miguel Batista is an even 3-3 with a 6.75 ERA in 10 career appearances against Los Angeles. He’s compiled a 1-1 record and 7.94 ERA in two starts versus the Angels in 2007. SLIGHT EDGE: ANGELS
    Batista is a perfect 2-0 with a 4.08 ERA in three starts since the All-Star break. The Mariners have picked up three straight home victories with him on the mound, outscoring opponents 17-9 over that span. EDGE: MARINERS
    The UNDER is 23-6-1 in Escobar’s last 30 starts overall.


    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Monday's MLB Betting Notes
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Who’s going to step up?

    The Los Angeles Angels will have to test the depth of their pitching staff because of injuries to starter Bartolo Colon and catcher Mike Napoli. Colon, once considered the team’s ace pitcher, is out indefinitely with a sore right shoulder.

    The starting rotation is no longer the team’s strength. After John Lackey, Kelvim Escobar and Jered Weaver, there aren’t really any dependable arms. Joe Saunders is a good fit in the fourth spot but Dustin Moseley does not belong on any team’s five-man rotation – particularly not a team contending for the World Series.

    Jeff Mathis will have a heavy load behind the plate because the Angels traded away Jose Molina to the New York Yankees. Napoli should be back by mid-August.

    Twins sellers at the deadline?

    The Minnesota Twins aren’t doing much to persuade general manager Terry Ryan the team still has a shot at the postseason. The club has lost eight of the last 11 contests including a three-game span in which Minnesota was outscored 30-5.

    Some players are blaming trade rumors on the team's recent struggles.

    “It has,” Twins right fielder Michael Cuddyer told the Minnesota-St. Paul Star Tribune. “Whether it is a direct implication of the way we have been playing on the field, or not, I think in some way shape or form it has affected the way we have played.”

    Building a better bullpen

    The Tampa Bay Devil Rays saw a problem and addressed it. The worst bullpen in the majors (6.79 ERA with 14 blown saves) is significantly altered after three deals in two days.

    The highlight move was sending highly sought-after infielder Ty Wigginton to the Houston Astros for reliever Dan Wheeler.

    “I think our bullpen is a lot better today than it was two days ago,” Tampa Bay general manager Andrew Friedman told the Tampa Tribune. “That being said, we’ll continue to have conversations on a number of different fronts, and if we’re able to address any area that we see as kind of a weakness, then we’re going to be aggressive to do so.”

    One-run blues

    The Oakland Athletics have long been known for their ability to win tight games, but fate hasn’t been as kind to the club this year. After compiling a 91-65 record in one-run games over the last three seasons, the Athletics are only 16-17 this year.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Hot and Cold Betting Trends
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Monday's Hot and Cold betting trends

    Before placing your bets check out all the hot and cold trends for today's MLB games.

    ------------------------------------------------------------

    Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs -108

    Hot

    Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 games on Grass.
    Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
    Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
    Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
    Phillies are 11-1 in Hamels' last 12 starts vs. National League Central.
    Phillies are 5-1 in Hamels' last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
    Phillies are 8-2 in Hamels' last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
    Over is 7-0 in Phillies last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
    Over is 12-1 in Phillies last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.
    Over is 9-1-1 in Phillies last 11 vs. National League Central.
    Over is 7-1 in Phillies last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
    Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 games as a road underdog.
    Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
    Over is 13-3-2 in Phillies last 18 games as an underdog.

    Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 Monday games.
    Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
    Cubs are 13-3 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series.
    Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
    Cubs are 6-0 in Lilly's last 6 starts.
    Cubs are 6-0 in Lilly's last 6 starts on Grass.
    Cubs are 4-0 in Lilly's last 4 home starts.
    Cubs are 4-0 in Lilly's last 4 starts as a home favorite.
    Cubs are 5-0 in Lilly's last 5 starts as a favorite.
    Cubs are 4-0 in Lilly's last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
    Over is 5-1 in Lilly's last 6 starts as a favorite.
    Over is 5-1 in Lilly's last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
    Over is 4-1-1 in Lilly's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

    Cold

    Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 Monday games.
    Phillies are 1-4 in Hamels' last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
    Phillies are 1-4 in Hamels' last 5 starts as a road underdog.

    Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

    Head to head

    Phillies are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

    ------------------------------------------------------------

    Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Devil Rays +113, 9

    Hot

    Blue Jays are 10-2 in their last 12 Monday games.
    Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
    Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
    Blue Jays are 4-1 in McGowan's last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
    Blue Jays are 4-1 in McGowan's last 5 starts as a favorite.
    Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
    Under is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Under is 7-0 in Blue Jays last 7 road games.
    Under is 9-1 in Blue Jays last 10 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Under is 8-1 in Blue Jays last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Under is 11-2 in Blue Jays last 13 overall.
    Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a favorite.
    Under is 4-0 in McGowan's last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
    Under is 4-0 in McGowan's last 4 starts as a favorite.
    Under is 5-1 in McGowan's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
    Under is 5-1 in McGowan's last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
    Under is 4-1 in McGowan's last 5 starts vs. American League East.


    Devil Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

    Cold

    Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
    Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
    Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
    Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
    Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
    Blue Jays are 1-6 in McGowan's last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
    Blue Jays are 0-4 in McGowan's last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.

    Devil Rays are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
    Devil Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
    Devil Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
    Devil Rays are 1-4 in Sonnanstine's last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
    Devil Rays are 0-4 in Sonnanstine's last 4 starts as a home underdog.
    Devil Rays are 0-8 in Sonnanstine's last 8 starts as an underdog.
    Devil Rays are 0-8 in Sonnanstine's last 8 starts.
    Devil Rays are 0-4 in Sonnanstine's last 4 starts on Astro Turf.
    Devil Rays are 0-4 in Sonnanstine's last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
    Devil Rays are 0-4 in Sonnanstine's last 4 home starts.
    Devil Rays are 0-7 in Sonnanstine's last 7 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Devil Rays are 0-5 in Sonnanstine's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
    Devil Rays are 0-4 in Sonnanstine's last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
    Devil Rays are 0-4 in Sonnanstine's last 4 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

    Head to head

    Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
    Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

    ------------------------------------------------------------

    Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins -115, 9

    Hot

    Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
    Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
    Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
    Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
    Royals are 5-0 in Meche's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    Royals are 6-1 in Meche's last 7 starts as a road underdog.
    Royals are 5-1 in Meche's last 6 starts.
    Royals are 4-1 in Meche's last 5 starts as an underdog.
    Royals are 4-1 in Meche's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    Royals are 4-1 in Meche's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
    Under is 8-1 in Royals last 9 Monday games.
    Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
    Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 games as a road underdog.
    Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
    Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 road games.
    Over is 4-0 in Meche's last 4 road starts.
    Under is 4-1 in Meche's last 5 Monday starts.
    Over is 4-1 in Meche's last 5 starts vs. American League Central.

    Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    Twins are 4-1 in Baker's last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
    Twins are 4-1 in Baker's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
    Under is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
    Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 Monday games.
    Under is 6-1-1 in Twins last 8 games as a home favorite.
    Under is 6-1-1 in Twins last 8 home games.
    Under is 5-1-2 in Twins last 8 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
    Under is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 vs. American League Central.
    Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
    Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Under is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
    Under is 4-0 in Baker's last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
    Under is 4-0 in Baker's last 4 starts on Field Turf.
    Under is 6-1 in Baker's last 7 starts overall.
    Under is 5-1 in Baker's last 6 starts as a home favorite.
    Under is 5-1 in Baker's last 6 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Under is 5-1 in Baker's last 6 starts as a favorite.
    Under is 5-1 in Baker's last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
    Under is 5-1 in Baker's last 6 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Under is 4-1 in Baker's last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
    Under is 4-1 in Baker's last 5 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

    Cold

    Royals are 1-6 in Meche's last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.

    Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
    Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
    Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
    Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 Monday games.
    Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games on Field Turf.

    Head to head

    Under is 14-3-1 in the last 18 meetings in Minnesota.

    ------------------------------------------------------------

    Detroit Tigers at Oakland A's +108, 9 1/2

    Hot

    Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 Monday games.
    Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
    Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.

    Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
    Under is 5-0 in Athletics last 5 games as a home underdog.
    Under is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 during game 1 of a series.
    Under is 5-1-1 in Athletics last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
    Under is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
    Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 vs. American League Central.
    Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
    Under is 8-2 in Athletics last 10 overall.
    Under is 8-2 in Athletics last 10 on Grass.
    Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
    Under is 12-2-1 in Blanton's last 15 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Under is 4-1 in Blanton's last 5 starts as a home underdog.
    Under is 4-1 in Blanton's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
    Under is 4-1 in Blanton's last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
    Under is 4-1 in Blanton's last 5 starts as an underdog.

    Cold

    Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
    Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 games on Grass.
    Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.

    Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
    Athletics are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
    Athletics are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
    Athletics are 1-4 in Blanton's last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
    Athletics are 1-4 in Blanton's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
    Athletics are 1-5 in Blanton's last 6 starts on Grass.
    Athletics are 0-7 in Blanton's last 7 starts as an underdog.
    Athletics are 0-4 in Blanton's last 4 starts.
    Athletics are 0-6 in Blanton's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    Athletics are 0-4 in Blanton's last 4 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

    Head to head

    Tigers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

    ------------------------------------------------------------

    Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners +123, 8 1/2

    Hot

    Angels are 4-0 in Escobar's last 4 starts as a road favorite.
    Angels are 4-0 in Escobar's last 4 road starts.
    Angels are 6-0 in Escobar's last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
    Angels are 6-1 in Escobar's last 7 starts.
    Angels are 6-1 in Escobar's last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    Angels are 6-1 in Escobar's last 7 starts as a favorite.
    Angels are 5-1 in Escobar's last 6 starts on Grass.
    Angels are 5-1 in Escobar's last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
    Angels are 4-1 in Escobar's last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
    Angels are 4-1 in Escobar's last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
    Angels are 4-1 in Escobar's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
    Angels are 4-1 in Escobar's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 1 of a series.
    Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
    Over is 5-1-1 in Angels last 7 on Grass.
    Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
    Over is 4-1-1 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
    Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games as a favorite.
    Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 overall.
    Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games as a road favorite.
    Under is 6-0 in Escobar's last 6 Monday starts.
    Under is 9-2 in Escobar's last 11 starts vs. American League West.
    Under is 8-2 in Escobar's last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.
    Under is 8-2 in Escobar's last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.

    Mariners are 12-3 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.
    Mariners are 4-1 in Batista's last 5 home starts.
    Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games a home underdog of +110 to +150.
    Under is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 during game 1 of a series.
    Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 vs. American League West.
    Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games as an underdog.
    Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 overall.
    Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 on Grass.
    Over is 5-1 in Batista's last 6 starts a home underdog.
    Over is 4-1 in Batista's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

    Cold

    Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.

    Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
    Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.

    Head to head

    Angels are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Streaking Pitchers
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Monday's streaking starting pitchers

    Hot

    Ted Lilly (Chicago Cubs) - Lilly is seeking his eighth consecutive win tonight against the Philadelphia Phillies. The left-hander is 7-0 in eight starts since June 15 and has won his last six outings. Lilly has a stunning 1.83 ERA in five starts in July and will need to continue his hot play against a streaking Phillies squad. Earlier this season Lilly earned the Cubs' only win in a three-game set at Philadelphia.

    Kelvim Escobar (Los Angeles Angels) - Escobar was stuck with a tough 4-3 loss to Oakland his last time out as a -180 favorite, but he's been tough since getting shelled by the Baltimore Orioles for seven earned runs over 4 1/3 innings back at the end of June. Since then he's allowed just five earned runs over four starts, all of which played under.

    Cold

    Andy Sonnanstine (Tampa Bay Devil Rays) - Sonnanstine is still searching for his first win since June 10 and his first win on his home field. The Devil Rays have lost his last eight starts and they are 0-5 in their last five games as a home underdog. The right-hander made his major league debut at Toronto on June 5 and was tagged for six runs over seven innings.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Hot Lines
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Hot lines: Monday's best MLB bets

    Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs: (-108, N/A)

    Chicago Cubs lefty Ted Lilly is simultaneously making a push for the National League Cy Young while helping his team make a push for the NL Central lead.

    Lilly has won six straight starts dating back to June 26. During this impressive stretch, he has an ERA of 2.45 and has allowed more than one earned run only twice. Lilly hasn’t lost at home since May 30 and posts a 3.16 ERA inside Wrigley Field.

    In his last appearance against the Phillies, Lilly pitched eight solid innings, allowing one run and striking out six batters. The former Blue Jay hurler has an 11-4 record since coming over to the National League.

    Pick: Cubs -108


    Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics: (+103, 9 ˝)

    Fresh meat is just what the Athletics need to get back on track.

    Oakland will face Triple-A callup Jordan Tata, who will make his major league debut with the Tigers after being brought up to replace the injured Kenny Rogers. Tata had a 3-3 record in Triple-A with a 3.28 ERA but hadn’t won since the All-Star break.

    Tata might have to pitch spotless baseball tonight since Detroit’s major league-best bats have gone limp during the last week and a half. The Tigers have lost eight of their last 11 games and have scored four runs or less in six of those losses.

    Pick: Athletics +103


    Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners: (+118, 8 ˝)

    The Angels rotation is still in pieces after they lost Bartolo Colon to injury and sent the floundering Ervin Santana down to the minors.

    But none of that matters when you score 34 runs in your last three games.

    Los Angeles has 13 hits in each of its last three contests, batting .390 against the Tigers this past weekend. Sunday’s 13-4 win over Detroit was the first time the Angels scored 10 or more runs in three straight games since 1997. They have been able to put up these monstrous scores without a lot of home runs, relying on good old fashioned situational hitting.

    "Our offense will welcome home runs," Angels manager Mike Scioscia told MLB.com. "We're not going to give them back. But I think we have to be realistic about the makeup of our club, and realize we have to score without the home run.”

    Seattle is one of the worst defensive teams in the American League when runners are in scoring position. The Mariners have an ERA over 10.00 with RISP this season.

    Pick: Angels -126


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Points of Interest
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    7-30-07 Monday

    07/30/07
    01:48 AM Injuries
    MLB
    Monday: Cubs OF Cliff Floyd (.294; rest) is questionable.

    07/30/07
    01:48 AM Injuries
    MLB
    Monday: A's OF Travis Buck (.274; forearm) and 3B Eric Chavez (.240; back) are questionable.

    07/30/07
    01:40 AM News Alert
    NFL
    Vikings TB Adrian Peterson ended his two-day absence from training camp on Sunday afternoon, agreeing on a five-year contract.

    07/30/07
    01:29 AM Info Alert
    MLB
    Astros designated third baseman Morgan Ensberg for assignment.

    07/30/07
    01:28 AM Injuries
    MLB
    Reds Aaron Harang will miss his next scheduled turn in the rotation because of a sore lower back

    07/30/07
    01:27 AM Lineups
    MLB
    Cardinals Anthony Reyes will remain in the rotation after his successful start Saturday against the Brewers.

    07/30/07
    01:24 AM Boxscore
    MLB
    Mariners Richie Sexson was ejected from Sunday's game in the sixth inning for arguing a call at first base.

    07/30/07
    01:22 AM Injury Alert
    MLB
    Tigers placed SP Kenny Rogers on the 15-day disabled list with left elbow inflammation.

    07/30/07
    01:21 AM Injuries
    MLB
    D-Rays Carl Crawford will have an MRI on his sprained right wrist Monday.

    07/30/07
    01:20 AM Injuries
    MLB
    Cubs Carlos Zambrano said he was suffering from cramps in his right calf before leaving Sunday's game in the eighth inning.

    07/30/07
    01:20 AM Injuries
    MLB
    Yankees Derek Jeter was removed from Sunday's game with a jammed left shoulder.

    07/30/07
    01:19 AM Injuries
    MLB
    Dodgers Jeff Kent is day-to-day after injuring his left hamstring in the ninth inning Sunday.

    07/30/07
    01:17 AM Info Alert
    MLB
    The Braves and Angels have submitted their best proposals for Rangers Mark Teixeira, and now it's up to the Rangers to decide


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Baseball Today - July 30
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SCOREBOARD
    Monday, July 30

    Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs (7:05 p.m. EDT). Ted Lilly (11-4) looks to win his eighth straight decision for the Cubs as he faces the Phillies' Cole Hamels (11-5).

    STARS
    Sunday

    -Mike Cameron, Padres, had three hits - including a homer - and three RBIs in an 18-11 win over Houston.

    -Shaun Marcum, Blue Jays, gave up two hits and struck out eight over eight innings in a 4-1 victory over the Chicago White Sox.

    -Johnny Damon, Yankees, had three hits and two RBIs and scored four runs in a 10-6 win over Baltimore.

    HIGHEST HONOR

    Cal Ripken Jr. and Tony Gwynn were inducted into Major League Baseball's Hall of Fame on Sunday. Ripken spent his entire career in Baltimore, making his mark by playing 2,632 consecutive games and breaking Lou Gehrig's record of 2,130. Even though he had 3,184 hits - including 431 home runs - was a two-time American League MVP and a 19-time All-Star, Ripken will always be known for his streak. Gwynn finished with 3,141 hits and won eight National League batting titles in a 20-year career with the San Diego Padres.

    PACE-SETTER

    Carlos Zambrano became the majors' first 14-game winner and finished with three hits to help the Chicago Cubs beat the Cincinnati Reds 6-0 Sunday. Zambrano (14-7) tied a career high with three hits and stayed in after Ryan Freel lined a pitch off his right ankle in the sixth.

    WILD RIDE

    Ben Broussard, playing for the ejected Richie Sexson, hit a two-run homer in the seventh to tie the game, and Jason Ellison scored the go-ahead run on an errant throw an inning later in the Mariners' wild 14-10 victory over the Oakland Athletics on Sunday. Seattle's improbable win came after Oakland had erased a 6-0 deficit, scoring four runs in the sixth inning off Seattle reliever Chris Reitsma.

    RUNAWAYS

    Kansas City pounded Texas 10-0 on Sunday to complete a sweep of the Rangers. The Royals have now won four straight games and are 13-10 in July with two games left and are assured of their second straight winning month. ... Mike Cameron and Adrian Gonzalez hit two-run homers during an 11-run first inning off Jason Jennings in the Padres' 18-11 rout of the Astros. ... Gary Matthews Jr. drove in three runs, Garret Anderson and Casey Kotchman each had two RBIs, and the Los Angeles Angels completed a three-game sweep of the defending AL champion Detroit Tigers with a 13-4 victory.

    STREAKS

    Chien-Ming Wang gave up three runs on nine hits and picked up the win in the New York Yankees' 10-6 victory over Baltimore on Sunday. Wang has not allowed an unearned run in 43 starts, the longest streak of its kind since the AL began tracking unearned runs in 1913.

    SNAPPED

    Johnny Damon had three hits, scored four runs and had two RBIs, and the New York Yankees ended the Baltimore Orioles' six-game winning streak with a 10-6 victory Sunday. ... Dioner Navarro, B.J. Upton and Carlos Pena homered during a five-run seventh inning and the Tampa Bay Devil Rays beat Daisuke Matsuzaka and the Boston Red Sox 5-2 to stop an eight-game losing streak.

    SPEAKING

    ``This day shouldn't be all about us. Today is about celebrating the best that baseball has been and the best it can be. This is a symbol it's alive, popular.'' - Cal Ripken, who, along with Tony Gwynn, was elected into Major League Baseball's Hall of Fame on Sunday.

    SEASONS
    July 30

    1933 - Dizzy Dean struck out 17 Cubs as the St. Louis Cardinals beat Chicago 8-2.

    1947 - The New York Giants beat Ewell Blackwell and the Cincinnati Reds 5-4 in 10 innings, ending Blackwell's 16-game winning streak.

    1959 - Willie McCovey had four hits in four at-bats in his major league debut, with the San Francisco Giants. His hits included two triples in a 7-2 win over the Philadelphia Phillies.

    1968 - Washington shortstop Ron Hansen pulled off an unassisted triple play, but the Cleveland Indians still won the game 10-1.

    1973 - Jim Bibby of the Texas Rangers pitched a 6-0 no-hitter against the Oakland A's.

    1980 - Houston Astros pitcher J.R. Richard had a stroke during a workout at the Astrodome and underwent surgery to remove a blood clot behind his right collarbone.

    1982 - The Atlanta Braves returned Chief Noc-A-Homa and his teepee to left field after losing 19 of 21 games and blowing a 10 1/2-game lead. The teepee was removed for more seats. The team recovered to regain first place.

    1990 - George Steinbrenner was forced to resign as general partner of the New York Yankees by baseball commissioner Fay Vincent.

    2003 - Chicago White Sox shortstop Jose Valentin hit three home runs by the fifth inning in a 15-4 win over Kansas City. It was the second three-homer game of his career, and the third time he has homered from both sides of the plate.

    2005 - Jonny Gomes had the first three-homer game in Tampa Bay franchise history in a 7-3 victory over Kansas City.

    2006 - New York Mets center fielder Carlos Beltran tied a major league record with his third grand slam this month in a 9-6 victory over Atlanta. Beltran became the ninth player in major league history to hit three grand slams in a calendar month.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by wilheim; 07-30-2007 at 03:04 PM.
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  7. #7  
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    its the shits that ness and burns are on the opposite sides on the chc/philly game
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    Yeah that really suprised me
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    Who's record is better Ness, Spreitzer, or Burns?
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    Quote Originally Posted by nightlifevet View Post
    Who's record is better Ness, Spreitzer, or Burns?
    not real sure,but i know i made a ton of cash on both burns and ness as of late....i am basically doubling my amount on there plays,its $$$$$ in the bank
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    SCOTT SPREITZER'S MLB MISMATCH GOW! *12-0 GOM run!
    Game: Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Devil Rays Jul 30 2007 7:10PM
    Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays
    Reason: Tampa Bay's Andy Sonnanstine is 0-3 with an opponent batting average of .308 at home and in his last four games overall he's allowed 16 earned runs and 30 hits in 26 innings pitched. Meanwhile, Dustin McGowan has shown flashes of brillance with the Blue Jays this season, including a near no-hitter and he's coming off two quality starts where he's given up only two earned runs in 14 innings. The Devil Rays have returned to their usual ways losing 25 of their last 31 games. Take the Blue Jays to get the win on Monday, my Mismatch GOW. Thanks! GL! Scott.



    Ben Burns' ESPN Game of the Month (8-1 L9 MLB!)
    Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs Jul 30 2007 7:05PM
    Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

    Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Phillies struggled against southpaws earlier in this season. However, as the saying goes, that was then and this is now. Indeed, the Phillies are 5-1 their last six games against left-handed starters, averaging an incredible 10 runs (10, 15, 12, 7, 6 and 10) over those six games. Looking back a little further and we find that Philadelphia has scored a minimum of six runs in ALL nine of its last nine games against left-handed starters. That kind of run support (or anything even close) should be more than enough for Philadelphia's young ace Cole Hamels, who sits at 11-5. Hamels would have won his 12th game last time out but the bullpen blew a 4-2 lead in the 9th inning. He was also a hard-luck loser in his previous start, allowing only two hits and one run but losing 1-0 vs. fellow Cy Young candidate Young of San Diego. Like Hamels, Lilly is having an excellent season and he's admittedly been great lately. However, he's been a mediocre pitcher his entire career and in my opinion his "stuff" isn't quite as nasty as Hamels'. Well one could make a case for either starter, there's no denying the fact that Lilly will be supported by a Cubs team which has gone 1-4 its last five games against left-handed starters, averaging only two runs in the four losses. Looking back a bit further and we find the Cubs at a poor 7-13 their last 20 games against southpaws. The Phillies, who are 8-1 their last nine games, have won four of the last five meetings in this series and nine of the last 12. Catching their hosts playing the first game back home off a 6-game road trip, I expect the Phillies to continue that dominance by grabbing tonight's series opener.

    ESPN Game of the Month
    PHILLIES




    Ben Burns' "BLUE CHIP" Total (11-2 L13 Totals!)

    Game: Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Jul 30 2007 10:05PM
    Prediction: under

    Reason: I'm playing on the Angels and Mariners to finish UNDER the total. Both teams reached double-digits yesterday but I'm expecting the bats to cool off in a big way tonight. Batista's 4.48 ERA may not sound very impressive. It isn't. However, when one considers that it was once 15.48 earlier in the season, we realize that he's been pitching well lately. In fact, over his last nine outings (8 starts) he has allowed 17 earned runs through 51 innings for a highly respectable 3.00 ERA. Despite his last start finishing above the number, the UNDER remains a profitable 11-6 the last 17 times that Batista took the mound. He'll face Kelvim Escobar who has allowed a mere five runs over his last four starts, pitching a minimum of seven complete innings each time out. Considering that Escobar has a miniscule 1.52 ERA during that stretch, it's no surprise that the UNDER was a perfect 4-0 in those games. Looking back a bit further and we find that 12 of Escobar's last 16 starts have finished beneath the number. Escobar has also seen the UNDER go 3-1 the last four times that he faced the Mariners and 4-1 the last five times he pitched at Seattle. Look for a well pitched affair that stays beneath the number with the UNDER improving to 4-1 the last five times that the Angels played on the road.



    Big Al's MLB Divisional Total of the Year

    Game: Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Jul 30 2007 10:05PM
    Prediction: under

    Reason: At 10:05 pm, our AL West Total of the Year is on the 'under' in the Seattle/Anaheim game. Miguel Batista will take the mound for Seattle, and he's gone 'under' the total in 11 of his last 17 starts. Batista's mound opponent will be Kelvim Escobar, who has gone 'under' in 12 of his last 16 games (including all 4 of his July starts), and 33 of 48 since last year. Escobar's in terrific form, as he's given up just 5 earned runs and put on only 36 baserunners in July (29 2/3 innings) for a 1.51 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Look for a low-scoring game at Safeco tonight.




    Larry Ness' 15* Pitching Showdown of the Week (now 81-26 with 15* GOW plays TY!)

    My 15* play is on the Chi Cubs at 7:05 ET. The Phillies have won eight of nine (averaging 7.6 RPG) to close within 3 1/2 games of the Mets in the NL East, while the Cubs' steady climb (a ML-best 33-17 since June 3) has got them within a half-game of the Brewers in the NL Central. Tonigh's pitching showdown features one of the NL's best young left-handers, Philadelphia's Cole Hamels (11-5, 3.63 ERA) against Chicago's veteran lefty Ted Lilly, who is havinga career-season (11-4, 3.46 ERA). Who gets the edge? The Cubs and Lilly do. Lilly has been near-perfect since getting ejected against the Braves back on June 10 (after getting just two outs!). He's 7-0 with a 1.83 ERA in eight starts since that incident, with the Cubs going 7-1 in the eight contests. While Philly has done better lately vs left-handers, the Phils are just 15-19 against lefties on the season. Meanwhile, Hamels is returning to the site of the worst start of his brief big league career. He surrendered a career-high nine runs (five earned) and nine hits, including two homers, in just two innings of an 11-2 defeat at Wrigley on Aug. 24 of last season. The Cubs' 27-24 home mark is deceiving, as the Cubbies are 12-4 their last 16 at Wrigley.

    Pitching Showdown of the Week
    15* Chicago Cubs
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  12. #12  
    RX Senior patriots12's Avatar
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    Charlie's Sports

    mlb. la angels @ seattle under 8' runs (500*)

    500* plays from Charlie are 27-52 L79

    mlb. toronto @ tampa bay over 9 runs (30*)

    mlb. oakland-120 (20*)

    mlb. cubs-110 (20*)

    mlb. seattle-130 (10*)

    mlb. minnesota-110 (10*) free play

    Karl Garrett

    Tonight we are sticking with the Cubs to hanlde matters at home against the Phillies. Both teams have been playing some fine baseball of late as the Phils have won 3 in a row, and 8 of their last 9, while the Cubs have won their last pair, and 4 of 6.
    The difference tonight is going to be the venue, as the Cubbies have been playing playoff-like baseball at Wrigley these days, and starter Ted Lilly just doesn't lose! Lilly has won 6 straight starts, and has allowed just 11 runs in his last 40-plus innings of work!
    No doubt Cole Hamels has also been throwing well, but remember Hamels had the worst start of his youg career last August at Wrigley as the Cubs lit up the southpaw for 9 hits and 9 runs - 5 earned, in just 2 innings of work.
    The Cubbies can pull into a first place tie in the Central Division with the win tonight as Milwukee is idle. The G-Man expects it to happen!
    Take Sweet Lou's Cubs to get the win.

    2♦ CUBS





    Bobby Maxwell

    Tonight we go to Minnesota and we're going to get some plus-money as we go with the suddenly red-hot Royals as they visit the Twins.
    Going with the Royals and Gil Meche (7-7, 3.76 ERA) in this one as they have won three of five against the Twins this season.
    Meche is 4-2 on the road with a 2.97 ERA and last time he pitched on the highway he allowed just two runs on five hits over seven innings of a 10-2 win over the Tigers in Detroit. The Royals have won five of his last stix starts.
    In his last 10 starts, only twice has he allowed more than four earned runs. He's keeping Kansas City in each game and giving the Royals a chance to win.
    Scott Baker (4-4, 5.30) is on the mound for Minnesota and his home ERA is 5.85. The Twins are 0-2 in his last two outings and he's given up seven runs on 16 hits in losses to the Tigers and Blue Jays. He faced the Royals last season and lost 3-1, giving up three runs in seven innings.
    The Royals just swept the Rangers, outscoring Texas 22-6 in the three games. Play Kansas City to keep it up tonight.

    2♦ KANSAS CITY



    Michael Cannon

    Take the Cubs as the small home chalk tonight over the Phillies.

    The Cubs have gone 16-8 this month to pull within one half game of the division leading Brewers. With a victory today, the Cubs will move ahead by percentage points of the Brewers.
    Ted Lilly will start for the Cubs and he's seeking his eighth consecutive win. The left-hander is 7-0 in eight starts since June 15, has won his last six outings and has a 1.83 ERA in five starts this month.
    The Phillies will counter with Cole Hamels and he's returning to the site of his worst start of his professional career. He surrendered nine runs and nine hits in just two innings of an 11-2 defeat to the Cubs on August 24 of last season.
    Take the Cubs as the small home chalk as they grab the win.

    3♦ CHICAGO CUBS



    Sports Gambling Hotline


    Tonight at Wrigley look for the pitchers to rule the roost, and for the Phillies-Cubs game to stay UNDER the posted total.
    Both teams were involved in UNDERS on Sunday, as Chicago is currently 5-1-2 UNDER the posted price in their last 8 games. Starter Ted Lilly has been very stingy this season with an 11-4 mark, and a 3.46 ERA. Lilly did defeat the Phillies back on May 13th, working 8 innings while allowing only 1 run to score
    His counterpart Cole Hamels has only surrendered 3 earned runs over his last 14 innings of work, and he also owns a win over the Cubs back in the middle of May as he worked 7 frames and allowed just 2 runs to score.
    5 of the last 7 meetings between the teams at the Friendly Confines have stayed UNDER the posted total, and this one will as well.
    Play the UNDER.

    4♦ UNDER




    LT Profits


    Kansas City Royals (110)


    Royals +110 with Meche to stun Twins

    As much as we like Scott Baker of the Minnesota Twins, we simply must back Gil Meche and the Kansas City Royals as an underdog in this spot.

    There was some controversy when the Royals signed Meche to a fat contract in the off season, but he the Kansas City All-Star representative has proven to be the real deal. Meche may be just 7-7, but keep in mind that the Royals are 10 games under .500 overall, and they are actually a positive 12-10 in all the games that Meche has started.

    His key numbers tell a better story, as Meche has a fine 3.76 ERA and 1.39 WHIP overall this season, and he has been even better on the road, where he is 4-2 with a sparkling 2.97 ERA. The last time he pitched away from home, he held the hot-hitting Tigers to two runs on just five hits in seven innings. He should have a fairly easy time shutting done this Minnesota offense that is averaging a meager 3.30 runs while batting just .249 as a team over their last 10 games.

    Now Baker will be a nice pitcher in this league for years to come, but he is just too inconsistent at this time to be trusted vs. a hot offense. Baker has a high 5.85 ERA and 1.55 WHIP here at home this season, and he is facing a Kansas City lineup that is batting a whopping .314 while averaging an impressive 5.90 runs in the last 10 games.

    To summarize, the Royals have the better starting pitcher on this game, as well as the far superior offense over the last 10 games. Even the bullpens are not as far apart as you might think, as the Kansas City pen has improved to the point where it now ranks in the top half of the Major League with a 3.83 pen ERA. Grab the Royals as a dog here.

    Royals +110



    Tony Mathews

    Matchup: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

    Selection: Los Angeles Angels (-130)

    Explanation: We will side with the Los Angeles Angels as they face-off against the Seattle Mariners in Monday's MLB contest.

    The Los Angeles Angels will use starting pitcher Kelvim Escobar. Kelvim Escobar has pitched well this season. In fact, Kelvim Escobar has a 2.91 ERA on the season. In addition, Kelvim Escobar has a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 starts. It's safe to say that the Seattle Mariners will struggle to score tonight.

    On the other hand, the Seattle Mariners will use starting pitcher Miguel Batista. Miguel Batista has struggled for the most of this season. This is shown true by Miguel Batista's 4.48 ERA on the season. This very talented Los Angeles Angels offense should have no trouble scoring many runs tonight.

    The Los Angeles Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Seattle Mariners, and we expect them to get another easy win tonight.

    Take the Los Angeles Angels



    THE SPORTS ADVISORS


    NATIONAL LEAGUE

    Philadelphia (55-49) at Chicago Cubs (55-48)
    Two of the hottest teams in the National League square off today at Wrigley Field in Chicago when the Phillies send Cole Hamels (11-5, 3.63 ERA) to the mound to face the Cubs’ Ted Lilly (11-4, 3.46).
    Philadelphia has gone 8-1 in its last nine games overall, including Sunday’s 5-1 home victory over the Pirates to conclude a three-game weekend sweep over the in-state rivals. The Phillies outscored the Pirates 23-7 in the three games.
    The lefty Hamels has gone 5-3 on the road this season with a 3.84 ERA and last time out he gave up two runs on six hits over seven innings of a 7-5 win over the Nationals on Wednesday. Hamels has held the opposition to three runs or less in five of his last six outings and last time out on the road he held the Padres to one run on two hits over seven innings.
    Hamels has faced the Cubs once this season and gave up two runs on seven hits over seven innings of a 7-2 win back on May 11.
    Chicago is 12-4 in its last 16 games at Wrigley Field and the Cubs are 23-9 in their last 32 games overall, including Sunday’s 6-0 win in Cincinnati. The Cubs went 4-2 on their just-completed road trip.
    Southpaw Ted Lilly has won his last three outings and has a 2.25 ERA. His mark at Wrigley Field is 6-3 with a 3.16 ERA. He’s allowed just one run in four of his last five starts and the Cubs have rattled off six straight wins with Lilly on the hill.
    Last time out was Wednesday for Lilly when he gave up one run on six hits in seven innings of a 7-1 win in St. Louis. He faced the Phillies back on May 13 and allowed one run on three hits over eight innings of a 4-1 victory.
    The over has been the play in five of Lilly’s last seven starts and six of the Phillies last nine overall. The under is 6-2-1 in the last nine head-to-head meetings between these two in Chicago but the over is 13-3-2 in Philadelphia’s last 18 games as an underdog.

    ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE



    AMERICAN LEAGUE

    L.A. Angels (61-42) at Seattle (57-46)

    The top two teams in the AL West meet at Safeco Field in Seattle tonight as the Angels send Kelvim Escobar (11-4, 2.91) to the mound against the Mariners’ Miguel Batista (10-7, 4.48).
    The Angels come into this one having won four straight, including Sunday’’s 13-4 victory against the Tigers at home. Los Angeles outscored the Tigers 34-13 over the weekend during a three-game sweep in Anaheim.
    The Angels have dominated Seattle this season, going 7-2 in the previous nine encounters, including taking two of three at Safeco Field in mid May.
    Escobar is 5-1 on the road this season with a 4.22 ERA and his ERA over the last three starts is just 1.59. The Angels have won six of his last seven outings with the only loss coming Tuesday when he gave up three runs on nine hits over seven innings of a 4-3 loss to the A’s.
    In Escobar’s last road start he blanked the Devil Rays on nine hits over 7 2/3 innings of a 3-0 Angels’ win. He faced the Mariners back on May 15 and he got battered around, giving up eight runs (six earned) on 2 1/3 innings of an 11-3 loss.
    Following Sunday’s 14-10 victory over Oakland, the Mariners are on a 17-5 run at home. Seattle took three straight over the A’s after dropping Thursday’s contest.
    Batista is 2-0 in his last three starts with a 4.08 ERA and at home he is just 5-4 with a 4.53 ERA. The Mariners are 4-2 in his last six outings, but in his last start he got battered around by the Rangers, giving up five runs on eight hits in six innings of a 7-6 loss in Texas.
    Batista has been knocked around by the Angels twice this season, giving up a combined 10 runs on 19 hits over 11 1/3 innings.
    The under is 8-3 in Seattle’s last 11. The over is 6-2-1 in L.A.’s last nine overall and 12-5-1 the last 18 head-to-head meetings between these two.

    ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS



    Gator's MLB 70% Situational Report


    MLB (Monday): Play Against MLB (NL) road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 with a team that averages >=5.3 runs per game facing a starting pitcher with an ERA <=3.70, and a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the year.
    (38-10 since 1997.) (79.2%)

    PLAY: Chicago Cubs -110



    JIM FEIST

    Excellent pitching matchup here on Monday as the Phillies Cole Hamels faces off against the Cubs' Ted Lilly. Hamesl, 11-5 (3.63 era), has already beaten the Cubs this year with a seven inning, seven hit, two earned run performance. The one concern is that Hamels isn't performing quite as good recently as he's won just two of his last five decisions. Lilly's numbers are almost identical to that of Hamels, as he's 11-4 with a 3.46 era on the season. However, where Hamels has struggled of late, Lilly has been very good. Not only is Lilly 6-0 in his last six starts, but he's only allowed 11 earned runs in those contests. Very small price to lay here at home with Lilly. We'll do just that as we go with the Cubs on Monday.


    DAVE COKIN

    Both the Angels and Mariners really enjoyed the weekend, with each team scoring a home sweep. That's a great setup for this crucial series. Kelvim Escobar is having a great year for the Halos and should have been an All Star. But his worst effort of the year was at Safeco, and the Angels are only a .500 team on the road. Meanwhile, the Mariners are a superb 33-19 at home and Miguel Batista has been a very reliable performer that keeps his team in the game almost every start and allows that outstanding Mariners pen to close things out. I see plenty of value here in taking the home dog, so the Mariners are the choice.



    John Fina


    Selection: Detroit/Oakland Over 9.5 (-110)

    Today we expect a high-scoring game as the Detroit Tigers do battle with the Oakland Athletics. One reason why we expect a high-scoring game is because both these teams will send to the mound struggling starting pitchers. This says it all... Tigers Starting Pitcher (Kenny Rogers) has a 9.98 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Athletics Starting Pitcher (Joe Blanton) has a 6.52 ERA in his last 3 starts. These teams also have a history of scoring many runs when they play each other. In fact, the Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. We expect to see another high-scoring game tonight!

    Take the Detroit Tigers/Oakland Athletics Over 9.5




    CAPPERS ACCESS

    MLB Detroit
    MLB Cubs


    JIMMY THE MOOSE

    Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs - The Phillies have won 8 of their last 9 games but 5 of the wins have come at the expense of the Pirates and Nationals. The Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 games played on Monday's. Hamels is on the mound tonight and is his last 5 starts to open a series the Phillies are 1-4. In his last 5 starts as a road dos the Phillies are also 1-4. The Cubs are 12-4 in their last 16 home games. In their last 32 games overall they are a money making 23-9. Chicago has won Lilly's last 6 start and they have also won his last 4 home starts. In his last 5 starts as the favorite the Cubs are a perfect 5-0.

    Play on the Cubs



    DAVE PRICE

    MLB Philadelphia vs. Chicago (N)

    Take Chicago (N) Cubs

    1 Unit on Cubs -108 (listing Lilly) Lilly is on fire so we will back he and the Cubs today. He is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 starts. We here plenty about Hamels, but Lilly is 11-4 this season with a better ERA than Hamels. Hamels has a career 7.00 ERA against the Cubs so we'll fade him here. Take Chicago.


    MIGHTY QUINN

    Mighty missed with the Columbus Destroyers and the Over (ArenaBowl XXI). Today it's the Phillies.



    HONDO

    Hondo followed up his Saturday night sweep with a lone conquest yesterday, breezing with the Blue Jays to decrease the damage to 535 halickis.

    Tonight, he's hoping Lilly doesn't gum up the works at Wrigley - 10 units on the Cub
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  13. #13 patriots12 
    Banned Bookie Buster's Avatar
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    Why are you posting the same plays I already posted?




    I will be glad when you go back to school.
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    RX Member raiderguy's Avatar
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    Hey bookie buster, i see on your thread you have michael cannon taking the Cubs. But on the other thread they have Michael Cannon taking Toronto and KC? Am i missing something? Thanks for posting bro, appreciate it.

    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...94390&page=262
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    Northcoast comp plays

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    #9 4* over Tampa/Toronto (Triple Crown Sports) comp play on a 10-1 run
    #4 3* Under KC/Minn Meche/Baker (Red Dog Sports)


    5* going today from The Friends of Mike Lee and it is a underdog going after 10:00 so it is either Seattle or Detroit.He is 4-1 on five stars this year.
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  16. #16 Ness vs Burns service plays record 
    RX Member zuman's Avatar
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    According to my tracked service plays results of both cappers
    Records from 05/28 to 07/29

    Larry Ness 60.67% W91 L59
    Ben Burns 55.81% W48 L38
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  17. #17  
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    Quote Originally Posted by raiderguy View Post
    Hey bookie buster, i see on your thread you have michael cannon taking the Cubs. But on the other thread they have Michael Cannon taking Toronto and KC? Am i missing something? Thanks for posting bro, appreciate it.

    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...94390&page=262
    CANNON

    Philadelphia at CHICAGO CUBS (-110)

    Take the Cubs as the small home chalk tonight over the Phillies.
    The Cubs have gone 16-8 this month to pull within one half game of the division leading Brewers. With a victory today, the Cubs will move ahead by percentage points of the Brewers.
    Ted Lilly will start for the Cubs and he's seeking his eighth consecutive win. The left-hander is 7-0 in eight starts since June 15, has won his last six outings and has a 1.83 ERA in five starts this month.
    The Phillies will counter with Cole Hamels and he's returning to the site of his worst start of his professional career. He surrendered nine runs and nine hits in just two innings of an 11-2 defeat to the Cubs on August 24 of last season.
    Take the Cubs as the small home chalk as they grab the win.

    3♦ CHICAGO CUBS
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  18. #18  
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    Were is Sebastians picks!!!!.
    ty.
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  19. #19  
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    Trev Rogers

    75-51-1 last 63 days
    111-72-3 last 186 selections

    8-3 last week

    Chicago Cub





    PPOD +6.88u since 6/2/07

    angels -132
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    The Chicago Cubs are Cannon's free pick for today. You can always tell by how the picks are labeled. Cannon uses a Dime system, so his pay picks are 5 Dimes, 10 Dimes, etc. On his free picks he uses a different weighting system, 1 thru 5 I'm assuming and he put 3 on the Cubs today.
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    RX Member raiderguy's Avatar
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    thanks guys
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    Will Cover

    4* Toronto-125
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    Mike Lee

    5* Seattle +117
    3* Cubs-115
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    Frank Rosenthal

    Monday, July 30, 2007
    Major League Baseball

    901 Philly Even Sb
    Under 8 Sb+
    903 Bjays-120 Sb+
    906 Twins-135 Sb
    909 Tigers Over 9 Sb+
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  25. #25  
    RX Senior patriots12's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bookie Buster View Post
    Why are you posting the same plays I already posted?




    I will be glad when you go back to school.


    Oh,

    Im sorry I was just copying and pasting from other sites.

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