Brew-Crew -105 ($210)
Do the odds makers understand that the Brewers road trip ended and they are back at Miller Park? This line makes no sense to me AT ALL, and Ill jump right on this young resilient line-up.
Hello Mr. Hyde: The Brewers have been been the Docter Jekyll and Mr Hyde of Major league Baseball all season long. While this team as struggled on the road (last week), they have been the absolute best home team in the National League. 36-17 doesnt happen by accident. These young guys thrive off the fans in Milwaukee, and have looked like a completly different team at home versus on the road.
Jeff Suppan: Suppan has been a prime example of the home versus road trend of the Brewers. While he has been terrible on the road accumulating an ERA of 5.80 and a record of 3-7, his story at Miller Park has been much different. Suppan is 5-2 with a 4.23 ERA. While these numbers are not spectacular, they are much better than when he is on the road. The Brewers are 7-2 in Suppans last 9 starts at home.
Bullpen: The Brewers bullpen is a crucial piece of their success. When they go on the road, the Brewers young bullpen seems to really get caught up in the moment. If you watched any of those collapses against the Cardinals, you would have noticed that these guys were completly out of their element when they came in the game. Here are some of the season spilts for these Milwaukee relievers.
Francisco Cordero
Home: 27 IP, 8 hits, 0.33 ERA, 0.70 WHIP, 38 Ks
Road: 15.2 IP, 28 hits, 8.62 ERA, 1.98 WHIP, 19 Ks
Derrick Turnbow
Home: 24.2 IP, 18 hits, 3.28 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 31 Ks
Away: 21.1 IP, 17 hits, 5.48 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 28 Ks
Brian Shouse
Home: 13 IP, 9 hits, 1.38 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 8 Ks
Away: 17 IP, 11 hits, 2.65 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 8 Ks
Matt Wise
Home: 21.1 IP, 16 hits, 2.95 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 17 Ks
Away: 23.1 IP, 23 hits, 3.47 ERA, 1.11 wHIP, 15 Ks
The only pitcher that this trend does not equate with is Villenueva. However, he is currently the hottest picher coming out of the bullpen for the Brewers. In his last 3 appearances, he has gone 5 innings while only giving up one earned run. He came into a really tough spot and gave up a hit the Pujols, but who doesnt give up big hits to Pujols.
Tom Glavine: Im sorry Mr. 300, but I am still not convinced. Of his last 4 wins, Glavine hasnt really beaten anyone AT ALL. He beat the Pirates, ailing Cardinals at the time, Oakland, and Cincy. These teams are far from very impressive. Glavine has had some nice moments this year, but he is a totally different pitcher when he is away from Shea stadium.
Home: 6-1, 3.14 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 34 Ks, 19 BBs
Away: 3-5, 5.89 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 26 Ks, 25 BBs
Brewers vs. lefties: The Brewers crush left handed pitching at home. They are currently batting .304 with an OBP of .370 while playing at Miller Park. This team has feasted on left-handed pitching all year long, and they should continue to do it tonight against a pitcher that struggles bad on the road. The Brewers stuggled with some left-handed pitching on their last homestand, but I will play the overall percetnages of the year.
The Brewers are too good on offense and too talented to fall out of this race. The Mets are starting a road trip, and this is an absolute must win game for the Brewers. Ill take my chances with the under-valued home team in this game.
:aktion033
