Service Plays Tuesday 7/31/2007

Apologizes if I'm taking initiative in this in hopes of finding a common ground for people to post service picks whenever they are able to post, and Bookie Buster has not yet started the day's thread yet.

I made this suggestion very recently in yesterday's thread:

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RX Senior



Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Woodbridge, VA
Posts: 2,860


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<hr style="color: rgb(253, 222, 130);" size="1"> <!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> zuman, great post.

I don't know the background behind all this except from what I have seen in this thread, but I have a suggestion that might help everybody:

With more people able to contribute to the "Service Plays" thread by posting plays that *have not been posted yet*, if Bookie Buster himself happens not to be the first person to post service plays "that day", then what any poster could do is to post it in a new thread called "Service Plays -- Tuesday July 31st" (date being the current day's date, whatever it is).

Bookie Buster could even do this method himself when he starts a service play thread, too. I realize his name is exactly what he is representing, but since he also posts his own plays, just like sds23 have done, I have to confess that it does get confusing when I see TWO baseball threads that starts with "Bookie Buster". Of course, it is only a few seconds before I know which one is the right thread for me to look at, but doing this on a daily basis can be disheartening.

If we use the "Service Plays -- {date}" as the title of the service plays thread, we all can start the thread whenever one of us have received the first service play so BB doesn't always have to be glued to the computer every morning when some service plays are already released.

In any case, everybody should take a minute of their time to glance over the ALREADY-POSTED plays to make sure that they are not posting the same plays again. It's helpful to everyone, including zuman, who has done a great job compiling records.

Cheers,

* CalvinTy
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I might get flak from BB for doing this today, if so, my apologizes.

I will start off with what I can give for today so far, which are only free picks from a website that most of us have access to.

=====
Scott Spreitzer
MLB for 07/31/2007 - Orioles at Red Sox
(free pick) Prediction: Red Sox

I'm laying the price with the Red Sox on Tuesday. Baltimore lefty Erik Bedard (10-4, 3.05 ERA) is getting a lot of ink right now, but the fact is he's mowed through a less than intimidating list of batting orders. Only the Yankees offer up a tough night from the plate out of his last seven opponents. In fact, in building his numbers, he's faced seven teams with an average team batting average of 22nd in the league. Take New York out of the mix and that average drops to 25th! And in four starts at Fenway, Bedard is 1-3, allowing 19 earned runs and 40 base runners in just 17 1/3 innings pitched. That's a 9.88 ERA and 2.31 WHIP to go along with a .347 batting average against! Meanwhile, Boston right-hander Josh Beckett (13-4, 3.27 ERA) is on fire again in his last four outings and I expect him to hold the O's in check. We'll lay the price with the Red Sox on Tuesday night.

Tom Stryker
MLB for 07/31/2007 - Phillies at Cubs
(free pick) Prediction: Cubs

Coming off last night's 4-1 home loss to Philadelphia, look for Chicago to bounce back nicely with right-hander Jason Marquis (7-6, 4.20 ERA) on the mound. If you take a close look at Marquis' stats this season, you'll notice that he's enjoyed tremendous success at Wrigley Field. In 11 starts in the Windy City, Marquis owns a 5-2 record (Chicago is 9-2 overall) and has been touched for 28 earned runs, 57 hits and 21 walks in 67.2 innings of work. That breaks down to a respectable 3.72 ERA and a WHIP of 1.153! On the visitor's side of the field, Philadelphia hurler Adam Eaton (9-6, 5.83 ERA) has struggled something fierce in his last three trips to the hill. Facing Washington, San Diego and St. Louis, the right-hander has been "eaten" alive allowing 12 earned runs and 25 hits in just 16 frames. That adds up to a lofty 6.75 ERA! Even worse, Eaton has made seven starts dating back to June 23 and been clocked for 30 earned runs and 53 hits in only 40.1 innings of work! Those types of numbers won't get the job done versus a Chicago team that is peaking right now. There are plenty of technical reasons to back the Cubbies too. Here's one that really stands out: Chicago has cashed 20 of its last 26 at home facing a right-handed starter! The Cubs have the Brewers in sight and they want to take over the top spot in the NL Central. Let's squeeze a little juice and take Chicago with Marquis.

Marc Lawrence
MLB for 07/31/2007 - Giants at Dodgers
(free pick) Prediction: Giants

The Giants open the 'Barry Bonds Circus' in Los Angeles this evening behind San Francisco lefty Noah Lowry, whose 4.32 road ERA shines against his 7.62 home ERA this season. With Lowry historically a strong second half hurler, and his opponent, right-hander Brad Penny, a poor second half performer, we'll back Barry's boys and grab the big price here tonight.
=====

Best regards,

* CalvinTy

hey guys,i dont think anyone should feel like we are stepping on anyones balls here,if you have a service play or two,post them...we are all here to help

Great idea. I was thinking the same thing, as I'm usually able to get two or three plays before BB. However, he is still the master at collating the info and I hope he will show the hell up today!!!!

Jimmy Broadway

500 Stars Arizona

300 Stars Royals

300 Stars Cardinals

Chris Jordan
4-0 Sweep today ...

600♦ UNDER Orioles/Red Sox (LIST Bedard and Beckett) - We have a pair of teams that have predominately staying Under the total the past couple weeks – not to mention this season – and a pitchers' duel that should keep this one low as well. Baltimore has stayed low in six of nine contests while the Red Sox have done the same in five of their last seven.
The Orioles have also stayed Under in 12 of Erik Bedard's 20 starts with a total attached to it, and though the Red Sox have gone Over in seven of Josh Beckett's home starts, it's been because of solid run support – something that could be hard to come by against Bedard, who's been unstoppable this month.
In fact, Bedard has been a major factor in Baltimore's surge with a 6-0 mark and 1.89 ERA in his last seven starts, over which time hitters have tallied a .149 opponent batting average, striking out 63 batters in 47-2/3 innings during the run.
Meanwhile, Beckett has produced a quality start in each of his last four outings. Beckett is 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA in three career starts against the Orioles.

200♦ ANGELS (LIST Lackey and Weaver) - So last night the M's got their win out of the way, sparking interest in the AL West race once again with a series-opening win against the Halos. Now it's Anaheim's turn to get a W in this showdown, as we side with John Lackey over Jeff Weaver.
Though Anaheim was shut out for the sixth time this season and is tied for the fewest home run in the American League, this team ranks fifth in the AL with 524 runs scored. The Halos are specialists in manufacturing their runs, and certainly could have the base runners aboard against Weaver, who is mired in a personal three-game losing streak.
Weaver has just two wins in nine starts since returning from a month on the disabled list, and will get drilled tonight in this crucial Game 2. The right-hander was drilled on April 22 against these same Angels, lasting just three innings in a 6-1 loss.
Meanwhile, Angels ace Lackey is 12-6 on the season with a 3.27 ERA, and has been rock solid on the highway with a 7-3 mark and 2.85 ERA in 11 starts. He too has faced his opponent once already this season, and was sparkling in a 5-0 victory at Seattle on May 16. Let's lay the road chalk here and play the Halos.

100♦ ROCKIES (LIST Cook and Olsen) - Let's ride Aaron Cook's hot streak into South Beach, as he comes in off an impressive win over San Diego – in PETCO Park – last Wednesday, when he needed a mere 74 pitches for a complete-game 10-2 victory over the Friars.

Cook has thrown quality starts in five of his last six outings, and in those games he's 3-1 while his 2.51 ERA in that timeframe has reduced his season-ERA roughly .70 points. And with the Rockies boasting a 14-9 mark this month and coming off series wins over the Padres and Dodgers, I like our chances in this series-opener against the struggling Marlins.

100♦ UNDER Tigers/Athletics (LIST Verlander and Haren) - Another pitchers' duel takes shape in Oaktown, as Justin Verlander and Danny Haren toe the rubber in this AL Clash. Verlander, who is 6-1 on the road with a 2.97 ERA, has seen the total stay low in seven of his last nine road starts as an underdog.
With Oakland, however, the numbers are even more staggering, as the A's are 5-0 Under the last five times they've been installed as home chalk, 5-1 Under the last six times they've faced a team from the AL Central, 4-1 Under in their last five overall, 11-4-1 in Haren's last 16 starts and 16-5-1 in his last 22 home starts.
This series has stayed Under in five of the last seven meetings in Oakland, and should do the same with this pitching clash tonight.

Karl Garrett
30 DIMER - KANSAS CITY WITH DE LA ROSA...10 DIMERS - METS WITH GLAVINE, & ANGELS WITH LACKEY

30 DIMER - KANSAS CITY ROYALS WITH DE LA ROSA
The Royals had their 4-game winning streak halted last night, but a 3-1 final score tells me that KC could have won last night's game had they come up with a couple of key hits. Tonight they get those hits against Carlos Silva who has allowed 12 runs over his last 19 innings of work.

Kansas City has played Minnesota dead-even at 3-3 this year in the season series, and starter Jorge De La Rosa owns one of those wins, working 8 scoreless back on April 22nd. De La Rosa is off a solid start - and win - over the Yankees, and I just like the way the Royals are playing right now.

I don't trust Silva to hold the Royals down, and while KC is not a 2-dollar pup tonight, they are still getting a decent amount back, so mark the G-Man down for a play on Kansas City to stun Minny tonight.

10 DIMER - NY METS WITH GLAVINE

Yes the Brewers are 36-17 at home, but how can I pass on the chance to get Tom Glavine at a pick as he goes for win #300 of his career?!?!?!?
I can't!

The Mets did take 2 of 3 earlier this season against the Brewers, including beating up on Brewers starter Jeff Suppan, as Suppan allowed 4 runs in just 6 innings of work. New York has had no trouble against Suppan the last 2 times he has faced them, as the Mets have plated 8 runs in 13 innings for a 2-0 mark against the righty.

Both teams are struggling right now, but the historic milestone is something that gives New York the added intangible tonight.

Take the Mets to help Glavine get win #300!

10 DIMER - LA ANGELS WITH LACKEY
The Mariners came through for me last night, but I am not going to the well with them again tonight, as Jeff Weaver is starting to look bad once again.

Weaver had a nice little run when he came off the DL, but the mentally-fragile righty has allowed 11 runs over his last 20 innings for an 0-3 mark.

John Lackey has gone 7-3 on the road this year with a scant 2.85 ERA, and Lackey did defeat the Mariners at Safeco back on May 16th working 6 scoreless innings.

The Halos are 7-3 in the season series this year, and this price is right to go with LA to snap the M's 4-game winning streak.

Weaver drops to 2-10 with the loss tonight.

Michael Cannon
Tuesday's Plays...
20 Dime –
INDIANS -1 ½ RUN LINE (With McCarthy and Carmona as listed pitchers)
Take the Tribe on the run line tonight over the Rangers.

Cleveland has dominated Texas this season, winning five of the six meetings. Tonight they’ll send Fausto Carmona to the mound and he’s teamed up with C.C. Sabathia to form one of the best 1-2 starting combinations in baseball.

Carmona has won five straight starts and has a 1.57 ERA in July. He’s 13-4 with a 3.31 ERA on the year and is coming off a 1-0 win over the Red Sox and Daisuke Matsuzaka on Tuesday.

Brandon McCarthy will start for the Rangers and he hasn’t won since May 20 at Houston. He’s 0-3 with a 5.13 ERA in seven starts since then and spent significant time on the DL due to a blister on his finger.

Take the Tribe as they win by at least two tonight at home behind Carmona.

5 Dime –
ROCKIES (With Cook and Olsen as listed pitchers)

Take the Rockies for the road win over the Marlins.

Colorado is just playing better baseball than Florida right now, it’s that simple. The Rockies are 14-9 this month and are coming off series wins against the Padres and Dodgers. They are just 3 ½ games out of first place and are playing like a team that’s intent on reaching the playoffs.

Aaron Cook will start for Colorado and he’s 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA in his last three starts. He needed just 74 pitches to record a complete game victory on Wednesday, a 10-2 win over the Padres. The right-hander is 3-1 with a 2.75 ERA this month.

Florida is coming home off a 1-6 road trip. They will start Scott Olsen and the 23-year-old left-hander is having some personal issues lately. He lost his last start just four days after being arrested for a DUI and resisting an officer with violence and fleeing and eluding an officer.

It doesn’t seem like Olsen’s head is where it needs to be right now and it’s showing in his results. He’s just 8-8 on the year with a 5.31 ERA.

Take Colorado as they grab the road win.

METS (With Glavine and Suppan as listed pitchers)

Take the Mets for the road win over the Brewers tonight.

Tom Glavine will get the start and he’s one win away from 300 for his career.

He’ll get it tonight.

Glavine has struggled on the road this year but with the magic number right in front of him I like the left-hander to get it done tonight. He’s 6-3 with a 4.50 ERA in 12 career starts against Milwaukee.

The Brewers have stumbled since the All-Star break and are coming home after a 2-6 road trip.

Jeff Suppan will start for Milwaukee and he’s been struggling. The right-hander is 1-4 with a 7.13 ERA in his last 10 starts. That won’t get it done against this Mets lineup.

Take the Mets as they grab the road win and Glavine gets No. 300.

Michael Cannon
Baltimore (+135) at BOSTON

Take the Orioles as a nice sized dog tonight over the Red Sox.
Erik Bedard is pitching as well as anyone in baseball right now and if there's anyone who can neutralize the potent offense of the Red Sox in Fenway it's him.
Bedard is 6-0 with a 1.89 ERA and a .149 opponent batting average over his last seven starts, striking out 63 batters in 47 2-3 innings during the run.
Baltimore as a team is 11-5 under interim manager Dave Trembley since the All-Star break. They took two of three from the Yankees over the weekend.
It's going to be a tough task against Boston's Josh Beckett, but the right-hander was outdueled by another hot pitcher in Fausto Carmona in his last start, a 1-0 loss at Cleveland last Wednesday.
Take the Orioles as a nice dog for the road win tonight.

3♦ BALTIMORE

Rocky Atkinson | MLB
972 CLE -1.5 (-105) vs 971 TEX
Analysis:
FREE MLB PLAY TUESDAY

Texas @ Cleveland 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 1* Cleveland -1 1/2 -105 (McCarthy/Carmona) Listed

Texas is 0-6 the last 3 years as a road underdog of +200 to +225. Texas has poor batting averages of .256 overall, .244 on the road and .255 against Righty Starters this year. Cleveland is scoring 5.7 rpg at home this year. McCarthy has a 5.66 ERA in all starts this year and is 2-4 with a 6.16 ERA on the road this season. Carmona is 13-4 with a 3.31 ERA overall this year, 7-2 with a 3.68 ERA at home and 3-0 with a 0.78 ERA his last 3 starts. Cleveland is 5-1 overall vs Texas this year. We'll recommend a small play on Cleveland on the Runline tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Dave Cokin

Take "(958) ATL Braves"

My play forays into big price favorite land have been few and far between. Fortunately, the record on these plays when I do take the plunge and lay substantial odds has been outstanding. I'll go that route tonight in the Houston-Atlanta contest. The Astros are horrid on the road and I can't see them doing significant damage against Braves lefty Chuck James, who's in solid form right now. I also think the Braves have to be pumped up with addition of Mark Teixeira to their lineup and should come out fired up and ready to make a statement tonight. So I'm on Atlanta in the home chalk mode this evening.

Jim Feist

Take "Under"

Oakland is a great pitcher's park, which has helped the A's to the second best pitching staff in the AL this season. Of course, the down side is their offense isn't very good, which is why they are 34-13 under the total at home! Detroit comes to town with an ace in Justin Verlander (11-3) for this game. Make that a pair of aces, as Oakland counters with Dan Haren (12-3, 2.42 ERA). All of which makes this another low scoring tilt in Oakland. Play the Tigers/A's under the total!

burns

Ben Burn's Bonus Play: CLEVELAND
Reason: This should be a mismatch. McCarthy got hit fairly hard in his last start, giving up eight hits and three runs in just five innings. For the season, he has an extremely poor 6.16 ERA and 1.763 WHIP on the road with his team going 3-5 in those eight games. On the other hand, the Indians are 8-2 when Carmona starts at home and 14-6 in his 20 starts overall. Carmona's seasonal stats (13-4, 3.31 ERA) are terrific. However, his recent stats are even better. Indeed, over his last three starts Carmona has gone 3-0 with a miniscule 0.78 ERA. In fact, over his last two starts, he has allowed 0 earned runs in 16 complete innings! Carmona beat McCarthy at Texas less than two weeks ago and now he's got the advantage of facing him here at home where his team averages nearly six runs per game. Consider laying the price with CLEVELAND.

Leonard

Bryan Leonard's Free Selection: Angels (977)
The first place Angels are on a tear, winning four in a row (I guess he fell asleep before they lost 2-0 to seattle last night). The emergence of Reggie Willits combined with the return of speedy Chone Figgins has added speed to the lineup, along with the steady production of Vladimir Guerrero, Orlando Cabrera and Gary Matthews Jr, has made the Angels a formidable offensive threat. And the pitching is fourth overall. Angels starter John Lackey has been outstanding with a 12-6 record and a 3.27 ERA. The team is 6-2 in his last 8 starts. Seattle starter Jeff Weaver (2-9, 5.96 ERA) has been awful.
PLAY THE ANGELS

Vegas Eperts

Vegas Experts
Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs
Tuesday, July 31st, 8:05 P.M. EDT

Eaton with a 6.75 ERA his last three. Phils have gone over the total in 13 of his 19 starts, 8 of their last 13 played and 31-of-50 on the road. Marquis is at 7.56 in his last three starts.

Play on: "Over"

i have been checking out BB service plays post,along with my other source,and on an average day,there about 40-65 service cappers plays,give or take,and there is only about 3-4 VERY profitible services.i have quadrupled my bankroll in the last 3 weeks,and i am sure you know who they are. gl guys

Big Al

Big Al McMordie
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

At 10:10pm our selection is on the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers 'over' the total. Well the Giants have left San Francisco and unfortunately for the hometown fans, Barry Bonds is still stuck at 754 home runs and now heads out on the road to Los Angeles for three games before then heading to San Diego for three and won't be back in AT&T Park until August 6. There is a good chance that Bonds will not break the record in L.A. as he has only hit one homer in 29 at bats here this season, and he may very well get at least one of the nights off. But that doesn't mean other players won't be doing their share of run scoring. When righthander Brad Penny steps to the mound lately for the Dodgers, runs just seem to accumulate. In Penny's last eight outings, the teams have scored a total of 84 runs or an average of 10.5 runs per game. Especially in his last three starts, the Dodgers have relied more on run support than they have on Penny's stingy pitching as L.A. has has put up five, eight, and ten runs respectively to win those games. Giants lefty starter Noah Lowry has had a very good season, but he has struggled a bit recently in his starts as the Giants have only won one of his last five. The Dodgers could bring more problems for Lowry as they are an excellent hitting team vs. southpaws (.287 team batting average vs. lefties). Take the ''over''. As always, good luck...Al McMordie

cough it up

sports nut said:

i have been checking out BB service plays post,along with my other source,and on an average day,there about 40-65 service cappers plays,give or take,and there is only about 3-4 VERY profitible services.i have quadrupled my bankroll in the last 3 weeks,and i am sure you know who they are. gl guys

Click to expand...

Who? I don't know. I'm guessing Ness. I won with him twice last week.

frank Rosenthal

Tuesday, July 31, 2007

Major League Baseball

953 Rockies Even Sb
956 Pirates+105 Sb
958 Braves Under 9.5 Sb+
959 Nym Over 9 Sb+
961 Philly Over 9.5 Sb
963 Dbacks-105 Sb
969 Cookies Under 8.5 Sb+
980 A's-110 Sb
Under 7.5 Sb

Triple crown

Triple Crown Sports

5 * GOM LA Angels
4 * Mets
3 * St Louis under 8 1/2
3 * Arizona
3 * Toronto

Gator's MLB 70% Situational Report:

MLB (Tuesday): Play Against MLB (NL) home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a team batting average <=.255 facing a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 5.20, with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season.
(51-16 last 5 seasons.) (76.1%) PLAY: St. Louis -115

Ness

Larry Ness
Comp

Boston Red Sox

Burns

Ben Burns Picks for Today

MARLINS

Game: Colorado Rockies vs. Florida Marlins Game Time: 7/31/2007 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Florida Marlins Reason: I'm playing on FLORIDA. Cook has been pitching very well lately and has been solid most of the season. However, he never seems to get much run support on the road and the Rockies are just 3-8 in his 11 starts away from home. Note that the Rockies are also just 80- 133 on the road overall the past three seasons. Conversely, the Marlins are 8-3 when Olsen has started at home. Olsen will face a Colorado lineup which is managing just 4.3 runs vs. left-handed starters and which hits only .252 away from Coors Field. The most recent time they faced a southpaw they (at Washington on 7/21) they lost 3-0. Cook struggled in his lone start against Florida, a 7-2 loss. On the other hand, Olsen won his lone start against Colorado, outpitching Jennings en route to a 4-3 victory last June. While the Rockies may be a little flat coming off back to back critical divisional series', I expect the Marlins to be extremely hungry, as they are playing their first game back off a disappointing 1-6 road trip. Olsen has something to prove and I expect him to rise to the occasion with a big effort. Look for that to help lead to the home team grabbing tonight's opener.
UNDER dodgers/giants

Game: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Game Time: 7/31/2007 10:10:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Dodgers and Giants to finish UNDER the total. All the talk will be about home runs. However, I'm expecting the pitchers to steal center stage tonight. Lowry and Penny faced each other earlier this season. That April 6th meeting finished well below the number with a final score of 2-1. Including that result, Lowry (11-7, 3.40 ERA) has seen the UNDER go a healthy 12-7-1 for the season. Lowry saw his most recent start (7/25 vs. Atlanta) also finish with a final score of 2-1, allowing only one run through eight complete innings. Additionally, its worth noting that Lowry is 3-0 with a 3.00 ERA in five starts at Dodger Stadium. Penny has been extremely strong (13-1, 2.51 ERA!) all season and has a miniscule 2.23 ERA in going 6-0 at home. Although he left his last start early I expect Penny, who has allowed one earned run or less in 11 of his 16 starts, to return to his dominant ways this evening. Penny said: "I was fine. It was a little cramp." Manager Grady Little was quoted as saying: " (Penny's) pitching delivery and his command are as good as ever." The Giants have seen the UNDER go 38-27-5 underneath the lights this season and 24-14-4 when facing an opponent from within their own division. Look for those numbers to improve as this evening's final score falls beneath the number.
CUBS

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Game Time: 7/31/2007 8:05:00 PM Prediction: Chicago Cubs Reason: I'm laying the price with the CUBS. The Cubs struggled against a nasty southpaw yesterday but I'm expecting them to have signficantly more success against tonight's struggling right-hander. Eaton is 1-1 (Phillies are 1-2) his last three starts with a poor 6.75 ERA and an awful 1.812 WHIP. For the season, his ERA stands at 5.83. That's greater than 1.5 runs more per game than Marquis (4.20 ERA) has allowed. Marquis got roughed up at St. Louis in his last start. However, he was sharp in his last start here at Wrigley, holding Arizona to four hits and two runs through 7 2/3 innings. The Cubs easily won that game (6-2) and are now an impressive and profitable 9-2 in Marquis' home starts. Note that Marquis has a highly respectable 3.72 ERA and 1.153 WHIP in those 11 games. Despite coming up short yesterday, the Cubs remain a profitable 7-3 for the season when listed as home favorites in the -125 to -150 range and 12-5 their last 17 games at Wrigley overall. Look for those numbers to improve this evening as the Cubs bounce back and even up the series. *Personal Favorite