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Hello.
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Jul 20, 2007
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Washington U 8.5 -105 ($105)

I like Under in this spot, because I think both of these pitchers are are the types of guys that should excel in these particular match-ups. While Lannan did not looking dazzeling in his debut against the Phillies, there are some major factors that can be positives from that outing. While it may be hard to take much from 4.1 IP and 4 ERs, Lannan was able to force the Phillies into a 3:1 Groundball ratio. He also only walked one batter in the game. Lannan is just the kind of pitcher I would expect to give the Reds a tough time. The Reds have a .242 average against lefties this year, and all of their offense pretty much comes on HRs. Put them in a large ballpark against a left that can keep the ball on the ground, and this should be good for National fans. Opposing Lannan is Bronson Arroyo, who has been great in recent outings. Posting a WHIP around 1 and an ERA under 2, Arroyo had nice performances against both the Braves and the Cubs. The Nationals are by far the lowest scoring team, and a hot pitcher like Arroyo could very well put out a masterful performance. The Nationals are only hitting .224 against right-handed pitching in their last 10 ball games. I love the big park, and love it even more when the wind is blowing in from left-field. Rick Reed has gone under in 10 of his 17 games behind the plate, and his 63.5 strike ratio leds me to believe both pitchers will be getting the corners.

St. Louis Cardinals -123 ($123)

Mr. Momentum is rolling right now. Throw in the fact that Armas is 0-4 in games umpired by Randy Marsh. The Pirates are 1-7 in the last 8 games Marsh has done for them. Pujols is amazing, and they should also have Edmonds back in the line-up. The Pirates line-up only gets wrose without Nady.

Philadelphia Phillies +134 ($100)

Hill is no longer a mystery, and I faded him to a victory with the Reds. The Cubs dont hit lefties well as everyone knows, posting a .245 average this season. While Hill has been pretty decent in his last 3 starts statistically, his numbers can be a bit decieving. Giving up 3 BBs for his last 3 starts on average is not the kind of numbers a pitcher at Wrigley wants to see. I know I sound like a broken record , but HIll STILL cannot get his breaking ball for a strike. Hitters STILL arnt chasing it, and he is getting himself in to a bunch of jams because of it. In his last start he very well could have given up 5 ERs if Jones doesnt run down a ball deep in the gap. The Cubs offense thrives when Soriano, Lee, Theriot, and Ramirez are hitting the ball. Those are the guys that get the Cubs offense going.

Career Numbers vs. Moyer:
Soriano: 8 for 41 (.195) 4 HRs ~ Soriano only hits solo HRs lately, so if he gets one of those it shouldnt be the end of the world.
Ramirez: 0-5 (.000)
Theriot: 1-6 (.167)
Lee: 0-0 ~ Moyer is not an easy guy to hits your first time. Slow, slow, slower isnt exactly the type of pitcher that Lee excels against.

The Phillies bullpen has sparkled lately, and I think they should be able to hold it together against this Cubs team. I see them splitting this series, and it being Marshall tommorow that gets the Cubs their one more win.

Im looking to add a West coast game later on today, but dont know where I am going to go with it. Good luck to everyone, and I hope you all have a great day.

:aktion033

 

Hello.
Joined
Jul 20, 2007
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Atlanta Braves O 4.5 -115 ($115)

Wandy Rodriquez Road Record:
1-7
7.42 ERA
1.65 WHIP
53.1 IP

Atlanta is hitting .301 in thier last 10 games against lefties, and has been a nice offensive strech. Texiera has always hit Houston pitching well at .309, and it would be a wonderful chance for him to put his first imprint on this divison race.

:aktion033

I REALLY want to pull the trigger in Lincecum and the Giants, but their terrible recent history against the Dodgers makes me think.....ugh...I dont know. Good luck.
 

Hello.
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Detriot O 5 -110 ($55)

Detriot has hit left-handers all year long, and I dont think Braden has the type of stuff to really confuse these hitters. detriot is still hit North of .300 on the road versus lefties, and in thier last 10 they have pummeled them at a .342 clip. Even though their performances against Danks, Saunder, and Blanton on this trip were not big run producing days, the Tigers were able to get numerous hits off of these guy and were unable to produce runs. I think the Tigers are starting to feel pretty desperate, and will do anything they can to win this game. I dont trust Robertson enough to take the game Over. Dallas Braden has been a different pitcher at home too. He is 0-5 w. a 6.08 ERA in Oakland. I think the young man gets a bit flustered at home, and this Tigers team should be the perfect recipe.

Only 15 of the 49 games in Oakland have gone over the posted total this year. Everything thing seems to be pointing to the Under here, but I will take my chances on the boys from D-town breaking through near the end of this long and hard roadtrip.
 

Hello.
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Jul 20, 2007
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Whats goin on? I was going to shoot you an e-mail and let you know what I had going on. After a rough first half of the season, I figured I would switch things up a little bit. Ive been hitting better the second half of the season so I think Ill stick with this game. How is your season going over there?
 
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Street RX
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Apr 3, 2007
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I havent bet in a month, just getting ready for fantasy football and the ensuing five months of pigskin degeneracy which includes making sure i'm sober for sunday mornings. the east coast dont know how lucky they are to have open sunday mornings... guys out here have to wake up early to catch pre-games
 

Hello.
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Jul 20, 2007
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Oh I know. I only have to deal with the real early starts for a little bit before we jump into the Mountain time zone. I didnt know you played fantasy football. I cant do that and bet on games, I always feel like I am cheering against myself. What do you think about the KG deal? I think we are now looking at Celtics O/Us that are going to be around 195ish even in the East. I really like what Orlando did with obtaining Lewis. Yes, I know I might be the only person in the world, but I think he is going to make Howard an absolute monster. If Shard decides he wants to post up the smaller #3s that the East will run at him then Howard might get 10 put back dunks every night. I also wanted to get your opinon on what happened on draft night. I cant believe the Bulls are now going to have 3 players that become retarded when they get the ball outside of 5 feet.
 

Street RX
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Apr 3, 2007
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Shard wont be posting anybody up, not his game. The Bulls will be high energy defensively as always, but Ty Thomas has improved his mid-range something vicious i hear. I'm interested to see what the celtics over/under is for the season. i like anything over 46
 

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Shard will have to post up some, he HAS to. Otherwise that team is going to get smoked. I think the Celtics go 50-32 this year. How is Six doing?

Ray Allen O/U 60 games?
 

Hello.
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Jul 20, 2007
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Well Mells, my strip-club I go to just bought the package, so I am going to head over there for a couple hours and watch the Tigers game. A couple AMFs and you might not see me on here for a while. Take care.
 

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