Went to the track for a little but today and everytime I go I can't get over how little effort the crowd puts into handicapping.
I think track bettors are the least informed/ put in the least effort of any other type cappers that bet their hard earned money.
There isnt bigger degenrates than horse bettors. I took an unofficial poll of the people standing by me and only 2 out of 18 people even had a racing form in there hands. Most had these 50 cent cheat sheets with just the horses names, posts and jockeys/drivers and have not a clue what they are doing.
The thing I try to always tell myself is "pari-mutel" means betting amongst ourselves. So these people are your true competition. If this is the case than why is it so hard to beat? All you have to do is beat the crowd and the take (and that is where the problem lies).
I have always loved going to the track and trying to solve the puzzles. I have bought close to a dozen (and most are very good) horse handicapping books. It has been something I have always enjoyed. I followed a very small circuit last winter for about 6 weeks. Made speed ratings, developed class ratings and took trip notes and after a great start I eventually gave it all back and then some. Have actually held my own at this small track the past 5 years betting their live races 3 times a month.
I am not sure what the pct of people they say beat the races for a given year but I am willing to bet that people that play the ponies more than 50 times a year (once a week) has to be the lowest pct of winners of all type sports bettors.
Bottom line it is the track's takeout that gets them as it would be like betting -120 on every bet in a sports bet. If -120 was the standard in sports you would also not see a winner. That is why rebates mean everything to someone that plays serious but 99% of the crowd knows nothing about them.
I would love to see 1 person go to the track everyday and beat this game. Not saying it cant be done without rebates but almost impossibile (IMO). Not talking about breaking even as that is an accomplishment in itself but talking actually about beating it to a point it is worth their time and effort.
Hope to give it a serious try later in life when I am an old man.
(oh by the way as you could probably tell I lost today, LOL)
I think track bettors are the least informed/ put in the least effort of any other type cappers that bet their hard earned money.
There isnt bigger degenrates than horse bettors. I took an unofficial poll of the people standing by me and only 2 out of 18 people even had a racing form in there hands. Most had these 50 cent cheat sheets with just the horses names, posts and jockeys/drivers and have not a clue what they are doing.
The thing I try to always tell myself is "pari-mutel" means betting amongst ourselves. So these people are your true competition. If this is the case than why is it so hard to beat? All you have to do is beat the crowd and the take (and that is where the problem lies).
I have always loved going to the track and trying to solve the puzzles. I have bought close to a dozen (and most are very good) horse handicapping books. It has been something I have always enjoyed. I followed a very small circuit last winter for about 6 weeks. Made speed ratings, developed class ratings and took trip notes and after a great start I eventually gave it all back and then some. Have actually held my own at this small track the past 5 years betting their live races 3 times a month.
I am not sure what the pct of people they say beat the races for a given year but I am willing to bet that people that play the ponies more than 50 times a year (once a week) has to be the lowest pct of winners of all type sports bettors.
Bottom line it is the track's takeout that gets them as it would be like betting -120 on every bet in a sports bet. If -120 was the standard in sports you would also not see a winner. That is why rebates mean everything to someone that plays serious but 99% of the crowd knows nothing about them.
I would love to see 1 person go to the track everyday and beat this game. Not saying it cant be done without rebates but almost impossibile (IMO). Not talking about breaking even as that is an accomplishment in itself but talking actually about beating it to a point it is worth their time and effort.
Hope to give it a serious try later in life when I am an old man.
(oh by the way as you could probably tell I lost today, LOL)
uppy: 
