Bookie Buster Service Play Thread

sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

I have a rare day off today, so I wanted to pitch in and help out in Bookie Buster's place. This will not likely happen again, but is the least I can do while BB takes some time away from the daily service plays.

Feel free to pitch in, but please Do Not Double Post reviously posted plays on this thread.

And to BB: If you want to take this thread over....please feel free to do so.

sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Ben Burns - *Getaway Day Total of the Week

UNDER yankees/white sox

Game: Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees Game Time: 8/2/2007 1:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Yankees and White Sox to finish UNDER the total. Yesterday's game snuck below the number and I expect this afternoon's contest to also finish beneath the total. Clemens has shown signs of his age when pitching on the road. However, he's gone 2-1 with a terrific 2.10 ERA and 0.990 WHIP in his five home starts. Not surprisingly, the UNDER was 4-1 in those games. Clemens has also fared very well vs. the White Sox during his career, going 20-11 with a 3.07 ERA including a 8-3 mark (team was 10-4) in 14 starts over the past decade. Garland comes off a quality start vs. Toronto (4-3 win) and he has a respectable 3.70 ERA on the road for the season. Garland has also been dominant in two starts vs. the Yankees this season, allowing just two runs through 15 1/3 innings. For his career he has a 3.07 ERA vs. the Yankees while seeing the UNDER go 5-2-1. The Yankees have seen the UNDER go 6-2-2 this season when listed as home favorites in the -200 to -225 range. Looking back a bit further and we find the UNDER at 19-9-3 the last 31 times that the Yankees were in that role. Look for more of the same this afternoon with the UNDER improving to 88-68 (excluding pushes) when the Sox have played an afternoon game during the past three seasons. *Getaway Day Total of the Week

Ben Burns - *Personal Favorite

NATIONALS

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Game Time: 8/2/2007 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Washington Nationals Reason: I'm laying the price with WASHINGTON. The Nationals won in convincing fashion again yesterday and I expect them to complete the series sweep this evening. Although playoffs are obviously long out of the question, the Washington players have been playing well and they're relieved that the team didn't make any major roster changes at the trading deadline. In fact, the Nationals, which are coming off their first winning month of the season, have now won four straight home games and are an impressive 9-2 their last nine games here. Mike Bascik gets the call and he's been superb lately. Indeed, the Nationals' southpaw has gone 2-0 (Washington is 3-0) with a miniscule 1.40 ERA and 1.189 WHIP his last three starts. In his last start, Bacsik defeated the Mets at New York. In his most recent home start, Bacsik blanked the Rockies for 6 2/3 innings, allowing a mere three hits. Its also worth noting that Bacsik defeated the Reds the lone time he faced them this season, allowing three earned runs through 7 2/3 innings (3.52 ERA) of a 4-3 victory at Cincinnati in late May. Bacsik will be supported by a Washington bullpen which has a solid 3.20 ERA. Phillip Dumatrait gets the call-up for the Reds and he's not even their top prospect in Triple-A. His stats in Louisville were poor (5-7 with a 4.72 ERA) and I expect him to struggle against a Washington team which has hit a healthy .275 against left-handers for the season. Note that the Cincinnati bullpen has a 4.75 ERA and 1.768 on the road. For the season, the Nationals are 15-15 (+8.4) vs. southpaws while the Reds are a money-burning 15-25 (-9.6). The Nationals have averaged better than seven runs in six games vs. the Reds this season. Look for them to continue that dominance by completing the sweep and improving to 6-0 the last six games in this series. *Personal Favorite

Ben Burns - *NL West Game of the Year

DODGERS

Game: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Game Time: 8/2/2007 10:10:00 PM Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers Reason: I'm laying the price with the LA DODGERS. The Dodgers pounded Zito for eight earned runs when they saw him earlier this season, en route to a 10-4 victory. That's no surprise though as the Dodgers have pounded southpaws all season averaging 5.2 runs while hitting a healthy .289. Despite a couple of recent losses the Dodgers remain an excellent 14-6 their last 20 games against left-handers. Zito got hit hard in his last start (vs. Florida) allowing eight hits, four walks and six earned runs. After having given up seven earned runs in his previous start, Zito is now 1-5 with a 7.52 ERA in his last nine starts overall, failing to pitch past the sixth inning seven times in that span. Zito is also 4-7 (team is 4-8) in 12 road starts this season, recording an awful 5.94 ERA during that stretch. Tomko pitched well when he faced the Giants a few weeks ago, allowing four hits and one earned run en route to a 5-3 victory. He didn't pitch particularly well at Coors Field last time out. However, he held the Mets to only five hits and one unearned run in his most recent home start. Look for him to outpitch Zito this evening as the motivated Dodgers build momentum off yesterday's comeback win and drop the Giants to 5-12 as road underdogs of +125 or less. *NL West Game of the Year<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com

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JEFF BENTON

For Thursday, play the Diamondbacks, who go for the three-game sweep in San Diego in an afternoon affair at Petco Park.
The pitching matchup aside, you’ve got two ballclubs heading in completely opposite directions here. Arizona, which has won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 13-6, has won 10 of its last 11 games. The Padres, by comparison, have lost nine of their last 12.
Now, I know that San Diego is sending ace Jake Peavy to the mound, while the Dbacks are going with rookie Yusmeiro Petit. But Petit’s last three starts (1-1, 3.78 ERA) have been just as good as Peavy last three (1-2, 3.79).
What’s more, the Padres are just 2-4 in Peavy’s last six starts, and that includes – get this – four straight losses at home, all as huge favorites of -215, -160, -240 and -125. For the season, Peavy is just 5-5 with a 3.36 ERA at Petco, again, always taking the mound as a huge favorite.
Bottom line: Looking at the numbers, not to mention the fact the Padres hadn’t hit a lick in this series before the 9th inning last night, I can’t see how the oddsmakers can justify this kind of price with San Diego. So Arizona, which is 3-2 the last five times it has faced Peavy, is definitely worth a shot here..
(based on a 1 to a 10 ♦ Rating)

3♦ ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS<o

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NYY Over<o

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MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with the Mets last night.

Today it's the Cardinals.
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Jimmy the Moose

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
Thursday, August 2nd, 1:05 P.M. EST EST

The under is 8-3 in Baltimore's last 11 games. Their last 5 games where they have been the underdog have played under the total. The under is 11-6 when Guthrie has started for the Orioles. The under is 9-3 in his last 12 starts. In his last 7 road starts the under is 5-2. Boston has played the under in 7 of their last 9 games. Wakefield's last 4 home starts have played under the total. The under is 4-1 in his last 5 starts. In his last 30 starts with 5 days rest the under is 21-7-2. The under is 5-1 in Wakefield's last 6 starts vs. Baltimore. The teams have played the under in 8 of the last 10 meetings.

Play on: Under
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BIG AL MCMORDIE

Cleveland Indians (Westbrook) over Texas Rangers (Gabbard)
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BIG AL MCMORDIE<o

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Colorado Rockies vs. Florida Marlins (MLB) - Aug 2, 2007 7:05 PM EDT

Play: Colorado Rockies

Another year's trade deadline has come and passed, and I'll pay tribute by picking a game which features two teams that did very little prior to the Tuesday night cutoff. Both the Rockies and Marlins shopped around a little bit, but in the end, neither team saw a deal they really liked and so they both passed. The Marlins were rumored to be close to cutting a deal that would send the very disappointing starter Dontrelle Willis somewhere (not surprised that they couldn't find much interest), and Colorado looked at some deals that included Garrett Atkins and Brian Fuentes, but in the end they didn't see anything they liked so they stood pat. Tonight, 25 year old righthander Jason Hirsh goes for Colorado and after giving up five earned runs in three consecutive starts from June 16 through June 27, Hirsh really settiled down and pitched three-hit shutout baseball against the Mets on 7/2. Hirsh's recent statistics have really been skewed by those three bad outings, and he is hoping not to start another bad string of outings with this game. He should be able to do just that so I'm looking for him to rebound and pitch another very solid game tonight. Despite losing a very valuable player, closer Brian Fuentes, to injury, substitute closer Manuel Corpas has filled in splendidly and the Rockies' relief pitching stats really didn't change at all when they lost Fuentes. The road team has dominated this series with seven wins in the last eight games. Take Colorado. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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JIM FEIST

Think it's easy to hit in this park? Washington averages just 3.65 runs per game at home, which is why they are 28-19 under the total there. This is a huge, pitcher friendly park. Washington lefty Mike Bacsik doesn't walk anyone, with 19 free passes in 74 innings, and the Nationals offense has never faced Cincy southpaw Phillip Dumatrait. Don't look for a lot of run!

Play the Reds/Nationals under the total

sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Mike Jacobs

Thursday, August 2, 2007
Sport: MLB
Game: Whitesox vs Yankees

Prediction: 4* Whitesox +190<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com

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Michael Cannon

I hit the Orioles the other night as a nice underdog winner behind Erik Bedard and I'm coming right back with them again this afternoon.
Baltimore will start Jeremy Guthrie and the rookie has been impressive this year. The right-hander is 7-3 on the year with a 2.89 ERA, including a 3-0 mark with a 1.89 ERA over his last three starts.
Boston will counter with Tim Wakefield and the knuckleballer has been hit for a 5.30 ERA over his last three outings.
The Orioles blew the lead last night but I like them to bounce back today behind Guthrie.
Take the Orioles as a nice underdog winner.

3♦ BALTIMORE<o

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Karl Garrett

The G-Man is gonna hit it early today at the Friendly Confines, and look for them to be not-so-friendly to Kyle Lohse who gets his first turn on the mound in a Philly uniform.
Lohse has been hot-and-cold this year, mostly cold when he pitches in a road uniform, as evidenced by his lowly 2-9 road mark with a 6.42 ERA.
The G-Man has to lay it today and go against Lohse who actually did win an April start at Wrigley working 8 shutout innings while pitching for Cincinnati. A lot has changed since then, and I just don't see him hanging around this start for very long.
Sean Marshall has been quite steady his last 4 starts, as he has worked into the 6th in all of them, and has allowed 2 runs or less in all 4 for a 1-1 mark. The Cubs have won 7 of his last 10 starts, and I like them to win here today before Chicago welcomes the Mets to town for the weekend.
Lay it large with the Cubs today.

3♦ CUBS<o

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Gator's MLB 70% Situational Report

MLB (Thursday): Play Against MLB (NL) road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 with a bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities facing a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse this year.
(52-14 since 1997.) (78.8%)

PLAY: Atlanta –142<o

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Tony Mathews

Matchup: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Selection: San Francisco/Los Angeles Over 8.5 (-110)

Explanation: We expect a high-scoring game as the San Francisco Giants face-off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in Thursday's MLB contest.

The San Francisco Giants will use starting pitcher Barry Zito. Barry Zito has struggled this season. In fact, Barry Zito has a 5.28 ERA on the season. Barry Zito also has a 7.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. To say the least, this Los Angeles Dodgers offense should be able to score many easy runs.

As for the Los Angeles Dodgers, they will use starting pitcher Brett Tomko. Brett Tomko has had a very poor season so far. This is shown by Brett Tomko's 5.28 ERA on the season. We see Brett Tomko pitching another bad game tonight.

The Over is 9-2-2 in Los Angeles Dodgers last 13 home games, as well as the Over is 40-19-1 in the Los Angeles Dodgers last 60 games as a favorite.

Take the San Francisco Giants/Los Angeles Dodgers Over 8.5<o

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CHRIS JORDAN

San Francisco is bleak 2-7 in Barry Zito's last nine starts, and in this series finale will get shelled no doubt. The Dodgers already own this series, having won 75 percent of the last 21 meetings, so in looking for a breakout game this is the perfect opportunity, as Zito has struggled to find the same kind of groove he had across the Bay.
On July 27, in Zito's last start, the southpaw put his team in a two-run-hole right off the bat, in the first inning. Then, after the Marlins tagged him for four more runs he came out in the fifth. Zito's ERA last month was 7.82, his highest monthly ERA yet.
The Giants, who are 5-11 in their last 16 against division foes, are also 1-5 in Zito's last six starts. And let's not forget in his second start as a Giant, Zito gave up eight earned runs in six innings of a 10-4 loss to the Dodgers. I know this has been a road-type series, but the buck stops here, as Brett Tomko outclasses Zito in this one tonight.

3♦ DODGERS<o

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Templer's Sports Picks

8/2/2007 at 1:05:00 PM
Baltimore Orioles/J Guthrie R at Boston Red Sox/T Wakefield R

Baltimore Orioles<o

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Mensapicks

8/2/2007 at 7:35:00 PM
Houston Astros/W Williams R at Atlanta Braves/J Reyes L

Atlanta Braves

sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Tom Freese

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Game: Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics Aug 2 2007 10:05PM

Prediction: Los Angeles Angels

Reason: Los Angeles Angels starter Joe Saunders has allowed 4 or less runs in all 7 of his starts this year. The Angels are 6-1 in those starts. Oakland starter Chad Gaudin has been getting hit hard of late allowing 19 runs in his last 21.2 innings of work. He now faces an Angels team that has scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games. Play On La Angels (Saunders vs. Gaudin)<o

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Rocketman Sports

Thursday
Colorado @ Florida 7:05 PM EST

Play On: 1* Colorado -105 (Hirsch/Vandenhurk) Listed

Florida is 21-34 last 3 years at home with a money line of -100 to -125. Colorado has won three of last four while Florida has lost seven of their last nine games overall. Vandenhurk has a 7.00 ERA in all games this year, 6.96 ERA in all starts this season and a 7.71 ERA at home this year. We'll recommend a small play on Colorado tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky<o

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Alex Smart

Game: Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Aug 2 2007 1:05PM

Prediction: Baltimore Orioles

Reason: The Orioles have been one of the hotter teams coming out of the All-Star break having won four of their five series since the break. Impressive rookie Jeremy Guthrie in red hot form going 3-0 with a 1.89 ERA in his last three outings. The young rookie hurler on the road is, 4-0 with a 1.57 ERA in eight starts this season. He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of those games. With that said, and considering we get value with the hotter team batting better than .360 over their last 15 games, a top notch thrower and a team appearing intent of playing spoiler in the second half of the season, it wil not be a hard decsison backing Baltimore in this spot.Final notes & Key Trends: Boston are a below .500 (30-31) as a favorite when they won the last time they faced their opponent?s starting pitcher, despite laying an average of -162,which is a loss of 20.22 units in this situation.

Play on Baltimore<o

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VEGAS EXPERTS

Houston Astros at Atlanta Braves <o

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Thursday, August 2nd, 7:35 P.M. EDT

Veteran Williams brings a 5.14 ERA into this one plus 148 hits allowed in 133 IP including 23 HRs. Rookie Reyes not showing much so far, pitching to an 8.20 ERA with 23 hits allowed in 18.2 IP including 5 HRs. HOUSTON is 29-16 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. ATLANTA is 20-11 OVER vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.

Play on: Over<o

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WILD BILL

Over 9 1/2 St L-Pitt (1 unit)
St Louis -110 (5 units)
Phils +125 (4 units)
Over 7 AZ-SD (1 unit)
Over 9 Reds-Nats (1 unit)
Boston -135 (5 units)
Kansas City +240 (1 unit)
Angels +100 (3 units)<o

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John Ryan

Colorado Rockies vs. Florida Marlins (MLB)
Aug 2, 2007 7:05 PM EDT

Play: Florida Marlins

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Florida - Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 64-18 and has made 45.1 units since 1997. Play against NL road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse on the season.. COLORADO is 15-33 (-18.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Cabrera is catching fire and this is not good news for the Rockies. He sports a career 315 BA and has gone 10 for 20 in his last 5 games against Colorado. He is batting 341 with 26 HR, 79 RBIs this season and is 11 for 20 with 3 HR and 8 RBI in his last 5 games. COLORADO is 17-36 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Take the Marlins.<o

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Must Win Sports Picks

MLB 8/2/2007 at 1:05:00 PM
Chicago White Sox/J Garland R at New York Yankees/R Clemens R

Chicago White Sox<o

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Bobby Maxwell

There's something about the Angels' Joe Saunders that when he takes the hill his team rallies behind him, gets him runs and he scores a win. So let's go with Los Angeles in this one to easily take care of the struggling A's.
Saunders (4-0, 3.16 ERA) is 2-0 on the road this season with a 1.98 ERA. The Angels have won nine of his last 10 starts dating back to last season and six straight starts this season. Last time he pitched on the highway was July 22 when he held the Twins to two runs on six hits over seven innings of a 7-2 victory.
The lone time the Angels lost when Saunders was on the hill this season was against the A's when he gave up three runs on nine hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 4-3 loss. So you know he'll want a little revenge against Oakland in this one.
For the A's, it's Chad Gaudin (8-6, 3.71 ERA) on the hill. He has really struggled lately, going 0-2 in his last three outings with a 7.13 ERA. Oakland has lost three of his last four outings and he has allowed at least four runs in each of the four starts. Last time he was at home was July 17 when he gave up five runs on eight hits in six innings of an 11-4 loss to the Rangers.
He faced the Angels on July 23 when he gave up five runs on six hits in 3 2/3 innings but his offense came back to get a 12-6 victory.
The Angels are 16-5 in Saunders' last 21 starts and the A's are a horrid 3-8 in their last 11 home games. Let's play Los Angeles to get this one relatively easy.

3♦ L.A. ANGELS<o

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John Fina

Selection: Houston Astros/Atlanta Braves Over 10 (-110)

Today we expect a high-scoring game as the Houston Astros do battle with the Atlanta Braves. This game will feature two struggling pitchers. This says it all... Astros Starting Pitcher (Woody Williams) has a 5.14 ERA on the season, while Braves Starting Pitcher (Jo Jo Reyes) has a 8.20 ERA on the season. These teams also have a history of scoring many runs when they play each other. In fact, the Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings between these teams (when playing in Atlanta). We expect another high-scoring game tonight! Take the Houston Astros/Atlanta Braves Over 10<o

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Pure Lock

Thursday
BALTIMORE @ BOSTON 1:05 PM EST

PLAY ON: BOSTON (GUTHRIE/WAKEFIELD) LISTED<o

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Hot Lock Sports

8/2/2007 at 10:10:00 PM
San Francisco Giants/B Zito L at Los Angeles Dodgers/B Tomko R

Los Angeles Dodgers <o

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Bryan Leonard

Cardinals at Pirates (952)

St. Louis starter Anthony Reyes opened as the favorite this game, and he's 1-10! His one and ten record has been earned, as he sports a 6.11 ERA. The Cardinals have a losing record on the road, while the Pirates play significantly better ball at home than away. Pirates southpaw starter Shane Youman has excellent control and the Cardinals are 21-26 on the road the last two years against lefties.

PLAY THE PIRATES<o

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VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Chicago Cubs (Marshall) -145* over Philadelphia (Lohse)

Washington (Bacsik) -125* over Cincinnati (Dumatrait)

L.A.Angels (Saunders) +105** over Oakland (Gaudin)

sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

DAVE COKIN

Kyle Lohse makes his Phillies debut at Wrigley Field, where he pitched what might well have been the best game of his career earlier this season. Lohse draws a tough adversary here as lefty Sean Marshall is in solid form. But I like an enthused Lohse to make a good first impression and with the Cubs favored by as much as they are, the value here is with the underdog Phillies<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com

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Black Cobras Picks

Los Angeles Angels ~vs~ Oakland Athletics

Los Angeles Angels +102<o

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Mike Rose

Chicago Cubs (-140)
Thu Aug 2 '07 2:20p

Since taking game 1 of their series with Chicago, it's been nothing but a nightmare for the Fightin' Phills. They lost a pair of outfielders to the DL already, and they're playing with a revamped line-up. They're not coming up with the big hits when they're needed most, and they're coming off a deflating loss last night when Brett Myers's wild pitch allowed the Cubs to win in walk off-fashion with the bases loaded. Needless to say, the Phillies may have met their match here. Their best shot to take a lead in this series was last night with another lefty on the bump. Moyer failed, and now the Cubs get to feast upon some righty pitching, which they're much better against, and the Philly's putrid pen that ranks in the bottom third of all MLB. Wrigleyville is insane right now with the Cubs catapulting themselves into a first place tie with Milwaukee last night. Look for that momentum to carry over this afternoon on what's going to be a hot and muggy day in Chi-town. Sean Marshall has simply been brilliant of late. He's only allowed 4 ER's, and 16 hits in 18 innings of work his L/3 starts, and has struck out twice as many batters as he's walked. This will be Kyle Lohse's first start as a Philly after being picked up right at the trade deadline. His stuff is nowhere near overpowering, but he's been in the strike zone this year and his walks are down because of it. That being said, the Cubs bats are en fuego. They're doing the small things to win games right now, and the 40,000+ on hand will make it that much tougher for Philly to escape Chicago with a split. Look for the Cubs to get to Lohse early and then feast upon the visitors pen, while Marshall goes 6-7 and the Cubs pen closes it out for a 3-1 series win over their NL East counterparts<o

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HD'S ACTIONLINE

Washington -125 over Cincinnati<o

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HUDDLE UP

Oakland Gaudin –115<o

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Sports Gambling Hotline

The Nationals bombed Bronson Arroyo last night to make it 2 straight over the Reds, and we like the Nats to greet Phillip Dumatrait rudely this evening at RFK Stadium.
Washington has won 5 of their last 7 games, and tonight's starter Mike Bacsik has found his groove, as the young lefty is 2-0 over his last 3 starts, allowing just 3 earned runs over his last 20 innings of work. It is no secret the Reds struggle against southpaws as evidenced by last night's handcuff-job by youngster John Lannon who shut them down for nearly 6 innings.
The Nats are 5-1 versus the Reds in this year's season series, and they have won both games played in DC thus far.
Cincy has now lost 4 straight, and are 14 games under .500 for the season on the road!
We don't expect the Reds to snap their losing streak tonight. Too many positives working right now in Washington's favor.
Play on the Nationals.

2♦ WASHINGTON<o

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DARK HORSE

Boston -145 over Baltimore<o

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BIG TIME SPORTS

THURSDAY AUGUST 2nd
CINCINNATI / WASHINGTON UNDER 9<o

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#1 SPORTS

LOS ANGELES ANGELS + 110<o

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SCOTT DELANEY

We'll play a total in this matinee clash between the Cards and Bucs, as the Under has come in 12 of the 15 meetings – six of seven in Pittsburgh.
And don't get me wrong, this is no pitchers' duel by any means – both have been less than impressive – the onus is more so on a pair of lineups that seemingly have no life when these pitchers are toeing the rubber.
The Pirates have stayed Under in Shane Youman's last five starts at PNC Park, not to mention in his last five against the NL Central.
The Bucs have also stayed low in seven of his last eight starts overall. With the Cardinals, we have a team that has stayed Under in 10 of Anthony Reyes' last 13 starts, and in five of his last seven road starts

1♦ UNDER<o

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TOTALS 4 U

SAN FRANCISCO/L.A. DODGERS OVER 8 1/2<o

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MIKE WYNN

Atlanta w/Reyes -140 Over Houston<o

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MATT RIVERS

For Thursday I'll take the Cardinals at PNC.

Anthony Reyes finally got that first win of the season in his last start and I can see him getting number two here.
Shane Youman is not horrible but the guy is still not very good and certainly no better than Reyes who, despite the horrific record, does have some quality stuff. The St. Louis starter has just been spiraling downward but after finally getting the W maybe his confidence will be higher and therefore show his upside once again.
No matter how badly they were pummeled on Wednesday I still believe that Tony LaRussa's Redbirds are the better of these two teams. The Cards have been extremely mediocre at the very best this season but they are still better than the Pirates who, probably, used up all of their runs last night in that blowout win.
Albert Pujols is the best player on the field and along with David Eckstein, Scott Rolen, Yadier Molina and a few others the Cardinals should win this game.
As for the bullpens Jason Isringhausen has actually been pretty darn good and I feel that we have the definite advantage their as well.
This price is cheap, even if on the road, and I'll back the visitors in this spot<o

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RAZOR SHARP

LA ANGELS/OAKLAND UNDER the total of 9<o

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Francisco (46-59) at L.A. Dodgers (58-49)

Barry Zito (7-10, 5.28 ERA) looks to get his disappointing season back on track when he leads the Giants against Brett Tomko (2-8, 5.57 ERA) in the rubber match of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium.
After falling 3-1 in Tuesday’s series opener, the Dodgers scored four times in the bottom of the eighth inning Tuesday to erase a 4-2 deficit en route to a 6-4 win. The victory snapped a three-game losing streak for Los Angeles, which is still just 4-8 in its last 12 overall and 5-9 in its last 14 at home.
Despite blowing last night’s game, San Francisco is still 5-2 in its last seven. However, the Giants are 5-16 in their last 21 games against the Dodgers, including 4-7 this year. Prior to last night, the visitor had won 15 consecutive battles in this rivalry.
It’s been a dismal first season in San Francisco for Zito, who has now given up at least six runs in five of his last eight outings. In his last two against the Brewers and Marlins, he surrendered 13 combined runs on 16 hits in just 9 1/3 innings. The Giants are just 2-7 in his last nine trips to the mound.
Zito is 4-7 with a 5.94 ERA on the road, including 1-4 with an 8.22 ERA in his last six on the highway.
Zito has faced the Dodgers just once this season, way back in the first week of the season, and he got rocked for eight runs on nine hits in six innings, losing 10-4 at home. Tonight marks his first-ever start at Dodger Stadium.
Tomko’s struggles as a starter continued on Saturday at Colorado, as he gave up five runs on seven hits and four walks in six innings, suffering a 6-2 loss. Tomko is 2-6 in 11 starts this year, with the Dodgers going 2-7 in his last nine.
Whether starting or relieving, Tomko has struggled at home, going 0-5 with a 6.88 ERA. L.A. has lost four of his five home starts.
Tomko, who once pitched for the Giants, is 4-4 with a 4.93 ERA in 15 games (11 starts) against his former team. One of those starts came in San Francisco back on July 15, and the righthander yielded three runs (one earned) in five innings, winning 5-3.
The under is 6-2 in Tomko’s last eight starts, but the over is 5-3 in Zito’s last eight outings (4-2 on the road).
The total has alternated in San Francisco’s last six games, while L.A. is on a 4-2 “under” run. However, the over is 9-2-2 in the last 13 Dodgers home games.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS

L.A. Angels (62-44) at Oakland (51-57)

Fresh off a three-game series in Seattle, the Angels head south to Oakland to begin a four-game weekend series against the A’s. L.A. is set to go with Joe Saunders (4-0, 3.16) in tonight’s contest, while Oakland will counter with Chad Gaudin (8-6, 3.71).
The Angels are coming off Wednesday’s tough 8-7, 12-inning loss at Seattle. Despite the defeat, they’re still on a 5-2 roll, though they’ve alternated wins and losses in their last four.
Oakland just took two of three from Detroit at home, including yesterday’s 3-2 win. However, the A’s are still just 9-18 in their last 27 games, including 6-10 at home.
The A’s lead the season series 6-3, winning the only two games played at McAfee Coliseum by the combined tally of 7-1.
Los Angeles is 16-6 in Saunders’ 22 career starts, including six consecutive wins this season. In his most recent outing on Saturday against the Tigers, the southpaw failed to register a decision after giving up three runs on eight hits in 5 1/3 innings, as the Angels went on to a 10-3 victory.
Saunders is 2-0 with a 1.98 ERA in his only two road starts this year, beating the Twins 7-2 and the Indians 4-1.
Gaudin was outstanding for the first three months of 2007, but he had an ugly July, going 1-3 with a 6.44 ERA in five starts. He’s allowed at least four runs in each of his last four outings, which has caused his ERA to rise from 2.88 to 3.71.
Gaudin has faced the Angels three times this season. He was awesome in the first two, allowing a combined three runs on nine hits in 12 2/3 innings, winning 4-3 at home and 4-1 on the road. However, in the most recent start against the Halos on July 23, Gaudin gave up five runs on six hits in just 3 2/3 innings, but Oakland rallied for a 12-6 road win.
Saunders is 1-0 with a 6.75 ERA in three career starts against Oakland. He pitched opposite Gaudin in that 4-3 Oakland win in Anaheim on April 5, surrendering three runs on nine hits and three walks in 5 2/3 innings.
The under is 14-7-1 when Gaudin starts, including 6-2 in his last eight efforts, but the over is 3-1-1 in Saunders’ last five trips to the mound.
The under is 13-5 in Oakland’s last 18 games, including 7-2 in its last nine at home. Also, the under is 36-15-1 in the last 52 battles between these division rivals.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER<o

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CAPPERS ACCESS

(Thur) MLB Cardinals
(Thur) MLB Angels<o

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Ben Burns

CLE (-175) vs TEX

Analysis:
The Indians should have plenty of motivation this afternoon as they'll be attempting to avoid an embarrassing sweep in front of the home fans. They also should have the pitching matchup in their favor. The Indians have the advantage of facing Gabbard, who they roughed up (5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings) last week as a Red Sox, for the second time in less than a week. Including that start, Gabbard has an awful 6.91 ERA and 1.675 WHIP on the road this season. Westbrook, who is 4-1 vs. Texas, has a respectable 4.14 ERA at home. Look for Westbrook to outpitch Gabbard as the Indians avoid the sweep and improve to 9-1 the last 10 times they played a home game on a Thursday.<o

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ARTHUR RALPH

OAKLAND A's<o

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hello3 · Aug 2, 2007

Any plays from Greg Shaker and Jeff Bonds, Thanks alot sds23!

sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Glen C-Stars Sports Picks

Thursday night
When ANY MLB Team played as a -100 to -120 Home Favorite - 1st game of a series - Playing on Thursday - Before a conference game - Scored 3 or less runs FOR in their last game

Oakland 15-3 SU in this spot<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com

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SCOUT

Cincinnati +115 over Washington<o

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HAWKEYE

Atlanta & Houston under 10<o

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HONDO

August 2, 2007 -- The Royals gave it that extra effort for Hondo last night, tripping the Twins to move the deficit below the Hondoza Line at 465 mendozas.

Today, he'll go back to the Birds for a 10-unit play on Guthrie over Wakefield, that knucklehead.<o

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Power Play of The Day<o></o>

Los Angeles Angels(-110)<o

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Winning Angle Sports

8/2/2007 at 1:05:00 PM Chicago White Sox/J Garland R at New York Yankees/R Clemens R

New York Yankees<o

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Global Handicapping

8/2/2007 at 12:35:00 PM St Louis Cardinals/A Reyes R at Pittsburgh Pirates/S Youman L overunder

St Louis Cardinals/Pittsburgh Pirates o9.5<o

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R&R Totals

Over-Under Thursday
NY Mets @ Milwaukee 2:05 PM EST

Play On: OVER THE TOTAL (Lawrence/Capuano) Listed Pitchers <o

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Jennifer Barry

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Thursday, August 2 2007

Sport: MLB
Matchup: San Francisco at Los Angeles

Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs (Zito vs. Tomko)<o

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Mikey Sports

Thursday
Chicago White Sox @ NY Yankees 1:05 PM EST

Play On: Chicago White Sox (Garland/Clemens) Both Listed <o

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Chad Jordan

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Thursday, August 2, 2007

Sport: MLB
Match up: Cincinnati at Washington
Prediction: Washington Nationals -135 W/ Bacsik<o

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LARRY COOK

MLB Texas vs. Cleveland

Take Cleveland Indians

3* on Cleveland -177 (Action) The Indians have lost their first two home games of this series to Texas. There is no way in hell they fall again at home for a 3rd consecutive game tonight. Look for Cleveland to bounce back in a big way today. The Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Rangers are 36-87 in their last 123 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. The Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. The Indians are 5-1 in Westbrook's last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Bet the Indians in a big win today.<o

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Donald Tran

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Thursday, August 2, 2007

Sport: MLB
Matchup: Philadelphia at Chicago

Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies +130 W/ Lohse<o

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sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

hello3 said:
Any plays from Greg Shaker and Jeff Bonds, Thanks alot sds23!

I will definitely look for those for you :toast:

hello3 · Aug 2, 2007

sds23 said:
I will definitely look for those for you :toast:

Appreciated :toast:

SouthernMiss · Aug 2, 2007

Rocco Spacumurro

sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

JEFF ALEXANDER

MLB Anaheim vs. Oakland

Take Oakland Athletics

1 Unit on Oakland -109 Oakland has owned the Angels this season winning 6 of the 9 matchups including both games at home. Oakland has great momentum coming off 2 big wins over Detroit. The A's are a scorching 22-6 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons and 28-9 against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 2 seasons. The A's always play the Angels tough and have had their number at home this season.

Take Oakland<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com

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EASY MONEY SPORTS

PHILADELPHIA w/Lohse +135<o

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Brandon Lang

15DIME

Nationals

5 DIME

Cubs -1 1/2 runs - Specify Pitchers - Lohse vs Marshall
Mets - Specify Pitchers - Lawrence vs Capuano
Angels - Specify Pitchers - Saunders vs Gaudin

free pick – Orioles<o

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COMPUTER PLAYS

BEST BET
* * * 2:20 p.m. Chicago Cubs - 145 * * *

1:05 p.m. Boston Red Sox - 140
7:05 p.m. ColoradFlorida Marlins - 110
7:35 p.m. Atlanta Braves – 140<o

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Larry Ness
COMP

Giants at Dodgers

I'm not a big fan of LA's Brett Tomko but one of San Francisco's Barry's (Bonds), is in a season-long slump against the Dodgers (4-34, .118), while the team's other Barry (Zito), is in a season-long slump against the league (5.28 ERA, including 5.94 in 12 road starts). Zito's won just once in his last nine starts, while posting a 7.52 ERA (team is 2-7). In his lone start this year vs the Dodgers (April 8), he was pounded for nine hits and eight ERs in six innings.

Go with LA. <o

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COMPUTER SPORTS

THURSDAY
TEAS/CLEVELAND OVER 9 1/2 OV<o

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DAVE PRICE

MLB Colorado vs. Florida

Take Florida Marlins

1 Unit on Florida Marlins +100 (listing Hirsh and Vanden Hurk This unbelievable system play goes against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (Colorado) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season in the NL. This System is 61-13 the last 10 Major League seasons. That's 82.4%. We'll take the Fish in this one.<o

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PLATINUM PLAYS

MLB: the COLORADO ROCKIES + 100 Over the Florida Marlins<o

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LT Profits

Colorado Rockies @ Florida Marlins o9.5 (-120)
Thu Aug 2 '07 7:05p

Rockies, Marlins to slug Over 9.5 (-120)
The Over is a wallet filling 31-18 in all Florida Marlins home games this season, and we look for that pattern to continue here vs. the Colorado Rockies given this pitching matchup.
Marlins starter Rick Vanden Hurk has somehow managed to go 3-2 this season, but he has an alarming 7.00 ERA and 1.78 WHIP, with the Over going 6-3 in all of his starts. Moreover his numbers are actually a tad worse at home, where he owns a 7.71 ERA and a hideous 1.99 WHIP!
The Rockies counter with Jason Hirsch, who is 4-7 with 4.90 ERA. Hirsch made the struggling San Francisco Giants offense look like Murders’ Row in his last start, as he surrendered six earned runs on eight hits in just five innings of a wild 12-10 Florida loss.
The last 10 Marlin games have averaged a combined total of 10.70 runs per game, and we expect another double-digit combined output tonight.

Rockies, Marlins Over 9.5 (-120)

Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics u9.0 (-110)
Thu Aug 2 '07 10:05p
Angels and A’s to continue low-scoring trend in Oakland
The head-to-head series between the Los Angeles Angels and the Oakland Athletics has been a low-scoring one in recent years, with the Under going a stellar 36-15-1 in the last 52 encounters.
Furthermore, the Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings here in Oakland over the last two seasons, with an average combined total score in those games of only 6.50 runs per game. The home/away splits for these two teams this season also point to a pitcher’s duel here. The Under is an amazing 35-15 in all Oakland home games, with an average total score of 7.87 runs per game, as well as a profitable 28-23 in all Angels road contests.
Now we predicted that Oakland starter Chad Gaudin would have a tough go of it in the second half of the year after a surprisingly strong first half, and so far he has met our expectations. However, he did pitch better in his last start, albeit while allowing four runs, as he surrendered just four hits in eight innings. This could put him on edge for a Quality Start here vs. a Halos team that he already shut down once in this stadium this year, limiting them to one run and just four hits in 7.2 innings back in April.
Now Joe Saunders is hardly a household name in Anaheim, but he has proven to be quite serviceable when called upon to start this season. Saunders has now made seven spot starts this year, and he has allowed three earned runs or less in six of them with four official Quality Starts. The southpaw has also allowed three runs or less in two of his three career starts against Oakland, which is not all that surprising considering how much the A’s struggle with left-handed pitching.
While neither of these starters will be an All-Star any time soon, both appear capable of hold their respective opponents in check tonight, thereby extending the string of Unders in this series.

Angels, Athletics Under 9 (-110)<o

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NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

THURSDAY
RANGERS +160 OVER INDIANS<o

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sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Trev Rogers

4-2 this week

St Louis
Washington
LA Dodgers<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com

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DR VEGAS

A's -108 over Angels<o

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DREW GORDON

Not many times you can side with the lowly Nationals, but when they're playing the Reds, they bring their "A" game. Washington has beaten Cincy 5 straight times, losing only their first meeting of the season (barely). Look for the Nats to make it 6 straight tonight and here's why:
There's no question the Nats have the edge with the surging Mike Bacsik getting the start. He's 2-0 with a lockdown 1.40 ERA over his last 3 starts, including a nice win at Shea in his last one, allowing just 2 runs over 8 innings to the powerhouse Mets offense.
Not much to say about the Reds Phil Dumatrait, who's making his Major League debut. You guys know how I feel about pitchers who are greener than a benjamin... No matter how much you analyze their Triple-A starts, there's always an adjustment period.
Bottom line, the Nats continue their dominance over the Reds with another solid win tonight at RFK Stadium. Washington brings its "A" game once again, and the Reds are sent home with their tails between their legs.
Take Washington behind Bacsik over Cincinnati in this MLB match up.

4♦ WASHINGTON<o

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Larry Ness

Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs Aug 2 2007 2:20PM<o

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Prediction: Chicago Cubs<o

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Reason: Chicago was 8 1/2 games out of first place in the division on June 23 but Wednesday's 5-4 victory over the Phillies coupled with Milwaukee's 8-5 loss to the New York Mets moved the Cubs one percentage point ahead of the Brewers and into first-place!. The Cubs are a major league-best 35-18 since June 3 and have won 17 of their last 24 at Wrigley. Philadelphia has dropped two in a row after winning nine of its previous 10. The third-place Phillies trail the NL East-leading Mets by four games and are two games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the wild-card race. Sean Marshall (5-4, 3.10 ERA) will pitch this afternoon for the Cubs. The big lefty allowed one run and six hits in six innings of an 8-1 win over Cincinnati on Saturday for his first victory since June 24. Although he had gone just 0-1 in his previous three starts, he yielded two runs or less in each of those games. The Cubs are 7-3 in his last 10 starts. The Phillies will counter with the newly acquired Kyle Lohse. Lohse should benefit from joining the team that has scored the most runs in the NL (582), as he received the league's fourth-lowest run support average while with the Reds (3.69). That being said, let's not blame the Reds too much for Lohse's 6-12 overall mark, as he has been very inconsistent. A point in fact is he's 4-5 in his last nine starts, posting a 1.20 ERA in the wins but an 8.07 ERA in the losses. He's been just DREADFUL on the road in '07, going 2-9 with a 6.42 ERA in 12 starts (team is 2-10). He has dropped his last four road starts, allowing 26 runs in 22 innings in those games.

Getaway Day Game of the Week<o

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15* Chicago Cubs<o

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Billy Coleman

3* Over in Florida/ Colorado<o

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TOM LAW LONGBALL SPORTS

20* St. Louis/Pitt. under

20* Dog GOM : Baltimore<o

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sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Easy Money Sports
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Free Pick<o

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PHI w/Lohse +135
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Mike Wynn<o></o>
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Free Pick<o

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Atlanta w/Reyes -140 Over Houston
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Mike Rose

Chicago Cubs (-140)
Thu Aug 2 '07 2:20p

Since taking game 1 of their series with Chicago, it's been nothing but a nightmare for the Fightin' Phills. They lost a pair of outfielders to the DL already, and they're playing with a revamped line-up. They're not coming up with the big hits when they're needed most, and they're coming off a deflating loss last night when Brett Myers's wild pitch allowed the Cubs to win in walk off-fashion with the bases loaded. Needless to say, the Phillies may have met their match here. Their best shot to take a lead in this series was last night with another lefty on the bump. Moyer failed, and now the Cubs get to feast upon some righty pitching, which they're much better against, and the Philly's putrid pen that ranks in the bottom third of all MLB. Wrigleyville is insane right now with the Cubs catapulting themselves into a first place tie with Milwaukee last night. Look for that momentum to carry over this afternoon on what's going to be a hot and muggy day in Chi-town. Sean Marshall has simply been brilliant of late. He's only allowed 4 ER's, and 16 hits in 18 innings of work his L/3 starts, and has struck out twice as many batters as he's walked. This will be Kyle Lohse's first start as a Philly after being picked up right at the trade deadline. His stuff is nowhere near overpowering, but he's been in the strike zone this year and his walks are down because of it. That being said, the Cubs bats are en fuego. They're doing the small things to win games right now, and the 40,000+ on hand will make it that much tougher for Philly to escape Chicago with a split. Look for the Cubs to get to Lohse early and then feast upon the visitors pen, while Marshall goes 6-7 and the Cubs pen closes it out for a 3-1 series win over their NL East counterparts.
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Vegas Pipeline

Tex
Balt
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TOM LAW LONGBALL SPORTS

20* St. Louis/Pitt. under

20* Dog GOM : Baltimore
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Thursday Comps
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Sebastian-OVER Mets
Winner Line-UNDER San Francisco
Computer Boys-Dodgers
OTM-OVER Red Sox
Jack(off)Maxwell-UNDER San Francisco
Kevin Kennedy-OVER Angels
All Star Sports-Angels
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sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Scott Spreitzer's 7-0, 100% MLB Situational GOM
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12-0, 100% GOM Run<o

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I'm laying the price with the Braves on Thursday. Let's get right to the main situation. Home faves of a certain price, who won their previous game at home by five runs or more, scoring 10 runs or more, and collecting 10 hits or more are an unbelievable, 107-44, (71% winners) the last 151 times. The average price of the home team in this spot is a -1.86 fave, giving us plenty of value in this one. These teams are also on a perfect 7-0, 100% run this season and have won 13 of their last 15, overall. The average margin of victory during the 7-game streak is a ridiculous, 8.43 RPG and 5.92 RPG the last 13 times it's won. Jo-Jo Reyes gets the start for the Braves tonight. His overall ERA is nothing special, but he's been solid in his only two home starts, sporting a 3.86 ERA. He'll face a lineup that's 3-7 in road night games against lefties, scoring just 2.8 RPG. Meanwhile, the Astros are 4-9 in Woody Williams 13 road starts (5.01 ERA). And as a team, they're 18-36 away from home, losing over 15-units. They're also 20-37 when priced as an underdog. This leads us to making the Braves our Situational Game of the Month.<o

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sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Gina's Pick

San Francisco Giants (46-59) at Los Angeles Dodgers (58-49)
(L) Barry Zito (7-10) vs. (R) Brett Tomko (2-8)

San Francisco' left-hander Barry Zito(7-10, 5.28) is 1-5 with a 7.52 ERA in his last nine starts.The lefthander allowed six runs on eight hits and four walks over four innings in a 12-10 win against Florida on July 22. Zito is 1-1 with a 5.57 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles' right-hander Brett Tomko (2-8, 5.57 ERA) allowed five runs and seven hits over six innings in a 6-2 loss against the Rockies in his last start on Saturday. Tomko is 4-4 with a 4.93 ERA in 15 career outings, including11 starts versus the Giants.

Both Zito and Tomko are struggling. Dodgers’ southpaw Barry Zito is 1-4 with an 8.22 ERA in his last six road games and Los Angeles has lost seven of his last 9 starts. Giant’s right-hander Brett Tomko is 0-5 with a 6.88 ERA at home and just 2-6 in 11 starts this seaon. Los Angeles has lost four of Tomko last five home starts.

The Giants have won four of the last 5 meetings at Dodger Stadium and the road team is 15-1 in the last 16 clashes. Go with the Giants. San Francisco is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall, while Los Angeles 2-5 in their last 7 and has dropped four of its last 6 at home.

San Francisco Giants + 115

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MAUI EXPERTS

TIP OF THE DAY
GAUDIN IS 9-2-1 FOR UNDERS WHEN STARTING FOR OAKLAND THIS SEASON

LATE NIGHT BAIL OUT GAME

PICK: LAA ANGELS +105

GAUDIN 0-3 7.89 ERA IN LAST 4 STARTS
OAKLAND LOST 4 OUT OF LAST 6
LAA HAVE WON 5 OUT OF 7
LAA SAUNDERS IS 7-0 PITCHING THE NEXT DAY AFTER LAA LOSS
LAA HAS WON LAST 6 GAMESFOR SAUNDERS SCORING 41 TOTAL RUNS IN THOSE COLLECTIVE WINS.

LAA ANGELS +105<o

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Mikey Sports

Thursday
Chicago White Sox @ NY Yankees 1:05 PM EST

Play On: Chicago White Sox (Garland/Clemens) Both Listed<o

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Maddox Sports

3* St Lou -113
3* Cubs -144
3* Atlanta -140
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sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Big Al's 88% AFTERNOON Baseball Blowout Winner.
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At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Red Sox over Baltimore. Although I have all the respect in the world for the job Jeremy Guthrie has done this season for Baltimore, this will be a difficult spot for the rookie pitcher to get his eighth win. Baltimore is a terrible 51-94 vs. winning teams over the past two seasons (minus 31 games on the money line), and Boston is an awesome 49-26 against righty starters this season (plus 15 games on the money line) compared to a poor 16-16 record vs. lefties (minus 7 games on the money line). The Red Sox have OWNED the Birds over the past few years, going 25-5 in the last 30 meetings. Tim Wakefield comes into today's game off a nice effort vs. the Devil Rays (1 run in 6 innings), and he's 5-1 his last 6 starts. Boston has won 15 of 17 daytime games at Fenway, and we'll back the Bosox this afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my NL Getaway Day Game of the Month.<o

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Big Al's NL Getaway Day GAME OF THE MONTH.
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At 2:05 pm, our NL Getaway Day Game of the Month is on the Milwaukee Brewers over the NY Mets. It's not often one can get the best home team in baseball (the Brewers) at a favorable price against a retread pitcher (Brian Lawrence), but that's the situation today -- largely because Milwaukee lost lefty Chris Capuano's last 12 starts. But everything must come to an end, and that is exactly what will happen to Capuano's losing streak today. The Mets have been money-burners vs. lefties this year, and even though he has nothing to show for it, Capuano has pitched like his old self over his last three starts (2.95 ERA, and a 1.07 WHIP). Brian Lawrence is making his first MLB start since the 2005 season with San Diego after missing 2006 with a shoulder injury. New York signed Lawrence after the Rockies designated him for assignment earlier this season. He's not had much success against the Brewers in his career (1-3 with a 5.04 ERA), and we'll take Ned Yost's men on this Thursday afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my 88% Blowout Winner in daytime action on Thursday.
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Larry Ness' Terrific Thursday Total (22-9 or 71% winners with MLB totals TY!)
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My Terrific Thursday Total is on SF/LA Over at 10:10 ET. Barry is still searching for No. 755, going 1-12 with eight walks since hitting No. 754. He's hitless in 19 straight ABs vs the Dodgers and is only 4-34 in '07 vs them. However, Brett Tomko could be the perfect "sitting duck" for both Barry and his teammates. Tomko was banished to the bullpen after opening the month of May by posting a 7.89 ERA in four consecutive starts. After the break, he returned to the rotation with two solid outings but this past Saturday was up to his old tricks, allowing six hits, six walks and five ERs in just 3.2 innings at Coors Field. The Giants will pitch Barry Zito, who has been one of MLB's biggest flops this year. He's 7-10 with a 5.28 ERA in 21 starts (team is 9-12) and that includes a 7.52 ERA over his last nine starts (team is 2-7). He's got a 5.94 ERA in 12 road starts this year and in his only start against the Dodgers this year, allowed nine hits and eight ERs in six innings. Terrific Thursday Total on SF/LA Over.
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Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider (22-12 or 65% winners since May 21!)
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My Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Angels at 10:05 ET. While Joe Saunders has struggled this year in Triple-A, he's been great when called upon by the Angels in the "bigs." He's 4-0 with a 3.16 ERA in seven starts this year (team is 6-1). That includes posting a 2.92 ERA in his last six starts for the Angels, all of which have been team wins. Chad Gaudin (8-6, 3.71 ERA) starts for the A's. Gaudin posted a 2.88 ERA in his first 18 starts in '07 (team went 13-5) but he's 0-3 with a 7.89 ERA over his last four (team is 1-3). The A's defeated the Tigers 3-2 on Wednesday to win their second straight following a four-game losing streak but Oakland has lost 16 of its last 23. I'll ride Saunders again, over a slumping Chad Gaudin, who may just be getting worn out. Las Vegas Insider on the LA Angels.
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Russ Culver

Orioles +127
Diamondbacks +205
Cincinnati-Washington UNDER 9 +105 (Dumatrait-Bacsik)
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sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Will Tell

3 STARS
PHILLIES/CUBS UNDERS

2 STARS
WASHINGTON NATIONALS

sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

hello3 said:
Any plays from Greg Shaker and Jeff Bonds, Thanks alot sds23!

Greg Shaker

Today's Pick: ANAHEIM ANGELS
MLB
Anaheim vs. Oakland
10:05 EST

the Angels putting a thrower on the mound that has been one of their favorites, winning 16 of his last 21 starts. This Angels Team has been unbeatable at their homepark but have not done so well on the road and in fact are just 3-10 the last 13 in this situation. But Saunders has been the exception to that rule with LAA winning both of his road appearences against 2 much better teams than these A's are, the Indians, and Twins. Oakland does not hit lefties very well at just .233 this year and worse than that over the last 10 played. They remain stagnent on offense, with lost wins this year the resut of their very fine starting crew. But Gaudin has not enjoyed that much success recently allowing 19 runs over the last 22 innings, allowing 4 Dingers and 18 Free Passes in the process. That is his primary problem with 66 BB's this year, or about 1 per 2 innings of work. There is no doubt that he has good stuff but putting extra men on base verses a sweet swinging team like LAA is not going to win many games. Saunders has been a model of consistancy this year with really no real bad starts. That is usually all this Angels team needs to win games and the reason why they have won the last 6 Saunders Trips to the Hill. In those games they have plated 41 times. That is almost 7 per game, and that is good enough for me to Lean on the Angels to win this game as a Short Dog. Take the Angels.

sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Michael Cannon Money Train

10 Dime –

NATIONALS (With Dumatrait and Bacsik as listed pitchers)
Take the Nationals for the home win tonight over the Reds.
Mike Bacsik will start for the Nats and he’s been on a nice little run lately.
The left-hander is 2-0 with a 1.40 ERA over his last three starts. The Nationals overall have been playing better lately and I like them in this spot going against a rookie pitcher.
That rookie, Phillip Dumatrait, will start for the Reds in his major league debut. He’s going to find that the majors are a bit different than Louisville and with a suspect defense behind him, I don’t expect him to last long tonight.
Washington hammered Bronson Arroyo last night and I expect that momentum to carry over into tonight against Dumatrait.
Take the Nationals as they grab the home win.

5 Dime –

PIRATES (With Reyes and Youman as listed pitchers)
Take the Bucs tonight for the home win over the Cardinals.
Look, I was way off last night with the Cardinals as a 25 dime loser against the Pirates and I’m man enough to admit a mistake when I make it.
I’m not going to do it again today.
Anthony Reyes may have finally gotten the monkey off his back with a win in his last start, but I don’t see him making it two in a row.
The Pirates broke out in a big way last night with a 15-1 win and I like them to get the series win today.
Shane Youman will start for the Bucs and he pitched well in his first two starts of the year before stumbling recently, but I think today he gets the win against a St. Louis team that just can’t get it going this year.
Look for Reyes to stumble early and for the Bucs to put it away again this afternoon.
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sds23 · Aug 2, 2007

Doc's Sports

Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves (MLB)
Aug 2, 2007 7:35 PM EDT

Play: Atlanta Braves

#964 Take Atlanta –152 over Houston (7:35 pm MLB.tv) The Braves pounded out seven runs in the first inning on Wednesday and expect them to continue to pile on the Astros. Houston cannot wait for this season to end and expect major changes to be made once the season ends. Woody Williams will oppose him and he is just 5-12 on the season. Mark Teixeira will make his name known, as the Braves tomahawk their way past the Astros. <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com

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Michael Alexander

Colorado Rockies vs. Florida Marlins (MLB)
Aug 2, 2007 7:05 PM EDT

Play: Colorado Rockies

The Colorado Rockies look to take the rubber game of this three game set against the Marlins after yesterday's 4-3 loss that snapped a three game winning streak. The Rockies are one of the surprise teams this season as they come in at 54-52 on the season and a profitable 40-36 versus right-handed starters.

Tonight they will face right-hander, Rick Vanden Hurk, who will be making his 7th start of the season at home. Venden Hurk has been horrible at home going 1-2 with a sky high 7.71 ERA. That is going to be trouble for the Marlins as Colorado is hitting .273 against righties and .286 over their last seven ball games

The Marlins are in the midst of a tough season and have actually lost money with they have been at home this season at only 24-30. They haven't faired well against righties either posting a 35-40 mark. Their offense has been respectable hitting .277 over their last seven games but that advantage has been given up by their pitching rotation that has allowed opponents to hit a whopping .291 in that same span.

SUPPORTING ANGLES: COLORADO is 14-7 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after 2 straight games with no home runs this season. COLORADO is 21-15 (+12.0 Units) against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. FLORIDA is 17-26 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Not much going for the Marlins this season while the Rockies are still surprisingly in the hunt. Great value with this line taking the better team. I'm taking the Rockies in this one.<o

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