Does the pick up the 3, pick up the 7, teasers work in NFL preseason?

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Rx Wizard
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Does anyone have info on this the past 10 years or so on betting them blindly?

Basically grabbing dog that are +1.5, 2 and 2.5, all teased up
and betting
Favorites -7.5, 8 and 8.5, all teased down

seems like a ton of oppurtunities in the preseason as the line is always around these numbers.
 

Rx Wizard
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should read cross the 3 and 7 in teasers. Think most know what I mean.
 

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Its wierd and I don't have any facts or figures, but seems 1 and 2 are very important.

Late in the game teams go for TD's rather than a late tying field goal--because teams don't want to play over time.

Plus you get wierd things to happen liked missed xp and stuff in pre-season more than you do at other times.
 

Rx Wizard
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Its wierd and I don't have any facts or figures, but seems 1 and 2 are very important.

Late in the game teams go for TD's rather than a late tying field goal--because teams don't want to play over time.

Plus you get wierd things to happen liked missed xp and stuff in pre-season more than you do at other times.


your totally right and I knew that. I am pretty sure the book know this adapt to it. Thanks.
 

Raising 4 girls!
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your totally right and I knew that. I am pretty sure the book know this adapt to it. Thanks.
Just like in MLB, the preseason saw weak lines like -110 to -130 for heaviest favorites. The books just couldn't adapt all too much even if an underdog team still has same nucleus from the previous year, due to less action & unpredictability of the preseason games.

So I can imagine it'd be similar with teasers for NFL preseason. In fact, one of my most successful bets last season was a 4-pick 13-point (-120) teaser on the AFC & NFC championship games (sides & totals). Someone made the argument how the lines are already tight & accurate by that late point in the playoffs that it was unlikely to see a lopsided result in either game. Of course, anything could have happened in a conference championship game, but anyway, I only made a couple of teasers all year last fall but that AFC/NFC 13-point teaser was a jackpot for me for that day.

Back to the NFL preseason... I'm not so sure we won't see 27-7 games lost by a +4 dog (so even teased 14 points wouldn't do the job). However, for preseason, I would rather add the extra teaser points to a DOG than a favorite since it's still too early to make strong lines on the favorites (i.e. -9 favs probably won't be found in preseason? Not sure?). I suspect it's because not many games would really result in a 20-point win margin. Just a wild guess.

* CalvinTy
 

Raising 4 girls!
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Back to the NFL preseason... I'm not so sure we won't see 27-7 games lost by a +4 dog (so even teased 14 points wouldn't do the job). However, for preseason, I would rather add the extra teaser points to a DOG than a favorite since it's still too early to make strong lines on the favorites (i.e. -9 favs probably won't be found in preseason? Not sure?). I suspect it's because not many games would really result in a 20-point win margin. Just a wild guess.

* CalvinTy
I realized I kind of contradicted myself in the last part of above post. Seems like my brain was telling me that since favorites in preseason doesn't usually warrant a strong number like -9, it would make more sense to seek out -3.5 through -6.5 favorites to be teased through 3 and zero, because there would be opportunities for those....

...so I guess I meant FAVS, not DOGS, for teasers in NFL preseason.

* CalvinTy
 

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I think Calvin makes some good points.

The last two years I have lost in pre-season in full game bets. It seems that everybody was making money one half at a time. Probably too late but thats probably what I will try.

I also think in the first couple of weeks you get lots of teams that don't score in the second half of games-- usually defenses are far ahead of offenses and especially they are far ahead of these young qbs that are still on the rosters and play in the second half.

I picked up some 35.5 under tomorrow night and kind of like that play. Probably looking to play Pittsburgh as well.

I love NFLX and I used to think that a college football fan and recruiting nut could do well--maybe not but I used to think that.
 

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I have zero evidence, but my gut tells me the answer is no. Just too many variables, especially worse players.
 

Official Rx music critic and beer snob
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Teasers that may work in preseason would be teasing totals up and betting under.
 

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