Sports Gambling Hotline
Tonight take the Rockies over the slumping Brewers.
Milwaukee coughed up a 6-1 lead at home yesterday as they let the Phillies score 5 runs in the 9th, and 2 more in the 11th for the brutal loss. That makes it 6 of the last 9 games on the shortside for the imploding Brewers, and now they have to hit the road where they are well below .500 for the season at 21-32.
Colorado is a nice 30-21 at Coors Field this season, and starter Josh Fogg has looked strong over the last month of the season.
Claudio Vargas will counter coming off of a rough home start against the Mets as he lost his 3rd decision of the season. 2 of Vargas' 3 losses this year have come on the road, and with the Brewers really struggling right now, we expect Vargas to have another tough outing this evening against the Rocks.
Play on Colorado.
Tonight take the Rockies over the slumping Brewers.
Milwaukee coughed up a 6-1 lead at home yesterday as they let the Phillies score 5 runs in the 9th, and 2 more in the 11th for the brutal loss. That makes it 6 of the last 9 games on the shortside for the imploding Brewers, and now they have to hit the road where they are well below .500 for the season at 21-32.
Colorado is a nice 30-21 at Coors Field this season, and starter Josh Fogg has looked strong over the last month of the season.
Claudio Vargas will counter coming off of a rough home start against the Mets as he lost his 3rd decision of the season. 2 of Vargas' 3 losses this year have come on the road, and with the Brewers really struggling right now, we expect Vargas to have another tough outing this evening against the Rocks.
Play on Colorado.
Karl Garrett
Tonight I will go against Curt Schilling in his first start back in the rotation since June 18th when he was rocked at Atlanta. I just don't think Schilling is ready for this level again, as I believe the Angels are going to have a hug inning that will chase Schilling from this start before the 6th inning tonight.
The Angels are a massive 35-16 at home this season, and starter Jered Weaver is overdue for a solid outing on the bump. Weaver has been hit hard his last couple of times to the hill, but he has thrown solid baseball at the Red Sox in a pair of starts last season.
Boston won all 3 earlier season meetings at Fenway, but Los Angeles is too good to let the Sox take the series opener tonight.
I say go with the Halos minus the small juice as Schilling's return leaves the Red Sox Nation with some to worry about down the stretch.
2* ANGELS
Tonight I will go against Curt Schilling in his first start back in the rotation since June 18th when he was rocked at Atlanta. I just don't think Schilling is ready for this level again, as I believe the Angels are going to have a hug inning that will chase Schilling from this start before the 6th inning tonight.
The Angels are a massive 35-16 at home this season, and starter Jered Weaver is overdue for a solid outing on the bump. Weaver has been hit hard his last couple of times to the hill, but he has thrown solid baseball at the Red Sox in a pair of starts last season.
Boston won all 3 earlier season meetings at Fenway, but Los Angeles is too good to let the Sox take the series opener tonight.
I say go with the Halos minus the small juice as Schilling's return leaves the Red Sox Nation with some to worry about down the stretch.
2* ANGELS
SCOTT DELANEY
Let's play the Rockies tonight, getting it done over the visiting Brewers.
I know how well the Brew Crew has done when Claudio Vargas toes the rubber this season, but the fact is he struggled in his most recent start so bad that he was pulled in the third inning after surrendering seven earned runs on five hits.
You know what that means - of those five hits, there were a pair of three-run home run to Mets catcher Ramon Castro and outfielder Marlon Anderson.
And hitting the road cannot possibly have provided any solace for manager Ned Yost, whose blowup in the dugout the other day made as many headlines as Barry Bonds. The Brewers, who've gone 133-88 at home the past three seasons, are a futile 82-132 on the road - the third-worst in the league.
It's been catastrophic lately on the highway for this team, as the Crew's last road trip ended up 2-6, with three losses being walk-off setbacks.
Let's side with Josh Fogg tonight, as he's won four of his last six decisions, and during the most recent three, he's produced a 2.50 ERA despite a 1-1 record.
2* ROCKIES
Let's play the Rockies tonight, getting it done over the visiting Brewers.
I know how well the Brew Crew has done when Claudio Vargas toes the rubber this season, but the fact is he struggled in his most recent start so bad that he was pulled in the third inning after surrendering seven earned runs on five hits.
You know what that means - of those five hits, there were a pair of three-run home run to Mets catcher Ramon Castro and outfielder Marlon Anderson.
And hitting the road cannot possibly have provided any solace for manager Ned Yost, whose blowup in the dugout the other day made as many headlines as Barry Bonds. The Brewers, who've gone 133-88 at home the past three seasons, are a futile 82-132 on the road - the third-worst in the league.
It's been catastrophic lately on the highway for this team, as the Crew's last road trip ended up 2-6, with three losses being walk-off setbacks.
Let's side with Josh Fogg tonight, as he's won four of his last six decisions, and during the most recent three, he's produced a 2.50 ERA despite a 1-1 record.
2* ROCKIES
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NATIONAL LEAGUE
San Diego (60-50) at St. Louis (50-58)
The Padres send veteran lefty David Wells (5-7, 5.18 ERA) to the mound today for the first of three games in what has been a house of horrors in St. Louis as he goes up against the Cardinals’ Braden Looper (8-9, 5.23).
San Diego is just 8-24 the last 32 games in either the old or new Busch Stadium. And overall against the Cardinals, San Diego is just 18-45 in the last 63 head-to-head meetings.
Coming into this one, the Padres have rattled off four straight wins, including Sunday’s 5-4 win over the Giants, to stay within 1 ½ games of the D’Backs in the NL West race.
Wells has not looked good lately, going 0-2 in his last three starts with a 13.50 ERA. On the road he is just 2-5 with a 7.27 ERA and last time he pitched on the highway was July 26 when he lasted just three innings while giving up seven runs on seven hits of a 7-1 loss in Houston.
Wells faced the Cardinals in last year’s National League Divisional Playoff series and he gave up two runs on seven hits in five innings of a 2-0 loss.
St. Louis has dropped five in a row after Sunday’s 6-3 loss in Washington.
Looper, like Wells, hasn’t had much success lately going 1-2 in his last three outings with a 9.88 ERA. Last time out for Looper was Wednesday and he lasted just four innings, giving up seven runs on eight hits of a 15-1 loss in Pittsburgh.
Looper’s last home start was July 26 when he allowed just one run on five hits over seven innings of an 11-1 win over the Cubs. Looper faced the Padres back on May 12 and blanked them for seven innings, allowing just three hits in a 5-0 victory in San Diego.
The over has been the play in nine of Looper’s last 10 starts and the over is 8-3 in the Cardinals’ last 11 overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Boston (68-43) at L.A. Angels (64-46)
The Red Sox Curt Schilling (6-4, 4.20 ERA) makes his first start in more than six weeks tonight and he’ll do it against the AL West-leading Angels’ and Jered Weaver (7-5, 4.00) in Angel Stadium in Anaheim, Calif.
Schilling hasn’t pitched since June 18 after he got pounded in back-to-back starts, going on the DL with right shoulder tendonitis. He had a 10.61 ERA in his last two starts in June but went down to Triple-A Pawtucket and didn’t allow a run in 15 innings while rehabbing.
Schilling has led his team to a 5-1 mark against the Angels since 2001, and back on April 14 he blanked them on four hits over eight innings of an 8-0 win.
The Red Sox won their last two games in Seattle over the weekend after losing nine straight in the Pacific Northwest.
Boston took three games against the Angels back in April, outscoring them 25-3 over three games with the fourth game getting rained out. The Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 meetings with Los Angeles, but the Angels are 39-17 in their last 56 home games.
Weaver has struggled lately and Los Angeles is just 1-5 in his last six starts. He’s allowed six runs in each of his last two starts, losing to Seattle 8-7 Wednesday. In his last home outing he gave up six runs on 11 hits over 5 1/3 innings of an 11-6 win.
Weaver saw the Red Sox twice last season and lost both, giving up a combined four runs on 11 hits over 12 2/3 innings.
The over is 7-4 in the Angels last 11 games overall, but the under has been the play in nine of the last 16 meetings between these two teams.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
NATIONAL LEAGUE
San Diego (60-50) at St. Louis (50-58)
The Padres send veteran lefty David Wells (5-7, 5.18 ERA) to the mound today for the first of three games in what has been a house of horrors in St. Louis as he goes up against the Cardinals’ Braden Looper (8-9, 5.23).
San Diego is just 8-24 the last 32 games in either the old or new Busch Stadium. And overall against the Cardinals, San Diego is just 18-45 in the last 63 head-to-head meetings.
Coming into this one, the Padres have rattled off four straight wins, including Sunday’s 5-4 win over the Giants, to stay within 1 ½ games of the D’Backs in the NL West race.
Wells has not looked good lately, going 0-2 in his last three starts with a 13.50 ERA. On the road he is just 2-5 with a 7.27 ERA and last time he pitched on the highway was July 26 when he lasted just three innings while giving up seven runs on seven hits of a 7-1 loss in Houston.
Wells faced the Cardinals in last year’s National League Divisional Playoff series and he gave up two runs on seven hits in five innings of a 2-0 loss.
St. Louis has dropped five in a row after Sunday’s 6-3 loss in Washington.
Looper, like Wells, hasn’t had much success lately going 1-2 in his last three outings with a 9.88 ERA. Last time out for Looper was Wednesday and he lasted just four innings, giving up seven runs on eight hits of a 15-1 loss in Pittsburgh.
Looper’s last home start was July 26 when he allowed just one run on five hits over seven innings of an 11-1 win over the Cubs. Looper faced the Padres back on May 12 and blanked them for seven innings, allowing just three hits in a 5-0 victory in San Diego.
The over has been the play in nine of Looper’s last 10 starts and the over is 8-3 in the Cardinals’ last 11 overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Boston (68-43) at L.A. Angels (64-46)
The Red Sox Curt Schilling (6-4, 4.20 ERA) makes his first start in more than six weeks tonight and he’ll do it against the AL West-leading Angels’ and Jered Weaver (7-5, 4.00) in Angel Stadium in Anaheim, Calif.
Schilling hasn’t pitched since June 18 after he got pounded in back-to-back starts, going on the DL with right shoulder tendonitis. He had a 10.61 ERA in his last two starts in June but went down to Triple-A Pawtucket and didn’t allow a run in 15 innings while rehabbing.
Schilling has led his team to a 5-1 mark against the Angels since 2001, and back on April 14 he blanked them on four hits over eight innings of an 8-0 win.
The Red Sox won their last two games in Seattle over the weekend after losing nine straight in the Pacific Northwest.
Boston took three games against the Angels back in April, outscoring them 25-3 over three games with the fourth game getting rained out. The Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 meetings with Los Angeles, but the Angels are 39-17 in their last 56 home games.
Weaver has struggled lately and Los Angeles is just 1-5 in his last six starts. He’s allowed six runs in each of his last two starts, losing to Seattle 8-7 Wednesday. In his last home outing he gave up six runs on 11 hits over 5 1/3 innings of an 11-6 win.
Weaver saw the Red Sox twice last season and lost both, giving up a combined four runs on 11 hits over 12 2/3 innings.
The over is 7-4 in the Angels last 11 games overall, but the under has been the play in nine of the last 16 meetings between these two teams.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
Jimmy The Moose
Game: Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers
Aug 6 2007 8:35PM
Prediction: under
Reason: The under is 6-2 in Oakland's last 8 games as a favorite. The A's have played under the total in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing record. In their last 32 games vs. AL West opponents the under is 21-8-3. Braden's last 4 starts have played under the total. In the Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record the under is 4-1. In their last 31 games played on grass the under is 19-9-3. The under is 6-1-2 in Rheinecker's last 9 home starts. In their last 8 meetings the under is 6-1-1. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 matchups in Texas. The A's offense has been non existent this season and this one will be low scoring tonight. Play the under
Game: Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers
Aug 6 2007 8:35PM
Prediction: under
Reason: The under is 6-2 in Oakland's last 8 games as a favorite. The A's have played under the total in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing record. In their last 32 games vs. AL West opponents the under is 21-8-3. Braden's last 4 starts have played under the total. In the Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record the under is 4-1. In their last 31 games played on grass the under is 19-9-3. The under is 6-1-2 in Rheinecker's last 9 home starts. In their last 8 meetings the under is 6-1-1. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 matchups in Texas. The A's offense has been non existent this season and this one will be low scoring tonight. Play the under
Jim Feist
Take "Over"
44-year old David Wells is 2-5 with a 7.27 ERA on the road. Now he faces the defending champs offense, which has been hitting. St. Louis starter Braden Looper is a converted reliever and the wear and tear is beginning to show, with a 9.88 ERA his last three starts. Look for plenty of offense as the weather stays hot. Play the Padres/Cardinals over the total!
Take "Over"
44-year old David Wells is 2-5 with a 7.27 ERA on the road. Now he faces the defending champs offense, which has been hitting. St. Louis starter Braden Looper is a converted reliever and the wear and tear is beginning to show, with a 9.88 ERA his last three starts. Look for plenty of offense as the weather stays hot. Play the Padres/Cardinals over the total!
Vegas Experts
Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins
Monday, August 6th, 8:10 P.M. EDT
Byrd shows a 3.62 road ERA with Cleveland going under in five of his eight road starts. Silva has a 3.73 home ERA with Minnesota going under in seven of his 11 starts at home. Minnesota has gone under the total in eight straight, all at home and is 12-3 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. BYRD is 30-13 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
Play on: Under
Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins
Monday, August 6th, 8:10 P.M. EDT
Byrd shows a 3.62 road ERA with Cleveland going under in five of his eight road starts. Silva has a 3.73 home ERA with Minnesota going under in seven of his 11 starts at home. Minnesota has gone under the total in eight straight, all at home and is 12-3 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. BYRD is 30-13 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
Play on: Under
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Michael Cannon
Monday, August 06, 2007
Cleveland (-105) at MINNESOTA
A nice underdog winner on the Diamondbacks last night ups my record to 108-99-3 with my last 210 overall Bonus Plays.
Take the Indians tonight for the road win over the Twins.
I had the Tribe yesterday as a 5 dime play for my paying clients and they came up short, losing 1-0.
I like them to bounce back tonight behind starter Paul Byrd.
The right-hander is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA over his last four starts and has fared well against Minnesota both this year and throughout his career. He's 2-0 in two starts against the Twins this year and 8-3 with a 3.94 ERA in 14 career starts against them.
Byrd has been even more effective when pitching in the Metrodome, going 5-1 with a 2.45 ERA in eight career starts there.
Carlos Silva will start for Minnesota and he's 4-4 with a 5.11 ERA in 15 career games against the Tribe, including 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA in two starts against them this season.
Take the Indians as they grab the road win.
2* CLEVELAND
Michael Cannon
Monday, August 06, 2007
Cleveland (-105) at MINNESOTA
A nice underdog winner on the Diamondbacks last night ups my record to 108-99-3 with my last 210 overall Bonus Plays.
Take the Indians tonight for the road win over the Twins.
I had the Tribe yesterday as a 5 dime play for my paying clients and they came up short, losing 1-0.
I like them to bounce back tonight behind starter Paul Byrd.
The right-hander is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA over his last four starts and has fared well against Minnesota both this year and throughout his career. He's 2-0 in two starts against the Twins this year and 8-3 with a 3.94 ERA in 14 career starts against them.
Byrd has been even more effective when pitching in the Metrodome, going 5-1 with a 2.45 ERA in eight career starts there.
Carlos Silva will start for Minnesota and he's 4-4 with a 5.11 ERA in 15 career games against the Tribe, including 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA in two starts against them this season.
Take the Indians as they grab the road win.
2* CLEVELAND
Bobby Maxwell
Monday, August 06, 2007
Milwaukee at COLORADO (-120)
Today we head to the thin air of Denver for a Bonus Play on the Rockies as they host the Brewers. Play Colorado to continue dominating at home and easily take care of Milwaukee in this one.
The Brewers have struggled on the road all season, posting a 21-32 road record this season and they are just 5-14 in their last 19 on the highway. Now they begin a six-game road trip in Colorado and find themselves in a fight for the NL Central lead with the Cubs.
The Rockies have won 12 of their last 15 home games and has gone 11-8 since losing two of three to the Brewers in Milwaukee July 13-15.
Josh Fogg (5-7, 4.87 ERA) is on the hill for the Rockies, going on nine days rest. He allowed three earned runs on eight hits in a 4-2 loss to the Marlins in his last strat and is 5-4 with a 3.84 ERA in 14 career starts against the Brewers.
Claudio Vargas (9-3, 4.78) is on the hill for the Brewers and he's got a 6.75 ERA at Coors Field and last time he pitched he gave up a season-high seven runs on five hits in just 2 2/3 innings of an 8-5 home loss to the Mets Wednesday.
This one looks simple as it's a bad road team going up against a tough home squad in Colorado. Play the Rockies to get this one.
3* COLORADO
Monday, August 06, 2007
Milwaukee at COLORADO (-120)
Today we head to the thin air of Denver for a Bonus Play on the Rockies as they host the Brewers. Play Colorado to continue dominating at home and easily take care of Milwaukee in this one.
The Brewers have struggled on the road all season, posting a 21-32 road record this season and they are just 5-14 in their last 19 on the highway. Now they begin a six-game road trip in Colorado and find themselves in a fight for the NL Central lead with the Cubs.
The Rockies have won 12 of their last 15 home games and has gone 11-8 since losing two of three to the Brewers in Milwaukee July 13-15.
Josh Fogg (5-7, 4.87 ERA) is on the hill for the Rockies, going on nine days rest. He allowed three earned runs on eight hits in a 4-2 loss to the Marlins in his last strat and is 5-4 with a 3.84 ERA in 14 career starts against the Brewers.
Claudio Vargas (9-3, 4.78) is on the hill for the Brewers and he's got a 6.75 ERA at Coors Field and last time he pitched he gave up a season-high seven runs on five hits in just 2 2/3 innings of an 8-5 home loss to the Mets Wednesday.
This one looks simple as it's a bad road team going up against a tough home squad in Colorado. Play the Rockies to get this one.
3* COLORADO
Ben Burns False Favorite of the Month
ASTROS
Game: Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros Game Time: 8/6/2007 8:05:00 PM Prediction: Houston Astros Reason: I'm playing on HOUSTON. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. The Cubs, who traveled after playing an ESPN game last night, are 2-6 their last eight games vs. left-handed starters and 7-13 the last 20. For the season, they are averaging only 3.4 runs per game vs. southpaws! Hill has pitched decently on the road but the Cubs are still just 4-7 in his 11 road starts. It's also worth noting that he hasn't pitched more than five innings in either of his last two starts and that he has a terrible 1.914 WHIP his last three starts overall. Despite losing vs. Olsen yesterday, the Astros remain a healthy 5-1 their last six games against left-handed starters. The Astros are also 8-2 in Rodriguez's 10 home starts with Rodriguez recording an exceptional 1.75 ERA and 0.930 WHIP. The Astros were swept at Wrigley a few weeks ago. Look for Rodriguez to continue his strong pitching here as the Astros get a little payback by starting this series off with a victory. *False Favorite of the Month
Ben Burns Personal Favorite
CARDINALS
Game: San Diego Padres vs. St Louis Cardinals Game Time: 8/6/2007 7:05:00 PM Prediction: St Louis Cardinals Reason: I'm laying the price with ST LOUIS. The Padres have been the better team so far this month but I expect the Cards to have a significant advantage this evening. The Cards are 4-1 the last five times they faced a left-handed starter here at home and 7-4 their last 11 against left-handed starters overall. That's bad news for Wells as the veteran southpaw hasn't been pitching very well lately. Indeed, Wells has given up 19 earned runs in 12 2-3 innings over his last three starts, all San Diego losses. During that stretch he has a horrid 13.50 ERA and 2.390 WHIP! Wells has also struggled on the road all season, going 2-5 with an awful 7.27 ERA and 1.927 WHIP. Looper, on the other hand, has been strong at home. In nine starts here, he is 4-3 (team is 6-3) with a solid 3.52 ERA and 1.243 WHIP. Seven of those nine starts were of the "quality" variety. Looper also has an outstanding 1.97 ERA in 28 career games against San Diego. In his only start against the Padres (May 12) he held them to three hits in seven shutout innings en route to a 5-0 victory. Look for him to outpitch Wells this evening as the defending champions win their first game in August. *Personal Favorite
Ben Burns "Slug-Fest" of the Month
OVER indians/twins
Game: Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Game Time: 8/6/2007 8:10:00 PM Prediction: over Reason: I'm playing on the Twins and Indians to finish OVER the total. The first three games have been extremely low-scoring. However, its difficult to keep "good offenses" down for too long and I expect the bats to "wake up" this evening. For starters, both the Twins and Indians tend to start off a new week by swinging the bats well, as the OVER is a combined 15-7 when these teams have played on a monday this season. Silva hasn't been particularly sharp lately as he has a 4.95 ERA his last three starts, seeing two of those three games finish above the number. Looking back a bit further and we find the OVER at 5-2-1 his last eight starts. Note that Silva has given up 14 hits, five walks and eight runs in just 11 innings vs. Cleveland this season. Byrd hasn't been all that good against the Twins lately either as he has given up 17 hits (3 HRs) and nine runs (8 earned) in two starts against them this season. Additionally, Byrd has been giving up quite a few baserunners lately (1.695 WHIP his last three games) and has seen the OVER go 3-0-1 his last four starts. I expect more of the same thise evening as the final combined score reaches double-digits.
ASTROS
Game: Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros Game Time: 8/6/2007 8:05:00 PM Prediction: Houston Astros Reason: I'm playing on HOUSTON. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. The Cubs, who traveled after playing an ESPN game last night, are 2-6 their last eight games vs. left-handed starters and 7-13 the last 20. For the season, they are averaging only 3.4 runs per game vs. southpaws! Hill has pitched decently on the road but the Cubs are still just 4-7 in his 11 road starts. It's also worth noting that he hasn't pitched more than five innings in either of his last two starts and that he has a terrible 1.914 WHIP his last three starts overall. Despite losing vs. Olsen yesterday, the Astros remain a healthy 5-1 their last six games against left-handed starters. The Astros are also 8-2 in Rodriguez's 10 home starts with Rodriguez recording an exceptional 1.75 ERA and 0.930 WHIP. The Astros were swept at Wrigley a few weeks ago. Look for Rodriguez to continue his strong pitching here as the Astros get a little payback by starting this series off with a victory. *False Favorite of the Month
Ben Burns Personal Favorite
CARDINALS
Game: San Diego Padres vs. St Louis Cardinals Game Time: 8/6/2007 7:05:00 PM Prediction: St Louis Cardinals Reason: I'm laying the price with ST LOUIS. The Padres have been the better team so far this month but I expect the Cards to have a significant advantage this evening. The Cards are 4-1 the last five times they faced a left-handed starter here at home and 7-4 their last 11 against left-handed starters overall. That's bad news for Wells as the veteran southpaw hasn't been pitching very well lately. Indeed, Wells has given up 19 earned runs in 12 2-3 innings over his last three starts, all San Diego losses. During that stretch he has a horrid 13.50 ERA and 2.390 WHIP! Wells has also struggled on the road all season, going 2-5 with an awful 7.27 ERA and 1.927 WHIP. Looper, on the other hand, has been strong at home. In nine starts here, he is 4-3 (team is 6-3) with a solid 3.52 ERA and 1.243 WHIP. Seven of those nine starts were of the "quality" variety. Looper also has an outstanding 1.97 ERA in 28 career games against San Diego. In his only start against the Padres (May 12) he held them to three hits in seven shutout innings en route to a 5-0 victory. Look for him to outpitch Wells this evening as the defending champions win their first game in August. *Personal Favorite
Ben Burns "Slug-Fest" of the Month
OVER indians/twins
Game: Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Game Time: 8/6/2007 8:10:00 PM Prediction: over Reason: I'm playing on the Twins and Indians to finish OVER the total. The first three games have been extremely low-scoring. However, its difficult to keep "good offenses" down for too long and I expect the bats to "wake up" this evening. For starters, both the Twins and Indians tend to start off a new week by swinging the bats well, as the OVER is a combined 15-7 when these teams have played on a monday this season. Silva hasn't been particularly sharp lately as he has a 4.95 ERA his last three starts, seeing two of those three games finish above the number. Looking back a bit further and we find the OVER at 5-2-1 his last eight starts. Note that Silva has given up 14 hits, five walks and eight runs in just 11 innings vs. Cleveland this season. Byrd hasn't been all that good against the Twins lately either as he has given up 17 hits (3 HRs) and nine runs (8 earned) in two starts against them this season. Additionally, Byrd has been giving up quite a few baserunners lately (1.695 WHIP his last three games) and has seen the OVER go 3-0-1 his last four starts. I expect more of the same thise evening as the final combined score reaches double-digits.
Guaranteed Pick: Big Al Mcmordie
Game: Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Aug 6 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: Cleveland Indians
Reason: At 8:10pm our selection is on the Cleveland Indians over the Minnesota Twins. The Tribe and Twins finish up this four game series this evening with each of the first three games being decided by 3 runs or less. Of course that's bound to happen in a series when neither team is able to score more than five runs, and only once did they manage that. Paul Byrd has been his normal effective if unspectacular self recently. If the Indians are hitting the way they are capable of, then Byrd is the perfect #3 or #4 starter for this squad, as he won't make many mistakes and he will usually put in at least six quality innings. He is still one of the best control pitchers in baseball, having given up only fifteen walks so far in 126 innings this season. And Byrd does his best work on the road, where his ERA is more than a full run lower than his overall number. Look for the Cleveland bats to come alive on Monday evening as Byrd almost always gets great run support. In his last four starts, the Indians have scored a total of 30 runs, for an average of 7.5 runs per game. That should be more than enough against an anemic Minnesota offense that has only scored more than four runs once in the past thirteen games. Take the Indians. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
Game: Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Aug 6 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: Cleveland Indians
Reason: At 8:10pm our selection is on the Cleveland Indians over the Minnesota Twins. The Tribe and Twins finish up this four game series this evening with each of the first three games being decided by 3 runs or less. Of course that's bound to happen in a series when neither team is able to score more than five runs, and only once did they manage that. Paul Byrd has been his normal effective if unspectacular self recently. If the Indians are hitting the way they are capable of, then Byrd is the perfect #3 or #4 starter for this squad, as he won't make many mistakes and he will usually put in at least six quality innings. He is still one of the best control pitchers in baseball, having given up only fifteen walks so far in 126 innings this season. And Byrd does his best work on the road, where his ERA is more than a full run lower than his overall number. Look for the Cleveland bats to come alive on Monday evening as Byrd almost always gets great run support. In his last four starts, the Indians have scored a total of 30 runs, for an average of 7.5 runs per game. That should be more than enough against an anemic Minnesota offense that has only scored more than four runs once in the past thirteen games. Take the Indians. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
Dave Cokin
Take CLE Indians
The Twins are mounting their annual charge and are suddenly right back in the thick of both the AL Central and the Wild Card chase. The Indians are suddenly faltering, even though they're still in first place in the division. I think Cleveland is in big trouble unless they can get Travis Hafner out of his lengthy funk. But for one night at least, I like the Indians. Paul Byrd is an old pro who's capable of being the stopper tonight, and he's got great numbers against the Twins, especially at this site. Carlos Silva may also be a nice antidote to whatever is ailing Indians offense. I'll back Cleveland to bounce back with a win this evening.
Take CLE Indians
The Twins are mounting their annual charge and are suddenly right back in the thick of both the AL Central and the Wild Card chase. The Indians are suddenly faltering, even though they're still in first place in the division. I think Cleveland is in big trouble unless they can get Travis Hafner out of his lengthy funk. But for one night at least, I like the Indians. Paul Byrd is an old pro who's capable of being the stopper tonight, and he's got great numbers against the Twins, especially at this site. Carlos Silva may also be a nice antidote to whatever is ailing Indians offense. I'll back Cleveland to bounce back with a win this evening.
