Service Plays 8/13/07

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<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Guaranteed Baseball Plays 35-12 (3-0 last 3). NASCAR 42-10 (5-0 last two Sundays including +150 and +170 matchups)

SEATTLE +100 Hernandez
 

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Ben Burns

NFL Total of the Month
OVER ravens/eagles


Game: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens Game Time: 8/13/2007 7:00:00 PM Prediction: over Reason: I feel the Eagles and Ravens total, which sits below several key numbers, is too low and I'm playin on the OVER. Eight of this weekend's 14 games produced a minimum of 33 points. Those 14 games averaged 34.36 points. These teams faced each other in the preseason last year and managed only 30 points. A closer look shows that both teams moved the ball effectively (and both used a no-huddle offense at times) and that the game could have easily finished with more points though. At the very minimum, the game should have seen at least another three points scored when the Ravens moved down to the 15 with 18 seconds left in the first half. However, they inexplicably ran a third-down play without any timeouts left and the clock ran out before they could try a field goal. The teams also faced each other in the 2005 preseason and combined for 34 points. Looking back to 2004 and we find that they combined for 43 points in a 26-17 Eagles' victory. That's a 3-year average of 36 points in this "preseason rivalry." The Ravens saw last season's opener (vs. the Giants) produce 33 combined points. The Eagles scored 20 points in their preseason opener last season after scoring 31 (and gaving up 38) the previous season. Both teams have solid QB rotations and I look for them to effectively move the ball again this evening. Look for the final combined score to finish above the low number.

**BLOWOUT ALERT** Monday Night ESPN WINNER
49ers


Game: Denver Broncos vs. San Francisco 49ers Game Time: 8/13/2007 8:00:00 PM Prediction: San Francisco 49ers Reason: I'm playing on SAN FRANCISCO. Its true that Mike Shanahan does put more emphasis on winning preseason games than many other coaches. However, San Francisco coach Mike Nolan has also shown that he likes to establish a winning attitude during August. In fact, the 49ers have gone 75% ATS (6-2) in Nolan's first two preseasons. Looking back to last year and we find that the 49'ers convincingly won their preseason opener, defeating Chicago by 14 points here in San Francisco. On the other hand, the Broncos played their opener on the road (at Detroit) and lost by a touchdown. I feel that the 49ers QB rotation (Smith, Dilfer and Hill) gives them a significant advantage over the Broncos' young group (Cutler, Ramsey, Hackney, Parsons). The 49ers have big expectations this season and will be motivated by the chance to face a top tier team from the AFC and by the chance to play on "Primetime." I expect them to start the preseason with a solid win and cover.
 

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Ben Burns

Afternoon "TOTAL" Annihilator
UNDER giants/pirates (Game 1)


Game: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Game Time: 8/13/2007 5:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on GAME 1 of the San Francisco / Pittsburgh Double-Header to finish UNDER the total. The UNDER is 8-4-2 the last 14 times these teams faced each other and 8-5 the last 13 times they met here in Pittsburgh. Cain comes off three straight strong starts, recording a stellar 2.21 ERA. During that stretch he had an impressive 21 K's to just four walks. He also has a solid 3.04 ERA in seven daytime starts this season, holding opposing hitters to a mere .208 batting average. Maholm has been strong in each of his last two home starts, holding the Cardinals to two runs through six innings after limiting Houston to two runs through 6 2/3 innings in his previous start. Looking back further and we find that Maholm has allowed four earned runs or less in eight striaght home starts, going a minimum of six complete innings in each of the last seven of those. He'll face a Giants' lineup which has seen the UNDER go a highly profitable 15-5 its last 20 games against left-handed starters. Cain has seen the UNDER go a perfect 4-0 his last four starts and I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair this afternoon.

PERSONAL FAVORITE
DODGERS


Game: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Game Time: 8/13/2007 10:10:00 PM Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers Reason: I'm playing on the LA DODGERS. Granted, Oswalt has been excellent lately. However, he still has a 4-5 road record with an ugly 5.52 ERA, allowing opposing hitters to bat .300 against him. His opponent, Chad Billingsley is also in fine current form. Indeed, Billingsley allowed only two combined runs in his last two starts and he's now allowed four earned runs or less in eight straight starts. For the season, he has a highly respectable 3.08 ERA underneath the lights and a 3.43 ERA at home, allowing opposing hitters to bat a mere .228. In his lone start against Houston, Billingsley tossed a complete game 5-hitter and the Dodgers won by a score of 10-2. The Dodgers remain above 500 (30-29) at home while the Astros are a horrible 20-38 (-1592) on the road, the worst mark in the National League. That includes an 0-4 record the last four times they faced a right-hander on the road. The Dodgers are also 6-2 the last eight times they hosted the Astros and 13-7 the last 20. I feel the price is very fair and I look for the Dodgers to continue that homefield series dominance, bouncing back from yesterday's embarrassing loss by grabbing tonight's series opener. *Personal Favorite
 

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Michael Cannon Money Train

15 Dime –
BRONCOS


Take the points with the Broncos tonight in their preseason opener against the 49ers.
Denver coach Mike Shanahan is a coach who takes the preseason seriously. He’s 37-15 SU in his career with Denver, including 7-1 SU (5-3 ATS) the last two years. Denver is also 10-2 SU in its last 12 preseason openers under Shanahan.
Shanahan will start with Jay Cutler at quarterback and he’ll depart after the first two series along with the rest of the first-team. From there, Patrick Ramsey will play for most of the remainder of the game and that bodes well for the Broncos chances.
Ramsey is a former starter with the Redskins who will benefit from going against the second and third-stringers of San Francisco.
Denver is 8-1 against the 49ers in preseason action going back to 1995, and 6-1 ATS in its last seven.
Take the points with Denver and it wouldn’t surprise me in the least bit to see them win outright.

5 Dime –
BLUE JAYS (With Litsch and Perez as listed pitchers)


Take Toronto as the small road chalk over Kansas City.
The Blue Jays will start Jesse Litsch tonight and the right-hander has been on a nice little roll lately. He’s 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA over his last three games. His recent performance allowed him to remain in the rotation when A.J. Burnett returned from the DL, while Josh Towers was moved to the bullpen.
Kansas City will counter with Odalis Perez. The left-hander has lost three of his last four starts, posting a 6.00 ERA during that span. He left his last start after three innings due to leg soreness, so there’s no telling how effective he’s going to be tonight.
Take the Blue Jays as they grab the road win.

RAVENS
Buy the ½ point if your line is -3 ½.
Lay the points with the Ravens tonight over the Eagles.


Philadelphia will be without the services of quarterback Donovan McNabb, who continues to rehab his surgically repaired knee. I really don’t see A.J. Feeley, Kelly Holcomb or Kevin Kolb doing anything tonight.
Philly coach Andy Reid really doesn’t concern himself too much with preseason outcomes, as he’s just 12-20 SU in the preseason. Over the last three seasons, the Eagles are just 1-5 SU and 3-3 ATS on the road in August.
The Ravens have the definite edge at quarterback tonight, where Steve McNair will start and give way to Kyle Boller, who will get most of the playing time the rest of the way.
Baltimore is 4-2 SUATS at home the last three preseasons.
Lay the points with the Ravens and don’t forget to buy the ½ point if your line is -3 ½.
 

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Kelso Sturgeon

Preseason NFL 8/13

5 units Eagles +3 @ Balt
5 units Denver +3 @ SF
1 unit Parlay on both above
 

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Brandon Lang

15 DIME
Blue Jays - Specify Pitchers - Litsch vs Perez

10 DIME
Yankees -1 1/2 runs - Specify Pitchers - Guthrie vs Wang

5 DIME
Tigers - Specify Pitchers - Gaudin vs Durbin
Mariners - Specify Pitchers - Santana vs Hernandez
(NFLX) Eagles
(NFLX) Niners

free pick - Red Sox -1 1/2 runs
 

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MLB Larry Ness

Mariners

The Twins are counting on their ace to help bounce back from a frustrating three-game sweep. Johan Santana squares off against Seattle's Felix Hernandez as the Twins and Mariners open a three-game series at Safeco Field on Monday night. The Twins fell to 1-5 on their nine-game road trip after being swept in a weekend series by the AL West-leading Angels. Minnesota, which also dropped two of three in Kansas City, has been held to three runs or less in 10 of 11 games this month. While Santana is a great road pitcher going 8-3 with a 2.51 ERA in 13 away starts, betting on him this year has not been the money-making proposition it was last year. Santana was MLB's top moneymaker in '06, as the Twins went 27-7 (plus-$1,669) in his starts. In 24 starts this year, the Twins are 14-10 but minus-$502. Seattle has won 11 of its last 15 and remained one percentage point ahead of the New York Yankees for the AL wild card lead after Sunday's 6-0 win over the Chicago White Sox. Seattle, which trails the Angels by 3 1/2 games in the West, finished its road trip with a 5-1 record and is a season high-tying 15 games above .500. The Mariners are MLB's moneyline leaders at plus-$2,077 and that comes mainly on the team's strength at home, where they are plus-$1,424 (37-22). Felix Hernandez has not been overpowering this year but the team is 7-3 in his last 10 starts, including 4-1 at home. Seattle is 8-3 in his 11 home starts in '07. Santana is 7-1 in eight career starts vs Seattle but as mentioned before, this is NOT a typical year for him. He entered his last start having gone 0-3 with a 4.85 ERA in his previous four outings and he went six innings while allowing eight hits and two ERs in an 11-4 win at KC. However, he left that game with a split nail on the middle finger of his pitching hand. He says it won't be a problem but who knows? Let's not forget, the Mariners are 22-8 (plus-$1,675) vs left-handers this year. MLB Underdog of the Week 15* Sea Mariners.



MLB Larry Ness

Tigers

The Tigers' 11-6 win over Oakland yesterday, gave them just an 8-16 mark in their last 24 games. However, with the Indians struggling as well (were just swept at home by the Yankees), Detroit is atop the AL Central for the first time since August 2. The Tigers just may STAY there! The A's have typically been a strong second half team this decade but so far in '07, are just 12-18 since the break. Tonight's starter, Chad Gaudin, has followed the path of his teammates. He was 6-1 with a 2.85 ERA in his first 14 starts but is 2-7 with a 6.00 ERA in his last 10. The A's went 13-5 in his 18 starts before the break but he's returned to go 0-5 with an 8.54 ERA in his six starts since (team is 0-6). He's opposed tonight by another Chad, Detroit's Durbin. Durbin allowed three runs and six hits in 4.1 innings of a 7-1 loss to Tampa Bay on Wednesday, his first start since June 19. He'd worked out of the bullpen in the interim. He's nothing special but the Tigers have "regained their mojo," while the A's are going nowhere fast. Gaudin has seemingly "lost it" on the mound plus Oakland could be without Nick Swisher and Mark Kotsay on Monday, as well. Swisher left Sunday's game with a sore hamstring, while Kotsay departed with a stiff back. Las Vegas Insider on the Det Tigers.
 

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MLB Larry Ness

Mariners

The Twins are counting on their ace to help bounce back from a frustrating three-game sweep. Johan Santana squares off against Seattle's Felix Hernandez as the Twins and Mariners open a three-game series at Safeco Field on Monday night. The Twins fell to 1-5 on their nine-game road trip after being swept in a weekend series by the AL West-leading Angels. Minnesota, which also dropped two of three in Kansas City, has been held to three runs or less in 10 of 11 games this month. While Santana is a great road pitcher going 8-3 with a 2.51 ERA in 13 away starts, betting on him this year has not been the money-making proposition it was last year. Santana was MLB's top moneymaker in '06, as the Twins went 27-7 (plus-$1,669) in his starts. In 24 starts this year, the Twins are 14-10 but minus-$502. Seattle has won 11 of its last 15 and remained one percentage point ahead of the New York Yankees for the AL wild card lead after Sunday's 6-0 win over the Chicago White Sox. Seattle, which trails the Angels by 3 1/2 games in the West, finished its road trip with a 5-1 record and is a season high-tying 15 games above .500. The Mariners are MLB's moneyline leaders at plus-$2,077 and that comes mainly on the team's strength at home, where they are plus-$1,424 (37-22). Felix Hernandez has not been overpowering this year but the team is 7-3 in his last 10 starts, including 4-1 at home. Seattle is 8-3 in his 11 home starts in '07. Santana is 7-1 in eight career starts vs Seattle but as mentioned before, this is NOT a typical year for him. He entered his last start having gone 0-3 with a 4.85 ERA in his previous four outings and he went six innings while allowing eight hits and two ERs in an 11-4 win at KC. However, he left that game with a split nail on the middle finger of his pitching hand. He says it won't be a problem but who knows? Let's not forget, the Mariners are 22-8 (plus-$1,675) vs left-handers this year. MLB Underdog of the Week 15* Sea Mariners.
 

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Platinum Plays

Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7½ runs

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Razor Sharp Sports

SAN FRANCISCO/PITTSBURGH UNDER the total of 9

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Mike Wynn

Detroit w/Durbin -145 Over Oakland

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Totals 4 U

TORONTO/KANSAS CITY UNDER 9 1/2

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Huddle Up Sports

San Francisco Lowry -110

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Bud's Wiser Picks

Boston Red Sox

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#1 Sports

TAMPA BAY DEVIL RAYS + 150

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H.D.'s ActionLine

Twins -120

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TV Hotline

Seattle +115

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Boston Red Sox

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The Scout

Boston -170 over Tampa Bay

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Dark Horse Sports

MLB - LA Dodgers -110 over Houston
 

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Jimmy the Moose

Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals
Monday, August 13th, 8:10 P.M. EST EST

The Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. Toronto is also 5-1 in their last 6 games as the favorite. In their last 14 games played on Monday's the Jays are 10-4. The Royals are 4-9 in their last 13 home games as a dog of +110 to +150. Perez is on the mound tonight and the Royals are 2-5 in his alst 7 starts as a dog. KC has lost 6 of his last 8 starts. The Royals are 1-6 in his last 7 home starts. Toronto has won 8 of the last 11 meetings including 2 of the 3 games in this 4-set series.

Play on: Toronto
 

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Winning Inc.

NFL: EAGLES/RAVENS Over the total of 31.5

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CappersAccess

(Mon) NFL 49ers
(Mon) MLB Dodgers

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Guaranteed Picks

Philadelphia Eagles +3.5

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Joe Wiz

Boston Red Sox -165






Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (911) TAM Devil Rays and (912) BOS Red Sox. Take "Over". Boston returns home from a long road trip and it will be nice for the offense to hit a few off the Monster. That's what they've done to Devil Rays starter James Shields, who has a 5.40 ERA against Boston this season and 5.87 lifetime. Tampa Bay will be able to score as Tim Wakefield has a 5.27 ERA his last three starts. You can run on a knuckler, of course, and the D-Rays are second in the AL in steals. Looks like an offensive shootout at Fenway, especially when you factor in the horrendous Tampa Bay bullpen. Play the Devil Rays/Red Sox over the total!
 

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Dave Cokin

My free pick of the day is the game between (913) TOR Blue Jays and (914) KC Royals. Take "(913) TOR Blue Jays". Dave is off to a rock solid start with his football plays, including his Sunday night winner with the Seahawks. Get tonight's Eagles-Ravens play for just $25 at Dave's Solid Gold Club and win again!... "I didn't think Jesse Litsch would be much of a puzzle to big league hitters, but the Toronto rookie has done a very nice job since being recalled. Litsch rates a decent edge here as he faces KC southpaw Odalis Perez. This has been a strong series for the pitchers, but I see Toronto having a breakthrough offensively in the series finale and wrapping it up with a win over the Royals."
 

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Larry Cook

3* on Houston +101

(Listing Oswalt)

The Dodgers have really been struggling lately and it’s not going to get any better when they take on Roy Oswalt and the Houston Astros tonight. Oswalt is 12-6 with a 3.42 ERA in 2007. He has been virtually unhittable in his last 3 starts. Oswalt is 3-0 with a 0.47 ERA in his last 3 outings. He has allowed just 13 hits in 19 innings of work during this run. Chad Billingsley is 0-3 in his last 3 starts for the Dodgers. Los Angeles has dropped 7 of their last 9 ball games overall. The reason is they are hitting a miserable .222 in their last 10 games. The Astros are 6-0 in Oswalt's last 6 starts with 4 days of rest. The Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a favorite. L.A. is 0-4 in their last 4 home games. There is no reason the Dodgers should be favored today and we will capitalize on it. Bet the Astros behind Oswalt.




Big Al McMordie

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Under

At 10:10pm our selection is on the Houston Astros and the Los Angeles Dodgers 'under' the total. Although the Astros' season is for all purposes over, righthanded ace Roy Oswalt is really hitting his stride now and is back to the form that has made one of the Majors' elite hurlers over the past six years. Earlier this year, Oswalt's command was off and he was walking too many batters (he already has fourteen more walks in 2007 than he had all of last year). But over his last eight starts, the Astros have a record of 7-1 and Oswalt has only issued eleven free passes during that span. Dodger righthander Chad Billingsley has had a major problem in the run support department lately. In his last pair of outings, the Dodgers have failed to score any runs for Billingsley, and if it makes him feel any better, it's not just Billingsley that the team isn't scoring for. In their last seven games, including Sunday's 12-2 blowout at the hands of the St. Louis Cards, the Dodgers have only scored a total of ten runs. That's an average of well under two runs per game. Take the 'under'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.


Big Al McMordie

Boston/Tampa Bay UNDER 9.5

Pittsburgh Pirates Game DH#2
 

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MLB Larry Ness

Tigers

The Tigers' 11-6 win over Oakland yesterday, gave them just an 8-16 mark in their last 24 games. However, with the Indians struggling as well (were just swept at home by the Yankees), Detroit is atop the AL Central for the first time since August 2. The Tigers just may STAY there! The A's have typically been a strong second half team this decade but so far in '07, are just 12-18 since the break. Tonight's starter, Chad Gaudin, has followed the path of his teammates. He was 6-1 with a 2.85 ERA in his first 14 starts but is 2-7 with a 6.00 ERA in his last 10. The A's went 13-5 in his 18 starts before the break but he's returned to go 0-5 with an 8.54 ERA in his six starts since (team is 0-6). He's opposed tonight by another Chad, Detroit's Durbin. Durbin allowed three runs and six hits in 4.1 innings of a 7-1 loss to Tampa Bay on Wednesday, his first start since June 19. He'd worked out of the bullpen in the interim. He's nothing special but the Tigers have "regained their mojo," while the A's are going nowhere fast. Gaudin has seemingly "lost it" on the mound plus Oakland could be without Nick Swisher and Mark Kotsay on Monday, as well. Swisher left Sunday's game with a sore hamstring, while Kotsay departed with a stiff back. Las Vegas Insider on the Det Tigers.
 

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ATS Lock Club

Baseball Financial
3*-Houston Even

Football Lock Club
4* Baltimore -3.5
 

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NFL Larry Ness

49ers

The "old news" is that the Broncos were a 'lock' in Week 1 of the preseason. However, as Bob Dylan once said, "the times they are a-changin." The Broncos were kind of a mess by the end of last year. I'm not sure a sooner-than-expected change at QB (Plummer is out and Cutler is in) helps. The tragic death of a player in the off-season surely doesn't and after changing their offensive coordinator before last year (offense stunk!), the Broncos head into the '07 with a new DC (uh-oh!). QB Jay Cutler and the first-team offense are expected to play only one or two series. Patrick Ramsey will get most of the snaps on Monday at QB and since when did anyone think he can play in the NFL? Of course the 49ers' Frank Gore will miss the preseason with his broken hand but he didn't figure to play much anyway. San Francisco's QB rotation of Alex Smith, Trent Dilfer and Shaun Hill should give the Niners a nice advantage. As mentioned at the top, Denver is no longer a "sure thing" in Week 1, as the Broncos have dropped TWO of their last three preseason openers. As for the 49ers, they played very well in two preseason home games last year, beating the Bears 28-14 (eventual NFC champs) and the Chargers, 23-14 (NFL-best 14-2 record in '06). The Niners open with two home games and then finish at Chicago and San Diego. I expect good efforts from them in EACH of these first two games (hint for next week?). Magnificent Monday 15* on the SF 49ers.
 

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Big Al

These are correct .....

BIG AL's BASEBALL UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH; 22-7 RUN!
ON FIRE! Al McMordie SWEPT THE BOARD yesterday, going 3-0 with big winners on Detroit, NY/Cleveland 'Under' and Toronto/KC 'Under'. Big Al's now 22-7 his last 29 Baseball Plays here at the Online Store, and today is UNLOADING on his MLB UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH! Don't miss this SURE-FIRE PUPPY.
Mariners

RED-HOT BIG AL's BASEBALL ANNIHILATION (22-7 L29)!
RED-HOT Al McMordie is 22-7 his last 29 Baseball plays here at the Online Store, after SWEEPING THE BOARD Sunday with the 'under' in both the KC/Tor and NY/Cleve games, and Detroit over Oakland. Now, Al's STEPPING OUT with an MLB ANNIHILATION. If you enjoyed Al's NFL Annihilation on the Redskins over the Titans, then you'll LOVE this Winner

Tigers
 

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Accu-Picks
4* Yankees-1' runs
4*Over 9' Boston
4*Tor
3* Dodger
3* Over 9' Yankees


Billy Coleman

MLB
4* Toronto
3* Baltimore

NFL
3* Ravens -3.5
 

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