three tonight with analysis

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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-1.88 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">32</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">41</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+1.74 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2007)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">170</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">203</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+20.01 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.

Houston +1.04 over LOS ANGELES
The Dodgers are coming off a six game road trip in which they scored a total of 10 runs. What makes that even more disturbing is that they played three in Cincinnati and three in St. Louis and when you can’t score against those two saying you’re in a offensive funk is a gross understatement. In fact, they were shutout twice in Cincinnati and scored just five runs over the weekend against Wainright, Looper, Reyes and a brutal Cardinal pen. The Dodgers have been shutout four times in their last nine games. Roy Oswalt needs no introduction whatsoever. The man has been one of the best in the business over the years and he’s on a roll right now. In fact, Oswalt’s ERA over his last four games is 0.72 and he should be able to breeze through this pressing Dodger line-up. The Astros have scored four or more runs in nine of its last 10 games and five or more in seven of those. The Astros plus anything here is a true gift and we’re on it. Play: Houston +1.04 (Risking 2 units).<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
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Baltimore +2.30 over NY YANKEES
Price here is all the incentive we need to back the Orioles and that’s all there is to it. This isn’t rocket science at all, it’s simply taking back huge value with a very capable Jeremy Guthrie on the hill against Chien-Ming Wang, a guy that’s been laboring recently and that gave up nine hits and four walks in six innings to these same Orioles on July 29. Baltimore scored three times that night but should’ve and were in a position to score 3X that. In his last start against the Blue Jays, Wang was tagged for eight runs in 2.2 innings. So yeah, the Yanks are steaming hot and yeah, they’ve been extremely tough to beat, however, they’re still way, way overpriced here and we never try to predict the outcome of games. We look for value, play it and let the chips fall where they may. This is value. Play: Baltimore +2.30 (Risking 2 units).<o:p></o:p>
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DETROIT –1½ +1.37 over Oakland
After a horrible slump the Tigers seemed to have found the right ingredients to get back on track. Offensively, the Tigers are as explosive as any team in the league and they proved that over the weekend with 26 runs in the three games. The Tigers recent funk came not as a result of an sputtering offense but because their bullpen couldn’t get anyone out. However, a couple of recent call-ups (Yorman Bazardo and Aquilino López) has worked out very well indeed and has given the pen a much needed boost in the arm. In addition, Chad Guadin is pitching on fumes and the Tigers will smell blood right from the opening pitch. Since the all-star break, Gaudin is 0-5 in six starts with an ERA of 8.54. In four previous years in the majors the most innings he’s pitched is 64 and this year he’s up to 140 frames and that’s a big part of his problem. The other part is that he’s just not that good and his torrid start was more of an aberration then anything else. Lastly, the A’s will likely be without Nick Swisher and Mark Kotsay here as both were pulled yesterday after suffering injuries. Tigers are back on track and should lay over this visitor again in impressive fashion. Play: Detroit –1½ +1.37 (Risking 2 units).
 

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