Saturday Service Plays

Scott Spreitzer's MLB Bailout Game of the Week! *92-57, 62% Since May 1st!

Scott cashed last night's MLB 3-play Trifecta! He's now 92-57, 62% winners since MAY 1ST in MLB league play! That includes a current 10-4 winning mark! Now grab Scott's coveted MLB BAILOUT GAME OF THE WEEK! It's another red-hot, DIAMOND DOMINATOR to shock the books!

Scott Spreitzer's MLB Bailout Game of the Week! *92-57, 62% Since May 1st!
Roy Oswalt has been on fire since June. The righty has made 14 strong outings in his last 15 appearances (13 starts). He's gone 85 1/3 innings during the hot streak, allowing just 25 earned runs along the way for a sizzling, 2.64 ERA! The Astros have won each of his last five starts and 10 of his last 12, overall. And, after struggling away from home early in the season, Oswalt has now won three straight on the road, sporting a 1.35 ERA & 1.00 WHIP. The veteran hurler has always been a strong post all-star pitcher and he's also dominated the Friars. In 10 appearances, (8 starts), Oswalt is 7-1 against SDG with a 2.15 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. He's won both of his starts at PETCO, sporting a 2.03 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and .220 BAA. Meanwhile, proving that not every pitcher has an advantage in SDG's new-ish digs is Justin Germano. The Pads are just 2-8 in his 10 home starts where he owns a 5.52 ERA. His last four at home have been even worse, allowing 17 ER & 30 BR in just 20 IP. That's a 7.65 ERA & 1.50 WHIP. With Houston scoring an average of almost 1 1/2 runs per game more than the Padres in this spot, we'll side with the visitor. Houston is my Bailout GOW. Thanks! GL! Scott.






Scott Spreitzer's MLB Divisional GOM! (Day Game) 17-3, 85%!

**Day Game Alert!** Scott cashed his Trifecta last night and he's on a 17-3, 85% GOM run! On Saturday afternoon, Scott's releasing his DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE MONTH! Grab the Diamond Crusher right now and cash again with Smash Mouth Sports!

Scott Spreitzer's MLB Divisional GOM! (Day Game) 17-3, 85%!
The Blue Jays are my AL East Game of the Month. Toronto headed into this weekend series on an impressive 18-6 home field run. They're also 12-6 in home day games when facing righties, scoring an average of 5.9 RPG. They should find little resistance against Steve Trachsel. The veteran righthander has not had much success away from Camden Yards. Baltimore is 2-10 in his 12 road starts this season, including five straight away losses. In those five games, Trachsel has allowed 19 earned runs, 19 walks, and 32 hits in just 23 IP. He's averaging less than five IP per start with a 7.43 ERA & 2.22 WHIP. He's also struggled quite a bit in day starts over the last two seasons. Trachsel's career marks may look good on paper against Toronto, but he's rarely faced them over the last half-dozen seasons. In fact, in his only recent meeting with the Jays, (2006), Trachsel was roughed up for four earned runs and nine base runners in just five innings. I don't expect him to receive nearly enough help from his offense. After all, Jesse Litsch has come into his own over his last seven starts. During the run, he's allowed just 11 earned runs in 43 1/3 IP for a 2.29 ERA to go along with a decent 1.39 WHIP. I really feel this line came about 30-cents lower than it should be and we'll grab the spot with Toronto. The Blue Jays are my AL East GOM. Thanks! GL! Scott.





Larry Ness' Weekend Wipeout Winner-NFLX Week 2 (23-7 run in MLB with Wipeout Winners!)
Larry's Wipeout Winners in MLB have set a high standard for the FB season, as he's on a 23-7 run since May 6! Larry's first Wipeout Winner of the '07 FB season was a "hard-luck loser" in Week 1, as the Texans coughed up a 12-point 4th-quarter lead. He vows to bounce back Saturday, with a game that's got "blowout written all over it!"
Weekend Wipeout Winner
Arizona Cardinals






Larry Ness' NFLX Week Two 20* (now 4-1 or 80% ATS the last two preseasons!)
Larry sparkled in last year's preseason with his 20* plays, winning THREE of four, including his Preseason GOY on the 49ers over the Chargers in Week 4 (23-14). He opened the '07 preseason by winning his Week One 20* on the Panthers, making it a 4-1 or 80% ATS run with 20-stars the last two years. Get it now and win with Larry!

20*
Jacksonville Jaguars
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Ben Burns

NFL:

(Conference Game of the Year)
Green Bay Packers

(Big total Non Conference Total of Year)
Over Jacksonville/TB Bucs

(CBS TV Game Of the Month)
St. Louis Rams


MLB:

(Personal Favorite)
Toronto Blue Jays

Gator

NFLx 70% Situational Report:

NFLX (Saturday): Play On NFLX road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset win as an underdog and undefeated in the preseason.
(24-7 ATS since 1993.) (77.4%) PLAY: Denver +5

Cappers Access

Sat) NFL Cardinals Texans 3 Texans
(Sat) NFL Steelers Redskins 2 Steelers
(Sat) NFL Browns Lions 2 Lions
(Sat) MLB Blue Jays Orioles 150 Blue Jays

Psychic

NFL

3 units Dallas -5
3 units San Fran -3.5
2 units Detroit/Cleveland OVER 35
2 units Tampa Bay +5.5
2 units Washington +2.5


MLB

2 units St Louis Cards +120

Michael Cannon

Money Train..........

20 Dime
PITTSBURGH STEELERS


5 Dime
ARIZONA CARDINALS
CLEVELAND BROWNS

EZ Winners

These are Saturday's plays.....


1 STAR: (951) ST. LOUIS (+$113) over Chicago
(Listing Reyes and Marshall)
(Risking $100 to win $113)

1 STAR: (957) CINCINNATI (+$135) over Milwuakee
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $135)

1 STAR: (962) FLORIDA (+$111) over San Francisco
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $111)

1 STAR: (965) COLORADO (+$143) over LA Dodgers
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $143)

1 STAR: (976) TAMPA BAY (+$133) over Cleveland
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $133)

1 STAR: (979) CHICAGO (+$149) over Cleveland
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $149)



YESTERDAY'S RECAP - We were 1-3 on Friday. A $100 player lost $188. A down day for us as only the Reds could get it done.
ST. LOUIS (+$116) LOST -$100
ATLANTA (+$137) LOST -$100
CINCINNATI (+$112) WON +$112
BALTIMORE (+$150) LOST -$100

Wunderdog

Game: Houston at Arizona (Saturday 8/18 4:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Houston +3

Houston head coach Gary Kubiak has shown a desire to win these exhibition games, putting forth more effort toward the end result than most. We rode the Texans last week as a +1.5 and eked out the win despite their best effort to give it away and we will come right back with them here. Kubiak was 3-1 last season as a head coach of the Texans and flawless ATS. He has said he will increase the play of the starters in this game by about 67% (25 snaps vs. 15). Ken Wisenhunt has no track record but it appears evident from game one that he is evaluating, rather than programming a team to win. Versus Oakland last week, the Cards had eight drives of 4 plays or less and they gave up 27 points - a ton for the preseason. Nothing we have seen from that game indicates he is trying especially hard to win these games. The Cardinals suffered two major injuries in last week's preseason game (LB Chike Okeafor tore a bicep and RT Oliver Ross tore a tricep) as well as a slew of lesser injuries. Often when that happens, coaches get spooked and back down on aggressively playing starters for fear of further injuries. So don't be surprised if Arizona starters don't see a lot of action in this one. In week two battles of winless teams during the preseason, the underdog has been a great ATS play. We also like to back underdogs vs. teams that have been perennial losers. Here we get a dog coached by someone who seems to value winning and we'll ride them here.


Game: New Orleans at Cincinnati (Saturday 8/18 7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on New Orleans +3.5

Here we have yet another battle of winless teams squaring off in Cincinnati. The Saints have dropped two in a row and have looked pretty darn bad. We faded them last week, noting Sean Payton's apparent lack of desire to play hard in the preseason. They lost that game vs. Buffalo outright as a 6.5 point favorite. That came on the heels of an embarrassing 20-7 loss on national TV in the Hall of Fame game. Well, it's now officially reached a boiling point in New Orleans (as much as it ever does in the preseason). They are a bit nervous and don't want to continue these embarrassing performances. We think they will be extra motivated this week to atone for those two outcomes. If you saw the Saints and Bengals games last week, you know New Orleans will score some points in this game. Drew Brees was doing regular season stuff, with play action fakes and throws all over the field. He connected with seven different receivers in just two drives, good for 120 yards. The Saints were unable to finish the drives, but beware. This was not the signs of a coach handing the ball off and just going through the motions. The Saints put the ball in the air 41 times for nearly 300 yards so the intent is to get the offense into gear. And in an exhibition game, when a coach is using starters and back-ups to extend the defense, eventually there is going to be some big plays. The Bengals last week allowed an aerial display not often seen in the NFL preseason as the Lions put up nearly 500 yards through the air and 3 TDs. The Saints were off a short week last week and Buffalo was very motivated. If the Saints come out as aggressive as they did against Buffalo, it will be hard for the Bengals to do anything about it. With this being game #3 (with two bad losses) for the Saints, there should be even more emphasis than there was in week two to perform and win. The Bengals mindset is different. Yes, they lost last week but it was one game and they know they performed very well, at least on offense. They know they should have won that game (had 16 point fourth quarter lead). So, they aren't feeling nearly the pressure to perform that New Orleans is here. They are content. New Orleans fits in one of our preseason systems favoring under-performing teams that have been offensively inept. This system rocks and we think the Saints will rock here too, grabbing their first win (or at least a point spread cover).


Game: San Diego at St. Louis (Saturday 8/18 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on St. Louis +2.5

We watched the end of the San Diego opener vs. Seattle and one thing stood out. Norv Turner had everyone off the field with his offense going three-and-out in the fourth quarter twice. Meanwhile Seattle was gaining large chunks of yards, on way to scoring 17 points. Turner gets some reps for his starters and then shortens the game in the 4th quarter to get out without any problems. Tomlinson will not play again as he does not even suit up for these games. It certainly must send the signal to the rest of the squad to just shorten the game and minimize the bumps. This team has nothing to prove and they just want to get to game one of the regular season healthy. A team that wins 14 games doesn't care about their preseason record - at all. Marry that to a coach who doesn't care (17-20 preseason record for Turner) and you have a great team to fade. We don't like the fact that Turner has said he'll play his starters for the entire first half of this game, but at least the NFL's best player (LT) won't be on the field. This will be offset to some extent by the messages (overt and subliminal) being sent to Chargers players this week. Those messages all say "relax." Two-a-days are over and Turner said this week, "We’re going to go next week and have light practices during the morning. They’re half walk-through and half practice. It’s more of teaching-type periods." The Chargers' website reports that Turner is "very pleased" with his team's work through the first three weeks of camp. "We've gotten a lot done," he said this week. So, what are these players hearing? That they have done very well and things are going to lighten up. Nothing about working harder. Nothing about needing to improve. Nothing about winning. Scott Linehan took a different approach last week as the Rams put the ball in the air 43 times, lost the turnover battle 3-0, and still won their game! That tells us that this team is making attempts to move the ball down field and has no intent on shortening the game. It is unusal to see a team overcome a 3-0 turnover deficit, especially on the road, to win the game. That highlights these contrasting approaches to the preseason. Combine that with points given at home, where NFL exhibition teams have really done some winning, and we have a strong play on the home dog.


Game: Seattle at Green Bay (Saturday 8/18 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Seattle +2.5

Mike McCarthy went 1-3 last year in the preseason. For a new coach, that's quite a rare feat! If he doesn't feel pressure to try to win out of the gate in his first year, why would he feel pressure to win in his second? Mike Holmgren, in contrast, has a winning preseason record. The Seahawks are very motivated to win right now. They are coming off a terribly dissapointing season. After getting to the Super Bowl in 2005, they had a dissapointing year in 2006, squeaking into the playoffs and lucking out vs. Dallas to make it out of the first round. One year wonder? No good anymore? These are the questions they heard and asked themselves last year. Well, 2007 is a new season! What better way to put 2006 behind them then to send a message early on that they are back? We believe they will play harder than most the entire preseason. If not to convince others, to convince themselves and gain some confidence back. Last week Seneca Wallace looked awesome so with him getting most of the reps, we have no worries about this Seattle offense. The QB of concern on this field will be Brett Favre who looked horrible last week. Despite his performance, Green Bay won the game so there isn't as much pressure for improvement this week as is probably deserved. Seattle is the better team with better depth. We'll take the points, especially against a team with a head coach that appears to put little emphasis on winning in the preseason.

ATS
12 units on the Cubs
5 Astros
4 Phillies

charlie

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nfl. new orleans @ cincinnati over 38' ( 500*)

nfl. touston+3 (30*)

nfl. oakland+3' (20*)

nfl. denver+5 (20*)

nfl. tampa bay @ jax under 35 (10*)

nfl. st. louis+2' (10*) Bonus Play

Ben Burns Baseball

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Saturday Senoir Circuit Blowout
Milwaukee Brewers

Larry Ness Baseball

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Las vegas Insider
Cleveland Indians (Yes the same as yesterday)
15* TV Game of the WEEK-Seattle Mariners

Trev Rogers

MLB:
Blue Jays
Phillies
Mets

NFL:
Cardinals
Jaguars
Packers

Looking for Sebastian's plays....thanks in advance.

Anyone seen docs ml GOY?
Thanks

I saw Doc's GOY was on the NYM! 8* play.....

Doc's Baseball

Nym - 8* G.O.Y.
Nyy -1.5 Rl 3*
Cle - 3*

BEN BURNS Bonus Play. Has been doing very well on these.

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=469 bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TD colSpan=2>
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=445 bgColor=#b1c597 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=a2w align=middle bgColor=#2a6141 height=20> US Football (NFL)</TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#ffffff> </TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#ffffff> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=a2> <!-- 1. -->PITTSBURGH (-3 or better)</TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#ffffff> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=a2 bgColor=#e6edda> Game: Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Redskins Aug 18 2007 8:00PM
Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers
Reason: Although they won their opening preseason game, the Redskins remain a poor 2-7 SU/ATS their last nine preseason games under Gibbs. Note that the Skins didn't score a single point until the fourth quarter last week, so it wasn't as if the starting offense accomplished much of anything. Having played in the Hall of Fame Game, the Steelers have an extra game under their belts. New Coach Tomlin commented after last week's loss to Green Bay: "I don't like coming out on the short side, but the positive side is this will give us an edge going into next week." Look for that to be the case as the visitors cover the small number and drop the Skins to 0-7 when playing a preseason game with an over/under line of 35 or less. Consider a play on PITTSBURGH (-3 or better, no play if line climbs above a field goal)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Phil's been a disaster this preseason...

Northcoast Sports:

4 -Green Bay pk
4 -Cleveland -2
3 -SF 49ers -3 1/2

Kelso's 50*-Lions - NFLX GOY