TOP THREE pitching mismatches on Monday, August 20, 2007

MistaFlava · Aug 20, 2007

These are 10-1 since I started posting them. Here are today's three:

Pitching mistmatches

1. Tim Hudson (ATL) -191 over Phil Dumatrait (CIN)

Hudson (Last 3 starts): 2.57 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Dumatrait (Last 3 starts): 10.32 ERA, 2.56 WHIP

2. Matt Garza (MIN) -146 over Horacio Ramirez (SEA)

Ramirez (Last 3 starts): 10.93 ERA, 2.29 WHIP
Garza (Last 3 starts): 3.06 ERA, 1.30 WHIP

3. Doug Davis (ARZ) -122 over Yovani Gallardo (MIL)

Gallardo (Last 3 starts): 11.40 ERA, 2.00 WHIP
Davis (Last 3 starts): 2.66 ERA, 1.08 WHIP

:toast:

PatrickMcIrish · Aug 20, 2007

On Atlanta and Arizona with you, good luck man.

tatehill2000 · Aug 20, 2007

Hey Flava,,,, I gotta say thank you for takeing a min to post the stats,,,, dont you think sometimes we DONT see the forest because we concentrate on the TREES???? lollol

well,,, I have always appreciated your posts, and perspectives,,

all the best:toast:
Tater

mpn · Aug 20, 2007

thank you once again.

cashflowmatters · Aug 20, 2007

Keep up the nice work Mista, I agree with all today :103631605

chengkeke · Aug 20, 2007

Wish this was at the beginning of the season! Great work Mr!

theoldschool · Aug 20, 2007

I hope this continues. Yesterday, the teams with a SP with a better Sagarin rating went 13-1 (only Was losing).

SouthampMain · Aug 20, 2007

Thanks for the write-ups and picks as of late......keep the winners coming!BOL :money8:
but to be honest i cant wait for your NFL write-ups!!! opening kickoff is around the corner!!!!:toast: (good call on the giants last night)

Snets · Aug 20, 2007

Flava:

Here's some addition run differentials for those starting pitchers:

Hudson All: +2.4 L3: +3
Dumartrait All:-1 L3: -1 * only 1 start at home but it was solid - careful

Rameirez All: +.8 L3: 0
Garza All: +2.5 L3: +2.7 ** Twins bats very icy could make horacio look like cy

Gallardo All: -1.4 L3: -6.3
Davis All: -.2 L3: +2 *** Snakes hot & Brewers not Best Bet for me.

Thanks Flava

WorldNumberOne · Aug 20, 2007

the old school said:
I hope this continues. Yesterday, the teams with a SP with a better Sagarin rating went 13-1 (only Was losing).

where do get that rating from ?

MistaFlava · Aug 20, 2007

World Number One said:
where do get that rating from ?

its on the USAToday page...

Drunkn247 · Aug 20, 2007

just curious to if your plays have been winning on the runline also so you wouldnt have to pay all the juice if they do lose.

LeftHandLow · Aug 20, 2007

Drunk, With his record,why worry about juice! LHL

JER-ZJOCK · Aug 20, 2007

Snets said:
Flava:

Here's some addition run differentials for those starting pitchers:

Hudson All: +2.4 L3: +3
Dumartrait All:-1 L3: -1 * only 1 start at home but it was solid - careful

Rameirez All: +.8 L3: 0
Garza All: +2.5 L3: +2.7 ** Twins bats very icy could make horacio look like cy

Gallardo All: -1.4 L3: -6.3
Davis All: -.2 L3: +2 *** Snakes hot & Brewers not Best Bet for me.

This is AWESOME info in a theory that is serving a 10-1 w/l record....try posting those stats for the past 11 games and see if anything was in common with the one lost, that would be helpful!!!!! I have been cashing these fuckers since day 2!!!!!

$4nothing · Aug 20, 2007

Great find Mista.
Thanks for sharing info.

Bookie Buster · Aug 20, 2007

HOT

Shaun Marcum (Toronto Blue Jays) - The right-hander has won his last five starts, including three straight as the favorite and he has not surrendered more than four runs in any of those appearances. He'll face Oakland as a -142 home favorite. The A's will counter with Joe Blanton (+134), who has yet to suffer a loss in three starts this month.

Tim Hudson (Atlanta Braves) - After a couple of so-so seasons with the Braves, the Georgia native is finally feeling just peachy playing for his hometown team. Atlanta is a perfect 10-0 in his last 10 outings and he has allowed three runs or fewer in nine of those contests. Atlanta's offense has helped total bettors cash in with the "over" eight times during his unbeaten streak. Hudson faces the Reds as a pricey -191 road favorite and the total is set at 10 runs.

Doug Davis (Arizona Diamondbacks) - The southpaw faces his former team from Milwaukee for the second time this year and the struggling Brewers could've definitely used him in their rocky rotation. He got a no-decison in his return to Miller Park on July 18, but Arizona ended up winning the contest 5-2 as a +129 underdog. The D-Backs have won each of Davis' previous seven outings and "under" bettors cashed in five times in that span. Davis and his D-Backs are priced at -117 tonight and the over/under is listed at 9 ½ runs.

COLD

Jason Jennings (Houston Astros) - Jennings' seventh season in the big leagues has been anything but lucky for Astros backers. His first six years were spent in Colorado and his ERA at hitter-friendly Coors Field was 5.19. The Texas native has made 10 appearances at his new home ballpark (Minute Maid Park) and his ERA is above 6.00. The Astros have a record of 1-9 in those home outings and have lost four straight games overall in which he has started. Houston is -130 at home tonight against former Astro Tim Redding and the Washington Nationals.

Gil Meche (Kansas City Royals) - From June 26-July 27, Meche looked like true royalty helping the normaly hapless Royals win all five of his outings during that span. He has made five appearances since then and Kansas City has gone in the opposite direction by dropping each of his past five starts. KC is listed as a +132 road dog against the White Sox.

Bookie Buster · Aug 20, 2007

Snets said:
Flava:

Here's some addition run differentials for those starting pitchers:

Hudson All: +2.4 L3: +3
Dumartrait All:-1 L3: -1 * only 1 start at home but it was solid - careful

Rameirez All: +.8 L3: 0
Garza All: +2.5 L3: +2.7 ** Twins bats very icy could make horacio look like cy

Gallardo All: -1.4 L3: -6.3
Davis All: -.2 L3: +2 *** Snakes hot & Brewers not Best Bet for me.

Thanks Flava

My I ask where you get these from?

Thanks

BigCat · Aug 20, 2007

MF great job!

GreenMachine+ · Aug 20, 2007

Keep piling up the winners Mista! Good Job and Good Luck!

Snets · Aug 20, 2007

Bookie Buster said:
My I ask where you get these from?

Thanks

BB - Covers list avg rf and AA for starting pitchers - math provided by snets.

:toast:

GL guys

just sticking with AZ ML - No RL though they win alotof 1 run games at home. Like the mets last year and the CWS the year before hmmmmm?

snets