Service plays 8/20/07

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Charlies Sports

nfl. bears-2 ( 500*)

nfl. bears @ colts over 35' (30*)

mlb. houston -130 (20*)

mlb. tampa bay +105 (20*)

mlb. kansas city +135 (10*)

mlb. arizona -125 (10*) free




Michael Cannon Money Train


20 Dime

RED SOX
(With Wakefield as listed pitcher)

Take the Red Sox as the small road chalk for the win tonight over the Devil Rays.
Boston will start knuckleballer Tim Wakefield, who has enjoyed tremendous success against Tampa Bay over his career. The right-hander is 18-2 with a 2.83 ERA and three saves in 35 career games – 25 starts – versus the Devil Rays. He has won five straight starts against Tampa and has been even better at Tropicana Field, winning all eight of his decisions there with a 2.33 ERA in 18 games – 12 starts – while holding the Devil Rays to a .190 batting average.
The Devil Rays will send Scott Kazmir to the mound and he’s been on a tear lately, but Tampa just doesn’t have the offensive punch to get past Boston here. They are also playing out the string right now while Boston is trying to hold off the hard-charging Yankees.
Take the Red Sox as the small road chalk for the win.



5 Dime


BRAVES
-1 ½ RUN LINE
(With Hudson and Dumatrait as listed pitchers)

Take the Braves on the run line tonight over the Reds.
Atlanta will start Tim Hudson tonight and the right-hander has been unbeatable lately. He checks in with a 14-5 record and 3.02 ERA on the year, and has won his last four starts.
Hudson has also won his last eight decisions and has a 2.39 ERA since June 25, with the Braves winning each of his last 10 starts during his run.
Pitching on the road shouldn’t be a problem for Hudson either, as he’s 6-1 with a 2.90 ERA away from Turner Field this year.
The Reds will start rookie Phil Dumatrait, who is 0-1 with a 10.32 ERA on the year. He was tagged for five runs in two innings in his last start against the Cubs on Wednesday, but Cincinnati rallied for the 11-9 win.
Don’t expect a repeat of that scenario against Hudson.
Take the Braves on the run line as they win this one by at least two.



CHICAGO BEARS

Take the Bears as the road favorite tonight over the Colts.
Even though it’s a meaningless preseason game, I expect the Bears to try to exact some revenge tonight for their Super Bowl loss to the Colts.
Chicago has a good quarterback rotation that will serve them well against the Colts reserves as the game rolls on. Rex Grossman will be followed by Brian Griese, who will give way to Kyle Orton and we could also see Chris Leak.
The Colts rarely take preseason games seriously, as evidenced by their 1-10 mark in their last 11 preseason games (3-8 ATS), which includes four straight home losses.
The Bears have cashed in three consecutive preseason road games and have won three straight preseason games versus the Colts.
Lay the points and take the Bears as they grab the road win and cover.
 

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Big Al McMordie


BIG AL'S 100% ATS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL WINNER!
Date: Monday, August 20, 2007
$35.00 Guaranteed: ON FIRE! $100,000 World Series of Sports Handicapping Champion Al McMordie CASHED his Preseason Game of the Year on the NY Giants over Baltimore to remain 100% PERFECT IN FOOTBALL this week. Now, Big Al's unloading on the Colts/Bears game as it falls into a Preseason System that's 100% ATS since 1983.

COLTS




Paul Leiner


MLB
5* Cardinals +125
5* Under 9.5 SF/Fla

NFL
5* NFL Bears -3



Power Play of The Day

Arizona Diamondbacks(-125) over Milwaukee Brewers
Pitcher: D DAVIS




Wolkosky Milan


4-1 Friday
3-1 Saturday
3-0 Sunday


MLB
10* WHITE SOX
10* COLORADO
10* BOSTON
10* LA ANGELS RL

Free: COLTS (NFL)
 

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EZ Winners

5 STAR: (957) WASHINGTON (+$120) over Houston
(Listing Redding and Jennings)
(Risking $500 to win $600)

Tim Redding gets a shot at his former team. The Nats are 5-1 in their last six games against Houston and they are 10-1 in their last 11 against the NL Central. The Astros are 0-7 in Jennings' last 7 starts as a favorite and just 2-6 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.


2 STAR: (974) LA ANGELS (+$131) over NY Yankees
(Listing Moseley and Hughes)
(Risking $200 to win $262)

Neither of these pitchers have been outstanding, but the Angels are worth a shot here at plus money. The Yankees are only 2-6 in their last eight games at Anaheim and the Angels are 6-1 in their last seven games as a home underdog.


1 STAR: (962) ARIZONA (-$120) over Milwaukee
(Listing Davis and Gallardo)
(Risking $120 to win $100)

This really looks too easy, but I'll take a shot. Hot team versus a cold team. The D-Backs are 7-0 in Davis' last 7 starts as a home favorite. The Brewers are 3-13 in their last 16 games as a road underdog of +$150 or less and Gallardo's ERA is 11.40 in his last three starts.
 

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[FONT=verdana,arial]Ben Burns

Monday Night BLUE CHIP Total *11-3 L14!
$35.00
Ben Burns lost a rare Total yesterday as NY and Balt. played a defenisive affair. The Man remains an outstanding 5-2 with his NFLX "totals" this season AND a POWERFUL 11-3 (79%) his L14 NFL/NFLX totals dating back to last season. That includes a winner when these teams met last Super Bowl. Ben's latest BLUE CHIP goes today. Be there!

[/FONT] OVER Colts/Bears

Game: Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts Game Time: 8/20/2007 8:00:pM

Prediction: over Reason: I'm playing on the Colts and Bears to finish OVER the total. We can't really make any comparisons from tonight's game to last February's meeting. After all there is a major difference between a meaningless game and the biggest game of the entire year. However, these teams did face each other here in the preseason a couple of years ago and I believe we can gain some insight from that meeting. That game was played on this exact date (Aug. 20) in 2005. The over/under line was a relatively high 38.5 and the teams finished with 41, as the Bears scored a 24-17 upset victory. Tonight's total is significantly lower as it currently sits below the key number of 37. I feel that provides us with excellent value. Neither team scored many points in the first half last week. That should ensure that the first team offenses get substantially more playing time this evening. Additionally, it's worth noting that both teams were able to put up points in the fourth quarter last week (Chicago scored 13 while Indy got 7) which should mean that we'll see the scoring continue in the second half again tonight. Despite yesterday's low-scoring contest, the Week 2 games have still averaged a healthy 42 points. Eleven of those 15 games produced a minimum of 37 points. Look for tonight's game to do the same.
 

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[FONT=verdana,arial]Ben Burns

Afternoon Annihilator (Day Game)
$35.00
Ben Burns was documented with an AWESOME 51-26-6 (+19.95!) RECORD with his MLB picks from August 20th until the end of the World Series last season. It's Ben's time of year and this afternoon he starts off the new week with a superb situational selection with SERIOUS BLOWOUT POTENTIAL. Don't wait. Hop on board right away!


[/FONT] FLORIDA MARLINS


Game: San Francisco Giants vs. Florida Marlins Game Time: 8/20/2007 1:05:00 PM

Prediction: Florida Marlins Reason: I'm laying the price with FLORIDA. I lost with the Marlins yesterday but I'm willing to give them another shot this afternoon. The early start time should work in Florida's favor today. Despite yesterday's victory, the Giants remain an awful 13-25 when playing during the afternoon. Meanwhile, the Marlins remain above 500 (15-14) when they've played during the afternoon. Today's starter, Sergio Mitre has been at his absolute best when pitching during the daytime. Indeed, in five daytime starts he has gone 2-0 with a sizzling 2.45 ERA, holding opposing hitters to a mere .218 batting average. He'll face Russ Ortiz who hasn't pitched more than five complete innings in a game since April and who is 0-2 with a horrible 8.78 ERA his last three starts. Look for Mitre to continue his daytime dominance as he outpitches Ortiz and the Marlins avoid the series sweep.
 

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[FONT=verdana,arial]Ben Burns

**BLOWOUT ALERT** "Personal Favorite!"
$35.00
After a super Saturday, Ben Burns has a poor Sunday. He did cash another of his "Personal Favorites" though as San Diego handled Houston. Burns returns with another of these highly coveted selections on Monday. Begin your week in the Winner's Circle. Hop on board this BEAUTY right now and prepare for a BLOWOUT



[/FONT] HOUSTON ASTROS


Game: Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros Game Time: 8/20/2007 8:05:00 PM

Prediction: Houston Astros Reason: I'm laying the price with HOUSTON. I successsully played against Houston yesterday. However, the Astros are back home today and they're taking a significant step down in class. Indeed, the Nationals are one of only a few teams which has a worse record than the Astros. While Washington is 24-35 on the road, Houston remains a respectable 32-27 at home. A major part of the Nationals' trouble has been that they just can't hit. The Nationals, who have scored two runs or fewer in nine of their last 11 losses, rank last in the majors with only 3.9 runs per game. That number dips to a mere 3.7 (.241 batting average) when facing right-handed starters. By comparison, the Astros 4.6 runs and .261 batting average, vs. right-handers, looks rather powerful. The Astros are also 5-1 the last six times they were a host in this series and 13-7 the last 20. Redding has been relatively decent in limited starts but the Nationals are still 0-2 when he starts on the road. Look for him to remain winless against his former team as the Astros, who still believe they have a shot at the playoffs, improve to 9-4 when listed as home favorites in the -125 to -150 range. *Personal Favorite
 

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[FONT=verdana,arial]Ben Burns


American League "BEST BET" Winner!
$35.00
After an amazing first five months of the season, Ben Burns comes off a RARE losing week on the diamond. This is Ben's time of year though and you can BANK on things returning to "normal." Looking back to August 20 '06 and we find that this is when he CAUGHT FIRE. In fact, from Aug. 20th on, Ben went 51-26 with dime players BANKING $20,000!


[/FONT] TAMPA BAY DEVILRAYS

Game: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Devil Rays Game Time: 8/20/2007 7:10:00 PM

Prediction: Tampa Bay Devil Rays Reason: I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. Wakefield comes off an excellent start against these same Devil Rays. However, that was at Boston and he got rocked for seven runs (6 earned) in four innings in his last road start. That dropped him to 5-6 away from home for the season. On the other hand, Kazmir has been dominant no matter where he has pitched lately. In his last start, at Boston, he held the Red Sox to just four hits through six shutout innings. Prior to that, at Detroit, he limited the hot-hitting Tigers to only three hits through six shutout innings. In his most recent start here at home, Kazmir held the Orioles to only one run through seven complete innings. Including that 9-2 victory, the Rays are now 9-5 in his 14 home starts. That gives Kazmir an amazing 0.47 ERA his last three starts and an even more incredible 0.36 ERA his last four. During that 25 inning stretch, he has a whopping 32 Ks! The Red Sox have struggled when playing indoors over the years. In fact, they're a money-burning 12-19 (-15.5) when playing in a dome the past three seasons, including a 5-9 mark the last 14 times they traveled here to Tampa. Yes, it's true that Wakefield has pitched very well vs. the Devil Rays and that he has also fared well here at Tropicana Field. However, Kazmir has also dominated the Red Sox here, going 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA while holding opposing hitters to a mere .183 batting average in six starts. Look for Kazmir to continue that domination this evening as he outpitches Wakefield with the Sox falling to 8-12 their last 20 games against southpaw starters.

[FONT=verdana,arial][/FONT]
 

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<HR style="COLOR: #ffffff" SIZE=1>

BET ONE PICKS

NASCAR 42-10 (5-0 last two Sundays including +150 and +170 matchups)

matchup #1 denny hamlin vs clint bowyer+115,,,<<<<<<<<<<<

matchup #2 ryan newman -105,<<<<<<<<<<< vs dale earnhart,jr.

matchup #3 david gilliland -155,<<<<<<<< vs ricky rudd.


Not included in the 42-10

odds to win clint bowyer+1825
odds to win matt kenneth +555
<!-- / message -->
 

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FREE MLB PLAY MONDAY (13-5 last 18)

St Louis @ Chicago Cubs 2:20 PM EST
Play On: 1* Chicago Cubs -135 (Pineiro/Lilly) Listed

Chicago Cubs are batting .275 against right handed starters this year. Ted Lilly is 13-5 overall this year, 7-4 this year at home and 2-0 his last 3 starts. Chicago Cubs are 16-7 at home against St Louis last 3 years. Lilly is 2-1 with a very nice 1.29 ERA overall vs St Louis since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Chicago Cubs today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocketman Sports
 

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ASHN Free Pick
PITTSBURGH over Colorado (Morris over Jimenez): Pittsburgh is in a very good situation here today as a game 1 road dog off a win against a home favorite off a loss. This situation has seen the road dog go 179-171, +68.55 units, since 2004. That's a better than 50% angle that plays exclusively on moneyline dogs! Jimenez has been horrible of late with a 7.81 ERA and 1.894 WHIP last 3 starts, and he has averaged just 4 2/3 innings per start over those 3 games (just 5 1/3 innings per start all year). That means Colorado's bullpen will almost definately see extended action in this game, and that bodes well for Pittsburgh as Colorado's bullpen is tired having been used a total of 334 1/3 innings so far this season (that's 60+ innings more than the Pittsburgh bullpen). Pittsburgh is a decent 14-11 in game 1s off a loss this season, so there is plenty of reason to like the Pirates here at this price.
 

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Larry Ness' Daytime Delight (10-0-1 L/11 and 23-6-1 L/30 in MLB!)

My Daytime Delight is on the Chi Cubs at 2:20 ET. Chicago took the first two games of this important series with St Louis and had ace Carlos Zambrano on the mound Sunday. He retired all nine batters he faced before the game was called following a 1-hour, 48-minute rain delay in the bottom of the third inning of a scoreless game. The teams will make that game up later this year and Joel Pineiro will face Ted Lilly this afternoon. The Cards began August 0-5 but then won eight of 10. They entered this series off a three-game sweep in Milwaukee and with five straight wins in which the team totaled 46 runs and 68 hits. However, prior to facing Zambrano yesterday, the Cards ran into two excellent performances from Cub lefties Rich Hill and Sean Marshall, accounting for just four runs and 12 hits! The Cubs had dropped 10 of 13 before this series but the two wins leave them one game up on the Brewers and four up on the Cards in the NL Central. The Cards will pitch Joel Pineiro, acquired from the Red Sox on July 31. Pineiro showed much promise by going 14-7 and 16-11 for the Mariners back in '02 and '03. However, he went just 21-35 (5.67) from '04-'06 (Seattle was 27-49) and found himself in the Red Sox bullpen this year. After a poor start at Washington in his first outing as a Cardinal (5 IP / 7 hits / 4 ERs), he's pitched two solid games, going seven innings each time and winning both with an ERA of 1.29. That being said, I'm not ready to trust him. Meanwhile, the Cards bats have gone quiet and they'll face Ted Lilly (another lefty), having a career season. From '01-'06, Lilly made 158 starts, posting a 59-49 mark (teams were 78-80) with a 4.51 ERA. In '07, he's 13-5 with a 3.74 ERA, going 9-1 in his last 12 starts! Love the Cubs here. Daytime Delight on the Chi Cubs.

Good Luck...Larry
 

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Stan Sharp

Double Dime

Toronto BlueJays




Mike Neri Sports


Late Service

MLB
Arizona w/Davis -125 1 Unit

NFL
ONE STAR: 482 Indianapolis +3



Marc Lawerence


4* BEST BET
Chicago Bears

Okay, we’ll bite. The only game on this year’s entire preseason slate that involves revenge from last year’s playoffs takes place here tonight with Chicago loaded for Bear following their loss in Super Bow XLI to the Colts. It doesn’t hurt knowing that preseason Monday Night dogs are 44-26-3 ATS since 1984, including 19-4-1 ATS if they are less than .500 (check Chicago’s result at Houston last Saturday). Toss in our INCREDIBLE STAT (see prior post) and all the techs are in place. Yes, Indy does have a two-day rest advantage, but it’s not like the Bears are playing on a short week (9 days). And besides, Tony Dungy has been a notorious money burner as Game Two preseason chalk throughout his career, going 2-7 SUATS when laying points.



Red Dog Sports

4* Pitt/Col over 10.5



Brandon Lang

MONDAY

15 DIME

Arizona - Specify Pitchers - Gallardo vs Davis

5 DIME

Nationals - Specify Pitchers - Redding vs Jennings
Royals - Specify Pitchers - Meche vs Buehrle
Angels - Specify Pitchers - Hughes vs Mosley
 

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Robert Ferringo


3-Unit Play. Take #968 Tampa Bay (-105) over Boston (7 p.m., Monday, Aug. 20)
No Doug Mirabelli means trouble for Tim Wakefield and the Red Sox. Wakefield is 2-12 as a road dog and the D-Rays just saw his knuckler last week. Scott Kazmir is 10-2 against teams with winning records and has won five straight home starts against the Red Sox. This is a perfect letdown spot for the Sox, who are coming off a big series with Anaheim at the end of a long homestand.


2-Unit Play. Take #960 Colorado (-155) over Pittsburgh (9 p.m., Monday, Aug. 20)

1-Unit Play. Take #960 Colorado (-1.5, +125) over Pittsburgh (9 p.m., Monday, Aug. 20)

The Rockies are back in Coors, where they’ve won 21 of 27 games. They are also 8-3 following a loss, and 4-1 in the last five meetings. Matt Morris has a career ERA of 7.30 in Denver and the Pittsburgh bullpen has been getting torched all week. I expect a healthy Rockies victory.

2-Unit Play. Take #970 Minnesota (-155) over Seattle (8 p.m., Monday, Aug. 20)

After a long evening of travel the Mariners have to wander into the Metrodome, where they have been anything but stellar. The Mariners are just 3-10 in their L13 on turf and are 1-5 in Horacio Ramirez’s last six road starts. The Twins have won six of seven in this series and Matt Garza has been better than his record indicates. This is somewhat of a letdown spot, but the Twins have won five in a row against lefties and are 26-12 as a home favorite in this price range.

2-Unit Play. Take #955 Atlanta (-1.5, -130) over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Monday, Aug. 20)

We have to continue to back Tim Hudson as long as he stays in the groove that he’s in. The Reds are fantastic in Game 1 of a series, but the aren’t normally backing a guy with a 10.32 ERA in his three starts this year. Atlanta is 20-7 in Hudson’s last 27 starts and 41-14 as a favorite of -201 or greater.

1-Unit Play. Take #962 Arizona (-125) over Milwaukee (9:30 p.m., Monday, Aug. 20)

1-Unit Play. Take #962 Arizona (-1.5, +165) over Milwaukee (9:30 p.m., Monday, Aug. 20)

I have a hunch that Prince Fielder is going to have to start serving his suspension this evening. If so, this game warrants a much larger play. These are two teams heading in opposite directions, and the Brewers have not fared well away from home lately. There are a slew of trends pointing towards a big Arizona win. This should be a GOTW-type play, but there is one or two indicators that are tamping it down for me. Also, if Fielder is suspended I would say to at least double this selection, if not triple it.
 

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Sports Betting Solutions

MLB

Milwaukee/Arizona over 9 -115
Texas/Baltimore Under 9.5 -130
Toronto/Oakland Under 8 +100
Pittsburgh/Colorado Over 11 +100



YOURWINNERSONLY

1* DIAMONDACKS
<!-- / message --><!-- controls -->1* INDIANAPOLIS COLTS


comp Braves -1.5
 

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ATS

Baseball Financial

3-Tampa Bay

Football Lock Club

3-Chicago/Indy Over 35.5
<!-- / message --><!-- controls -->
 

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Big Al McMordie

Private Players Club


Championship Club
La Angels

Blue Chip
Col Rockies

Linemovers
Atl Braves


Offshore Steam
IndyColts
 

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