Granted, I'm going very small on this, but it pays +500.
Giants and Marlins look pretty evenly matched, even the pitchers (look deeper than the ERA), but then we realize that the Giants are going for the sweep and have owned the Marlins. And look at these stats:
-SF are 80-38 in their last 118 Mon. games.
-SF are 10-2 in Ortiz's last 12 Mon. starts.
-FLA are 3-11 in Mitre's last 14 home starts.
I think the Giants have at least a 55% chance of winning, so why not lay into the +169 payout? This was a money management no-brainer for me.
As for the Cards, I believe they are still hot and Lilly is cooling. He suffered a no decision team loss in his last start vs a scrub, and check his numbers below comapared to Pineiro. Over the last 10 games the Cubs are 5-5 while the Cards are 7-3. Over that span the Cards are hitting .346 against lefties (Lilly) and averaging 5.8 runs per game.
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>Last 3</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>W-L</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Tm W-L</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>IP</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>H</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>WHIP</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>ERA</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>AF</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>AA</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>OU</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>J. Pineiro (R)
T. Lilly (L)
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>2-1
2-0
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>2-1
2-1
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>19.0
18.2
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>16
18
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>0.95
1.39
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>2.84
4.82
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>4.7
8.3
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>5.0
5.0
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>2-1
2-0
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Good luck.:toast:
Giants and Marlins look pretty evenly matched, even the pitchers (look deeper than the ERA), but then we realize that the Giants are going for the sweep and have owned the Marlins. And look at these stats:
-SF are 80-38 in their last 118 Mon. games.
-SF are 10-2 in Ortiz's last 12 Mon. starts.
-FLA are 3-11 in Mitre's last 14 home starts.
I think the Giants have at least a 55% chance of winning, so why not lay into the +169 payout? This was a money management no-brainer for me.
As for the Cards, I believe they are still hot and Lilly is cooling. He suffered a no decision team loss in his last start vs a scrub, and check his numbers below comapared to Pineiro. Over the last 10 games the Cubs are 5-5 while the Cards are 7-3. Over that span the Cards are hitting .346 against lefties (Lilly) and averaging 5.8 runs per game.
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>Last 3</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>W-L</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Tm W-L</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>IP</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>H</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>WHIP</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>ERA</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>AF</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>AA</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>OU</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>J. Pineiro (R)
T. Lilly (L)
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>2-1
2-0
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>2-1
2-1
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>19.0
18.2
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>16
18
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>0.95
1.39
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>2.84
4.82
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>4.7
8.3
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>5.0
5.0
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>2-1
2-0
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Good luck.:toast: