TOP THREE pitching mismatches on Thursday, August 23, 2007

MistaFlava · Aug 23, 2007

These are 16-4 since I started posting them. Here are today's three:

Pitching mistmatches

1. Matt Cain (SF) +111 over Carlos Zambrano (CHC)

Zambrano (Last 3 starts): 7.13 ERA, 1.98 WHIP
Cain (Last 3 starts): 2.70 ERA, 0.95 WHIP

2. Anthony Reyes (STL) -169 over Rick Vanden Hurk (FLA)

Vanden Hurk (Last 3 starts): 9.69 ERA, 2.00 WHIP
Reyes (Last 3 starts): 3.79 ERA, 1.16 WHIP

3. Jake Westbrook (CLE) +101 over Nate Robertson (DET)

Westbrook (Last 3 starts): 2.45 ERA, 0.77 WHIP
Robertson (Last 3 starts): 5.59 ERA, 1.60 WHIP

:toast:

Betting4Fun · Aug 23, 2007

Best of luck Mista,stats so far looking good!!

punz34 · Aug 23, 2007

wow, i hate SF and CLE
what do i do ahahaha

cashflowmatters · Aug 23, 2007

Mista: I have been devising a system very similar to what you are doing for almost 3 yrs now I have been using it and making a regular profit because of it in mlb. I have found that it takes approx 7 starts which means I start making plays around the last week in May and have found over the last 3 yrs that from late May-Sept it is a very solid system. Over time I have tweaked things a bit in an effort to make money on totals as well. Keep up the nice work, but be very careful in Sept when they start bringing up new players and resting players because I have found i the past that around the 2nd week in sept system is very unpredictable. By the way I am in agreement with all again today :103631605

MistaFlava · Aug 23, 2007

Very interesting stuff cashflow...thanks for the post.

I also went back and calculated the unit count had we been using 1 unit for each play and the record would be 16-4 (+11.32 Units).

theoldschool · Aug 23, 2007

Fla, where can I get 3 game WHIPs the day before the games? Thanks.

magillagorilla · Aug 23, 2007

great job again.I would be careful ,on the zambrano action, he looked like his old self in the rain shortened game with st louis and is coming off this massive contract signing.love the cardinals.thanks for doing this
cheers
magilla

MistaFlava · Aug 23, 2007

the old school said:
Fla, where can I get 3 game WHIPs the day before the games? Thanks.

Covers has all the stats the previous day in their matchup pages.

Brock Landers · Aug 23, 2007

That Zambrano/Cain matchup might be the most misleading stat ever...

MistaFlava · Aug 23, 2007

Brock Landers said:
That Zambrano/Cain matchup might be the most misleading stat ever...

What do you mean misleading? In his last 3 starts Zambrano has walked 12, allowed 23 hits and 14 ER's in 17.2 innings of work. In his last 3 starts Cain has walked 4, allowed 15 hits and 6 ER's in 20.0 innings of work.

I don't get how it could be misleading???

theoldschool · Aug 23, 2007

MistaFlava said:
What do you mean misleading? In his last 3 starts Zambrano has walked 12, allowed 23 hits and 14 ER's in 17.2 innings of work. In his last 3 starts Cain has walked 4, allowed 15 hits and 6 ER's in 20.0 innings of work.

I don't get how it could be misleading???

I agree 100%. I love underdogs with much better current form. The square public will look at the WL record of the SP and conclude that Zambrano is much better than Cain. Sagarin's season rating has Zambrano at 3.52 and Cain at 3.28. The same holds for the Stl game. Reyes' WL record does not reflect his true ability. Sagarin has Reyes at 3.73 and Hurk at 5.91. In addition, STL has won 8 of 10, and Fla has lost 8 straight.

BigCat · Aug 23, 2007

MistaFlava said:
These are 16-4 since I started posting them. Here are today's three:

Pitching mistmatches

1. Matt Cain (SF) +111 over Carlos Zambrano (CHC)

Zambrano (Last 3 starts): 7.13 ERA, 1.98 WHIP
Cain (Last 3 starts): 2.70 ERA, 0.95 WHIP

2. Anthony Reyes (STL) -169 over Rick Vanden Hurk (FLA)

Vanden Hurk (Last 3 starts): 9.69 ERA, 2.00 WHIP
Reyes (Last 3 starts): 3.79 ERA, 1.16 WHIP

3. Jake Westbrook (CLE) +101 over Nate Robertson (DET)

Westbrook (Last 3 starts): 2.45 ERA, 0.77 WHIP
Robertson (Last 3 starts): 5.59 ERA, 1.60 WHIP

:toast:

16-4 Great job MF!

zeketaylor · Aug 23, 2007

i think vandenhurk has to win one eventually

GreenMachine+ · Aug 23, 2007

Great info. Mista, keep up the good work it is much appreciated, GL!

knowthegame · Aug 23, 2007

MistaFlava said:
These are 16-4 since I started posting them. Here are today's three:

Pitching mistmatches

1. Matt Cain (SF) +111 over Carlos Zambrano (CHC)

Zambrano (Last 3 starts): 7.13 ERA, 1.98 WHIP
Cain (Last 3 starts): 2.70 ERA, 0.95 WHIP

2. Anthony Reyes (STL) -169 over Rick Vanden Hurk (FLA)

Vanden Hurk (Last 3 starts): 9.69 ERA, 2.00 WHIP
Reyes (Last 3 starts): 3.79 ERA, 1.16 WHIP

3. Jake Westbrook (CLE) +101 over Nate Robertson (DET)

Westbrook (Last 3 starts): 2.45 ERA, 0.77 WHIP
Robertson (Last 3 starts): 5.59 ERA, 1.60 WHIP

:toast:

16-4 is dertay period!! Congrats!:toast:

I think SF(Cain) & Cards(Reyes) get it done, like Detriot cuz no 1 else does!:ughhh:

WorldNumberOne · Aug 23, 2007

can you go back and check to see if your teams were leading after 5 innings ??

i would be interested to know the 5 inning scores of all your selections.

great job so far..

WorldNumberOne · Aug 23, 2007

checked myself. 13-7 for the top 3 games listed each day after 5 innings.

i just wondered since you were making the picks solely based on the starters.

WorldNumberOne · Aug 23, 2007

how did beckett vs danks not make the top 3 ??

MistaFlava · Aug 23, 2007

World Number One said:
how did beckett vs danks not make the top 3 ??

To be a top pitching matchup you have to walk an excess amount of guys in the three start period and Danks has walked only 3 batters in his last three starts. Also his WHIP is only 1.57 which is not all that bad and makes it possible that he has a good outing. GL today man.

MistaFlava · Aug 23, 2007

Cleveland in the bank...

TOP THREE pitching mismatches on Thursday, August 23, 2007

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