HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
SAN FRANCISCO +1.06 over Colorado (3:35 PM)
The Rockies favored here is incorrect and just doesn’t make sense. For one, the Giants are hot with six straight wins and 11 wins in their last 13 games while the Rockies are up to their old tricks of losing with regularity on the road. In fact, Colorado has dropped eight of its last 10 away from Coors. They dropped the first two of this series and scored a combined two runs. Then we have the pitching match-up, which also favors the Giants. Jeff Francis is 0-1 over his last three with an ERA of 6.89. He’s never had success against the Giants and this year is not different. At AT&T Park, Francis is 1-4 with an 8.05 ERA in six lifetime starts there. This year in three starts vs the Giants he’s 1-2 with a 5.75 ERA. He’s also a lefty and the Giants own a much better record when facing a southpaw, as their 20-19 mark would attest to. The Rockies will also face a lefty in Noah Lowry, however, they’re 17-22 against them while going 50-42 vs righties. Furthermore, Lowry is 9-2 at home with a 3.18 ERA. In his career, Lowry has gone 12-0 in August with a 2.78 ERA in 20 August starts. So, what we have here is hot vs cold, the better pitcher who thrives at home, the home team and best of all, a tag. Smells a little funny but we’ll bite. Play: San Francisco +1.06 (Risking 2 units).
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o
></o>Boston +1.00 over NY YANKEES
Zack Greinke of the Kansas City Royals will start today against the Tigers and his numbers are eerily similar to Roger Clemens’. Greinke is 5-5 with a 4.25 ERA; Clemens is 5-5 with a 4.34 ERA. Greinke has pitched 91 innings, allowing 93 hits and eight homeruns; Clemens has pitched 83 innings, allowing 87 hits and seven homeruns. Clemens has walked 22 and struck out 60; Greinke has walked 27 and struck out 77. So, you see, they’re pretty much identical in every way. If Zack Greinke was facing Josh Beckett today, Greinke would be getting a huge, better then 2-1 take-back while Roger Clemens is favored over Josh Beckett. Don’t get us wrong, we’re not comparing the Yanks to the Royals, we’re just merely pointing out how overpriced the Yanks are every day and you can double that when Clemens is on the hill. Andrew Miller is favored on the road in Kansas City against Greinke and if Miller was on the road for the Tigers against Clemens in New York, the Yanks would be about a –1.80 favorite. Josh Beckett is only 16-5 and is the favorite to win the Cy Young award. He’s first in wins, 9th in strikeouts, 5th in WHIP, and first in winning percentage. Yeah, we’ll take our chances with the first place Red Sox here. Play: Boston +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
<o
></o>Chicago –1.02 over TEXAS
Kameron Loe favored over John Garland is somehow just not right and if you don’t think that the players don’t look at the wagering lines you’re dead wrong and this line is insulting to Garland and the whole White Sox team. Yeah, Garland is having a horrible year but so is the whole team and one must consider the following; Garland’s last 10 games were against the Red Sox twice, the Yanks, the Indians twice, Seattle, Oakland, Minnesota, Baltimore and the Blue Jays. Prior to that 10-game stretch he faced Tampa Bay, K.C. and the Marlins, which is equivalent to the Rangers and all he did was throw seven complete in all three and allowed a total of three runs in the three games. Garland is a veteran pitcher throwing against a young and inexperienced Ranger line-up and should find the going much more to his liking. Loe has allowed 89 hits in 73 frames at home to go along with an ERA near six. He walks too many and he’s absolutely not worthy of being the chalk against Garland. The White Sox are a dead team and we certainly acknowledge that but pride will come into play in this game for the South Side after seeing that they’re the dog and not taking it lightly at all. Play: Chicago –1.02 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).
