service plays 31/08/07

dMaN_22 · Aug 31, 2007

Chuck Franklin
Friday Plays

1500♦ NAVY
There are some great trends supporting the Midshipmen in this game. First and foremost is their 41-15 record ATS the last 56 games played. Even as a visitor they are impressive, covering the spread in 13 of their last 15 road games. Conceding the fact that the Midshipmen offense will completely overpower the Owls’ crumbling defense and get the victory, it’s good to know that Navy has covered the spread an amazing 29 of their last 30 road wins.
Not enough can be said for how truly bad the Temple Owls have performed in recent years. They have been SU winners in only one of their last 23 games, while being outscored by an average of over 30 points in that time period. The one good thing they have going for them is covering five of their last eight games last year. Still not enough to steer me away from siding with Navy, who beat Temple 42-6 last season, gaining over 300 yards on them in the first half alone! No way are the Owls getting even close to the spread in this one. Take Navy in an absolute blowout!

1500♦ PHILADELPHIA w/KENDRICK over Florida w/Mitre
These Phillies are surging right now, winning each of their last five games and sweeping the first place NY Mets in the process. They have way more confidence than they will need against the Florida Marlins, who have lost 13 of their last 15 games overall and eight of their last nine at home. The pitching match-up puts Kyle Kendrick for Philadelphia against Sergio Mitre of Florida. Kendrick is a winning 7-3 on the season and is looking for his third straight win in tonight’s game. The Phillies are 8-2 in his last 10 starts as the listed favorite. Mitre is a losing 5-7 on the season and has lost his last two starts. The Marlins have been losers in 12 of his last 15 home starts. Go with the streaking Phillies in this one. <table style="table-layout: fixed;" border="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" class="smalltext" width="100%">
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BURNS's & Ness' CFB TV games PLEASE

dMaN_22 · Aug 31, 2007

POINTWISE

NAVY over Temple RATING: 5

johnmadden13 · Aug 31, 2007

Chuck Franklin any good?

dMaN_22 · Aug 31, 2007

Yesterday he was on LSU and Tampa Bay

adi133 · Aug 31, 2007

Anyone got cannons picks?

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

Ben Burns

Ben Burns
SF/WAS Under the Total

The "Under" is 10-4 the last 14 times that the Giants visited the Nationals/Expos franchise. This should prove to be another relatively low-scoring contest. Correia has pitched well in two starts, allowing two runs through 10 innings for a 1.80 ERA. The "under" was 1-0-1 in those games. Over a larger sample size, Redding has also pitched well. In 10 starts he has a 3.10 ERA. That number dips to an impressive 2.68 (1.268 WHIP) in his five home starts. Backed by the weakest hitting team in the majors (Nationals average only 3.7 runs vs. right-handers) Redding has seen the "Under" go a highly profitable 9-0-1 for the season. UNDER.

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

tom freese

tom freese
COLORADO ROCKIES

Rookie righthander Ubaldo Jimenez has been pitching lights out for Colorado. He has a better than 4 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. In those starts he has allowed just 2 runs total. Arizona starter Livan Hernandez has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 home starts. The Diamondbacks are not hitting scoring 4 or less runs in 8 of their last 10 games. Play On Colorado.

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

Big Al

BIG AL MCMORDIE

MLB for 08/31/2007 - Rockies at Diamondbacks

Prediction: Diamondbacks

D-Backs right-handed veteran Livan "the ageless wonder" Hernandez (9-9, 4.86 ERA) is going for his ninth straight major league season with at least 200 innings pitched and it looks like he has a very chance to get it. He has 170 innings right now and will probably get at least five, perhaps six more starts this year, so he needs to just average six innings per start, which he has not had a problem doing throughout most of this season. Livan absolutely loves pitching against the Rockies, and that's a good thing as tonight's appearance is amazingly his fifth start against Colorado this season. Although his record in the previous four starts is only 2-2, he has pitched a quality line in every one of those four and the Rockies have been lucky to win two games. Young Colorado right-hander Ubaldo Jimenez (3-2, 4.03 ERA) has won two of his last three starts (the Rockies have won all three games) and he has looked impressive in the process. But those three games came against the anemic offenses of Pittsburgh, Washington and San Diego. In the two starts before those - which happened to be against the Cubs and Braves - Jimenez got blasted for a total of 15 runs (11 earned) in only 6 2/3 innings. Arizona is 13-6 in its last 19 home games.

Take the Diamondbacks.

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

Gator

Gator's NCAA "SYSTEM" Report:

NCAA (Saturday): Boston College will open the 2007 College Football Campaign against the 2006 ACC Champion Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Both schools are coming off nice winning seasons but Wake captured their first ever ACC crown. We look for their momentum to continue on Saturday versus BC. BC also qualifies in one of our systems that says In Game 1 play AGAINST a favorite of 3 or more points seeking revenge for a late season SU loss from Game 9 or later in the year. 8-0 ATS and averages covering the number by 9+ points. Play the underdog here as the Deacons get the outright win. PLAY: Wake Forest +5.5

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

Vegas Experts

Vegas Experts

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians
Friday, August 31st, 7:05 P.M. EDT
Cleveland has won six straight and eight-of-nine. Chicago has lost three in a row and eight-of-nine. Tribe's Carmona continues to pitch well with a 2.45 ERA his last three. Buerhle of the Sox is 0-2, 4.91 over his last three. The WHITE SOX are 12-26 against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. CLEVELAND is 22-8 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

Play on: Cleveland

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

Tom Scott

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals
Friday, August 31st, 7:30 P.M. EST EST
To the Colts, this final game of the preseason is and always has been a necessary evil, at least under Tony Dungy's reign. TD doesn't want any of his starters injured in a meaningless game and he doesn't play them, not for a single down. With a short week to prepare (the Colts open the season on Thursday with New Orleans) Indy will go through the motions with practice squad players on the field. The game does matter to Cincinnati. The Bengals regard a win over Indianapolis as important, no matter when the game is played. The line tells you what's going to happen here.
Play on: Cincinnati

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

Dave Cokin

Dave Cokin

Take "(913) COL Rockies"

Ubaldo Jimenez is making a huge impression in his maiden voyage around the NL. The Rockies rookie has been mowing down the opposition and is actually exceeding expectations out of the gate. Livan Hernandez is surviving on guile and good run support, as he hasn't pitched well enough to be 9-9. I'm going to ride the Jimenez express till someone slows it down, so the Rockies are the choice tonight.

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

Scott Spreitzer

Scott Spreitzer top NFL EX for Friday is CIN BENGALS.

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

LT Lock

LT Lock
Syracuse
0-2

dMaN_22 · Aug 31, 2007

I've idea, maybe we should make another topic for free service plays ?

dMaN_22 · Aug 31, 2007

Brandon Lang

FRIDAY

20 DIME

Red Sox -1 1/2 runs - Specify Pitchers - Liz vs Wakefield

10 DIME

Cubs - Specify Pitchers - Rodriquez vs Marshall

5 DIME

Rockies - Specify Pitchers - Jimenez vs Hernandez

Navy

Free Pick - Washington Huskies - (For analysis see Daily video)

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

those aren't free service plays

dMaN_22 · Aug 31, 2007

For example Burns under is free

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

1 out of 9 and you want a new post..

durden84 · Aug 31, 2007

Mike Rose

Mike Rose

Temple +21.0 (-110)
Fri Aug 31 '07 7:30p

This is an awful lot of points to be giving an Owls team playing with absolutely nothing to lose in their first prime time televised game since I’ve probably been alive. Even though the Owls went 1-11 SU last season, they went a respectable 5-6-1 against the Vegas line. That tells me they never quit and were competitive considering they were double-digit dogs in all but one of their games a year ago.

Navy will no doubt churn out some monster yardage against these guys in view of them piling up 400+ a year ago, but I like what HC Al Golden did in his first go round, and like I said before, this is an awful lot of points for the Middies to have to eat in order to make their backers happy.

Temple has some playmakers of their own to do some damage against the Navy’s retooled stop unit, and I foresee them coming up with at least a couple scores of their own. With a big revenge game against Rutgers on deck, I don’t foresee HC Paul Johnson forcing the issue too much here. He knows his back-ups can secure the victory, and I’ve got a strong sense that we’ll be seeing a number of the 2nd & 3rd stringers play out the string in the second half. Teams have had success limiting Navy’s attack with a full summer to prepare for them, and Temple’s philosophical switch on “D” (3-4 to 4-3) should see them hopefully trim off some of the rushing yards the Middies have piled up on them of late. I know it’s the ugliest of dawgs to back, but grab the points as the Owls pull off a small victory of their own and stay within this lofty number.