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Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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Last year I hit utilizing "Early Teasers" anticipating line movements and early lines. With my early teasers and regular straight plays, I hit over 70% and I value everyone's opinion and sometimes apply it to my overall strategy.

2006 Record over 70%

Here is the thread of my record last year:

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=425861&page=5

This year I am off to another amazing start and hope to maintain the momentum into the start of the 2007 NFL season.

2007 record is 8-2 (.800%)

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=505947

With all of the background out of the way, I have a large sum on the Cincinnati Bengals over 9 -125. With the leagues easiest road schedule and top 3 offenses in the league, I cannot see how they could possibly be a .500 team again this year. Also remember last year they were 8-5 and lost the last 3 games, one in OT, one because their placeholder fumbled the snap and their schedule was a lot more harder than this year.

Official Future Bet:

Cincinnati Bengals over 9

Now lets get into this weekend starting with the CFL:

Montreal/BC - Okay so in 2005-2006 anything in the dome would always go over like 80% of the time, and this year, none have gone over. Makes me :think2: . I figured out a couple of games and why they went under 3rd stringer starting and stuff like that. Anyways, with Montreal clicking on all cylinders on offense and Buck having time to rest his ankle and putting up 35 points against Calgary, everything for me leans on the OVER 46.5. Forget the trends and what happened in the past, this is the opener for the labour day long weekend and Montreal has their biggest weakness in their secondary and I see Buck having a field day.

Toronto/Hamilton - Bishop...... No Bishop??? rumours floating around if he will play or not but I can tell you one thing that should not matter, the total opening way to low. 39 in any CFL labour day weekend classic game is just to low. If Bishop starts this total will close at 43 or 44, with Butler in there for the Argos, the total really should be around 42.5. Official play OVER 39.

Still doing some analysis on the NFL and will have a teaser and some plays leading up to next week. NCAA, I normally let the first week go off first and start betting week 2. Good luck this season to all!!

Official Plays:

Cincy over 9 (season)
Mon/BC over 46.5
Tor/Ham over 39



2007 Rx Posting Record 8-2 (.800%)
 

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KC- Buck Pierce is not starting for BC (seperated shoulder)- Jarious Jackson will be starting......

GL with your plays
 

Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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KC- Buck Pierce is not starting for BC (seperated shoulder)- Jarious Jackson will be starting......

GL with your plays

HH, you are kidding me right?? If that is the case how could the line move in BC favor?? I would hammer Montreal if Jackson is starting. Looking up cfl.ca, tsn.ca and BC Lions site to try to get this information. Thanks for the heads up, got to swallow juice and pray for a tiny middle if this is the case. Thanks again.

Jetplane: I will be around until superbowl is officially done, I take a break from capping and focus on other projects. I got you thought, stay tight!! :drink:
 

Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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KC- Buck Pierce is not starting for BC (seperated shoulder)- Jarious Jackson will be starting......

GL with your plays

Thanks HH:

http://www.cfl.ca/index.php?module=sked&func=preview&sked_id=239

Got to take my juice loss and hope for the best. Now I think I may bet Montreal. Got to dig a little more and be back with an official play, if any.

Official Plays:

Cincy over 9 (season)
Cancelled Mon/BC over 46.5 (Bought back under 47.5) Juice loss
Tor/Ham over 39
 

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KC - it has been pretty common knowledge out here all week that JJ was starting - It is on CFL.ca as well

The over is one the rise and so is the Bets on BC - can't figure it out personally....

I have Montreal +4.5 and BC TT U25.5


GL


HH
 

Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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KC - it has been pretty common knowledge out here all week that JJ was starting - It is on CFL.ca as well

The over is one the rise and so is the Bets on BC - can't figure it out personally....

I have Montreal +4.5 and BC TT U25.5


GL


HH

:lol: It was me that moved the total, no need to figure that out. It is going back down this minute as I am hedging the right amount. Look at the line go back to 47 or high juice under 47.5. :puppy:
All good, I think people think Montreal is due to lose but I beg to differ especially with JJ starting and Geroy injured. I am gonna do a little more research and might jump on Montreal at +4.5 -101. Thanks again, I would have probably done some last minute changes at kick off when I tune in and by then it may have been to late. Good luck with your play.
 

Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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<TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 width="98%" bgColor=#000000 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#363636><TD width="100%"><SMALL>12:05 pm </SMALL></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 width="98%" bgColor=#000000 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle width=35>439</TD><TD width=185>Toronto Argonauts</TD><TD align=middle width=85>-1</TD><TD align=middle width=85>43</TD><TD align=right width=45>-115</TD><TD align=right width=85>22 -115</TD><TD align=right width=85>-115</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle width=35>440</TD><TD width=185>Hamilton Tigercats</TD><TD align=middle width=85> </TD><TD align=middle width=85> </TD><TD align=right width=45>-105</TD><TD align=right width=85>-115</TD><TD align=right width=85>21 -115</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Total is now up to 43, hope some of you got on while it was 39. Jump on early before it is to late. Bishop is starting for Toronto. :aktion033
 

Seahawk
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<TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 width="98%" bgColor=#000000 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#363636><TD width="100%"><SMALL>12:05 pm </SMALL></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 width="98%" bgColor=#000000 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle width=35>439</TD><TD width=185>Toronto Argonauts</TD><TD align=middle width=85>-1</TD><TD align=middle width=85>43</TD><TD align=right width=45>-115</TD><TD align=right width=85>22 -115</TD><TD align=right width=85>-115</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle width=35>440</TD><TD width=185>Hamilton Tigercats</TD><TD align=middle width=85></TD><TD align=middle width=85></TD><TD align=right width=45>-105</TD><TD align=right width=85>-115</TD><TD align=right width=85>21 -115</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Total is now up to 43, hope some of you got on while it was 39. Jump on early before it is to late. Bishop is starting for Toronto. :aktion033

If only Bookmaker wasn't a pile of buttholes... and my money was in there from 2 days ago
 

Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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KC- Buck Pierce is not starting for BC (seperated shoulder)- Jarious Jackson will be starting......

GL with your plays

HH, I can't thank you enough for giving me that information early. I ended up positioning myself so if it goes under 47.5, I win $700, if it goes over, I lose 1100. Terrible juice lost if this game ends up going over but with Jared Jackson starting, I had to immediately love the under. Not an official play on the under but both of these offenses look horrific.

FYI: Timmy Chang is now the Ti-Cats permenant starter, now I may buy back some of my total in Tor/Ham. Will have another official play after my re-positioning of Tor/Ham play.

http://www.tsn.ca/cfl/news_story/?ID=217276&hubname=cfl
 

Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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So ended up buying back my bet because of the starting QB for BC and I end up voiding a win..... :puppy: All gravy, can't cry over spilt milk and I don't regret buying back the bet with not feeling good about how much I had on the over. The great news is I ended up betting Sask -6 and the over 26.5 2nd half and both ended up winning on the last play of the game :toast: . No "official plays" so I will not count either to my overall record.

Official Play:

Toronto moneyline -120
Toronto +1
Toronto -1

Got the numbers all different times, so really only one play Toronto Argos-1.

Now Hamilton has annouced that Timmy Chang will start, what does that mean?? Who knows how he will do but I think Argo's defense will have a field day against Timmy. Ti-cats defense is pathetic and if Butler can get stuff going great, if not, they will bring Bishop off the bench. The Ti-cats head coach said, "This is not a test, Maas is now the 2nd stringer and Timmy Chang is our #1 guy". I guess that means no matter how much he struggles, they are sticking to him and allowing him to run the offense. Can't see Argo's losing the big labour day weekend game and in the huge rivilary, need this to kick start their final potential playoff run.
 

Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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Summary:

Tor/Ham over 39 (winner)
Toronto +1 (winner)

Also ended up taking Calgary -4.5 -120 at the Greek 2nd half but called it in as I was not near a PC so could not post, it won't count as an official win.

I will have some more CFL plays as I am perfect so far on the season and will try to maintain my streak. Also I will have one or two NFL week 1 games, more likely a teaser of HT bet. I normally like to let week 1 happen and the teams settle and gel then it becomes a little more predictable week 2 and onward.

:toast: to those who jumped on the over and Toronto






Posting Rx Record 10-2 (.833%)
 

Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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So as I am sitting here watching all of the line movements anticipating my next move I see the Indy/NO total move up to 53 and Pinny still has over 51.5 -111 sitting looking at me dead in the face. Now I have always thought opening the season in the dome, Peyton will score at will with the NO enemic secondary and lack of pass rush and I think Brees will have a little more of a hard time than people think but they will score some points. Now I bought into the over on the premises that:

1) I will have a buy out or middle at kick off or half (I assume)

2) The public will only bet the over, so if I want to get in a good number 7 TD's and one FG is the number opposed to 7 TD's and 2 FG's. That extra point or two can hurt you in the grand scheme of things.

Do I love this play?? Not really, just being a good stock broker knowing I can buyout my bet and scalp, however for the record:

Official Play:

Indy/NO Over 51.5




Rx Posting Record 12-2 (.857%)
 

Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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So it is no surprise that NO has a great offense with or without Horn, I think the world knows this. Playing at the RCA dome is not an easy thing and Peyton looked better than ever in his last playing time on the field. Can someone please explain to me how you can feel comfortable betting against Peyton with a defense more importantly a secondary like this:

<TABLE class=ctr cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=550 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=depthChartBord width=40>LDE</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>94
Charles Grant
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>93
Rob Ninkovich
</TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=depthChartBord width=40>NT</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>71
Kendrick Clancy
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>99
Hollis Thomas
</TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=depthChartBord width=40>DT</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>66
Brian Young
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>96
Antwan Lake
</TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=depthChartBord width=40>RDE</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>91
Will Smith
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>97
Josh Cooper
</TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=depthChartBord width=40>SLB</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>55
Scott Fujita
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>56
Alfred Fincher
</TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=depthChartBord width=40>MLB</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>53
Mark Simoneau
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>51
Brian Simmons
</TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=depthChartBord width=40>WLB</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>58
Scott Shanle
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>54
Troy Evans
</TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=depthChartBord width=40>LCB</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>34
Mike McKenzie
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>21
Jason Craft
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>38
Usama Young
</TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=depthChartBord width=40>SS</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>41
Roman Harper
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>20
Jay Bellamy
</TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=depthChartBord width=40>FS</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>29
Josh Bullocks
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>43
Kevin Kaesviharn
</TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD><TD class=depthChartBord width=102> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=depthChartBord width=40>RCB</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>42
Jason David
</TD><TD class="depthChartBord ctr" vAlign=top width=102>22
Fred Thomas
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


Look for Peyton Manning to tear apart this secondary all game long. Yes NO will put up some points and they will try to run the ball but I forecast Indy going up by two scores then Brees being forced to air it out. Can't see a let down here in Indy so for the record:

Official Play:

Same Game Teaser Indy +0.5 & Over 46.5






Rx Posting Record 12-2 (.857%)
 

Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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Quickly adding Indy/NO 1st half over 27. I see them going to the air early!!! GOOD LUCK ALL!!! :toast:
 

Crown me or protect me, depends on the game....
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Man that game started out ugly and I will be the first to admit, if I did not get that last pick 6, I would have lost a GREAT chunk of my profits. Good news is I took out my initial investment and 25% of my winnings so I am playing with all profits starting the season. The 1st half bets, quarter bets are small, total I ended up hedging taking under 53.5 but will still count it as a loss. Main thing is I had a crazy amount on the "square" teaser and hit it making this season unreal so far and it is only the first game.

FYI: I did not post this cause it is a 3 team teaser that I doubled up on my original "square bet". I have the same wager more than 10 times so I only need Edm/Cal CFL tomorrow over 50 to cash in over 10 dimes :dancefool . I will hedge a good chunk hoping for my middle. Congrats to all of the winners so far in week 1!!!!

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="98%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#99cccc><TD width="22%">[FONT=Verdana, Arial]Sep 6 12:58am[/FONT]</TD><TD align=left width="32%">[FONT=Verdana, Arial]3 Team Teaser - Pending[/FONT]</TD><TD width="30%">[FONT=Verdana, Arial]550.00 to win 990.00[/FONT]</TD><TD align=right width="15%">[FONT=Verdana, Arial] [/FONT]</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#99cccc><TD width="100%" colSpan=4>[FONT=Verdana, Arial] 1. Football - Indianapolis Colts - spread +½ (-110)
for the entire game held on Sep 6 at 7:30pm [winner]
[/FONT]</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#99cccc><TD width="100%" colSpan=4>[FONT=Verdana, Arial] 2. Football - New Orleans Saints/Indianapolis Colts - total Over 47 (-110)
for the entire game held on Sep 6 at 7:30pm [winner]
[/FONT]</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#99cccc><TD width="100%" colSpan=4>[FONT=Verdana, Arial] 3. Football - Calgary Stampeders/Edmonton Eskimos - total Over 50 (-110)
for the entire game held on Sep 7 at 8:00pm [pending]
[/FONT]</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#000000 colspan="4"><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#99cccc><TD width="22%">[FONT=Verdana, Arial]Sep 6 12:59am[/FONT]</TD><TD align=left width="32%">[FONT=Verdana, Arial]3 Team Teaser - Pending[/FONT]</TD><TD width="30%">[FONT=Verdana, Arial]550.00 to win 990.00[/FONT]</TD><TD align=right width="15%">[FONT=Verdana, Arial] [/FONT]</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#99cccc><TD width="100%" colSpan=4>[FONT=Verdana, Arial] 1. Football - Indianapolis Colts - spread +½ (-110)
for the entire game held on Sep 6 at 7:30pm [winner]
[/FONT]</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#99cccc><TD width="100%" colSpan=4>[FONT=Verdana, Arial] 2. Football - New Orleans Saints/Indianapolis Colts - total Over 47 (-110)
for the entire game held on Sep 6 at 7:30pm [winner]
[/FONT]</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#99cccc><TD width="100%" colSpan=4>[FONT=Verdana, Arial] 3. Football - Calgary Stampeders/Edmonton Eskimos - total Over 50 (-110)
for the entire game held on Sep 7 at 8:00pm [pending]
[/FONT]</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Summary:

Teaser (winner) LARGE!!!
Over 51.5 (loss) hedged out
1st half over 27 (loss)
2nd qrt over 14 (loss)
Indy +0.5 3rd quarter (winner)







Rx Posting Record 14-5 (.737%)
 

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