Jimmy the Moose
Jimmy the Moose
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
Monday, September 3rd, 7:05 P.M. EST EST
The Blue Jays have won 5 of their last 6 games. Toronto is 13-5 in their last 18 games vs. team's with winning records. In their last 7 games to starts a series the Jays are 6-1. Toronto is 4-1 in Litsch's last 5 road starts. Boston has dropped 4 of their last 6 games. In their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record the Red Sox are 0-4. In Matsuzaka's last 6 starts as a favorite the Red Sox are 1-5. Boston has lost his last 4 starts overall. The Jays have won 6 of the last 8 meetings in Boston.
Play on: Toronto
Jimmy the Moose
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
Monday, September 3rd, 7:05 P.M. EST EST
The Blue Jays have won 5 of their last 6 games. Toronto is 13-5 in their last 18 games vs. team's with winning records. In their last 7 games to starts a series the Jays are 6-1. Toronto is 4-1 in Litsch's last 5 road starts. Boston has dropped 4 of their last 6 games. In their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record the Red Sox are 0-4. In Matsuzaka's last 6 starts as a favorite the Red Sox are 1-5. Boston has lost his last 4 starts overall. The Jays have won 6 of the last 8 meetings in Boston.
Play on: Toronto
Vegas Experts
Vegas Experts
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Monday, September 3rd, 1:05 P.M. EDT
Cormier shows a 7.59 ERA. Moyer's is 5.08, 5.64 on the road. These are two of the top hitting clubs in the N.L. Philadelphia has scored the most runs and clubbed the third most homers. Atlanta is second in the league in batting average, scoring the third most runs and hitting the fifth most homers. PHILADELPHIA is 41-23 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. ATLANTA is 49-33 OVER in day games over the last 2 seasons.
Play on: Over
Vegas Experts
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Monday, September 3rd, 1:05 P.M. EDT
Cormier shows a 7.59 ERA. Moyer's is 5.08, 5.64 on the road. These are two of the top hitting clubs in the N.L. Philadelphia has scored the most runs and clubbed the third most homers. Atlanta is second in the league in batting average, scoring the third most runs and hitting the fifth most homers. PHILADELPHIA is 41-23 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. ATLANTA is 49-33 OVER in day games over the last 2 seasons.
Play on: Over
Tom Freese Blue Line Club
Tom Freese Blue Line Club
Monday 9/3/07.
Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7:10pm)
It appears as if Baltimore has tossed in the towel as they have lost 11 of their last 12 games. Tonight's pitcher Kurt Birkins comes out of the bullpen to make a starts. So far this year he has allowed 16 runs in 18 innings of work. OUCH! Tampa Bay starter James Shields is in excellent KW form with a 5 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. Play On Tampa Bay - (Shields vs. Birkins)
Tom Freese Blue Line Club
Monday 9/3/07.
Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7:10pm)
It appears as if Baltimore has tossed in the towel as they have lost 11 of their last 12 games. Tonight's pitcher Kurt Birkins comes out of the bullpen to make a starts. So far this year he has allowed 16 runs in 18 innings of work. OUCH! Tampa Bay starter James Shields is in excellent KW form with a 5 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. Play On Tampa Bay - (Shields vs. Birkins)
Dave Cokin
Dave Cokin
MLB
A's @ Angels 9:05 PM EDT
Play: A's +140
Every time I think Oakland's Chad Gaudin is about to hit the wall, the gritty righthander steps up with a good effort. I guess I'd better lose the mindset that he's got to be a fade candidate at this point. Gaudin is off two very solid outings and he's drawing hapless Ervin Santana, who was absolutely roasted again in his last start. I have to think grabbing any decent dog price vs. Santana is a value right now, so that's what I'll do here with a call on Gaudin and the A's.
Dave Cokin
MLB
A's @ Angels 9:05 PM EDT
Play: A's +140
Every time I think Oakland's Chad Gaudin is about to hit the wall, the gritty righthander steps up with a good effort. I guess I'd better lose the mindset that he's got to be a fade candidate at this point. Gaudin is off two very solid outings and he's drawing hapless Ervin Santana, who was absolutely roasted again in his last start. I have to think grabbing any decent dog price vs. Santana is a value right now, so that's what I'll do here with a call on Gaudin and the A's.
BIG AL'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL 100% SYSTEM PLAY (Monday)
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers over Florida State, as Clemson falls into a terrific opening week College Football angle. What we want to do is play on any NCAA team that lost as a 7-point (or greater) favorite in its Bowl game the previous season, if it's matched up against a foe that's also playing its first game of the season. These teams that got upset in their final game of the previous year often 'stew' about the disappointing loss over the spring and summer and have something to prove when the new season finally opens. These teams are a solid 77% ATS in Week 1 since 1984, including a 79-10 blowout win by Oklahoma over North Texas on Saturday (you don't think the Sooners were a bit mad after their embarassing loss to Boise State in the Orange Bowl?!). Last season, Clemson was stunned by Kentucky 28-20 as an 11.5-point favorite so I'm sure they will be champing at the bit to get on the field on Monday night. A lot of folks might play Florida State for the revenge angle (Clemson has won the last two years -- both upset wins), but included in our 77% system is a 100% perfect 9-0 ATS subset which plays on these 'embarassed Bowlers' who are going against teams with revenge. Take Tommy Bowden's Tigers plus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers over Florida State, as Clemson falls into a terrific opening week College Football angle. What we want to do is play on any NCAA team that lost as a 7-point (or greater) favorite in its Bowl game the previous season, if it's matched up against a foe that's also playing its first game of the season. These teams that got upset in their final game of the previous year often 'stew' about the disappointing loss over the spring and summer and have something to prove when the new season finally opens. These teams are a solid 77% ATS in Week 1 since 1984, including a 79-10 blowout win by Oklahoma over North Texas on Saturday (you don't think the Sooners were a bit mad after their embarassing loss to Boise State in the Orange Bowl?!). Last season, Clemson was stunned by Kentucky 28-20 as an 11.5-point favorite so I'm sure they will be champing at the bit to get on the field on Monday night. A lot of folks might play Florida State for the revenge angle (Clemson has won the last two years -- both upset wins), but included in our 77% system is a 100% perfect 9-0 ATS subset which plays on these 'embarassed Bowlers' who are going against teams with revenge. Take Tommy Bowden's Tigers plus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
Scott Spreitzer
Scott Spreitzer
Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Sep 3 2007 1:05PM
Prediction: over
Reason: I'm playing the matchup between the Phillies & Braves to go OVER the posted total. These two teams put up some of their best hitting numbers in this situation. The Phils are smacking righties for well over 6 RPG in road day action, while the Braves counter with well over 5 RPG in home day battles against southpaws. Enter a pair of stuggling starters. Jamie Moyer has been punished lately on the road. The Phillies are just 1-5 in his last six away, where he's allowed 34 earned runs and 67 base runners (including 53 hits) in just 32 2/3 IP! That's a horrible 9.36 ERA & 2.05 WHIP. Add in Lance Cormier's pathetic numbers and we have a recipe for a high-scoring affair. I'm playing the Phillies & Braves to finish OVER the posted total on Monday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Scott Spreitzer
Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Sep 3 2007 1:05PM
Prediction: over
Reason: I'm playing the matchup between the Phillies & Braves to go OVER the posted total. These two teams put up some of their best hitting numbers in this situation. The Phils are smacking righties for well over 6 RPG in road day action, while the Braves counter with well over 5 RPG in home day battles against southpaws. Enter a pair of stuggling starters. Jamie Moyer has been punished lately on the road. The Phillies are just 1-5 in his last six away, where he's allowed 34 earned runs and 67 base runners (including 53 hits) in just 32 2/3 IP! That's a horrible 9.36 ERA & 2.05 WHIP. Add in Lance Cormier's pathetic numbers and we have a recipe for a high-scoring affair. I'm playing the Phillies & Braves to finish OVER the posted total on Monday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
EZ Winners
+117.70 units in 2007 MLB
3 STAR: (966) ARIZONA (+$102) over San Diego
(Listing Owings and Maddux)
(Risking $300 to win $306)
1 STAR: UNDER 7.5 Houston @ Milwaukee
(Listing Oswalt and Sheets)
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (967) SEATTLE (+$160) over NY Yankees
(Listing Hernandez only)
(Risking $100 to win $160)
1 STAR: (971) TORONTO (+$182) over Boston
(Listing Litsch only)
(Risking $100 to win $182)
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+117.70 units in 2007 MLB
3 STAR: (966) ARIZONA (+$102) over San Diego
(Listing Owings and Maddux)
(Risking $300 to win $306)
1 STAR: UNDER 7.5 Houston @ Milwaukee
(Listing Oswalt and Sheets)
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (967) SEATTLE (+$160) over NY Yankees
(Listing Hernandez only)
(Risking $100 to win $160)
1 STAR: (971) TORONTO (+$182) over Boston
(Listing Litsch only)
(Risking $100 to win $182)
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Big Al's
play alert to everyone:
BIG AL'S AWESOME AFTERNOON BASEBALL WINNER.
Al McMordie had a painful day on Sunday, as he lost his Pitching Mismatch Game of the Month on the Tigers, whose bullpen blew a 7-0 lead after Detroit shelled Oakland's starter. On this holiday, Big Al will bounce back strong with an AFTERNOON WINNER. Pick it up right now and build your bankroll for Al's great Football play today.
Price: $15.00
ROCKIES
play alert to everyone:
BIG AL'S AWESOME AFTERNOON BASEBALL WINNER.
Al McMordie had a painful day on Sunday, as he lost his Pitching Mismatch Game of the Month on the Tigers, whose bullpen blew a 7-0 lead after Detroit shelled Oakland's starter. On this holiday, Big Al will bounce back strong with an AFTERNOON WINNER. Pick it up right now and build your bankroll for Al's great Football play today.
Price: $15.00
ROCKIES
Chuck Franklyn
Chuck Franklin
Monday Plays:
2500♦ FLORIDA STATE
Bobby Bowden and his Florida State Seminoles have double-revenge against Tommy Bowden and Clemson. The Tigers are only 2-6 ATS at home the last eight revenge games against a conference opponent and they are 4-13 ATS at home when facing double-revenge. The FSU coaching staff has been upgraded and Chuck Amato (from NC St) is back helping Mickey Andrews on the defensive side, while Jimbo Fisher (from LSU) is overseeing the offense. It will be a vastly improved Florida State, especially on the defensive side. The Seminoles speed will easily keep up with the aggressive Clemson rushing attack. Plus, Clemson has a new QB and they lost four starters on the offensive line. Florida State is on a 7-1 SU and ATS run in road openers when listed as small favorite or a small underdog. They are the slight favorite today and will win by an absolute blowout score.
1000♦ OAKLAND w/GAUDIN over LA Angels w/Santana
Always specify pitchers as listed
Chuck Franklin
Monday Plays:
2500♦ FLORIDA STATE
Bobby Bowden and his Florida State Seminoles have double-revenge against Tommy Bowden and Clemson. The Tigers are only 2-6 ATS at home the last eight revenge games against a conference opponent and they are 4-13 ATS at home when facing double-revenge. The FSU coaching staff has been upgraded and Chuck Amato (from NC St) is back helping Mickey Andrews on the defensive side, while Jimbo Fisher (from LSU) is overseeing the offense. It will be a vastly improved Florida State, especially on the defensive side. The Seminoles speed will easily keep up with the aggressive Clemson rushing attack. Plus, Clemson has a new QB and they lost four starters on the offensive line. Florida State is on a 7-1 SU and ATS run in road openers when listed as small favorite or a small underdog. They are the slight favorite today and will win by an absolute blowout score.
1000♦ OAKLAND w/GAUDIN over LA Angels w/Santana
Always specify pitchers as listed
Chuck Franklin
2500♦ FLORIDA STATE
Bobby Bowden and his Florida State Seminoles have double-revenge against Tommy Bowden and Clemson. The Tigers are only 2-6 ATS at home the last eight revenge games against a conference opponent and they are 4-13 ATS at home when facing double-revenge. The FSU coaching staff has been upgraded and Chuck Amato (from NC St) is back helping Mickey Andrews on the defensive side, while Jimbo Fisher (from LSU) is overseeing the offense. It will be a vastly improved Florida State, especially on the defensive side. The Seminoles speed will easily keep up with the aggressive Clemson rushing attack. Plus, Clemson has a new QB and they lost four starters on the offensive line. Florida State is on a 7-1 SU and ATS run in road openers when listed as small favorite or a small underdog. They are the slight favorite today and will win by an absolute blowout score.
1000♦ OAKLAND w/GAUDIN over LA Angels w/Santana
Always specify pitchers as listed
Jeff Benton 3*
For Labor Day, we shift to the college gridiron and take the points with SMU against Texas Tech.
First and foremost, this line smells like a trap to me. Texas Tech has been a very consistent bowl participant in recent years, while SMU is just 17-41 in coach Phil Bennett’s five years with the program. And last year, the Red Raiders opened the season by crushing SMU 35-3 as a 26½-point home favorite.
And yet, the Red Raiders are barely laying more than a touchdown here. That tells me that the talent gap between these squads has narrowed significantly. Also, while Tech coach Mike Leach will always have an explosive offense, his defense usually leaves a lot to be desired; last year, the Red Raiders allowed 26 points or more in seven of its final nine games, surrendering at least 21 in all nine.
Well, unlike last year’s meeting, that defense is going to be challenged today, as SMU sophomore quarterback Justin Willis is the real deal. Last year, as a true freshman, he completed 67 percent of his throws for 26 TDs against just six INTs. Also, behind Willis is bruising tailback DeMyron Martin, who is fully healthy after being hampered by injuries last year, and in front of Willis and Martin is an experienced offensive line.
Throw in the fact that Texas Tech has been a terrible road favorite of late (2-7 ATS in the last nine) – perhaps that’s why this number has dropped more than two points from the opening line – and SMU plus the points is the way to look tonight.
3* SMU
Cappers Access
CFB Texas Tech/SMU 9 Play SMU
CFB Florida State/Clemson 3 Play Clemson
Strike Point from Docs Sports
5-Unit Play. #225 Take Florida State -165 over Clemson (Monday - 8pm)
Not only will the Seminolees impressively take this opener on the road over Clemson, but they're our pick to win the ACC this season. Loaded on both sides of the ball with ballhawk defenders and speed like nobody's business, Florida State will respond with a sense of urgency after a disppointing season last fall. While the Tigers have a strong duo of tailbacks, their athleticism will be nuetralized, as FSU has all that and more with their stingy defense. Lookout for sophomore safety Myron Rolle, a playmaker to the fullest degree, and he and a very good front seven will keep their yardage at a minimum while Clemson again will lack any type of product from the quarterback position. Florida State, on the other hand, will make plays through the air with their big wide outs DeCody Fagg and Greg Carr. Antonie Smith at tailback will help to keep the offense producing and on the field as much as possible. Florida State has too much depth and talent for just two Clemson players to beat them. The Tiger defense has fallen off a bit from last year and they'll lose the quarerback battle, as LSU offensive coordinator Jimbo Fisher will make Drew Weatherford that much more effective ala JaMarcus Russell, as he is now on the staff in Tallahassee. Semionles take this one outright.
Ron Raymond CFL
Toronto -1.5 vs. Hamilton
Pick: None yet (but by the score it would be Toronto)
Ron’s Comment: When you’ve covered 62.5% of your ATS numbers in 8 games and have a 25% winning percentage, it means you’re doing something right, but you have some discipline or player personnel issues to address. The Argos are a good football team, their defense is amongst the tops in the CFL and I would stick with Rocky Butler at the helm, as he’s given your team some consistency and confidence it sorely lacks. As fore the Hamilton Tiger Cats, it’s plain and simple, they lack experience and good receivers. Jason Maas has no receivers on this team who can play in this league, as blunt as this will sound, you look at their receivers and there’s not 1 threat at this position. Once their brain trust can start seeing this and stop depending on Jesse Lumsden to rescue you each week, then you might go somewhere in the standings! Calgary released Marc Boerigter and Hamilton should have been his first phone call this week. Granted, the Tiger Cats have played the 2 second toughest schedule the first 9 weeks, but when you’re in last place, each week are tough!
ATSDatabase Tip: none.
Forecast: Toronto 27 Hamilton 16
Edmonton 54.0 vs. Calgary -6.0
Pick: Edmonton +6.0 Ron’s Comment: The Edmonton Eskimos are coming off a valiant effort in Week 8 vs. the Saskatchewan Roughriders, but still manage to score 32 points against the top defense in the league. The Eskimos have an SOS rating of 61.8% and 6 of their 8 games played this season were against teams with a .500 or more winning record. The Eskimos have the offense to compete in this league, they just need their defense to stop the aerial attacks and take some pressure off their offense. When you look at this Labour Day Classic on Monday, the Eskimos are a +6.0 point road underdog vs. a team who’s 3-4-1 on the season. How can a 3-4-1 team be a +6.0 point favorite vs. a team who has the top QB in the league in Ricky Ray? Call me stupid, but I’ll take my chances here with Ray at +6.0 vs. a Calgary team who doesn’t believe in using their top weapon on offense and that’s Jofferey Reynolds.
ATSDatabase Tip: When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -Before a non division game - Coming off a game scored 34 points or less; The Eskimos are 9-4-0 ATS in this role.
Forecast: Edmonton 21 Calgary 19
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2500♦ FLORIDA STATE
Bobby Bowden and his Florida State Seminoles have double-revenge against Tommy Bowden and Clemson. The Tigers are only 2-6 ATS at home the last eight revenge games against a conference opponent and they are 4-13 ATS at home when facing double-revenge. The FSU coaching staff has been upgraded and Chuck Amato (from NC St) is back helping Mickey Andrews on the defensive side, while Jimbo Fisher (from LSU) is overseeing the offense. It will be a vastly improved Florida State, especially on the defensive side. The Seminoles speed will easily keep up with the aggressive Clemson rushing attack. Plus, Clemson has a new QB and they lost four starters on the offensive line. Florida State is on a 7-1 SU and ATS run in road openers when listed as small favorite or a small underdog. They are the slight favorite today and will win by an absolute blowout score.
1000♦ OAKLAND w/GAUDIN over LA Angels w/Santana
Always specify pitchers as listed
Jeff Benton 3*
For Labor Day, we shift to the college gridiron and take the points with SMU against Texas Tech.
First and foremost, this line smells like a trap to me. Texas Tech has been a very consistent bowl participant in recent years, while SMU is just 17-41 in coach Phil Bennett’s five years with the program. And last year, the Red Raiders opened the season by crushing SMU 35-3 as a 26½-point home favorite.
And yet, the Red Raiders are barely laying more than a touchdown here. That tells me that the talent gap between these squads has narrowed significantly. Also, while Tech coach Mike Leach will always have an explosive offense, his defense usually leaves a lot to be desired; last year, the Red Raiders allowed 26 points or more in seven of its final nine games, surrendering at least 21 in all nine.
Well, unlike last year’s meeting, that defense is going to be challenged today, as SMU sophomore quarterback Justin Willis is the real deal. Last year, as a true freshman, he completed 67 percent of his throws for 26 TDs against just six INTs. Also, behind Willis is bruising tailback DeMyron Martin, who is fully healthy after being hampered by injuries last year, and in front of Willis and Martin is an experienced offensive line.
Throw in the fact that Texas Tech has been a terrible road favorite of late (2-7 ATS in the last nine) – perhaps that’s why this number has dropped more than two points from the opening line – and SMU plus the points is the way to look tonight.
3* SMU
Cappers Access
CFB Texas Tech/SMU 9 Play SMU
CFB Florida State/Clemson 3 Play Clemson
Strike Point from Docs Sports
5-Unit Play. #225 Take Florida State -165 over Clemson (Monday - 8pm)
Not only will the Seminolees impressively take this opener on the road over Clemson, but they're our pick to win the ACC this season. Loaded on both sides of the ball with ballhawk defenders and speed like nobody's business, Florida State will respond with a sense of urgency after a disppointing season last fall. While the Tigers have a strong duo of tailbacks, their athleticism will be nuetralized, as FSU has all that and more with their stingy defense. Lookout for sophomore safety Myron Rolle, a playmaker to the fullest degree, and he and a very good front seven will keep their yardage at a minimum while Clemson again will lack any type of product from the quarterback position. Florida State, on the other hand, will make plays through the air with their big wide outs DeCody Fagg and Greg Carr. Antonie Smith at tailback will help to keep the offense producing and on the field as much as possible. Florida State has too much depth and talent for just two Clemson players to beat them. The Tiger defense has fallen off a bit from last year and they'll lose the quarerback battle, as LSU offensive coordinator Jimbo Fisher will make Drew Weatherford that much more effective ala JaMarcus Russell, as he is now on the staff in Tallahassee. Semionles take this one outright.
Ron Raymond CFL
Toronto -1.5 vs. Hamilton
Pick: None yet (but by the score it would be Toronto)
Ron’s Comment: When you’ve covered 62.5% of your ATS numbers in 8 games and have a 25% winning percentage, it means you’re doing something right, but you have some discipline or player personnel issues to address. The Argos are a good football team, their defense is amongst the tops in the CFL and I would stick with Rocky Butler at the helm, as he’s given your team some consistency and confidence it sorely lacks. As fore the Hamilton Tiger Cats, it’s plain and simple, they lack experience and good receivers. Jason Maas has no receivers on this team who can play in this league, as blunt as this will sound, you look at their receivers and there’s not 1 threat at this position. Once their brain trust can start seeing this and stop depending on Jesse Lumsden to rescue you each week, then you might go somewhere in the standings! Calgary released Marc Boerigter and Hamilton should have been his first phone call this week. Granted, the Tiger Cats have played the 2 second toughest schedule the first 9 weeks, but when you’re in last place, each week are tough!
ATSDatabase Tip: none.
Forecast: Toronto 27 Hamilton 16
Edmonton 54.0 vs. Calgary -6.0
Pick: Edmonton +6.0 Ron’s Comment: The Edmonton Eskimos are coming off a valiant effort in Week 8 vs. the Saskatchewan Roughriders, but still manage to score 32 points against the top defense in the league. The Eskimos have an SOS rating of 61.8% and 6 of their 8 games played this season were against teams with a .500 or more winning record. The Eskimos have the offense to compete in this league, they just need their defense to stop the aerial attacks and take some pressure off their offense. When you look at this Labour Day Classic on Monday, the Eskimos are a +6.0 point road underdog vs. a team who’s 3-4-1 on the season. How can a 3-4-1 team be a +6.0 point favorite vs. a team who has the top QB in the league in Ricky Ray? Call me stupid, but I’ll take my chances here with Ray at +6.0 vs. a Calgary team who doesn’t believe in using their top weapon on offense and that’s Jofferey Reynolds.
ATSDatabase Tip: When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -Before a non division game - Coming off a game scored 34 points or less; The Eskimos are 9-4-0 ATS in this role.
Forecast: Edmonton 21 Calgary 19
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