Service Plays 9/10/07

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Strikepoint Sports

2-Unit Play. #431 Take Baltimore +3 over Cincinnati (7 pm - MNF)

Gotta love the Ravens being favored in this spot. They may be on the road, but they are still the best defense in the league in our minds and they absolutely fly to the ball. Last season they were +3 on the road in Tampa Bay and all they did was win 27-0 in a defense beatdown. They aren't going to shutout the Bengals, but a victory is in sights and the Baltimore offense will come through as well. With Willis McGahee providing a big push in the ground game, Steve McNair can finally attack downfield with the likes of Todd Heap, Derrick Mason and Mark Clayton. This more balanced offense will allow the Ravens defense to not have to bail their offense out like in past seasons. The likes of Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, Chris McAllister and Tyrell Suggs will be all over the field to limit Cincy's playmakers. Look for a field goal decision, but the game winner coming off the leg of Baltimore's Matt Stover. The Ravens are the way to go on Monday night.
 

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Vinny Sharks

Baltimore +3 @ Cincy : Steve McNair is a winner, a fighter, and the Ravens will not go down without a tough fight. Take the better defense in this game, Defense wins ballgames.

Baltimore +3 ***
 

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BIG AL NL GAME OF THE YEAR

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants Sep 10 2007 10:15PM
Prediction: San Francisco Giants
Reason: At 10:15pm our National League Game of the Year is on the San Francisco Giants over Arizona. These two division rivals haven't met since July 1st and they played a bunch of games between April and then (twelve to be exact). A lot has changed since that time. Arizona is on a 5-game winning streak, and is ensconced in first place in the NL West. Brandon Webb has put himself back in contention for a second consecutive Cy Young award, and outfielder Chris Young has put up Rookie of the Year-type power numbers, although his batting average (and a guy named Braun in Milwaukee) ensure that he won't win it. Not all the news is good however. The D-Backs just found out that they are going to lose shortstop Orlando Hudson for the rest of the season after thumb surgery. Arizona has also seen its relief pitching get knocked around quite a bit lately, which led to the signing of Bob Wickman off the scrap heap. Now they also must face one of the best young strikeout pitchers in the league, Tim Lincecum, a guy who shut them out earlier this season when he pitched seven innings and struck out twelve in what was probably his best Major League outing. And going for Arizona will be Livan Hernandez, who is on the downslope of his career. He's only struck out a total of eight batters in his last six starts covering 39 innings, which shows that he can't fool anybody anymore. And, we also have a strong technical angle against Arizona tonight, as underdogs that have won exactly five straight games have lost 10 straight times since June. Take the Giants. As always, good luck, Al McMordie. And don't miss my big football winners, as they're already posted for next Saturday's action. We've cashed 100% of our college football plays this year, and this weekend, we'll be featuring our 5* Non-Conference Underdog of the Year, along with five other big plays.
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Wunderdog

Game: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay +148



Youkilis 5-23 (.217), Varitek 4-18 (.222), Ramirez 6-39 (.154), Ortiz 5-34 (.147), Lugo 2-11 (.182), Drew 0-3 (.000), Crisp 2-10 (.200) - total 22-138 (.159). That is the bulk of the Red Sox lineup, and those are the numbers against Scott Kazmir. The D-Rays are a 63-80 (.420) team, but with Kazmir on the hill they are 17-13 (.567). The Rays are hot right now as they have been 12-4 over their last 16. They have scored 128 runs over this stretch good for eight runs a game, out-hitting their suspect pitching, but now have a pitcher that can go deep into a game with a great track record against the Red Sox. Curt Schilling is now a different pitcher. His fastball is now topping off in the high 80s, touching 90, and the Red Sox have now gone 2-6 in his last eight starts. In those last eight games Schilling has pitched 46.1 innings, allowed 58 hits, while pitching to a 5.05 ERA. We have a live doggie in this one.

This is a comp

Kelso

10 units SFran -3 v. Arizona

Doc's Sports

3 Units SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -3

An important game for two improved teams in 2007 takes place on Monday night, as these two teams open the season for the second straight year. The Cardinals still have a bad defense and were burned by the passing game last year, ranking 30th in the NFL. The 49ers made some quiet signing during the off-season bringing in CB Clements and WR Jackson, both of whom are proven starters in the NFL. This will be a high scoring game in which the 49ers pull away late and win this affair.
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Capper Access

Cappersaccess
(Mon) NFL Bengals Ravens 2- Bengals
(Mon) NFL 49ers Cardinals 3 Cardinals
 

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Larry Ness' 15* AL Game of the Week (28-9 since Aug 7 / 111-39 since Opening Day!)

Larry closed a so-so week in MLB with a 2-0 Sunday sweep. However, there's been nothing "so-so" about his record with 15* GOW plays this year, as he's gone 28-9 since Aug 7 and is 111-39 since Opening Day. His "assault on MLB's moneyline" continues tonight with his 15* AL Game of the Week.

15* AL GOW Toronto Blue Jays



Larry Ness' 15* Monday Night Opener

It was not a great Week 1, although Larry did cash with his Week One 20* (Seattle), making him a perfect 7-0 with 20* plays in FB '07 (4-0 in NFLX, now 1-0 in the regular season .

15* Arizona Cardinals
 

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Michael Cannon Money Train

Monday Plays

20 Dime -

RAVENS
Take the points with the Ravens tonight on the road over the Bengals.
It’s pretty hard to pass up getting points with one of the NFL’s best defenses in the Ravens, and considering the Bengals have one of the league’s worst defenses that makes this play all the more to my liking.
Steve McNair will be more comfortable in his second year running this offense, and the addition of running back Willis McGahee over the departed Jamal Lewis will be a significant upgrade that will pay immediate dividends for them tonight.
The Bengals will enter this game short-handed on offense, as left tackle Levi Jones is out with an injury and wide receiver Chris Henry is suspended. Right tackle Willie Anderson is also banged up, and if he gets knocked out of the game it could spell disaster for Carson Palmer and company.
The Ravens will control the tempo of this game against the sorry Bengals defense, which will put more pressure on Palmer to produce when Cincinnati has the ball.
The Bengals are 1-7 ATS at home in Game One and are 2-6 ATS on Monday Night.
Underdogs in the first Monday Night game of the season are 20-8 ATS.
Take the points with the Ravens as they stand an excellent chance of winning this game outright.

10 Dime –

BREWERS (With Villanueva and Armas as listed pitchers)
Take the Brewers as the road chalk tonight over the Pirates.
Carlos Villanueva will get the start tonight and he’s 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA in his career against them. Milwaukee has also won three straight over Pittsburgh and is 9-4 against them this season.
Tony Armas will start for the Pirates and if it wasn’t for their lack of starting pitching depth, he wouldn’t even be in the rotation right now. The right-hander is 3-5 with a 6.49 ERA on the year.
Take the Brewers as they grab the road win over the Bucs.

BLUE JAYS (Witht Halladay and Rogers as listed pitchers)
Take the Blue Jays for the road win over the Tigers.
Roy Halladay will start for Toronto and he’s had great success against Detroit in his career. The right-hander is 11-2 with a 1.83 ERA in 14 career games against the Tigers.
Halladay is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA in two starts this season against Detroit and is 4-1 in six career starts at Comerica Park.
The Tigers will counter with Kenny Rogers, who is making just his second start since coming off the disabled list with left elbow inflammation. He’s going to need to bring his ‘A’ game if he wants to give the Tigers any chance of getting by Halladay.
I don’t see that happening, so take the Blue Jays for the road win.
 

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I'll get Alex Smart's Bengals/Ravens play. Can someone get Paul Leniers' play off mjwins? Thanks!
 

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SCI Sports


last 23 days: 46-21
nine days winning streak!
three days winning streak!
three days winning streak!

2-1 saturday
2-1 yesterday...



MAC SCI - Tb/Bos u9½

JON REIL SCI - Cards +128
(Pineiro, Lilly)

TUL SCI - Tigers +1½ -154
(Halladay, Rogers)
 

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Marc Lawrence-newsletter best bet

4* BEST BET
How can the Bengals be favored in this contest? Cincy is a pitiful
1-7 ATS playing at home in Game One, owns a 2-6 ATS mark on
Mondays and highly-touted QB Carson Palmer can’t even claim
a winning ATS record when playing at Paul Brown Stadium (8-
14-1). Taking the underdog Ravens gets even easier when we
see that dogs in the fi rst Monday Night game of the season have
barked to the tune of 20-8 ATS. The NFL’s best defense taking
points from the league’s worst? We’re there – everytime
Baltimore over CINCINNATI by 10

marcs trends
Monday September 10
Baltimore 4-1 O/U Mondays… 5-2 Mondays… 1-4 Game One
CINCINNATI SERIES: 4-1 L5/3-1 L4 H/ Fav 6-1… 1-7 H Game One

Arizona SERIES: 3-1 L4… 18-81 when lose SU… 2-6 Mondays
SAN FRANCISCO 13-2 Mondays… 6-1 Game One w/rev… 5-1 HF’s w/rev

Michael Cannon

4*SAN FRANCISCO

A split on my freebies yesterday as the Chargers win and cover over the Bears, but the Jags fall to the Titans. Lay the points with San Francisco tonight over Arizona in the second Monday Night game. The 49ers are on the cusp of respectability under head coach Mike Nolan. They have a super stud at running back in Frank Gore who should shread the Cardinals defense. Gore's running will open up the passing lanes for quarterback Alex Smith, and he should be able to expose the Cardinals biggest weakness on defense, their secondary. New Arizona coach Ken Whisenhunt comes over from the Steelers and he's installing a 3-4 scheme on defense, but the Cards don't have the personnel for that change and it's going to be exposed tonight. Lay the points with the 49ers as they grab the home win and cover.

Big Al McMordie
TORONTO BLUE JAYS

Time is getting very short for the Tigers. If they are going to make the postseason, they're going to have to get out their Cleveland Indian voodoo dolls because the Indians just refuse to fold as they've maintained their 5+ game lead pretty much throughout the last month or so. And now Detroit gets the very bad news that righthanded ace Jeremy Bonderman is probably lost for the remainder of the year. Even in the midst of some great achievements this season -- Curtis Granderson becoming one of the elite AL centerfielders and leadoff men, Placido Polanco having probably the best year of any 2B in the AL, and Magglio Ordonez leading the race for batting champion -- if the Tigers don't make the postseason then 2007 will be considered a bust. Just when they were hoping to keep a winning streak alive (they had won four straight) they dropped Sunday's game to Seattle and now have to face one of their worst nightmares in Toronto's Roy Halladay. The Blue Jays are 8-1 in Halladay's last nine starts against Detroit and Halladay has already beaten them twice this season, including a game on April 13 in which he performed the rare feat of going ten innings to pick up the win. You won't see Tiger veteran southpaw Kenny Rogers going ten innings as he's been limited to well under 100 pitches in all but one start this season. And given the way Toronto has been pounding lefties this year, it may be a very short appearance for Rogers indeed. Take the Jays. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.


Vegas Experts

BALTIMORE / CINCINNATI UNDER

Take a look at the scores on Sunday. There is definitely a hint that the defenses are ahead of the offenses at his point of the season. The Baltimore defense is one of the best in the league and will be able to stand toe-to-toe with Cincinnati's dynamic offense. On the other side of the ball, it doesn't take much to stop Baltimore's pop gun attack. With those ideas in mind, we go UNDER the limbo stick. Play on Under.<!-- / message -->
 

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Brandon Lang

20 DIME

Ravens



5 DIME

Ravens/Bengals OVER
Cardinals



Free Pck - Cardinals/Niners OVER
 

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J.R. Miller Professional Gambler Newsletter

National Football League:
RAVENS +2.5 +106 at Bengals

Major League Baseball:
METS -101 over Braves (Perez-Hudson)



RAVENS +2.5 +106 at Bengals
You've heard a lot about the Ravens' quarterback, Steve McNair, and he's a solid player, but pay plenty of attention to the Ravens' defense. The Ravens' defense allowed fewer points last year than any other NFL team (201). According to our handicapping, in today's NFL game the Ravens figure to win outright by at least a field goal. We're taking the points (+2.5 +106) rather than the moneyline (+125) because the pointspread odds appear to offer better value.



METS -101 over Braves (Perez-Hudson)

We think the general betting public is overestimating the Braves' pitcher, Hudson. Compare these two pitchers' stats over their latest half-dozen games and you'll see why we like the Mets to win this game...We think Perez is currently the better pitcher. (The bats are currently roughly equal.) Being at home doesn't hurt the Mets, either.
 

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STAN SHARP

Milwaukee is back and they aren't going away as after a slump a few weeks ago the Brewers have won 7 of 9 and are pounding the Baseball scoring 63 runs in the last 8 games. TAKE MILWAUKEE as STAN'S NL MISMATCH BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME play.


DOUBLE DIME
Milwaukee Brewers
 

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EZ Winners

1 STAR: (920) SEATTLE (-$114) over Oakland
(Listing Ramirez only
(Risking $114 to win $100)
 

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