Service Plays 9/11/07

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Michael Cannon Money Train
Tuesday Plays:

15 Dime –

CUBS (With Marquis and Backe as listed pitchers)
Take the Cubs for the road win over the Astros.
The Cubs are coming off an impressive 12-3 win over the Cardinals yesterday afternoon. Their offense finally broke out of the doldrums after scoring just 15 runs in their previous four games.
That surge should continue tonight against the Astros, who will start Brandon Backe.
Backe is making just his second start since undergoing elbow surgery in August 2006. He gave up four runs and eight hits in 5 2-3 innings of a 5-3 loss at Milwaukee last Tuesday.
While Backe continues his climb back from injury it should allow the Cubs bats to stay hot. Third-baseman Aramis Ramirez is 7-for-17 in his last four games and is batting .353 with a homer and eight RBIs in nine games against the Astros this year. First-baseman Derrick Lee is hitting .410 with three homers in 10 games this month.
Jason Marquis will start for the Cubs and although he’s pitched well in three of his last four starts he only has one win to show for it. He should be able to outpitch Backe tonight, and the Cubs offense will take care of the rest.
Take the Cubs for the road win.

5 Dime –

REDS (With Mulder and Belisle as listed pitchers)
Take the Reds for the home win over the Cardinals.
St. Louis will start Mark Mulder and he was tagged by the Pirates in his first outing of the season last Wednesday. The left-hander gave up six runs on eight hits in just four innings. His velocity is still down and his problem is hittable pitches, something the Reds should be able to take advantage of.
Playing in a hitter’s park is not going to benefit him as he continues to work himself back into shape.
Matt Belisle will start for the Reds and even though he’s no Cy Young candidate, his offense should provide him with plenty of run support. The right-hander does own a 1-0 record with a 0.95 ERA in 19 career innings against the Cardinals, so that should be enough to give the Reds the edge here.
Take Cincinnati for the home win.

INDIANS (With Byrd and Danks as listed pitchers)
Take the Indians as the big road chalk for the win over the White Sox.
Paul Byrd will start for the Tribe and he’s had good success against the White Sox in his career.
The right-hander is 7-2 with a 4.21 ERA in 12 lifetime outings against Chicago, including a 2-0 mark with a 1.71 ERA in three starts this season.
Byrd will be opposed by John Danks, who has routinely been pounded this year. The left-hander is 6-13 with a 5.41 ERA on the year, and has lost his last six outings.
With Cleveland having something to play for and the White Sox out of it, take the Tribe as the big road chalk for the win
 
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Larry Ness' 15* Pitching Mismatch of the Week (111-40 with 15* GOW plays this season!)
My 15* play is on the SD Padres at 10:10 ET. In what may have been one of the year's stupidest moves, the Padres allowed Jake Peavy (or they allowed Peavy to talk them into it?) to come back on just three days rest at Arizona last Wednesday. As if the ENTIRE season was riding on the outcome of that game! Peavy entered that game having allowed 10 ERs over 73.2 innings of 11 road starts this year (1.22 ERA) and also entered that contest 7-0 (team was 8-0) over his previous eight starts (anywhere), while allowing just eight ERs. So what happens? Peavy has his WORST outing of the year, allowing eight ERs in just four innings! With an off day for SD yesterday, Peavy's had five days of rest now and will face an LA team he's DOMINATED. He's 2-0 with a 1.95 ERA against the Dodgers in four starts this year (SD is 4-0) but that's hardly the whole story. Peavy (16-6, 2.43 ERA) is 8-1 with a 2.28 ERA in 17 career starts versus the Dodgers. In his last 11 outings against them, he is 6-0 with a 1.90 ERA. Peavy's only loss to the Dodgers was a 4-0 defeat Sept. 13, 2003. The Dodgers will turn to Esteban Loaiza (1-0, 3.86 ERA), who has delivered a quality start in each of his three outings since returning from a back injury that caused him to miss the first 4 1/2 months of the season. Loaiza started his first two games for Oakland before LA acquired him off waivers Aug 29. The right-hander made his Dodgers debut last Monday, holding the Chicago Cubs to three runs in seven innings in an 11-3 win. He's 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA overall this year. Loaiza is 1-3 with a 4.41 ERA in 11 career games, including eight starts (teams are 2-6), against the Padres. He's winless in eight games against them since 1998 and Loaiza is hardly up to the task of out-ptching Peavy! Pitching Mismatch of the Week 15* SD Padres.

Good Luck...Larry
 

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JIM FEIST

BASEBALL 2007 REGULAR SEASON PACKAGE

(957) ATL Braves vs (958) NY Mets

5 Star NY Mets
 

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Anyone have Ben Burns early Bluechip Total on Game 1 of Det/Tex?
 

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Ben Burns' Blue Chip TOTAL BLOWOUT (1:05 est First Pitch!)
I'm playing on Texas and Detroit to finish UNDER the total in Game 1 of their Double-Header. Neither starter has very impressive stats for the season. However, both have pitched better lately and both are coming off excellent outings. In his last start, Durbin held the White Sox to four hits through five shutout innings. That game would finish with a final score of 3-2. Durbin, who will have the advantage of starting against Texas for the first time, has now seen the UNDER to 4-0 his last four starts. Padilla was even better in his last start as he allowed only two hits through six shutout innings vs. Kansas City. That game would also finish with a score of 3-2. Granted, the Tigers' offense is much better than the Royals' offense. However, Padilla has pitched well against the Tigers in the past. In fact, he is 2-0 with a stellar 2.70 ERA in three career starts vs. the Tigers, most recently allowing two hits through seven complete innings in a 3-2 loss at Detroit exactly one year ago. In his only other start at Detroit, Padilla also pitched seven complete innings and allowed only a single earned run. Including his gem vs. the Royals, Padilla has now seen the UNDER go 3-1-1 his last five starts. I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair with the final score finishing above the low number.
 

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Does anyone have that codsack Brandon Langs picks???
 

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Wolkosky Milan

78-46-2 last twenty four days!!!
1-2-1 yesterday

Today:



10* PHILLIES
10* PADRES
10* DIAMONDBACKS
10* BREWERS
10* BRAVES RL
10* WAS/FLA OVER


Free: CARDS
 

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SCI Sports
last 24 days: 48-22
nine days winning streak!
three days winning streak!
three days winning streak!

2-1 saturday
2-1 sunday
2-1 yesterday...



MAC SCI - Cle/Chw o9½

JON REIL SCI - Brewers -155
(Gallardo, Bullington)

TUL SCI - Padres -1½ +113
(Peavy, Loaiza)
 

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SCI Sports
last 24 days: 48-22
nine days winning streak!
three days winning streak!
three days winning streak!

2-1 saturday
2-1 sunday
2-1 yesterday...



MAC SCI - Cle/Chw o9½

JON REIL SCI - Brewers -155
(Gallardo, Bullington)

TUL SCI - Padres -1½ +113
(Peavy, Loaiza)

Do you have the websites of wolkosky and SCI sports
 

"We're talking proud...we're talking Buffalo"
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Where are all the service plays??? I got spoiled by them! Thx 4 posting them!!!
 

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OCD picks

“2 UNIT” SYSTEM TOTAL (Cubs at Astros UNDER 9’ in an 8:05 eastern start-----Marquis versus Backe): In a weird bit of scheduling the Cubs for a third day in a row are playing in a different city. Yesterday Chicago had a “one game homestand” as they played a make-up game against the Cardinals where the offense exploded in a 12-3 victory. However prior to yesterday’s offensive uprising by a Cubs team that does not hit all that many homeruns, Chicago had plated a grand total of only 15 runs in a 4-game span. The bottom line regarding this total is that Chicago has NOT given Jason Marquis much run support as tonight’s starter has posted a decent ERA (3.46) in his most recent 4 assignments but has only ONE win to show for it. Marquis has really benefited from recent sessions on the side with pitching coach Larry Rothchild and tonight he seeks his 5th consecutive QUALITY start. Going for Houston this evening is Brandon Backe who just pitched his first game since August of 2006 when he had to underdog Tommy John elbow surgery. Backe’s first outing in more than one year ended up going UNDER the total in what turned out to be a 5-3 Astros road loss at Milwaukee. In that QUALITY start he allowed only 3 earne runs. I did some research and found that only ONE batter on the current Cubs roster has hit a homerun in his career against Backe so I am looking for a pitchers duel this evening. Another reason why I am so enthusiastic about tonight’s total is because Houston tomorrow will be going with rookie Troy Patton who has made only one major league appearance. Tonight the Cubs are seeking to go UNDER the spot for a FIFTH consecutive time with Marquis on the mound, while the Astros could very well go 2-0 UNDER this season with Backe on the hill. Here is a 67-PERCENT SYSTEM (62-30 past decade which I found during the database research. This system takes teams like Houston who scored 1-or-LESS runs in consecutive games UNDER the total (8’ to 10 ! runs) ag ainst an opponent like the Cubs who just exploded for 9+ runs at the plate. The clincher is that the Cubs are a resounding 14-3 UNDER/ROAD the past 17 times they have opposed squads with a very poor overall record.
 

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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Tampa Bay Devil Rays @ Boston Red Sox - Tuesday September 11, 2007 7:05 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 10 (-117) (Play of the Day)

I like a couple of angles coming into this game. Sonn did not have a good start agianst Boston last time out and much like Kaz he will want to have a better showing against the Red Sox as Kaz had a start in which he'd like to forget against the sox his last time out and he came out this time and pitched splendidly. Much the same, Sonn has pitched 3 straight quality starts and had a 12+ ERA against Boston last time. Look for him to have a bounce-back this game as well as Wake who got roughed up by Baltimore with a 14+ ERA performance last time. Wake had pitched 5 of 6 quality starts before that and 3 straight unders against the Drays as he seems to have their number with 1.5 ERA, 0 ERA and 0 ERA (15innings of scoreless ball). The Drays have played in 4 straight unders, the under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and the under is 5-2 in Wake's last 7 starts against Drays.

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals - Tuesday September 11, 2007 8:10 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 9 (-105) (Normal)
The very reason why I didn't take the over yesterday despite every trend pointing to it, is that these 2 teams cannot be trusted with the over. With that said, Baker has been pitching great baseball of late and is on a bounce-back giving up 11 hits in his last start, and earlier this year he gave up double-digits hits to the Mariners and then came back to give up 7 hits and 2 runs to the Orioles. He will do much the same to the Royals who are on an under trend due to a lack of hitting, and Baker has given up 3 hits and 1 run to this team in 17 innings - around a 0.6 ERA this season. Davies is turning the corner, but more importantly, he has great numbers against the Twins as he over powers them with his pitches. Davies has about a 1.8 ERA in his last 2 starts against them. Under is 6-1 when Baker starts on 5 days rest, under is 8-1 when the Royals face a winning team at home meaning their pitchers show up a bit more at home and the under is 17-4-1 in the Royals last 22 home games.


Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds - Tuesday September 11, 2007 7:10 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 11 (-113) (Normal)


The bottom line here is I don't trust Mark Mulder. Not one bit. Injured or non-injury, he has struggled and the Reds have done well against him even when he was healthy. Heck, it is quite possibe that one of these teams gets nearly the total by themselves today as the Cards are reeling and they need a big game in scoring and who better than to face the Belisle and the over prone Reds since July 15th? Belisle has pitchedin 4 of 5 overs, typically pitches about 5 innings brings in the Cincy bullpen, the Carsd are likely to have Mulder go just 5 as well, which in turn brings their bullpen into the mix early as well. The over is 9-0-1 in Mulder's last 10, 5-1 when Mulder faces a team with a losing record and the over is 12-4 in the Reds last 16 road games.
 

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Brandon Lang TUESDAY

5 DIME

Padres -1 1/2 runs

Angels -1 1/2 runs

Twins


Free Pick - Indians - (For analysis see Daily video)
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