service plays 9/14/07

Comps

Chris Jordan

Chicago (-110) at ST. LOUIS

Cubs over the Cardinals in a clutch NL Central rivalry clash.
Pair of aces here, and we're not talking poker. Adam Wainwright was specifically bumped from the finale of the Cincinnati series to fire against Carlos Zambrano in the opener of this series.

Too bad for him, as we make money with hard-hitting Chicago, which will take it to the right-hander tonight, the same way it's done in all three starts this season. Twice in April and once in July, the Cubs have combined to throttle Wainwright for 19 earned runs over 14 innings.
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That doesn't even come close to comparing with Zambrano, who is 3-0 in his last five starts against St. Louis, winning both of his starts this season. The Big Z has given up no more than two earned runs in each of those five starts, while yielding just seven total earned runs over 32 innings of work dating back to last season.

Chicago's ace righty is 10-4 on the season, and continues the road trend here with a solid showing.


3♦ CUBS



Karl Garrett

Florida at COLORADO (-135)

The Rockies come back home off a loss at Philadelphia last night, but Colorado did take 2 of 3 from the Phillies and still have their postseason dreams in sight.

The G-Man will go with them tonight, as I really believe Dontrelle Willis has officially given up on his season. This has been a nightmare year for the D-Train, as he is 8-15 this year, and is fresh off a 7-run shell job in his last start, as he lasted just 3 innings against Philadelphia.

Colorado is 43-28 at home this year, and starter Josh Fogg comes into this one having won his last pair of starts, allowing just 4 runs over his last 17 innings of work.

The Rockies have won 2 of the 3 season meetings this year, and this game means way more to the Rockies than it does to the Marlins who are 20 games below .500 for the season.

I am rolling with the Rocks in this one.




1♦ COLORADO



Bobby Maxwell

Arizona (+150) at L.A. DODGERS

Nailed the FREE winner Thursday when the Cubs beat the Astros in Houston. Today we go out west for a complimentary play on the Diamondbakcs as they arrive in Los Angeles to take on the Dodgers.

Have to go with Arizona in this one as pitcher Doug Davis owns the Los Angeles Dodgers. In four career starts against the Dodgers, Davis has yet to give up a single earned run in 30 innings of work. And in his two games against them this year, he’s gone 15 innings, allowing eight hits and four walks while striking out 11.

Dodgers ace Brad Penny is on the hill, and the Dodgers are just 5-4 in Penny’s last nine starts, including 3-2 at home. And that includes that 3-0 loss to Davis and the DBacks back on Aug. 5 at Dodger Stadium.

The DBacks are simply better than the Dodgers, as they showed in that early-August series when they swept three games in L.A. Moreover, Arizona is 11-1 in Davis' last 12 starts, including 4-0 in the last four and 4-0 on the road.

This is a great spot to jump on some plus-money and play the better team. Go with the D'Backs.



2♦ ARIZONA



Sports Gambling Hotline

NY Yankees (pick) at BOSTON

Last chance for the Yankees to make a push at winning the AL East division, as the Yanks head to Fenway 5 1/2 games behind first place Boston.

New York just had their 7-game winning streak snapped last night in a hard-fought 2-1 loss to Toronto. We like the Yanks to bounce-back tonight, as we have the feeling Dice-K's arm may be just a little bit tired as we head into the strecth drive.

Matsuzaka has been hit hard in his last 3 starts, as he has allowed 20 runs in just 14 innings of work for a 1-2 mark. Included is a loss on August 28th to Andy Pettitte and the Yankees.

New York swept the most recent 3-game series with Boston, and are 9-6 at Fenway Park dating back to last year during the regular season.

Andy Pettitte has been the Yankees best pitcher in the second half of the season, and we like him to pitch the Yanks to the win in the opener of this huge weekend set for the New Yorkers.

Play on the Yanks.



4♦ YANKEES

Chuck Franklin

1500♦ TROY

The Trojans have an excellent home record coming off a loss. Now they are coming off two road losses to powerhouse teams Arkansas and Florida, so they have even more drive to come out swinging at home. They have been SU winners at Movie Gallery Veterans Stadium in 14 of their last 15 games following a loss. Being challenged by tough opponents brings up the overall level of talent and athleticism on a team, so Troy will benefit from those first two road losses. Oklahoma State is coming off a wipeout victory over a nothing program, Florida Atlantic, so shouldn’t be overly confident for this contest with the talented Sun Belt Conference Champs of Troy. Also, the Cowboys have only covered the point spread in two of their last ten road games, and have been ATS losers in every match-up as a road favorite since 2005. Side with the Trojans in their home opener.

1500♦ CUBS w/ZAMBRANO over St Louis w/Wainwright


COMP

NY Yankees at BOSTON (-110)

Two hot teams gearing up for a strong postseason. The Yankees have won seven of the last eight and the Red Sox have won nine of the last twelve. Veteran Andy Pettitte goes against newcomer Daisuke Matsuzaka. The Yankees have won the AL East nine straight years but look like they are headed for the wild-card spot this season. New York swept the last series between these two teams, which was at Yankee Stadium last month. Now playing at Fenway Park, I like the Red Sox to get their revenge.

As well as Pettitte has been pitching lately, in two starts at Fenway Park this season he has not won and carries a 5.91 ERA in those games. Matsuzaka is struggling lately with a 1-4 record in his last five starts, but he is 2-1 in three starts against the Yankees this season. The Red Sox have won six of their last eight home games and five of their last seven games against a southpaw starter. They have won eight of Matsuzaka's last 11 home starts.

The Red Sox win!



3♦ BOSTON

Michael Cannon Money Train Friday Picks:

10 Dime –

TROY
Take the points with Troy tonight when they host Oklahoma State.
Troy had two brutal road games to open the season, losing 46-26 at Arkansas and 59-31 at Florida. They went 1-1 ATS in those two games and just barely missed cashing against the Gators as a 26-point dog.
The Trojans are led by senior quarterback Omar Haugabook, who was named the Sun Belt’s Offensive Player of the Year in 2006 when he passed for 21 touchdowns and ran for five more. He has great size and can make plays with his arm and scrambling ability.
Oklahoma State may be without starting quarterback Bobby Reid, who left last week’s win over Florida Atlantic with a twisted ankle.
Running back Dantrell Savage, who ran for 820 yards and eight TDs last year, is also questionable for tonight’s game.
Troy is 14-1 SU when playing at home off a SU loss. They have also won 37 of their past 43 home games, with only three of those defeats coming by more than seven points.
Oklahoma State may be caught in a look-ahead situation here, as they have a shootout with Texas Tech next week.
Troy, on the other hand, will be fired up for their home opener on national TV.
Take the points with Troy as they battle Oklahoma State to the wire.

5 Dime –

PIRATES (With Snell and Oswalt as listed pitchers)
Take the Pirates as the large road dog tonight over the Astros.
The Bucs will hand the ball to Ian Snell tonight and I know he’s had a rocky second half of the season, but he has looked better over his last two starts.
The right-hander is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in those two starts, spanning 14 innings. The Pirates refuse to quit on the season, however, and I expect them to come into this matchup more than confident they can bring home the win.
That’s because the Pirates are 9-3 against the Astros this season and they took two out of three from Houston in Minute Maid Park the last time they played here, from Aug. 24-26.
I know Roy Oswalt is slated to start for the Astros and he’s having another dominant season, but that just gives us a better return on the Bucs.
Take the Pirates as the big road dog as they grab the win.

MARINERS (With Shields and Hernandez as listed pitchers)
Take the Mariners as the home chalk tonight over the Devil Rays.
Felix Hernandez will start for Seattle and he has won six of his last seven decisions. He hasn’t been very dominating recently, but he continues to receive a lot of run support from his teammates and this is a game they have to win if the Mariners are to stay in contention.
Tampa Bay is 1-7 in the last eight meetings in Seattle and I don’t like their chances against Hernandez.
Take Seattle as the home chalk for the win.

Comp


Drew Gordon

Atlanta (-125) at WASHINGTON

197-166-4 over my L367 Bonus Play releases, including 66-47 over my L113 baseball Freebies!

This Friday you've got to like the Braves traveling to RFK to battle the lowly Nationals, who despite playing well at home of late, are in over their heads against a motivated Atlanta club.

Braves need to stop the bleeding after losing a critical series to the Mets, and this match up provides the perfect oppurtunity. Make no mistake, the Nationals are playing well at home, but this is still the Nationals, plain and simple.

Braves Chuck James looks to repeat his winning performance against this Washington team once again tonight. He allowed just 2 runs over 6 1/3 innings in a 9-2 Braves win over the Nats last Saturday. James is 3-2 with a 3.92 ERA in 7 career starts against Washington.

Speaking of Matt Chico, he hasn't won in his last 5 starts, going 0-2 with a 4.10 ERA over that span. He was the victim of 3 errors in that game against the Braves, neeting him 6 unearned runs. He'll battle James strike for strike, but in the end, the Braves have too much offense for the Nats southpaw, especially with the possible return of Chipper Jones tonight.

Bottom line, the Braves need this win in a bad way, and I say they capitalize on a Nationals team that isn't fooling anybody with their meaningless late season surge.

Take Atlanta behind James over Washington in this NL East showdown.

2? ATLANTA

Huddle Up Sports



FLORIDA w/Willis +120

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Platinum Plays



WASHINGTON NATIONALS +105

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Razor Sharp Sports



PITTSBURGH/HOUSTON UNDER 8

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Bud's Wiser Picks



KANSAS CITY

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Mike Wynn Sports



Milwaukee w/Sheets -200

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The Scout



DETROIT -110

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Totals 4 U



SAN FRANCISCO/SAN DIEGO UNDER 7½

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#1 Sports



KANSAS CITY ROYALS +200

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H.D.'s ActionLine



Cubs a Pick over St Louis

Steam Play
Oklahoma State Under 63½

Marc Lawrence Playbook


Oklahoma St over TROY by 7

The Cowboys climbed right back on their horses after being thrown
in their opener against Georgia, punishing an outmanned FAU squad
by a 42-6 fi nal. Troy, meanwhile, got ripped for 59 points in a loss to
Florida, just missing a back door cover. Good numbers abound for
both teams in this matchup. Okie State rides into Alabama with a 6-1
ATS record as road favorites of 6 or more points and an 8-2 spread
streak as non-conference chalk tucked fi rmly in the saddlebag. Trojans,
however, go into attack formation bolstered by a 14-1 SU mark when
playing at Movie Gallery Veterans Stadium off a SU loss. Troy has also
won 37 of the past 43 home wars – with only three of those defeats
coming by more than 7 points. With the Cowboys eyeing a shootout
with Texas Tech next week, we’ll take anything that’s offered up in
this tough venue.



Gold Sheet


*Oklahoma State 31 - TROY 26

After murderous (but financially-rewarding) start at Arkansas and at Florida, Troy finally home, where it has ambushed more than one foe. Considering OSU's 2-8 spread mark last 10 away, plus Trojans' developing corps of athletes, led by sr. QB Haugabook, Troy should fight to the end. Did Cowboys find a new starting QB (Z. Robinson 3 TDP) last week after Bobby Reid's injury? CABLE TV--ESPN2 (FIRST MEETING)

Brandon Lang


10 DIME

TROY


5 DIME

Yankees - Specify Pitchers - Pettitte vs Matzusak


Free Pick - Mets -1 1/2 runs

Larry Ness

15* Team Mismatch of the Week

(31-10 since Aug 7 / 114-40 since Opening Day!)
Larry's 15* Total of the Week 'sailed over' last night, upping his current run with 15*s to 31-10, which brings his Y-T-D mark to a simply stunning, 114-40! Larry heads into the weekend off back-to-back sweeps in MLB (combined 5-0 Weds and Thurs), as his "assault on MLB's moneyline" continues!


15 * COLORADO ROCKIES

Patriots12 and to all others....thank-you all for shareing all your plays you guys buy. I for one, greatly appriciate this!

Thanks again all!:toast:

Can't forget about Durden either....thanks for the help!

anyone get jim hurley are know anything about him?

LOL...hurley is a joke...true scamdicapper at best...prolly gives out both sides of games.



Pure Lock baseball paid play
Detroit Tigers

Brandon Lovell

10* MLB UNDER 9 Braves /Nationals

5* MLB Royals +200


Bonus Play: 5* MLB Cards +105

Robert Ferringo

6-Unit Play. Take #928 Seattle (-140) over Tampa Bay (10 p.m., Friday, Sept. 14) Game of the Month

I went to bed last night with the Mariners down 5-1 to the D-Rays thinking our 1.5-Unit play had busted. I woke up and found out that YET AGAIN the Tampa Bay bullpen has blown up and allowed the Mariners to come back. It has to be getting old for the D-Rays, who appear to have mailed it in for the year.

Felix Hernandez has the type of stuff to cool the D-Rays’ bats and he has been outstanding in the start after he gets lit up. Felix has given up five or more runs four other times this season and his record is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA. He is also 5-2 with a 2.29 ERA after yielding 10 or more hits in his previous starts. Well, he got touched for seven runs and 10 hits on Sunday at Detroit so that sets up nicely for us here. Felix has cashed in eight of his past 10 home starts and is 8-1 in his last nine starts overall. James Shields is just 3-13 as a road dog, 6-15 on the road, 8-20 as an underdog, and 1-8 on the road against a team with a winning record. The Devil Rays are a horrible road team (29-79 recently) and are just 4-11 in the Emerald City. Shields’ ERA is a full run-and-a-half higher on the road this season and he did lose his last start in Safeco. Hopefully that TB bullpen can come through for us one more time!!!

2.5-Unit Play. Take #908 Houston (-170) over Pittsburgh (8 p.m., Friday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play. Take #908 Houston (-1.5, +135) over Pittsburgh (8 p.m., Friday, Sept. 14)

You only pay the juice if you lose and Roy Oswalt doesn’t do much losing. He is 80-39 in his last 119 starts, 73-31 as a favorite, 43-13 at home, and 39-16 in divisional games. The wheels came off on Ian Snell a long time ago and the Pirates are 3-9 in his last 12 starts and 1-9 with him as an underdog. Pittsburgh has had the upper hand in this series this year, but they are still just 16-43 in their last 59 meetings in Houston and Oswalt has won six of his last seven starts against the Pirates. Roy hasn’t given up an earned run in his last three home starts (20 innings) and he has a miniscule 2.03 ERA in Houston this year.

2-Unit Play. Take #920 Toronto (-1.5, +105) over Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play. Take #920 Toronto (-175) over Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 14)

Blue Jays vs. a lefty? Check. Team that’s mailed it in on the season? Check. Home team that’s won six of seven over floundering divisional opponent? Check. Yup, I like the Blue Jays to take the edge off after a frustrating series with the Yankees by bashing in the Orioles.
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Larry Ness

sorry for the title
Jimmy the moose
ATLANTA BRAVES

In their last 28 games following an off day the Braves are 21-7. Atlanta has won 5 of their last 7 games to open a series. The Nationals are 3-8 in their last 11 games opening up a series. Washington is 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning record. Washington is 3-10 in their last 13 games as an underdog. Atlants has won 5 of the last 6 meetings between the clubs. Look for the Braves offense to be the difference in this one. Good Luck - Jimmy the Moose. Play on Atlanta.
Free Pick - Mets -1½ runs - (For analysis see Daily video)

Chad Jordan


MILLION DOLLAR LOCK
OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS -10

Bonus Play
San Diego Padres -150 W/ Young

Chris Jordan

Chris Jordan

1,000♦ ROCKIES (LIST Fogg and Willis)

The Marlins open a six-game road trip with the first of three at Colorado, and if you had the conception they've been ordering room service for quite some time – you're not mistaken.

Florida is in the middle of a stretch of being away for 12 of 15 games, with the three home games taking place Sept. 10-12. Prior to that it was six straight in Washington and Philadelphia.

Now they come to the Mile High City and are faced with playing in the altitude for three straight before turning around and going to Atlanta. In franchise history, the Marlins are 17-34 at Coors Field, and I don't see anything improving for this visit.

We side with Josh Fogg, who has pitched well in his last three starts, but more importantly go against Dontrelle Willis, who is 1-12 in his decisions since May 29. The hard-throwing southpaw comes in off a rough outing at Philadelphia, where he gave up seven runs on Sunday in just three innings. Take the home chalk in this one.


300♦ TROY

I know the Cowboys are stacked in certain areas, but if Larry Blakeney did his homework - looking carefully at the Georgia game - he will be able to expose the same weaknesses the Bulldogs did two weeks ago. Georgia was able to throw on the Okla State secondary, and there's no reason to believe senior Omar Haugabook cannot do the same with the nation's 42nd best passing offense.

On defense, an experienced D-Line will push this Cowboys O-Line around, as we saw Okie State struggle in pass protection and yet to clear holes for the running game. Forget last week's win over tiny Florida Atlantic, things have yet to click.

Home opener + national television + 12th man in the stands = I expect Troy to play a sharp, football game with few mistakes. Look for this one to come down to the fourth quarter.



200♦ ASTROS RUN LINE (LIST Oswalt and Snell)

Lay the run line in this one, as Roy Oswalt against these Bucs is as automatic as it gets. And while you baseball fanatics may be curious about his recent downfall – he's yet to record a quality start in three of his past four outings and has a 6.39 ERA in September – this is the perfect opponent for him to turn things around against.

Forget the fact the Astros are a whopping 80-39 in the southpaw's last 119 starts, he's a perfect 4-0 in his last five starts against the Bucs, and has given up just four earned runs over 34 innings of work against them. That's a stifling ERA of 1.05. That includes two starts this season, in which he's given up two earned runs in 14 innings and is 1-0. Lay the run line with Houston and Oswalt.



200♦ NATIONALS (LIST Chico and James)

How would you feel if you went to Turner Field and gave up six runs to the Braves? How would you feel if NONE of them were earned? That's Matt Chico, and that's what he'll be thinking about when toeing the rubber tonight against Atlanta and Chuck James, who Chico opposed on Sept. 8.

The crafty southpaw fell victim to a shoddy defense, which committed three errors behind Chicago, who took the loss and remained winless since July 31. Nevertheless, he is 2-2 with a 2.18 ERA in four meetings with the Braves this season. In revenge against James, I'll side with Chico and the Nats here.

Big Al's

Big Al's Full Service Clients:

3* Rangers
3* Dodgers
3* Under D'rays

wolkosky Milan

10* Cowboys -10
10* Okst/troy Over 62



10* Mariners
10* Rockies
10* Fla/col Over
10* Yankees
10* Atl/was Under