Dr. Bob
STRONG OPINION
Tennessee 24 NEW ORLEANS (-4.5) 23
05:30 PM Pacific, 24-Sep-07
The Saints have looked horrible so far this season, getting blown out by an average score of 12-36 by the Colts and Buccaneers. New Orleans isn’t as bad as they’ve shown the first two weeks, but a defense that’s allowed 11.5 yards per pass play is certainly a problem. Vince Young has not shown that he can beat a team through the air consistently, but he should have success when he needs to throw the ball in this game. The Titans are averaging 213 yards at 5.2 ypr, so they may not take full advantage of the Saints generous secondary. The most puzzling part of the Saints’ failure has been the play of Drew Brees, who was great last season and very good in the preseason but has averaged just 4.7 yards per pass play in the first 2 games. I expect Brees to return to being a good quarterback and my ratings do favor the Saints by 3 ½ points in this game, but Tennessee applies to a solid 52-20-2 ATS statistical profile indicator and the Titans have covered 9 consecutive times as an underdog, including a win over Jacksonville and a 2 point loss to the Colts last week. I’ll consider Tennessee a Strong Opinion at +3 ½ points or more and I’d take Tennessee in a 2-Star Best Bet at +6 points or more.
Doc Sports
4 Unit Play. #128 Take New Orleans -4 ½ over Tennessee
(Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Saints have yet to find the magic of last season, but that can happen in the NFL, especially opening up with two games on the road. This will be their first game in the Superdome and is a must win affair in order to save their season. The Titans are coming off a tough loss to Indy, a game in which they had a chance to win with under two minutes to play. The Titans weakness (passing game) plays right into the Saints weakness (pass defense) and thus this is a perfect match-up for New Orleans. QB Brees is too good and has too many weapons to not put it together. New Orleans earns the victory and we collect on the last game of week three.
The Sports Reporter
NEW ORLEANS over TENNESSEE by 9
Is Saints’ quarterback Drew Brees starring in a re-make of “The Man Who Fell to Earth?” That
much was suggested here last week, and do we not regret following through on that after all
the evidence was on the table?: Bad game against the Cover-2 on opening night, too big a
Turnover Ratio change for the Saints from ’05 to ’06, and public infatuation with Reggie Bush,
a player who wastes energy trying to take it to the house on every run. Unless the Titans suddenly
change their defensive style, Brees and his 0-2 SU home team lucks out here with lots
of pressure and man coverage against him, and a supporting cast of offensive players
designed to combat it rather effectively. Tennessee’s offensive strategy of pounding the rock
becomes less effective because the Saints will accept that to a degree while it shields their
secondary from being burned by the terrifying torch most quarterbacks hold against it. Vince
Young’s torch isn’t fully fueled anyway.
NEW ORLEANS 26-17
Winning Points
*New Orleans over Tennessee by 2
The Titans upset Jacksonville on the road and nearly upset the Colts, while
the winless Saints have been outscored, 72-24.The due factor may kick in
for the Saints, playing in their home opener, but keep in mind they were
just 1-5 ATS as a home favorite last season. Reggie Bush is off to a slow
beginning, rushing for just 65 yards on 22 carries and averaging just 25
yards receiving.The Titans don’t get a lot of respect.All they’ve done is win
seven of their past nine and cover 12 of their past 14 games.
NEW ORLEANS 26-24.
STRONG OPINION
Tennessee 24 NEW ORLEANS (-4.5) 23
05:30 PM Pacific, 24-Sep-07
The Saints have looked horrible so far this season, getting blown out by an average score of 12-36 by the Colts and Buccaneers. New Orleans isn’t as bad as they’ve shown the first two weeks, but a defense that’s allowed 11.5 yards per pass play is certainly a problem. Vince Young has not shown that he can beat a team through the air consistently, but he should have success when he needs to throw the ball in this game. The Titans are averaging 213 yards at 5.2 ypr, so they may not take full advantage of the Saints generous secondary. The most puzzling part of the Saints’ failure has been the play of Drew Brees, who was great last season and very good in the preseason but has averaged just 4.7 yards per pass play in the first 2 games. I expect Brees to return to being a good quarterback and my ratings do favor the Saints by 3 ½ points in this game, but Tennessee applies to a solid 52-20-2 ATS statistical profile indicator and the Titans have covered 9 consecutive times as an underdog, including a win over Jacksonville and a 2 point loss to the Colts last week. I’ll consider Tennessee a Strong Opinion at +3 ½ points or more and I’d take Tennessee in a 2-Star Best Bet at +6 points or more.
Doc Sports
4 Unit Play. #128 Take New Orleans -4 ½ over Tennessee
(Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Saints have yet to find the magic of last season, but that can happen in the NFL, especially opening up with two games on the road. This will be their first game in the Superdome and is a must win affair in order to save their season. The Titans are coming off a tough loss to Indy, a game in which they had a chance to win with under two minutes to play. The Titans weakness (passing game) plays right into the Saints weakness (pass defense) and thus this is a perfect match-up for New Orleans. QB Brees is too good and has too many weapons to not put it together. New Orleans earns the victory and we collect on the last game of week three.
The Sports Reporter
NEW ORLEANS over TENNESSEE by 9
Is Saints’ quarterback Drew Brees starring in a re-make of “The Man Who Fell to Earth?” That
much was suggested here last week, and do we not regret following through on that after all
the evidence was on the table?: Bad game against the Cover-2 on opening night, too big a
Turnover Ratio change for the Saints from ’05 to ’06, and public infatuation with Reggie Bush,
a player who wastes energy trying to take it to the house on every run. Unless the Titans suddenly
change their defensive style, Brees and his 0-2 SU home team lucks out here with lots
of pressure and man coverage against him, and a supporting cast of offensive players
designed to combat it rather effectively. Tennessee’s offensive strategy of pounding the rock
becomes less effective because the Saints will accept that to a degree while it shields their
secondary from being burned by the terrifying torch most quarterbacks hold against it. Vince
Young’s torch isn’t fully fueled anyway.
NEW ORLEANS 26-17
Winning Points
*New Orleans over Tennessee by 2
The Titans upset Jacksonville on the road and nearly upset the Colts, while
the winless Saints have been outscored, 72-24.The due factor may kick in
for the Saints, playing in their home opener, but keep in mind they were
just 1-5 ATS as a home favorite last season. Reggie Bush is off to a slow
beginning, rushing for just 65 yards on 22 carries and averaging just 25
yards receiving.The Titans don’t get a lot of respect.All they’ve done is win
seven of their past nine and cover 12 of their past 14 games.
NEW ORLEANS 26-24.
Michael Cannon
15 Dime –
SAINTS
Take the Saints as the home chalk over the Titans tonight.
I know all the ATS trends point towards the Titans, but for me this game tonight goes far beyond that.
This is the Saints home opener and you can bet your last dollar that the Superdome is going to be rocking, just like it was when the Saints returned there last year for the first game since Hurricane Katrina.
New Orleans is in desperation mode, as they can ill-afford to fall to 0-3 if they want to have a legitimate chance to make the playoffs.
I’m willing to write off their first two losses as unfavorable matchups for them. Both Indianapolis and Tampa Bay employ the Cover Two scheme on defense, which is what the Saints have trouble against.
The Titans don’t play that on defense, as they like to get to the passer by blitzing. All that’s going to do is let Drew Brees get the ball to his playmakers, Reggie Bush, Marques Colston and the rest of the Saints skill players.
On defense the Saints Achilles heel is their secondary, particularly against the deep pass. Since the Titans love to pound the ball on the ground, this plays right into what the Saints want them to do.
Trust me, New Orleans knows that Vince Young is not a polished passer yet, so they would be well advised to stay in their zones and make him check down to an underneath receiver. That way they can avoid two bad things from happening; Young scrambling and running into a broken field and Young launching the deep pass.
Since New Orleans has their backs against the wall, I expect them to come out and land the first blow of the game, to get the Titans on their heels a little bit. If all is going well, the Saints will get a few quick scores in succession which will force Young to beat them with his arm.
Tennessee is just 2-7 ATS as a Monday night dog while New Orleans is 7-2 ATS as a chalk in games off back-to-back losses.
Lay the points with the Saints as they grab the home win and cover.
5 Dime –
ROYALS (With Meche and Cabrera as listed pitchers)
Take the Royals as the small road chalk tonight over the Orioles.
Gil Meche will start for Kansas City and he’s thrown five consecutive quality starts and has six quality starts in his past seven. The right-hander is 2-0 over his last three starts with a 2.29 ERA.
The Orioles will counter with Daniel Cabrera and he’s tanked it along with his teammates as the season winds down. He’s lost four straight starts and has a 9.47 ERA over that span.
Sorry, but I like the Royals in this spot on the road and I like them even as a road chalk.
Take Kansas City for the win over Baltimore.
15 Dime –
SAINTS
Take the Saints as the home chalk over the Titans tonight.
I know all the ATS trends point towards the Titans, but for me this game tonight goes far beyond that.
This is the Saints home opener and you can bet your last dollar that the Superdome is going to be rocking, just like it was when the Saints returned there last year for the first game since Hurricane Katrina.
New Orleans is in desperation mode, as they can ill-afford to fall to 0-3 if they want to have a legitimate chance to make the playoffs.
I’m willing to write off their first two losses as unfavorable matchups for them. Both Indianapolis and Tampa Bay employ the Cover Two scheme on defense, which is what the Saints have trouble against.
The Titans don’t play that on defense, as they like to get to the passer by blitzing. All that’s going to do is let Drew Brees get the ball to his playmakers, Reggie Bush, Marques Colston and the rest of the Saints skill players.
On defense the Saints Achilles heel is their secondary, particularly against the deep pass. Since the Titans love to pound the ball on the ground, this plays right into what the Saints want them to do.
Trust me, New Orleans knows that Vince Young is not a polished passer yet, so they would be well advised to stay in their zones and make him check down to an underneath receiver. That way they can avoid two bad things from happening; Young scrambling and running into a broken field and Young launching the deep pass.
Since New Orleans has their backs against the wall, I expect them to come out and land the first blow of the game, to get the Titans on their heels a little bit. If all is going well, the Saints will get a few quick scores in succession which will force Young to beat them with his arm.
Tennessee is just 2-7 ATS as a Monday night dog while New Orleans is 7-2 ATS as a chalk in games off back-to-back losses.
Lay the points with the Saints as they grab the home win and cover.
5 Dime –
ROYALS (With Meche and Cabrera as listed pitchers)
Take the Royals as the small road chalk tonight over the Orioles.
Gil Meche will start for Kansas City and he’s thrown five consecutive quality starts and has six quality starts in his past seven. The right-hander is 2-0 over his last three starts with a 2.29 ERA.
The Orioles will counter with Daniel Cabrera and he’s tanked it along with his teammates as the season winds down. He’s lost four straight starts and has a 9.47 ERA over that span.
Sorry, but I like the Royals in this spot on the road and I like them even as a road chalk.
Take Kansas City for the win over Baltimore.
Fast Eddie
NFL
Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints
After two embarrassing losses the New Orleans Saints come home to play the Tennessee Titans. " We really need to take a deep look at ourselves to find the problem and figure out how to fix " said QB Drew Brees of the Saints. There one big problem that will hurt them on Monday night is that the Saints allow 391 yards per game which is the second highest in the NFL. The Tenneesse Titans have a power rushing attack and are averaging 212 yards per game and the Saints are allowing 126 average per game on defense. " If you can run the football in the NFL, typically over the course of the year the teams scoring efficency increases. " said Head Coach Jeff Fisher.
The Tennessee Titans are 13 - 3 ATS the last 16 and New Orleans Saints are 0 - 5 ATS their last 5 and are 3 - 7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 3. The Titans are 11 - 1 ATS the last 12 as a underdog and the Saints were 1 - 5 ATS at home last season.
Here are some interesting AFC vs NFC numbers. AFC is 104 - 73 ATS from 2004 - 2007. The Saints are 0 - 3 ATS as favorites vs the AFC the last 3 years and the Titans are 7 - 3 ATS as Underdogs vs the NFC the last 3 years. The Titans are 26 - 13 ATS vs the NFC their last 39 games.
The New Orleans Saints are 8 - 20 ATS in their last 28 home games as the favorite and they are 7 - 19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10. Tennesse Titans are 6 - 0 ATS as the underdog when getting 3.5 to 10 points.
During Week 3 of the NFL Season teams that are 0 - 2 and playing at home versus 1 - 1 teams and where both teams lost their last game in Week 2 the road teams are 64% ATS Winners. The #'s and current situation look for the Tennessee Titans to stay close and possibly end the game as the winning team on Monday.
10* $100 Regular Play
Tennessee Titans
NFL
Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints
After two embarrassing losses the New Orleans Saints come home to play the Tennessee Titans. " We really need to take a deep look at ourselves to find the problem and figure out how to fix " said QB Drew Brees of the Saints. There one big problem that will hurt them on Monday night is that the Saints allow 391 yards per game which is the second highest in the NFL. The Tenneesse Titans have a power rushing attack and are averaging 212 yards per game and the Saints are allowing 126 average per game on defense. " If you can run the football in the NFL, typically over the course of the year the teams scoring efficency increases. " said Head Coach Jeff Fisher.
The Tennessee Titans are 13 - 3 ATS the last 16 and New Orleans Saints are 0 - 5 ATS their last 5 and are 3 - 7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 3. The Titans are 11 - 1 ATS the last 12 as a underdog and the Saints were 1 - 5 ATS at home last season.
Here are some interesting AFC vs NFC numbers. AFC is 104 - 73 ATS from 2004 - 2007. The Saints are 0 - 3 ATS as favorites vs the AFC the last 3 years and the Titans are 7 - 3 ATS as Underdogs vs the NFC the last 3 years. The Titans are 26 - 13 ATS vs the NFC their last 39 games.
The New Orleans Saints are 8 - 20 ATS in their last 28 home games as the favorite and they are 7 - 19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10. Tennesse Titans are 6 - 0 ATS as the underdog when getting 3.5 to 10 points.
During Week 3 of the NFL Season teams that are 0 - 2 and playing at home versus 1 - 1 teams and where both teams lost their last game in Week 2 the road teams are 64% ATS Winners. The #'s and current situation look for the Tennessee Titans to stay close and possibly end the game as the winning team on Monday.
10* $100 Regular Play
Tennessee Titans
Gold Sheet
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 24
*NEW ORLEANS 27 - Tennessee 26--New Orleans (only 1-5 as home fav. LY) unable so far to regain LY's momentum, while improved Tennessee now 12-2 vs. spread last 14 overall, and 12-2 last 14 getting points! Titans' defense (16 ppg) better than most expected. Jeff Fisher credits his OL with being the engine that drives Vince Young and the Tennessee offense. Titans "under" first two TY, but Drew Brees and Saints should help Tenn. get back on LY's 13-3 "over" track. CABLE TV--ESPN
(03-TENNESSEE -4' 27-12...SR: Tennessee 6-4-1)
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 24
*NEW ORLEANS 27 - Tennessee 26--New Orleans (only 1-5 as home fav. LY) unable so far to regain LY's momentum, while improved Tennessee now 12-2 vs. spread last 14 overall, and 12-2 last 14 getting points! Titans' defense (16 ppg) better than most expected. Jeff Fisher credits his OL with being the engine that drives Vince Young and the Tennessee offense. Titans "under" first two TY, but Drew Brees and Saints should help Tenn. get back on LY's 13-3 "over" track. CABLE TV--ESPN
(03-TENNESSEE -4' 27-12...SR: Tennessee 6-4-1)
Gamblers World
Tip Of the Day
TIP OF THE DAY
Sport: NFL Football
Game: 8:30PM, Titans march to New Orleans for Monday Night battle
Prediction: New Orleans Saints
Current Line: -5
Over/Under: 45.5
Reason: The Saints have been an embarrassment on the road. How will they
perform in their home opener in the Monday Night spotlight against a
Titan team that nearly upset the Colts last week?
Oddsmakers currently have the Saints listed as 5-point favorites versus
the Titans, while the game's total is sitting at 45½.
The Titans lost to Indianapolis 22-20 as a 7-point underdog in Week 2.
The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (46).
Vince Young completed 17-of-27 passes for 184 yards and a touchdown for
Tennessee and LenDale White rushed for 64 yards and a touchdown on 15
carries.
The Saints lost to Tampa Bay 31-14 as a 5.5-point favorite in Week 2.
The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (41.5).
Drew Brees completed 26-of-44 passes for 260 yards with a touchdown and
an interception for New Orleans and Marques Colston caught eight passes
for 70 yards and a touchdown.
Current streak:
New Orleans has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Tennessee: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS
New Orleans: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS
Tennessee most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6
New Orleans most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 4-6
A few trends to consider:
Tennessee is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Tennessee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Tip Of the Day
TIP OF THE DAY
Sport: NFL Football
Game: 8:30PM, Titans march to New Orleans for Monday Night battle
Prediction: New Orleans Saints
Current Line: -5
Over/Under: 45.5
Reason: The Saints have been an embarrassment on the road. How will they
perform in their home opener in the Monday Night spotlight against a
Titan team that nearly upset the Colts last week?
Oddsmakers currently have the Saints listed as 5-point favorites versus
the Titans, while the game's total is sitting at 45½.
The Titans lost to Indianapolis 22-20 as a 7-point underdog in Week 2.
The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (46).
Vince Young completed 17-of-27 passes for 184 yards and a touchdown for
Tennessee and LenDale White rushed for 64 yards and a touchdown on 15
carries.
The Saints lost to Tampa Bay 31-14 as a 5.5-point favorite in Week 2.
The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (41.5).
Drew Brees completed 26-of-44 passes for 260 yards with a touchdown and
an interception for New Orleans and Marques Colston caught eight passes
for 70 yards and a touchdown.
Current streak:
New Orleans has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Tennessee: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS
New Orleans: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS
Tennessee most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6
New Orleans most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 4-6
A few trends to consider:
Tennessee is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Tennessee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Bettorsworld
TITANS AT SAINTS What happened to the Saints? Is it even possible for a team to go from just missing the Super Bowl to the worst team in the NFL in a few short months? Two losses by the score of 41-10 and 31-14. Drew Brees ranks towards the bottom of all NFL QB's and the defense to this point couldn't stop a girls powder puff touch football team. Want more Saints bad news? Saints were 1-5 against the spread last year as a home favorite. Titans are an incredible 12-2 against the spread their last 14 games and an equally impressive 12-2 against the spread in their last 14 underdog roles. Wait, there's more. Titans out rushing their opponents by an average 266 yards per game! The Underdog has covered the last 10 Titans games......the Titans are 12-3 against the spread as dogs against the NFC........Saints 1-6 straight up on Monday Night Football.
Certainly lopsided wouldn't you say? But this is the NFL after all. Where no team is ever as good or as bad as they looked the last week, or last two weeks, and where the difference in talent from 1st to worst in the league is so marginal, that on any given day, any team can beat another. Look at the New York Giants this week. No one looked worse than them the first two weeks on defense yet they go into Washington and not only come away with a big win, they do so with a goal line stance as time expires. So there's hope in the Bayou.
We're going to make two small plays on this game tonight, and admittedly, they are contrarian in nature. We're betting that the Saints can't possibly be as bad as they have looked so far. We're expecting a Saints defense that has looked horrible to come up big under the Monday Night lights. What better time to come up big than against a Titan team that isn't exactly lighting up the score board, scoring 13 in week one and 20 last week. We're also betting that the number one offense in the league from a year ago will come out of hibernation tonight, at least partially. Enough to grab a win and a cover in front of the home town crowd.
So, two small plays, the Saints to cover the -4 and the game to go under the posted total of 46, both for 1%.
1* SAINTS -4
1* UNDER 46
TITANS AT SAINTS What happened to the Saints? Is it even possible for a team to go from just missing the Super Bowl to the worst team in the NFL in a few short months? Two losses by the score of 41-10 and 31-14. Drew Brees ranks towards the bottom of all NFL QB's and the defense to this point couldn't stop a girls powder puff touch football team. Want more Saints bad news? Saints were 1-5 against the spread last year as a home favorite. Titans are an incredible 12-2 against the spread their last 14 games and an equally impressive 12-2 against the spread in their last 14 underdog roles. Wait, there's more. Titans out rushing their opponents by an average 266 yards per game! The Underdog has covered the last 10 Titans games......the Titans are 12-3 against the spread as dogs against the NFC........Saints 1-6 straight up on Monday Night Football.
Certainly lopsided wouldn't you say? But this is the NFL after all. Where no team is ever as good or as bad as they looked the last week, or last two weeks, and where the difference in talent from 1st to worst in the league is so marginal, that on any given day, any team can beat another. Look at the New York Giants this week. No one looked worse than them the first two weeks on defense yet they go into Washington and not only come away with a big win, they do so with a goal line stance as time expires. So there's hope in the Bayou.
We're going to make two small plays on this game tonight, and admittedly, they are contrarian in nature. We're betting that the Saints can't possibly be as bad as they have looked so far. We're expecting a Saints defense that has looked horrible to come up big under the Monday Night lights. What better time to come up big than against a Titan team that isn't exactly lighting up the score board, scoring 13 in week one and 20 last week. We're also betting that the number one offense in the league from a year ago will come out of hibernation tonight, at least partially. Enough to grab a win and a cover in front of the home town crowd.
So, two small plays, the Saints to cover the -4 and the game to go under the posted total of 46, both for 1%.
1* SAINTS -4
1* UNDER 46
Vegas Vic
Titans (+4) over SAINTS
As we mentioned last week, Tennessee is a money machine. The Titans are 2-0 against the spread this season and have covered 13 of their last 16. This is also the first Monday-night appearance for the multitalented Vince Young, and while he might not have the same results as when his Longhorns beat Reggie Bush and Southern California for the national championship, another cover is only 60 minutes away
Titans (+4) over SAINTS
As we mentioned last week, Tennessee is a money machine. The Titans are 2-0 against the spread this season and have covered 13 of their last 16. This is also the first Monday-night appearance for the multitalented Vince Young, and while he might not have the same results as when his Longhorns beat Reggie Bush and Southern California for the national championship, another cover is only 60 minutes away
Tennessee(1-1) @ New Orleans(0-2)
8:30pm EST
Line: O/U 45
The New Orleans Saints come into this game in what is literally a must win situation. Tennessee is playing very good offensively with Vince Young leading the pack. Vince is making plays happen left, right and centre. The Titans almost managed to pull a win off the Colts last week but were stopped 15 yards shot of field goal range. New Orleans defense is giving up lots of points this season. The defense gave up 41 to Indianapolis and 31 to Tampa Bay. The Saints defense ranks in the bottom 10 for each category, ( total yards, passing, rushing, points allowed with 36.5). Tennessee's offense has been rolling along this season, New Orleans is going to have a hard time stopping the dual rushing attack of Vince Young and Chris Brown who just happen to lead the league with 211.5 yards per game. The key for The Saints is going to be establish the run. They have 2 of the best backs in the league between Reggie Bush and Deuce McAllister yet they are ranked 20th with only 102.5 yards per game. Drew Brees will need time to find open receivers, by establishing the run he will be able to work play action into each series. This will give him the misdirection and time he needs to complete the passes. This will work great against the Titans secondary which is giving up over 250 yards per game in the air. Two weak defences meet tonight on one side of the ball and two offense that could easy finish the year in the top 5 meet on the other side. The Saints will finally get rolling at home and score at least 25 points. The Titans will continue their success of running and gunning' tonight and should have no problem matching New Orleans the entire game. Play the Over tonight.
Pick: Over 45
San Diego(85-69) @ San Francisco(68-87)
10:15pm EST
Line: Away -133
The Padres were inline to win the wild card race at worst going into Friday's game in Colorado. Since then they have lost 3 in a row and are 2 1/2 games back of Arizona and only a 1/2 game up on Philadelphia for the wild card spot. The Padres are playing each of their final 7 games on the road in do or die situations. Tonight they open the series in San Francisco and send All Star pitcher Chris Young to the mound. Since going on the DL Young has lost 6 of his last 8 decisions and had an ERA over 4.50. This season his ERA is still below 3 and has been lights out at night with a 2.11 ERA. In a big pressure situation Young will come with all his stuff. You will see the Chris Young who had an ERA under 1.90 and went into the 8th inning after throwing only 80 pitches start after start earlier in the season tonight.
The Padres have won the previous 8 straight games when playing the Giants. Watch for a big performance from Chris Young in a low scoring win for the Padres who are fighting for their playoff lives tonight.
Pick: San Diego -133
8:30pm EST
Line: O/U 45
The New Orleans Saints come into this game in what is literally a must win situation. Tennessee is playing very good offensively with Vince Young leading the pack. Vince is making plays happen left, right and centre. The Titans almost managed to pull a win off the Colts last week but were stopped 15 yards shot of field goal range. New Orleans defense is giving up lots of points this season. The defense gave up 41 to Indianapolis and 31 to Tampa Bay. The Saints defense ranks in the bottom 10 for each category, ( total yards, passing, rushing, points allowed with 36.5). Tennessee's offense has been rolling along this season, New Orleans is going to have a hard time stopping the dual rushing attack of Vince Young and Chris Brown who just happen to lead the league with 211.5 yards per game. The key for The Saints is going to be establish the run. They have 2 of the best backs in the league between Reggie Bush and Deuce McAllister yet they are ranked 20th with only 102.5 yards per game. Drew Brees will need time to find open receivers, by establishing the run he will be able to work play action into each series. This will give him the misdirection and time he needs to complete the passes. This will work great against the Titans secondary which is giving up over 250 yards per game in the air. Two weak defences meet tonight on one side of the ball and two offense that could easy finish the year in the top 5 meet on the other side. The Saints will finally get rolling at home and score at least 25 points. The Titans will continue their success of running and gunning' tonight and should have no problem matching New Orleans the entire game. Play the Over tonight.
Pick: Over 45
San Diego(85-69) @ San Francisco(68-87)
10:15pm EST
Line: Away -133
The Padres were inline to win the wild card race at worst going into Friday's game in Colorado. Since then they have lost 3 in a row and are 2 1/2 games back of Arizona and only a 1/2 game up on Philadelphia for the wild card spot. The Padres are playing each of their final 7 games on the road in do or die situations. Tonight they open the series in San Francisco and send All Star pitcher Chris Young to the mound. Since going on the DL Young has lost 6 of his last 8 decisions and had an ERA over 4.50. This season his ERA is still below 3 and has been lights out at night with a 2.11 ERA. In a big pressure situation Young will come with all his stuff. You will see the Chris Young who had an ERA under 1.90 and went into the 8th inning after throwing only 80 pitches start after start earlier in the season tonight.
The Padres have won the previous 8 straight games when playing the Giants. Watch for a big performance from Chris Young in a low scoring win for the Padres who are fighting for their playoff lives tonight.
Pick: San Diego -133
Johnny Tailgate's Monday Night
New Orleans -4.5 vs. Tennessee
Looks like I am back to Old Milwaukee Light. The Saints have suffered offensively the last two weeks but will rally back this Monday night in their home opener. Tennessee has covered their last two and brought it down to the wire last Sunday against the super bowl champs. After two physically and mentally exhausting match ups with Jacksonville and Indianapolis, the Titans now have to travel to the saints and get up for this 0-2 team. I see New Orleans getting their magic back with a little help from their fans and a lack luster performance by Tennessee.
*These picks are a cumulative selections of team Frogtown & may not be the 5 selected for the Las Vegas Hilton.
New Orleans -4.5 vs. Tennessee
Looks like I am back to Old Milwaukee Light. The Saints have suffered offensively the last two weeks but will rally back this Monday night in their home opener. Tennessee has covered their last two and brought it down to the wire last Sunday against the super bowl champs. After two physically and mentally exhausting match ups with Jacksonville and Indianapolis, the Titans now have to travel to the saints and get up for this 0-2 team. I see New Orleans getting their magic back with a little help from their fans and a lack luster performance by Tennessee.
*These picks are a cumulative selections of team Frogtown & may not be the 5 selected for the Las Vegas Hilton.
