Mike Rose
New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals o53.0 (-110) OVER
Mon Oct 1 '07 8:30p
I don’t think they can set a number high enough in this one for me not to back the ‘Over’ in this spot. The Patriots offense has been simply unstoppable to start the season, and it doesn’t look to me like the Bengals have the defensive horses to hinder their play this evening.
QB Tom Brady already has 10 TD passes on the year, and that numbers certain to go up tonight when he looks to dissect a Bengals defense that’s allowing opponents to score a tad under 32 PPG. It’s amazing to me that a Marvin Lewis coached defense can give up these types of numbers, but it is what it is, and I expect NE fantasy owners to be very happy after this ones all said and done.
New England’s offense is a machine. It doesn’t sleep. It doesn’t eat. Heck, it doesn’t even look like it enjoys itself. However, what it does best is move the ball and put points up on the board at a very rapid pace. The Pats have totaled 38 points in each of their first three games, and they cut through those defenses (NYJ, SD, BUFF) like a warm knife through butter. QB Tom Brady and WR’s Randy Moss and Wes Welker are in such a groove right now that nobody can stop them. Especially not this Bungles stop unit that’s been thrown on to the tune of 258 YPG. It did a better job at Seattle last week, but the Seahawks have nowhere near as good a WR corps as the Patriots.
Also aiding this position tonight is the fact that Cincinnati won’t be able to do much on the ground. Their feature back, RB Rudi Johnson, will sit this game out with a hamstring injury. This will make the Patriots job on defense a bit easier with the Bengals being more one-dimensional, but I still believe Palmer, Johnson, & Houshmandzadeh are good enough to carry the offenses burden on their backs. As bad as their defense is, the offense is that much better and the Bengals only shot of winning this game is by partaking in a shoot-out. Look for the Bengals to be very pass happy, and try to mix in a run every once in awhile to keep the Pats “D” honest. I’m not sure this attack will be good enough to help them win the game, but it should aid our position on the ‘Over’.