Ryan's 5* SEC Monster Play of the week - 67% ATS
Ryan has hit 67% ATS over the past 3 seasons with his 5* MONSTER plays and his two best conferences have been the Pac-10 and the SEC. Here is his SEC 5* MONSTER Play of the Week. This play is backed by Ryan's extensive research featuring an incredible system and an 8-1 ATS angle.
Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan
Game: Kentucky at South Carolina Oct 4 2007 7:45PM
Prediction: Kentucky
Reason: Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Kentucky – AiS shows an 82% probability that Kentucky will lose this game by 3 or fewer points. Let's first look at one of the dominant factors in this game. The Kentucky rushing game will be the reason that Kentucky covers and may win the game as well. The projections call for them to rush for at least 100 yards in this game and note that Kentucky is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they rush for 100 to 150 yards over the last 3 seasons. Plus, Kentucky is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt since 1992. South Carolina has a strong offense featuring Spurrier's pass happy schemes. Kentucky's ability to run the ball keeps the SC offense off the field and keeps the SC defense fresh. Kentucky is 5-0 and 4-0 ATS and they are coming off a big win against an inferior opponent in Florida Atlantic. Note that Kentucky is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a win by 17 or more points since 1992. During HC Brook's tenure the Wildcats are 8-1 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. Supporting this DOG is a money line system that has gone 28-8 and has made 17.5 units since 2002. Play against any team after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 37 points or more in 3 straight games. Take Kentucky
Ryan has hit 67% ATS over the past 3 seasons with his 5* MONSTER plays and his two best conferences have been the Pac-10 and the SEC. Here is his SEC 5* MONSTER Play of the Week. This play is backed by Ryan's extensive research featuring an incredible system and an 8-1 ATS angle.
Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan
Game: Kentucky at South Carolina Oct 4 2007 7:45PM
Prediction: Kentucky
Reason: Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Kentucky – AiS shows an 82% probability that Kentucky will lose this game by 3 or fewer points. Let's first look at one of the dominant factors in this game. The Kentucky rushing game will be the reason that Kentucky covers and may win the game as well. The projections call for them to rush for at least 100 yards in this game and note that Kentucky is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they rush for 100 to 150 yards over the last 3 seasons. Plus, Kentucky is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt since 1992. South Carolina has a strong offense featuring Spurrier's pass happy schemes. Kentucky's ability to run the ball keeps the SC offense off the field and keeps the SC defense fresh. Kentucky is 5-0 and 4-0 ATS and they are coming off a big win against an inferior opponent in Florida Atlantic. Note that Kentucky is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a win by 17 or more points since 1992. During HC Brook's tenure the Wildcats are 8-1 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. Supporting this DOG is a money line system that has gone 28-8 and has made 17.5 units since 2002. Play against any team after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 37 points or more in 3 straight games. Take Kentucky
Big Al
At 6:35pm, on Thursday, our 5* MLB Playoffs Game of the Year is on the Cleveland Indians over the New York Yankees. Everyone will focus on the high-powered offense of the Yankees and the fact that they went 6-0 against the Tribe during the 2007 regular season (hence New York being the favorite here despite the fact that Cleveland has a better record and home field advantage). But what may not be so obvious is that the Yankees did not face Cleveland's best pitcher, tonight's starter lefthander CC Sabathia. In fact, New York has not faced Sabathia since 2004, despite playing Cleveland plenty of times in that span. One of the key reasons why New York should struggle on Thursday is that it is a terrible 5-14 this season on the road vs. lefty starters (minus 15 games on the money line). New York goes with righthander Chien-Ming Wang who has some pretty impressive numbers of late. But if you look at who he's faced in his last four starts, you'll see that three of those were against Kansas City, Tampa Bay, and Toronto (all great pitching lines for Wang). But the fourth start was against a postseason team in the Boston Red Sox, and Wang got hammered in that one. Also of concern to Yankee backers has to be his numbers on the road this season. Away from the Bronx, Wang sports a 4.91 ERA and 103 hits in only 88 innings. One more thing to keep an eye on is the performance of Mariano Rivera. Although generally solid down the stretch, Rivera's last call to the mound on September 28 at Baltimore (a classic save situation with a 3-run lead) was a disaster. Rivera gave up three hits and three earned runs and blew the save. Was this just a rare blip on Rivera's normally spotless resume, or a sign of things to come? The wrong team is favored here. Take the Indians. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
Big Al
5* Goy Indians
At 6:35pm, on Thursday, our 5* MLB Playoffs Game of the Year is on the Cleveland Indians over the New York Yankees. Everyone will focus on the high-powered offense of the Yankees and the fact that they went 6-0 against the Tribe during the 2007 regular season (hence New York being the favorite here despite the fact that Cleveland has a better record and home field advantage). But what may not be so obvious is that the Yankees did not face Cleveland's best pitcher, tonight's starter lefthander CC Sabathia. In fact, New York has not faced Sabathia since 2004, despite playing Cleveland plenty of times in that span. One of the key reasons why New York should struggle on Thursday is that it is a terrible 5-14 this season on the road vs. lefty starters (minus 15 games on the money line). New York goes with righthander Chien-Ming Wang who has some pretty impressive numbers of late. But if you look at who he's faced in his last four starts, you'll see that three of those were against Kansas City, Tampa Bay, and Toronto (all great pitching lines for Wang). But the fourth start was against a postseason team in the Boston Red Sox, and Wang got hammered in that one. Also of concern to Yankee backers has to be his numbers on the road this season. Away from the Bronx, Wang sports a 4.91 ERA and 103 hits in only 88 innings. One more thing to keep an eye on is the performance of Mariano Rivera. Although generally solid down the stretch, Rivera's last call to the mound on September 28 at Baltimore (a classic save situation with a 3-run lead) was a disaster. Rivera gave up three hits and three earned runs and blew the save. Was this just a rare blip on Rivera's normally spotless resume, or a sign of things to come? The wrong team is favored here. Take the Indians. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
Big Al
5* Goy Indians
Karl Garrett Free Pick
Today's Complimentary Selection The G-Man scored with an easy UNDER on yesterday's Angels-Red Sox contest, and now I am all set to score again with another UNDER, this time in the Rockies-Phillies series.
Yesterday the teams combined for just 6 runs, but more importantly there were only 10 hits total in the contest. While I expect more hits to be rapped out in this game, I still don't see enough combined runs to send this one OVER.
Both Morales and Kendrick were pretty tough to score on down the stretch, and the late day shadows that were cast on the field yesterday should once again benefit the pitchers today.
Philly has been UNDER in their last 4 games, and 8 of their last 11. Expect this one to be another tight, low-scoring affair from Citizens Bank Park.
The G-Man is going LOW in Game 2 of this series!
4♦ UNDER
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)
Today's Complimentary Selection The G-Man scored with an easy UNDER on yesterday's Angels-Red Sox contest, and now I am all set to score again with another UNDER, this time in the Rockies-Phillies series.
Yesterday the teams combined for just 6 runs, but more importantly there were only 10 hits total in the contest. While I expect more hits to be rapped out in this game, I still don't see enough combined runs to send this one OVER.
Both Morales and Kendrick were pretty tough to score on down the stretch, and the late day shadows that were cast on the field yesterday should once again benefit the pitchers today.
Philly has been UNDER in their last 4 games, and 8 of their last 11. Expect this one to be another tight, low-scoring affair from Citizens Bank Park.
The G-Man is going LOW in Game 2 of this series!
4♦ UNDER
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)
Michael Cannon Free Pick
Complimentary Selection THURSDAY'S PLAY
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I'm now on a 15-10-1 run with my Bonus Plays after the Rockies get it done for us yesterday as a +140 dog over the Phillies!
Take the under tonight when Kentucky takes on South Carolina.
The Gamecocks have a good defense and should be able to keep the Wildcats under wraps for the most part.
On the other side of the ball, Steve Spurrier continues to use a quarterback carousel with Chris Smelley and Blake Mitchell, which has prevented any continuity on offense.
Whoever gets the nod tonight will have to get it done against a Kentucky team ranked No. 8 in the country.
With both teams ranked so high, this SEC battle figures to be more of a grudge match than a shootout.
Take the under against this over-inflated number tonight.
3? UNDER
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On a 1? to 5? basis
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Complimentary Selection THURSDAY'S PLAY
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o>I'm now on a 15-10-1 run with my Bonus Plays after the Rockies get it done for us yesterday as a +140 dog over the Phillies!
Take the under tonight when Kentucky takes on South Carolina.
The Gamecocks have a good defense and should be able to keep the Wildcats under wraps for the most part.
On the other side of the ball, Steve Spurrier continues to use a quarterback carousel with Chris Smelley and Blake Mitchell, which has prevented any continuity on offense.
Whoever gets the nod tonight will have to get it done against a Kentucky team ranked No. 8 in the country.
With both teams ranked so high, this SEC battle figures to be more of a grudge match than a shootout.
Take the under against this over-inflated number tonight.
3? UNDER
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Michael Cannon
20 Dime
YANKEES
Take the Yankees as the small road favorite today in Game 1 of their ALDS over the Indians.
New York will send Chien-Ming Wang to the mound and the right-hander turned in another impressive season, going 19-7 with a 3.70 ERA. He should be able to give manager Joe Torre at least six strong innings tonight, and unlike recent seasons it shouldn’t be an adventure once the bullpen takes over.
That’s because the biggest key in this series, as far as I’m concerned, is the emergence of Yankee setup man Joba Chamberlain.
The rookie right-hander gives the Yankees their most deadly bridge to the closer since Mariano Rivera was setting things up for John Wetteland.
Chamberlain has been virtually unhittable since his promotion to the big leagues, pitching 24 innings and allowing just one earned run on 12 hits, while striking out 34. His emergence gives the Yankees the opportunity to shorten the game to six innings. If the Bronx Bombers have the lead after that point, you can chalk up the win.
As far as the potential for the Yankees hitters to come up short, you can forget about that tonight.
That’s because the Indians will start C. C. Sabathia. Although the burly left-hander is a Cy Young candidate, he has struggled big time against New York in his career.
Sabathia is just 1-7 with a 7.13 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees.
New York as a team dominated the Tribe in the regular season, winning all six games. They batted .348 as a team and outscored Cleveland 49-17. Overall the Yankees have won the last eight meetings between the clubs.
Take the Yankees as the small road chalk as they grab the win in Game 1.
10 Dime
SOUTH CAROLINA (Buy the ½ point if your line is -3 ½)
Lay the small number with South Carolina tonight when they host Kentucky.
I know Kentucky brings the best player into this game in Andre Woodson. The Wildcats quarterback is a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate and is one of the nation’s most accurate passers.
But he’s not going against some run-of-the-mill secondary in South Carolina.
The Gamecocks have a veteran laden defense and sport the No. 1 pass defense in the country. The home crowd will add to that advantage by making it difficult for Woodson to call out his signals.
South Carolina coach Steve Spurrier absolutely owns Kentucky, going 14-0 SU in his career against them. The ‘Ol Ball Coach is 33-12-1 ATS playing an SEC opponent off a win and the Gamecocks have won seven in a row against Kentucky (5-2 ATS).
It also helps that South Carolina has already faced two of the SEC’s top teams in Lsu and Georgia, and covered the number in both games.
I’m just not convinced that Kentucky is worthy of its Top 10 ranking, as they haven’t faced the caliber of competition that South Carolina will bring tonight. Sure the Wildcats 40-34 victory over Louisville was impressive at the time, but that win was tempered after the Cardinals lost at home to Syracuse two weeks ago.
The coaching edge definitely goes to South Carolina in this one and it’s hard to go against Spurrier at home laying just a field goal.
Lay the points with South Carolina and remember to buy the ½ point if your line is -3 ½.
20 Dime
YANKEES
Take the Yankees as the small road favorite today in Game 1 of their ALDS over the Indians.
New York will send Chien-Ming Wang to the mound and the right-hander turned in another impressive season, going 19-7 with a 3.70 ERA. He should be able to give manager Joe Torre at least six strong innings tonight, and unlike recent seasons it shouldn’t be an adventure once the bullpen takes over.
That’s because the biggest key in this series, as far as I’m concerned, is the emergence of Yankee setup man Joba Chamberlain.
The rookie right-hander gives the Yankees their most deadly bridge to the closer since Mariano Rivera was setting things up for John Wetteland.
Chamberlain has been virtually unhittable since his promotion to the big leagues, pitching 24 innings and allowing just one earned run on 12 hits, while striking out 34. His emergence gives the Yankees the opportunity to shorten the game to six innings. If the Bronx Bombers have the lead after that point, you can chalk up the win.
As far as the potential for the Yankees hitters to come up short, you can forget about that tonight.
That’s because the Indians will start C. C. Sabathia. Although the burly left-hander is a Cy Young candidate, he has struggled big time against New York in his career.
Sabathia is just 1-7 with a 7.13 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees.
New York as a team dominated the Tribe in the regular season, winning all six games. They batted .348 as a team and outscored Cleveland 49-17. Overall the Yankees have won the last eight meetings between the clubs.
Take the Yankees as the small road chalk as they grab the win in Game 1.
10 Dime
SOUTH CAROLINA (Buy the ½ point if your line is -3 ½)
Lay the small number with South Carolina tonight when they host Kentucky.
I know Kentucky brings the best player into this game in Andre Woodson. The Wildcats quarterback is a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate and is one of the nation’s most accurate passers.
But he’s not going against some run-of-the-mill secondary in South Carolina.
The Gamecocks have a veteran laden defense and sport the No. 1 pass defense in the country. The home crowd will add to that advantage by making it difficult for Woodson to call out his signals.
South Carolina coach Steve Spurrier absolutely owns Kentucky, going 14-0 SU in his career against them. The ‘Ol Ball Coach is 33-12-1 ATS playing an SEC opponent off a win and the Gamecocks have won seven in a row against Kentucky (5-2 ATS).
It also helps that South Carolina has already faced two of the SEC’s top teams in Lsu and Georgia, and covered the number in both games.
I’m just not convinced that Kentucky is worthy of its Top 10 ranking, as they haven’t faced the caliber of competition that South Carolina will bring tonight. Sure the Wildcats 40-34 victory over Louisville was impressive at the time, but that win was tempered after the Cardinals lost at home to Syracuse two weeks ago.
The coaching edge definitely goes to South Carolina in this one and it’s hard to go against Spurrier at home laying just a field goal.
Lay the points with South Carolina and remember to buy the ½ point if your line is -3 ½.
Chuck Franklin Comps
Colorado at PHILADELPHIA (-155)
The Phillies have the edge today with Kyle Kendrick on the mound. Philadelphia is 9-2 in his last 11 starts here in Citizens Bank Park. Kendrick is 10-4 on the season, and 2-0 with an ERA of 3.00 over his last three starts. This guy has more wins than any other rookie pitcher in the league, and he will be tough for the Rockies to deal with, especially since the Phillies are not happy about being down 0-1 to a team nobody expected to make the postseason.
The Colorado Rockies’ amazing charge continued into the first game in this NLDS series, getting the road win here in Philadelphia. Believe me, that is not going to happen in game two. The Rockies are sending Franklin Morales to the mound, and he is 3-2 in eight starts for Colorado this season. I expect to see him take some abuse from the revenge minded Phillies, who averaged more runs this season than any other team in the National League. Side with Philadelphia in this one.
3♦ PHILLIES
Bobby Maxwell
Colorado (+145) at PHILADELPHIA
Delivered a nice plus-money FREE winner Wednesday with the Rockies so why not go back to them again as they take on the Phillies in Game 2 of their best-of-5 series today in Philadelphia?
Just not going to bet money against this Rockies team right now, they are as hot as any team ever has been entering the playoffs.<o></o>
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Colorado has won 15 of its last 16 games and the Rockies have gone 12-3 in their last 15 on the road. And this includes Wednesday's 4-2 victory as pitcher Jeff Francis shut down the Phillies offense, limiting the Phils to just two solo homers. Now the Rockies look to go up 2-0 before they head home to the raucous crowd in Denver.<o></o>
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Franklin Morales (3-2, 3.43 ERA) goes for Colorado and this kid was nails down the stretch for the Rockies. They won his last five starts and he didn't allow a run for three of his final four outings, including a Sept. 11 start in Philadelphia when he blanked the Phillies on three hits for five innings of an 8-2 victory.<o></o>
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Kyle Kendrick (10-4, 3.87) is on the hill to basically try to save the Phillies' postseason hopes. And this guy absolutely got torched by the Rockies on Sept. 12 in Philadelphia. He gave up four runs on seven hits in just three innings of work of a 12-0 Colorado beatdown. In his career against Colorado he's allowed seven runs on 17 hits over nine innings of work.<o></o>
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This Rockies' lineup is too potent and hits the ball to all fields. Matt Holliday is a serious offensive weapon and with all the good hitters around him, Kendrick is in for a rude outing today.<o></o>
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Get the plus-money again and play the Rockies.
2♦ COLORADO
Sports Gambling Hotline
NY Yankees at CLEVELAND (+110) We bring a 40-24-1 comp play run the last 65 days into Thursday's action!
As good as Chien-Ming Wang and CC Sabathia are, we just don't see this being a low-scoring game.
Wang's road ERA is near 5 for the season, so you can expect the Indians to get a few off the Cy Young candidate tonight.
4 of the 6 meetings between the teams this season went OVER the posted total, and 6 of the last 10 mettings between the teams played in Cleveland have also sailed OVER the posted price.
With both teams featuring some potent sticks in the lineup, and the Yankees on a 7-2-1 OVER clip their last 10 games of the regular season - including their final 3 - we will look for the bats to have their way against the pitching tonight, and for Game One of this series to be a high-scoring one.
Play the OVER in Cleveland tonight.
2♦ OVER
Colorado at PHILADELPHIA (-155)
The Phillies have the edge today with Kyle Kendrick on the mound. Philadelphia is 9-2 in his last 11 starts here in Citizens Bank Park. Kendrick is 10-4 on the season, and 2-0 with an ERA of 3.00 over his last three starts. This guy has more wins than any other rookie pitcher in the league, and he will be tough for the Rockies to deal with, especially since the Phillies are not happy about being down 0-1 to a team nobody expected to make the postseason.
The Colorado Rockies’ amazing charge continued into the first game in this NLDS series, getting the road win here in Philadelphia. Believe me, that is not going to happen in game two. The Rockies are sending Franklin Morales to the mound, and he is 3-2 in eight starts for Colorado this season. I expect to see him take some abuse from the revenge minded Phillies, who averaged more runs this season than any other team in the National League. Side with Philadelphia in this one.
3♦ PHILLIES
Bobby Maxwell
Colorado (+145) at PHILADELPHIA
Delivered a nice plus-money FREE winner Wednesday with the Rockies so why not go back to them again as they take on the Phillies in Game 2 of their best-of-5 series today in Philadelphia?
Just not going to bet money against this Rockies team right now, they are as hot as any team ever has been entering the playoffs.<o
></o><o
></o>Colorado has won 15 of its last 16 games and the Rockies have gone 12-3 in their last 15 on the road. And this includes Wednesday's 4-2 victory as pitcher Jeff Francis shut down the Phillies offense, limiting the Phils to just two solo homers. Now the Rockies look to go up 2-0 before they head home to the raucous crowd in Denver.<o
></o><o
></o>Franklin Morales (3-2, 3.43 ERA) goes for Colorado and this kid was nails down the stretch for the Rockies. They won his last five starts and he didn't allow a run for three of his final four outings, including a Sept. 11 start in Philadelphia when he blanked the Phillies on three hits for five innings of an 8-2 victory.<o
></o><o
></o>Kyle Kendrick (10-4, 3.87) is on the hill to basically try to save the Phillies' postseason hopes. And this guy absolutely got torched by the Rockies on Sept. 12 in Philadelphia. He gave up four runs on seven hits in just three innings of work of a 12-0 Colorado beatdown. In his career against Colorado he's allowed seven runs on 17 hits over nine innings of work.<o
></o><o
></o>This Rockies' lineup is too potent and hits the ball to all fields. Matt Holliday is a serious offensive weapon and with all the good hitters around him, Kendrick is in for a rude outing today.<o
></o><o
></o>Get the plus-money again and play the Rockies.
2♦ COLORADO
Sports Gambling Hotline
NY Yankees at CLEVELAND (+110) We bring a 40-24-1 comp play run the last 65 days into Thursday's action!
As good as Chien-Ming Wang and CC Sabathia are, we just don't see this being a low-scoring game.
Wang's road ERA is near 5 for the season, so you can expect the Indians to get a few off the Cy Young candidate tonight.
4 of the 6 meetings between the teams this season went OVER the posted total, and 6 of the last 10 mettings between the teams played in Cleveland have also sailed OVER the posted price.
With both teams featuring some potent sticks in the lineup, and the Yankees on a 7-2-1 OVER clip their last 10 games of the regular season - including their final 3 - we will look for the bats to have their way against the pitching tonight, and for Game One of this series to be a high-scoring one.
Play the OVER in Cleveland tonight.
2♦ OVER
MR A'S SPORTS RUMBLE
Thursday, October 4th 7:30 p.m. est.
(8) Kentucky Wildcats (5-0) at (11) South Carolina Gamecocks (4-1)
Williams-Brice Stadium - Columbia, South Carolina
Kentucky has lost the last 5 meetings versus South Carolina and is 3-8 ATS in their last 11.
Prediction: South Carolina 27, Kentucky 21
Thursday, October 4th 7:30 p.m. est.
(8) Kentucky Wildcats (5-0) at (11) South Carolina Gamecocks (4-1)
Williams-Brice Stadium - Columbia, South Carolina
Kentucky has lost the last 5 meetings versus South Carolina and is 3-8 ATS in their last 11.
Prediction: South Carolina 27, Kentucky 21
:monsters-
Kentucky last 3 games
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahl2></TD><TD class=datacell>FLATL
</TD><TD class=datacell>W 45-17 </TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2></TD><TD class=datacell>@ARK</TD><TD class=datacell>W 42-29 </TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2></TD><TD class=datacell>LOU</TD><TD class=datacell>W 40-34 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
So. Car last 3 games
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell><TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR><TD class=datacell>MISST</TD><TD class=datacell>W 38-21 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR><TD class=datacell>@LSU</TD><TD class=datacell>L 16-28</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR><TD class=datacell>SCSU</TD><TD class=datacell>W 38-3 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Wouldn't that mean take So. Carolina?
</TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2></TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
