Service Plays 10/4

Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-MLB (1st of the '07 postseason)

My Las Vegas Insider is on the Phi Phillies at 3:05 ET.

It's playoff time and handicapping games is a little different. There's a case to be made for both rookie starters on Thursday, as Colorado has gone 6-2 when Morales starts (including 3-0 on the road) while the Phillies are 13-7 in Kendrick's 20 starts, including 9-2 here at home. With a 4-2 win in Game 1, the Rockies have now won 15 of their last 16 games and look like a "team of destiny." However, it's impossible to ignore Philadelphia's great run down the stretch in which the Phillies overtook the Mets. Kendrick was terrible in two starts vs Colorado this year (9 IP / 17 hits / 7 ERs / 7.00 ERA) but how much does that really mean? After all, Jeff Francis owned a 15.12 ERA against the Phillies this season, but outpitched Phillies ace Cole Hamels on Wednesday, allowing four hits with eight strikeouts over six innings! Jimmy Rollins, Case Utley and Ryan Howard combined to go 0-for-11 with eight strikeouts in Game. I'm betting that WON'T happen again and that the Phillies bounce back. I've backed Kendrick a number of times this year with great success and I'll ride him again in this one. Las Vegas Insider on the Phi Phillies.

Good Luck...larry



Larry Ness' 20* ALDS Game of the Year (won 18 of 26 weeks / 261-150 in the regular season!)

My 20* play is on the Cle Indians at 6:35 ET.

The Yankees won all six meetings with the Indians during the regular season. New York batted .348 and outscored Cleveland 49-17 to sweep the Indians at home in April and in Cleveland in August. Cleveland hit just .228 while posting an 8.19 ERA in this season's six losses to New York. Cleveland's starter in Game 1 of this series is CC Sabathia, who is 1-7 with a 7.13 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees. I guess that means it's the Yankees in Game 1? Not so fast. The Indians are 31-13 since the most recent sweep at the hands of the Yankees and Sabathia hasn't met the Yankees since '04 (a lifetime ago!). He was 19-7 with a 3.21 ERA in '07 (team was 23-11) and set career highs for wins, strikeouts (209) and innings (241.0). He's 5-0 with a 2.45 ERA in his last six starts (team was 6-0) and 11-4 at Jacobs Field (team was 14-5). Better yet, the Yankees were just terrible vs left-handers away from the Bronx this year, going 5-14 (minus-$1,515)! Wang goes for the Yanks and he also went 19-7 this year (3.70 ERA), while matching his win total from last season. It's hard to argue against Wang, as New York is 44-20 in his starts the last two years but getting Sabathia at home (at this price) is to good to pass up! ALDS Game of the Year 20* Cle Indians.

Good Luck...Larry

Ryan's 5* SEC Monster Play of the week - 67% ATS

Ryan has hit 67% ATS over the past 3 seasons with his 5* MONSTER plays and his two best conferences have been the Pac-10 and the SEC. Here is his SEC 5* MONSTER Play of the Week. This play is backed by Ryan's extensive research featuring an incredible system and an 8-1 ATS angle.

Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan

Game: Kentucky at South Carolina Oct 4 2007 7:45PM
Prediction: Kentucky
Reason: Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Kentucky – AiS shows an 82% probability that Kentucky will lose this game by 3 or fewer points. Let's first look at one of the dominant factors in this game. The Kentucky rushing game will be the reason that Kentucky covers and may win the game as well. The projections call for them to rush for at least 100 yards in this game and note that Kentucky is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they rush for 100 to 150 yards over the last 3 seasons. Plus, Kentucky is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt since 1992. South Carolina has a strong offense featuring Spurrier's pass happy schemes. Kentucky's ability to run the ball keeps the SC offense off the field and keeps the SC defense fresh. Kentucky is 5-0 and 4-0 ATS and they are coming off a big win against an inferior opponent in Florida Atlantic. Note that Kentucky is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a win by 17 or more points since 1992. During HC Brook's tenure the Wildcats are 8-1 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. Supporting this DOG is a money line system that has gone 28-8 and has made 17.5 units since 2002. Play against any team after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 37 points or more in 3 straight games. Take Kentucky

BIG AL


At 6:35pm, on Thursday, our 5* MLB Playoffs Game of the Year is on the Cleveland Indians over the New York Yankees. Everyone will focus on the high-powered offense of the Yankees and the fact that they went 6-0 against the Tribe during the 2007 regular season (hence New York being the favorite here despite the fact that Cleveland has a better record and home field advantage). But what may not be so obvious is that the Yankees did not face Cleveland's best pitcher, tonight's starter lefthander CC Sabathia. In fact, New York has not faced Sabathia since 2004, despite playing Cleveland plenty of times in that span. One of the key reasons why New York should struggle on Thursday is that it is a terrible 5-14 this season on the road vs. lefty starters (minus 15 games on the money line). New York goes with righthander Chien-Ming Wang who has some pretty impressive numbers of late. But if you look at who he's faced in his last four starts, you'll see that three of those were against Kansas City, Tampa Bay, and Toronto (all great pitching lines for Wang). But the fourth start was against a postseason team in the Boston Red Sox, and Wang got hammered in that one. Also of concern to Yankee backers has to be his numbers on the road this season. Away from the Bronx, Wang sports a 4.91 ERA and 103 hits in only 88 innings. One more thing to keep an eye on is the performance of Mariano Rivera. Although generally solid down the stretch, Rivera's last call to the mound on September 28 at Baltimore (a classic save situation with a 3-run lead) was a disaster. Rivera gave up three hits and three earned runs and blew the save. Was this just a rare blip on Rivera's normally spotless resume, or a sign of things to come? The wrong team is favored here. Take the Indians. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

MLB
3 units Colorado +1.5 & 2 units Colorado +140

NCAA FB
2 units South Carolina ML -165

NHL
2 units Colorado +100
2 units Ottawa -175

Sportsbook Guru

3G sports

10* Cubs
5* Phillies
5* kentucky

Michael Cannon Goes 2-0

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Michael Cannon Thursday Plays

20 Dime –

YANKEES
Take the Yankees as the small road favorite today in Game 1 of their ALDS over the Indians.
New York will send Chien-Ming Wang to the mound and the right-hander turned in another impressive season, going 19-7 with a 3.70 ERA. He should be able to give manager Joe Torre at least six strong innings tonight, and unlike recent seasons it shouldn’t be an adventure once the bullpen takes over.
That’s because the biggest key in this series, as far as I’m concerned, is the emergence of Yankee setup man Joba Chamberlain.
The rookie right-hander gives the Yankees their most deadly bridge to the closer since Mariano Rivera was setting things up for John Wetteland.
Chamberlain has been virtually unhittable since his promotion to the big leagues, pitching 24 innings and allowing just one earned run on 12 hits, while striking out 34. His emergence gives the Yankees the opportunity to shorten the game to six innings. If the Bronx Bombers have the lead after that point, you can chalk up the win.
As far as the potential for the Yankees hitters to come up short, you can forget about that tonight.
That’s because the Indians will start C. C. Sabathia. Although the burly left-hander is a Cy Young candidate, he has struggled big time against New York in his career.
Sabathia is just 1-7 with a 7.13 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees.
New York as a team dominated the Tribe in the regular season, winning all six games. They batted .348 as a team and outscored Cleveland 49-17. Overall the Yankees have won the last eight meetings between the clubs.
Take the Yankees as the small road chalk as they grab the win in Game 1.

10 Dime –

SOUTH CAROLINA (Buy the ½ point if your line is -3 ½)
Lay the small number with South Carolina tonight when they host Kentucky.
I know Kentucky brings the best player into this game in Andre Woodson. The Wildcats quarterback is a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate and is one of the nation’s most accurate passers.
But he’s not going against some run-of-the-mill secondary in South Carolina.
The Gamecocks have a veteran laden defense and sport the No. 1 pass defense in the country. The home crowd will add to that advantage by making it difficult for Woodson to call out his signals.
South Carolina coach Steve Spurrier absolutely owns Kentucky, going 14-0 SU in his career against them. The ‘Ol Ball Coach is 33-12-1 ATS playing an SEC opponent off a win and the Gamecocks have won seven in a row against Kentucky (5-2 ATS).
It also helps that South Carolina has already faced two of the SEC’s top teams in Lsu and Georgia, and covered the number in both games.
I’m just not convinced that Kentucky is worthy of its Top 10 ranking, as they haven’t faced the caliber of competition that South Carolina will bring tonight. Sure the Wildcats 40-34 victory over Louisville was impressive at the time, but that win was tempered after the Cardinals lost at home to Syracuse two weeks ago.
The coaching edge definitely goes to South Carolina in this one and it’s hard to go against Spurrier at home laying just a field goal.
Lay the points with South Carolina and remember to buy the ½ point if your line is -3 ½.

Brandon Lang

THURSDAY

10 DIME

Kentucky

Kentucky/S.Carolina UNDER

New York Yankees - Specify Pitchers - Wang vs Sabathia

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Any Dr.Vegas? or Chicagosportswire?

Didn't see any Dr. Vegas over the weekend

these so far are 90% paid plays...u can usually tell fi they are free...and NO CAPPER would post a GOY on a Bonus Play jus so u know

Chuck Franklin Thursday Picks:

1500♦ KENTUCKY
There’s a first time for everything, and this is it for the Wildcats of Kentucky. This will be the first time they have ever beaten a Steve Spurrier coached team. The Cats are on a roll, winning 10 of their past 11 games. They are averaging 46.6 points per game this season, compared to the Gamecocks average of only 34.7 points per game at home. The trends are also tipped in favor of Kentucky in this game, as they are on a 5-2 ATS run on the road, and have cashed in 11 of their last 17 contests as the listed underdog. One final note, the Gamecocks have only covered two of their last eight games as a home favorite of this many points, and will fail to do so again tonight.

1500♦ NEW YORK w/WANG over Cleveland w/Sabathia
The New York Yankees have won each of the last eight meetings with the Cleveland Indians, and will get another win tonight with the 19-game winner Chien-Ming Wang on the mound. New York is a profitable 9-2 in Wang’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record, so he’s the man they want on the mound to take on these Indians. The Yankees also have more weapons to get the job done in this game, beginning with the power hitting Alex Rodriguez. The Indians will also send a 19-game winner to the mound, C.C. Sabathia. He has had an overall impressive season, but I expect him to get rocked by these Yankees. The Indians have lost five of the last seven games when Sabathia was a home underdog. Side with the Yankees in this one.

Always specify pitchers as listed.

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Wayne Root has;
Chairman - Gamecocks
Millionaire - Yankees

paid & confirmed

Wolkosky Milan

147-96-6 last fourty seven days!!!
3-2 Yesterday!

Today:



10* KENTUCKY +4
10* KY/SC UNDER 57½



10* INDIANS
10* D'BACKS