I like Moyer to give the Phils a chance in this one, and I'll back Philly at plus money. The only way you play the Rockies, IMO, is on the runline.
Moyer will give you 5-6 innings, then turn things over the Jekyll & Hyde Philly pen. Merriweather will call a fair game. With this ump, I like that Moyer is a junker/nibbler and not a fireballer who usually depends lots of strikeouts.
Jiminez won't go deep, but the Rocks have a more consistent and reliable pen of late. Bottom line is the guy shouldn't be a 150 fav.
I'll play Phi +140 or so -- haven't played it yet, but it will be somewhere around this price. Considering the Over 10.5. Phils have bounced back from adversity all year, and I don't expect them to lie down and go quietly tonight.