Xpanda/5TEAM---Thanks.
The "average run of the mill" person wagering this game(a vast majority of which are on the Bills) does not even realize that........
1. Dallas plays NE next week
2. Buffalo is on a bye week next week
3. This is the first MNF game in Buffalo in 13 years
4. That Dallas has beaten teams with a combined 3-13 record this year
5. Has even seen Bills QB Edwards play
6. What the strength of betting double digit dogs is in the NFL.
7. That the line opened at 10 and is going to 11.5
8. How strong historically teams that are 1-3 are vs. the spread(big swing point in season, thus good effort expected).
Just one of MANY type games that overtime will provide more winners than losers.
I definetly put the chances of Buffalo covering the +11 pointspread at 55-58% in this game.................something that 80%+ of longterm proven winning sportsbettors would agree with.
-FH-
I'm sure if Dallas wins by 20 or more points there will be at the very minimam 19 posters come and here and say to me that they knew this was a bad wager.................whatever.
The fact is, games that are capable of winning at a 56% projected clip can and do lose MANY TIMES IN A ROW..........precisely why one should only bet a small percentage of their BR on one game.