sevice plays 10/9/07

Not too much to copy and paste today.


JIM FEIST

The Carolina Hurricanes (1-1-1) are in the midst of a long road trip that won't find the club back on familiar ice until October 22nd. And, if game one of the trip was any indication, it could be a very long trip. The 'Canes dropped their first game of this long road stint to the Capitals, 2-0. Carolina could muster just 23 shots on goal as the offense just never got on track. Meanwhile, the Toronto Maple Leafs (1-2) finally got their first win of the season with a 4-3 overtime win over the the Canadiens on Saturday. What looked like a goalie controversy to start the season seems to be leaning in the direction of the Finn, Vesa Toskala. Toskala was the backup to to San Jose's Evgeni Nabokov last season. Toskala looks to be the number one man in Toronto, but that could change quickly if results aren't seen. Leafs haven't had a game under five goals yet in their three contests and while the Canes aren't scoring as prolific as they have in the past, we still expect this one to go OVER here on Tuesday night.
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GAMBLERS WORLD

Sport: NHL

Game: 7:00PM, Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple Leafs

Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs

Current Line: -140

Over/Under: 6

Reason: The Carolina Hurricanes and the Toronto Maple Leafs will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at Air Canada Centre.

Oddsmakers currently have the Maple Leafs listed as 140-moneyline favorites versus the Hurricanes, while the game's total is sitting at 6.

Last time out the Hurricanes got blanked 2-0 by the Capitals in Washington. The Caps were pegged as -130 favorites, and the goaltending kept that game well under the posted 6.5-goal total.

John Grahame stopped 26-of-28 shots for the losing Hurricanes in that defeat.

Tomas Kaberle had the overtime winner on Saturday night as the Leafs defeated the Montreal Canadiens by a final score of 4-3.

The Leafs got the win as -155 home favorites in that contest, while the combined score went OVER the night's posted total (6).

Alexei Ponikarovsky had two goals for Toronto in that win, while Ian White had the other Leafs marker. Vesa Toskala made 25 saves on the night.

Team records:
Carolina: 1-1-1
Toronto: 1-1-1

Carolina most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-4-1
Before playing Boston are 5-5
After playing Washington are 4-6
After a loss are 7-3

Toronto most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-4-1
Before playing San Jose are 3-3-2
After playing Montreal are 5-5
After a win are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Carolina's last 23 games on the road
Carolina is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Toronto is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games

Next up:
Carolina at Ottawa, Thursday, October 11
Toronto home to NY Islanders, Thursday, October 11

Doc's Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs

Tom Freese


Toronto Maple Leafs Under

im guessing theres no other plays on this game tonight? everyone seems to like the leafs for some reason! were a tab overated at home! 80% of our games go into overtime and anything can happen then. under is the play here.

For My Fellow Degenerates:


MIKE WYNN

Carolina +120 Over Toronto




HUDDLE UP SPORTS

Toronto -140


HONDO

October 9, 2007 -- Hondo tumbled into the red last night when Romo and Co. showed no respect for the point spread in Buf falo, leaving him 55 zisks below the equator.

Today, as per the counsel of Anthony Affrunti, The Post's puny pony picker (if the diet works), Mr. Aitch is riding Motor Patrol in the third at the Meadow lands. Two units to win.





DCI

Season: 14-12 (.538)

TORONTO 3, Carolina 2




NHL POWER RATINGS

Tuesday, October 9, 2007
Toronto* (-140) ½ over Carolina (+140)



North Star Sports Service
NHL - 10/9/2007 CAROLINA at TORONTO
Under 6





Hot Lock Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs -125


Vesa Toskala ifor Toronto is playing for his starting job tonight. Toronto is 10-1 in their last 11 home games and seems to always get the win against the ACC. The Leafs have a young, talented and agressive unit that that will put shots up and get the pucks a flying. Despite carolina\'s noted shot stopping defense the Leafs will get their fair share. Toronto is averaging 33.6 shots and Carolina is averaging 35.5 shots allowed. Toronto gets the win here. Maple Leafs for 3 units!




Florida Booky Busters

NHL 10/9/2007 at 7:00:00 PM
Carolina at Toronto overunder

Carolina/Toronto u6


BIG TIME SPORTS Bonus Play FOR
TUESDAY OCTOBER 9th
CAROLINA / TORONTO OVER 6 GOALS



Easy Money
CAROLINA/TORONTO Over 6 goals




Hawkeye Sports

Toronto




Jon Starz Free Picks (generally a loser, however won last 3 in a row)
Carolina +1.20

Maybe this can keep some of you busy today.

THE GOLDSHEET


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 14

<st1:City w:st="on">KANSAS CITY</st1:City> 20 - <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Cincinnati</st1:City></st1lace> 17
<o> </o>
Banged-up Bengals are expected to welcome back injured LBs Ahmad Brooks (groin) and Rashad Jeanty (shin), both inactive for their last contest vs. the mighty Pats. But this game a tough call early due to K.C. QB Huard's shoulder injury. If he's okay, Chiefs should control ball with Larry Johnson after K.C.'s embarrassing 10-YR performance last week vs. the Jaguars. But if it's Brodie Croyle for Chiefs, must give edge to veteran Carson Palmer and visiting Cincy.

(06-Cincy 23-K. CITY 10...K.18-12 C.34/116 K.25/113 K.23/35/1/176 C.13/19/0/120 C.1 K.2)

(06-Cincinnati +2 23-10...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Kansas City</st1:City></st1lace> 12-11)
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UNDER THE TOTAL <st1:City w:st="on">JACKSONVILLE</st1:City> 16 <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Houston</st1lace></st1:City> 12<o></o>
<o> </o>
J'ville beginning to intimidate foes in Sonny Liston-like fashion, especially with monster DTs Stroud & Henderson again tossing around opposing OLmen & RBs like rag dolls (K.C. only 10 YR last week!). And hurtin' Houston "O" still could be minus main playmakers RB A. Green, WRs A. Johnson & rookie Jacoby Jones. But with Jag QB Garrard taking few risks downfield, Texans' current main weapon, PK K. Brown (5 FGs vs. Miami, 3 of 50+ yards!) could keep Houston close enough to cover for 9th time last 11 in series. Series "under" 7 of last 8.

(06-HOU. 27-Jack. 7...H.21-14 H.34/131 J.25/102 H.25/34/0/218 J.14/28/0/118 H.0 J.2)

(06-Hou. 13-JACK. 10...H.21-16 H.42/148 J.19/118 J.15/34/4/204 H.17/35/0/158 H.0 J.0)

(06-HOUSTON +9 27-7, <st1:City w:st="on">Houston</st1:City> +10 13-10...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Houston</st1:City></st1lace> 6-4)
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<st1:City w:st="on">Miami</st1:City> 21 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">CLEVELAND</st1lace></st1:City> 16<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Miami</st1:City></st1lace> still not winning, although Cam Cameron's bunch has come close (lost by exactly a FG each time) in first three away from home. Even if it's QB Cleo Lemon subbing for Trent Green (concussion last week), keep in mind Lemon played extensively toward the end of LY, had directed the Dolphins to the lead last week at Houston, and was lauded by Cameron in camp TY. And RB Ronnie Brown (360 YR last 3) continues to provide an effective infantry component. Meanwhile, balance on Cleveland "O" could be impacted if Jamal Lewis (foot) is out, while QB D. Anderson still prone to picks (8 in 2007).

(05-CLEVELAND -2' 22-0...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Miami</st1:City></st1lace> 9-5)

<st1:City w:st="on">CHICAGO</st1:City> 23 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Minnesota</st1lace></st1:State> 13
<o> </o>
Have all due respect for Minny's gnarly top-rated rush defense. But Bears have won last six meetings at home vs. the Vikes, and QB Griese's winning TDP last week at G.B. gives their fortunes a big boost. It was <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Chicago</st1lace></st1:City>'s "generosity" that was killing the Bears (led NFL with 14 giveaways through Week Four). The Vikes have a bright star in RB Adrian Peterson (383 YR, 5.0 ypc), but even if Tarvaris Jackson is ready to return, is Minny QBing good enough?

(06-Chi. 19-MINN. 16...C.19-11 M.24/97 C.21/51 C.23/41/2/274 M.21/31/0/189 C.0 M.2)

(06-CHI. 23-Minn. 13...M.21-6 M.35/192 C.25/83 M.21/39/4/156 C.6/19/3/24 C.2 M.1)

(06-Chicago -3' 19-16, <st1:City w:st="on">CHICAGO</st1:City> -9 23-13...SR: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Minnesota</st1lace></st1:State> 48-42-2)
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<st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Philadelphia</st1lace></st1:City> 20 - NY JETS 16<o></o>
<o> </o>
Will it be Kellen Clemens at QB for the 1-4 Jets? Why not, especially after Chad Pennington's 5 ints. the last two games? Meanwhile, LT Tra Thomas (out last game with knee injury) expected to return for Philly, which would be good news for Donovan McNabb, who was sacked one Billion times (actually 12) by the Giants on this field in Eagles' last game. Like rested Eagles more if Brian Westbrook (abdomen) back in lineup.

(2007 Preseason: NY Jets +2' beat <st1:City w:st="on">Philadelphia</st1:City> 13-11 at <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Philadelphia</st1:City></st1lace>)

(03-PHILADELPHIA -3 24-17...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Philadelphia</st1:City></st1lace> 7-0)
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<st1:City w:st="on">BALTIMORE</st1:City> 19 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">St. Louis</st1lace></st1:City> 13<o></o>
<o> </o>
Injury-riddled <st1:City w:st="on">St. Louis</st1:City> is 0-5 SU and 1-4 vs. the spread, while 3-2 <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Baltimore</st1:City></st1lace> is still seeking its first cover of the season! Both have been plagued by injuries in the OL & elsewhere. Frustrated Steve McNair has called Raven gameplans inadequate, while Ram HC Scott Linehan has taken over the playcalling duties for his team. If only Linehan could heal the four OLmen (two starters) he has lost to injury. Last week he held out QB Marc Bulger, RB Steven Jackson, WR Isaac Bruce, and backup WR Dane Looker to help them heal.

(03-ST. LOUIS -7 33-22...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">St. Louis</st1:City></st1lace> 2-1)
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<st1:State w:st="on">Tennessee</st1:State> 17 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">TAMPA</st1lace></st1:City> BAY 16<o></o>
<o> </o>
Bucs have some serviceable RB replacements for injured Cadillac Williams. But the loss of veteran LT Luke Petitgout threatens to cripple the T.B. offense in several ways. And, with <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Tennessee</st1lace></st1:State> playing better-than-expected defense (ranking third through Week Four), will take the points with hot underdog Titans (13-2 last 15 in role!). Vince Young (3 ints. last week) has proven to be a quick study and should correct matters, and he's getting solid ground support TY.

(03-TENNESSEE -6' 33-13...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Tennessee</st1:State></st1lace> 7-1)
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<st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Washington</st1lace></st1:State> 20 - GREEN BAY 17<o></o>
<o> </o>
G.B., with its eight-game win streak ended and only a mini running game to support Brett Favre, might find tough going through the air vs. the talented Washington secondary with its four first-round picks. With HC Joe Gibbs and RB Clinton Portis, you know <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Washington</st1lace></st1:State> will try to exert ball control on offense and to prey upon Favre's occasional impatience while the Redskins are on defense. Their prospects improve if WR Santana Moss (groin) able to return.

(04-Green Bay -1' 28-14...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Green Bay</st1:City></st1lace> 17-13-1)
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<st1:City w:st="on">Carolina</st1:City> 20 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">ARIZONA</st1lace></st1:State> 17<o></o>
<o> </o>
Kurt Warner's days rivaling the D-backs' fireballing Jose Valverde as the best reliever in the Valley of the Sun are now altered with Matt Leinart's collarbone injury forcing Warner into the starting lineup. Will Ken Whisenhunt's Cardinal offense suffer without that usual help from bullpen? We'll see. <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Carolina</st1lace></st1:City> not gaining many style points with David Carr (mere 274 YP in two starts) at QB, but Steve Smith is still a playmaker deluxe, and Panthers are notoriously scrappy as a road dog (15-3-2 last 20 in role).

(05-Carolina -2' 24-20...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Carolina</st1:City></st1lace> 4-2)
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New England 31 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">DALLAS</st1lace></st1:City> 23<o></o>
<o> </o>
With more than three months to go, many are already labeling this contest as a preview of Super Bowl LXII. It's way too early for that, but the prospects of seeing Tom Brady (74%, 16 TDs, 2 ints. ) vs. young gun Tony Romo (60%, 11 TDs, 3 ints. prior to Buffalo on Monday) and Randy Moss (34 recs. & 7 TDs) vs. Terrell Owens (19 & 3 before MNF) make things very interesting. Scheduling has so far been favorable for both teams. With Rodney Harrison back, will shade known quantity of Brady & Belichick over Romo and Phillips.

(03-NEW <st1:country-region w:st="on">ENGLAND</st1:country-region> -4 12-0...SR: <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Dallas</st1lace></st1:City> 7-2)
<o> </o>

<st1:City w:st="on">Oakland</st1:City> 24 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">SAN DIEGO</st1lace></st1:City> 23<o></o>
<o> </o>
Norv Turner's old team (he was 9-23 with <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Oakland</st1lace></st1:City> in 2004-05) vs. his new guys. Yes, last week's 41-3 victory at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Denver</st1lace></st1:City> might finally lead to the outpouring Charger fans have been waiting for. But let's not ignore the fact that the Raiders, under uplifting youthful HC Lane Kiffin, are vastly improved, and that Kiffin has found some answers in the OL to unlock a productive ground game (LaMont Jordan 424 YR, Justin Fargas 261), to be augmented by former Colt Dominic Rhodes (suspension completed). And the defense is among the leaders in interceptions per game (2.7).

(06-S. Diego 27-OAK. 0...S.14-9 S.48/194 O.20/87 S.8/11/0/108 O.8/19/0/42 S.0 O.1)

(06-S. DIEGO 21-Oak. 14...15-15 S.25/110 O.26/84 O.17/30/2/161 S.15/32/1/150 S.0 O.0)

(06-San Diego -3 27-0, <st1:City w:st="on">SAN DIEGO</st1:City> -13' 21-14...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Oakland</st1:City></st1lace> 55-38-2)
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*<st1:City w:st="on">SEATTLE</st1:City> 24 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">New Orleans</st1lace></st1:City> 10
<o> </o>
Let's see. Deuce McAllister is through for the season. 2006 Pro Bowl QB Drew Brees has 1 TDP vs. 9 interceptions! Reggie Bush is averaging 3 ypc. The defense has only one sack and two interceptions. And the Saints have been outscored 44-7 in the fourth Q. Add to the mix that Seattle is improved on defense TY and that HC Mike Holmgren is furious about his team's zero-point, 144-yard production last week at Pittsburgh, and there's a good chance Seattle makes its Qwest Field magic work on Sunday Night Football. TV--NBC (04-Seattle -2' 21-7...SR: <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Seattle</st1lace></st1:City> 5-4)
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MONDAY, OCTOBER 15

*<st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">ATLANTA</st1lace></st1:City> 24 - NY Giants 23
<o> </o>
Chance on the national TV stage for the Vick-less <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Atlanta</st1lace></st1:City> players to prove they're not "dogs." Will it be Byron Leftwich (2 for 8 last week) as the Falcon starter replacing erratic Joey Harrington? Whether or not, we'll side with home dog (14-7 last four weeks prior to Dallas-Buffalo game). If speedy RB Jerious Norwood able to neutralize N.Y. pass rush just a little bit, Atlanta QBs will get some good shots vs. Giants' improving but still problematic secondary (rookie Aaron Ross' two ints. last week duly noted). CABLE TV--ESPN

(06-Giants 27-ATL. 14...N.28-16 N.38/259 A.26/223 N.17/30/2/165 A.14/27/1/106 N.0 A.1)

(06-NY Giants +3 27-14...SR: Atlanta 10-8)

MONDAY NIGHT HISTORY

NY Giants and Atlanta on Monday Night

NY Giants are 10-22-1 straight-up and 11-21-1 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football;
7-8 straight-up and 7-8 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football.

<st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Atlanta</st1lace></st1:City> is 8-8 straight-up and 6-10 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football;
1-11 straight-up and 4-8 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football.

2007 MONDAY NIGHT RESULTS

Cincinnati -2½ beat Baltimore 27-20 at Cincinnati o40
San Francisco -3 beat Arizona 20-17 at San Francisco u45
Washington +6½ beat Philadelphia 20-12 at Philadelphia u39
Tennessee +4½ beat New Orleans 31-14 at New Orleans n45
New England -7½ beat Cincinnati 34-13 at Cincinnati u53½




NFL KEY RELEASES



MIAMI by 5 over Cleveland

OAKLAND by 1 over San Diego

UNDER THE TOTAL in the Houston-Jacksonville game





NFL RATINGS & POINTSPREAD RECORDS

All teams measured from the TOP RATING of zero. HFV - Home Field Value. Deduct allotted points for HFV from rating of Home Team. R - Current Power Rating. SUR - Straight-Up Won-Loss Record. PSR - Won-Loss Record vs. Pointspread. O/U-Total Over-under record (number of games that went over-number of games that went under). PF & PA - Average Points Scored For and Against. Results at Home listed under Home. Results on Road listed under Away. Teams with a bold + or - have had their ratings moved 2 points or more for the better (+) or worse (-) since last week.
TOTAL HOME AWAY
TEAM R HFV SUR PSR O/U PF-PA PSR PF-PA PSR PF-PA
Arizona 8 3 3-2 3-1-1 3-2 24-22 2-0 22-17 1-1 25-26
Atlanta 10 2 1-4 3-2 2-3 14-20 1-1 23-22 2-1 8-19
Baltimore 6 2 3-2 0-5 2-1 18-19 0-2 23-18 0-3 14-20
Buffalo 11 3 1-3 2-2 1-3 10-23 2-0 16-15 0-2 5-32
Carolina 8 2 3-2 3-2 2-3 20-20 0-2 14-27 3-0 23-15
Chicago 6 3 2-3 1-4 3-2 17-23 0-2 15-22 1-2 19-24
Cincinnati 6 3 1-3 2-2 2-2 27-32 1-1 20-27 1-1 33-38
Cleveland 10 3 2-3 3-2 4-0 25-30 2-1 28-31 1-1 21-30
Dallas 0 4 4-0 4-0 3-1 38-18 2-0 40-21 2-0 36-15
Denver 7 1 2-3 0-5 4-1 15-27 0-3 13-28 0-2 18-26
Detroit 12 4 3-2 2-2-1 3-2 23-31 1-0 29-22 1-2 20-37
Green Bay- 6 3 4-1 4-1 4-1 25-19 2-1 22-21 2-0 29-15
Houston 9 2 3-2 3-2 3-2 23-20 2-1 22-17 1-1 25-24
Indianapolis -2 4 5-0 3-2 3-2 33-18 3-0 37-15 0-2 26-22
Jacksonville 5 3 3-1 2-2 1-3 16-10 0-2 12-10 2-0 20-11
Kansas City 10 3 2-3 2-2-1 1-4 13-17 0-1 10-14 2-1 14-19
Miami 10 2 0-5 1-2-2 3-2 19-28 0-2 19-36 1-0 20-23
Minnesota 11 2 1-3 1-1-2 1-3 17-15 1-1 20-13 0-0 14-17
New England -4 4 5-0 5-0 4-1 36-13 3-0 37-13 2-0 36-14
New Orleans- 9 2 0-4 0-4 1-2 13-30 0-2 14-24 0-2 12-36
NY Giants 7 3 3-2 3-2 3-1 25-25 2-1 21-21 1-1 30-31
NY Jets 10 2 1-4 1-3-1 3-1 19-28 0-1 23-33 1-2 17-24
Oakland 10 3 2-2 2-2 4-0 26-25 0-2 24-30 2-0 28-20
Philadelphia 6 4 1-3 1-3 1-3 21-18 1-1 34-21 0-2 8-16
Pittsburgh 3 4 4-1 4-1 2-3 26-9 3-0 28-6 1-1 24-14
St. Louis 14 2 0-5 1-4 1-4 14-27 1-2 20-26 0-2 5-30
San Diego+ 4 3 2-3 2-3 4-1 22-21 1-1 15-17 1-2 26-24
San Francisco 12 3 2-3 2-2-1 1-4 13-20 1-1 10-16 1-1 17-27
Seattle 6 4 3-2 2-3 1-4 17-15 1-1 22-14 1-2 14-16
Tampa Bay 6 3 3-2 3-2 2-3 19-15 2-0 28-9 1-2 13-20
Tennessee 4 2 3-1 3-1 0-3 21-15 1-1 20-18 2-0 22-12
Washington 9 2 3-1 2-1-1 0-3 22-13 1-1 22-13 1-0 20-12




College Analysis



THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11

*Florida State 23 - WAKE FOREST 10
<o> </o>
Gee, do you think fiercely-proud Seminoles will remember that last year Wake handed them one of most humiliating losses in recent school history? Count on it. Revamped FSU offense (just 23 ppg) no juggernaut. But 'Noles (only 1 turnover last 3 games) don't figure to accommodate resourceful Deacon stop unit (5 return TDs) with giveaways. <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Rock-solid</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace> defense leads visitors to satisfying revenge win. CABLE TV--ESPN

(06-W. For. 30-FLA. ST. 0...W.18-9 W.46/169 F.23/26 W.13/20/0/138 F.9/28/4/113 W.0 F.0)

(06-Wfu +8' 30-0 05-FSU -21 41-24 04-Fsu -13' 20-17...SR: Florida State 21-3-1)

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 12

*Hawaii 40 - SAN JOSE STATE 27--ESPN can't be happy that Hawaii's Colt Brennan might miss this one with sprained ankle (think of Mick Jagger absent from a Rolling Stones performance!). Although June Jones' Red Gun still serviceable with backup QB Graunke at controls, not sure Warriors can extend margin too far if "D" performs like it did last week vs. Utah State, especially with SJSU QB Tafralis (300+ YP each of last 3) in nice groove. CABLE TV--ESPN

(06-HAWAII 54-Sjsu 17...H.28-12 H.26/151 S.38/82 H.29/40/1/417 S.7/17/1/110 H.1 S.2)

(06-HAWAII -25 54-17 05-Hawaii -6 45-38 04-HAWAII -22' 46-28...SR: SJS 15-14-1)
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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 13
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Purdue 30 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">MICHIGAN</st1lace></st1:State> 24<o></o>
<o> </o>
Look for Purdue's offense to rebound against vulnerable <st1:State w:st="on">Michigan</st1:State> 2ndary after struggling against speedy <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Ohio</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace> defense. Wolverines needed more than return of QB Chad Henne to fulltime duty to turn the tide last week (4 E. Mich TOs helped), but doubt Boiler QB Curtis Painter (19 TDP, only 3 ints.) will oblige with similar giveaways. Respect <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Michigan</st1lace></st1:State>'s offensive talent, but Wolverines just 3-6-1 last 10 as home favorite. (04-Mich. +4 16-14...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Mich.</st1:State></st1lace> 40-12)
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Rutgers 47 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">SYRACUSE</st1lace></st1:City> 14<o></o>
<o> </o>
Orange offense rarely scores (12 ppg, excluding upset at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Louisville</st1lace></st1:City>). And defense (allowing 485 ypg!) can't stop anyone. Other than that, everything is swell at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Syracuse</st1lace></st1:City>. <st1lace w:st="on">Rutgers</st1lace>' star RB Rice, who was headed to SU before former HC Pasqualoni was fired, leads disappointed Knights (2 straight losses) to cushy win. Scouts report plenty of tickets available at once-packed Carrier Dome.

(06-RUT. 38-Syr. 7...R.18-11 R.44/217 S.31/122 R.10/15/0/146 S.10/19/1/69 R.0 S.1)

(06-RUT. -15 38-7 05-Rut. +2' 31-9 04-SYR. -6' 41-31...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Syracuse</st1:City></st1lace> 28-8-1)
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<st1:State w:st="on">OHIO</st1:State> 23 - Eastern <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Michigan</st1lace></st1:State> 22<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Ohio</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">U.</st1laceType></st1lace> has had a negative turnaround in the rushing game this season (103rd in rushing, 108th in run defense). If EMU can solve turnover problems (the Eagles have 14 giveaways in their last 3 games), they should be in this game all the way. Bobcat passing attack was ineffective in loss at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Buffalo</st1lace></st1:City>, and RB McRae was held to less than 100 YR for the 5th straight game.

(06-Ohio 16-E. MICH. 10...O.17-14 O.51/278 E.33/120 E.13/25/1/107 O.7/12/0/46 O.0 E.0)

(06-Ohio -6' 16-10...SR: <st1:State w:st="on">Ohio</st1:State> 14-11-1)

NORTHWESTERN 40 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Minnesota</st1lace></st1:State> 27
<o> </o>
Northwestern's defense might be mediocre (ranked 72nd), but <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Minnesota</st1lace></st1:State>'s stop unit is in considerably worse position (118th in total defense and turnover margin; worst pass defense in the nation). Meanwhile, Gopher QB Adam Weber's flashy start has faded (3 TDPs, 5 ints. last 3 games), and Wildcat QB Bacher found his groove against <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Michigan</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace> (520 YP, 5 TDPs).

(04-MINNESOTA -14' 43-17...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:State></st1lace> 49-28-5)
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<st1laceName w:st="on">OHIO</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">STATE</st1laceType> 40 - <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Kent</st1lace></st1:country-region> State 3<o></o>
<o> </o>
This isn't the time to go against <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Ohio</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace> side gathering momentum for national championship run. Buckeyes have outscored foes 111-21 in last 3 games, and defense led by super-quick LB Laurinaitis, has allowed the fewest points in the country. OSU overcame QB Boeckman's uncharacteristic 3-int. performance to handle Purdue, so Buckeyes should bash <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Kent</st1lace></st1:country-region>, even if Chris Wells (injured ankle) can't go (Maurice Wells 15 carries for 74 YR in relief vs. Purdue).

(DNP...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Ohio</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace> 1-0)
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<st1:State w:st="on">South Carolina</st1:State> 27 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">NORTH CAROLINA</st1lace></st1:State> 16<o></o>
<o> </o>
Though new UNC mentor Butch Davis was able to upset his schizoid former employer Miami-Florida week ago, don't see much carry-over vs. surging <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">South Carolina</st1:State></st1lace> (4 straight covers), thriving on road under Spurrier (8 straight spread wins). Tar Heels still-learning soph QB Yates figures to get a "schooling" by tight-covering 'Cock 2ndary (SEC-best 46%, 6 ints., just 2 TDs) that held <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Kentucky</st1lace></st1:State> star QB Woodson to only 2 TDP in 38-23 victory. Meanwhile, <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Carolina</st1lace></st1:City>'s cookin' RS frosh QB Smelly (535 YP, 4 TDP in his 2 starts TY) has plenty of "fun" operating the "Fun and Gun" vs. young, unfinished Tar Heel defense (27 ppg). (DNP...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">North Carolina</st1:State></st1lace> 34-16-4)
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MIAMI-FLORIDA 21 - <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Georgia</st1lace></st1:country-region> Tech 20<o></o>
<o> </o>
Revenge-minded Hurricanes having hard time establishing even keel under new HC Shannon. And relentless Tech blitzes figure to perplex <st1:City w:st="on">Miami</st1:City>'s shaky sr. QB Wright (4 ints. at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Carolina</st1lace></st1:City>). Although Ramblin' Wreck offense still relying heavily on workhorse sr. RB Choice (32 carries each of last 2 games), jr. QB Bennett (309 YP) & emerging 6-3, 220 RS frosh D. Thomas (9 catches for 139 yards) pitched in effectively during last week's close loss at <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Maryland</st1lace></st1:State>.

(06-GA. TECH 30-Miami 23...M.18-16 G.33/87 M.34/71 M.20/31/1/246 G.12/28/0/195 G.1 M.3)

(06-TECH -4' 30-23 05-Tech +18 14-10 04-Miami -14 27-3...SR: Georgia Tech 8-4)
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Virginia Tech 31 - DUKE 13<o></o>
<o> </o>
This matchup no contest in recent seasons, and spread not so roomy since Duke has covered 5 straight TY. Still, Hokie offense a work in progress with true frosh QB T. Taylor at trigger, but Beamer has STs going and VT 9-2 vs. number last 11 as a road favorite.

(06-VA. TECH 36-Duke 0...V.22-12 V.33/102 D.41/58 V.16/27/1/316 D.8/14/0/81 V.0 D.1)

(06-TECH -35 36-0 05-Tech -20' 45-0 04-TECH -29' 41-17...SR: EVEN 7-7)
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<st1:City w:st="on">CINCINNATI</st1:City> 42 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Louisville</st1lace></st1:City> 27
<o> </o>
NFL-caliber sr. QB Brohm & Cardinal attack still dangerous. And getting away from increasingly-disgruntled home faithful won't hurt <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Louisville</st1lace></st1:City>'s sagging confidence. But see no reason to buck burgeoning Bearcats (6-0 SU, 5-0 vs. spread). Happenin' new HC Kelly (formerly at C. Michigan; 22-5-2 vs. spread since 2005!) has invigorated offense. And Cincy stop unit (25 takeaways) making many more plays than languishing Card defense (allowed at least 38 points in 4 of last 5).

(06-LVL. 23-Cincy 17...L.22-19 C.52/212 L.25/105 L.20/37/1/324 C.10/28/0/129 L.2 C.1)

(06-LVL. -25 23-17 05-Lvl. -21' 46-22 04-LVL. -22' 70-7...SR: <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Cincinnati</st1lace></st1:City> 26-20-1)
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<st1:State w:st="on">Alabama</st1:State> 27 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">MISSISSIPPI</st1lace></st1:State> 26<o></o>
<o> </o>
Bama has played in 4 straight tightly-contested games (<st1:City w:st="on">Houston</st1:City> was threatening to tie in final minute week ago), so will support a more competitive Ole Miss squad that's covered 4 straight as SEC dog in <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Oxford</st1lace></st1:City>. Rebels productive QB Adams (61%, 8 TDs, just 4 ints.), who has an additional key target with now-healthy, big-play soph WR McCluster (3 catches for 48 yds. vs. La Tech), should have time to do this thing vs. Tide "D" that's recorded an SEC-low 5 sacks.

(06-ALA. 26-Miss. 23 (OT)...A.21-17 A.42/228 M.35/119 A.16/28/0/206 M.14/21/0/168 A.0 M.0)

(06-ALA. -16 26-23 (OT) 05-Ala. -13' 13-10 04-ALA. -12 28-7...SR: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Alabama</st1lace></st1:State> 43-9-2)
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<st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Georgia</st1lace></st1:country-region> 34 - VANDERBILT 21<o></o>
<o> </o>
Both squads off disappointing losses, but have much more trust in revenge-minded UGA (see Looking for an Angle) to bounce back as conference visitors, where poised Dawgs are now 23-4 SU last 27. Big QB edge to UGA versatile triggerman Stafford (58%, 7 TDs, 3 ints.) over Vandy QB Nickson (5 of 16 vs. <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Auburn</st1lace></st1:City>), whose confidence has been shaken following early benching vs. Tigers. 'Dores not stepping up vs. SEC upper division so far, getting outscored 44-3 by halftime in Bama & Auburn setbacks.

(06-Vandy 24-GA. 22...G.21-17 G.35/136 V.29/101 G.20/30/0/237 V.15/29/2/190 V.0 G.1)

(06-Vandy +14 24-22 05-Georgia -16 34-17 04-GEORGIA -23 33-3...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:country-region w:st="on">Georgia</st1:country-region></st1lace> 47-18-2)


<st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Toledo</st1lace></st1:City> 28 - BUFFALO 27<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Buffalo</st1lace></st1:City> victories are rare. But improved Bulls already have two MAC wins TY (albeit one of them at <st1:City w:st="on">Temple</st1:City>), and <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Toledo</st1lace></st1:City>'s defensive unit (43 ppg) is just as dubious as UB's. Rockets have turned to 6-3 true frosh QB D.J. Lenehan (2 ints. last week vs. <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Liberty</st1lace></st1:City>). But not sure Bulls ready yet to lay points.

(05-TOLEDO -30' 38-15...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Toledo</st1:City></st1lace> 5-2)
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<o> </o>
<o> </o>
<o> </o>

<st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">KANSAS</st1lace></st1:State> 46 - Baylor 14<o></o>
<o> </o>
Versatile, determined KU (4-0 vs. spread) fought through a few mistakes to win at K-State and now needs one more victory to reach 6-0 after going 6-6 LY and being snubbed by bowls. Powerful FB/TB McAnderson keeping defenses honest while fiery 5-11 QB Reesing generates FDs & TDs. All-Big XII CB Talib now has 4 TDC at WR! Bears 1-6 last 7 as road dog.

(06-BAY. 36-Kansas 35...B.24-22 K.46/284 B.15/66 B.33/55/2/394 K.11/24/1/98 B.1 K.0)

(06-BAYLOR -3' 36-35...SR: Baylor 5-3)

New Mexico 22 - WYOMING 21--With NM's crafty HC Rocky Long reportedly adding a few wrinkles during bye week, points worth taking with combative Lobo squad that's covered 19 of past 28 in underdog role. NM's effective QB Porterie (66%, 7 TDs, 3 ints), workhorse RB Ferguson (560 YR in 125 tries; 8 TDs) & sure-handed WRs M. Smith & T. Brown (combined 75 catches) can trade all the way in what has recently been a hotly-contested MWC battle (last 3 decided by 4, 3, & 7 pts.).

(06-Wyo. 14-N. MEX. 10...W.19-12 W.37/114 N.35/78 W.19/32/2/204 N.11/32/0/112 W.1 N.1)

(06-Wyo. -1' 14-10 05-Unm +6' 27-24 04-UNM -9 16-9...SR: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Wyoming</st1lace></st1:State> 32-27)
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<st1:State w:st="on">Tennessee</st1:State> 31 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">MISSISSIPPI</st1lace></st1:State> STATE 16<o></o>
<o> </o>
Now that talented but young UT defense played fast and smart in resounding 35-14 romp vs. Georgia (held Dawgs to just 243 yds., 1 meaningful TD), won't hesitate to buck offensively-limited MSU squad lacking much stability at QB with true frosh Carroll (just 93 YP vs. UAB), seeing action due to injury to Henig (see Special Ticker). Vols sizzling sr. QB Ainge (66%, 10 TDs, just 2 ints., 282 ypg passing) and deep RB stable does plenty of business vs. aggressive, but overworked Bulldog defense that yielded 83 combined pts. vs. LSU & South Carolina. (DNP...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Tennessee</st1:State></st1lace> 26-15-1)
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MIAMI-OHIO 31 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Bowling Green</st1lace></st1:City> 24<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Miami</st1lace></st1:City> has won and covered 6 of last 7 in this series, and RedHawk defense has yielded just 2 TDs in 2 MAC games this season. <st1:City w:st="on">Bowling Green</st1:City>'s "D" has allowed 32 ppg, including 35 to <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Temple</st1lace></st1:City>. Falcon attack ranks 6th in passing, but QB Tyler Sheehan's 5 ints. at BC showed the soph still hasn't fully matured.

(06-Miami 9-B. GREEN 7...13-13 B.33/129 M.37/73 B.13/24/0/131 M.12/24/0/130 M.1 B.0)

(06-Miami-Ohio +4 9-7 05-Bowling Green +9 42-14...SR: <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Bowling Green</st1lace></st1:City> 35-23-5)

<st1:State w:st="on">UTAH</st1:State> 34 - <st1:City w:st="on">San Diego</st1:City> State 16--We've seen these false alarms from SDSU before, so we're not going to bite on Aztec bait just yet after win over snakebit <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Colorado</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace>. Not convinced Chuck Long's bullet-riddled "D" has cured its sloppy-tackling tendencies, and worth noting that Utah "O" finally looking as advertised in preseason with QB B. Johnson now healthy and RB Mack (295 YR last 2) emerging as infantry diversion.

(06-Utah <st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">38-S. DIEGO ST.</st1:address></st1:Street> 7...U.23-15 S.45/204 U.41/192 U.13/28/1/167 S.9/20/5/83 U.1 S.0)

(06-Utah -9 38-7 05-Sds +10 28-19 04-Utah -19 51-28...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Utah</st1:State></st1lace> 13-12-1)
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<st1lace w:st="on">CENTRAL MICHIGAN</st1lace> 37 Army 20<o></o>
<o> </o>
Credit resilient Army for finding way to muster 2 straight home wins despite little help from its punchless offense. However, Black Knights' luck figures to run out at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Mount Pleasant</st1lace></st1:City>, where host CMU is 9-0-1 vs. spread its last 10. Chips' super soph QB LeFevour (5 TDP, 146 YR at <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Ball</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace> last week) hitting his stride under new HC Butch Jones. (05-Central <st1:State w:st="on">Michigan</st1:State> -2 14-10...SR: <st1lace w:st="on">Central Michigan</st1lace> 1-0)
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<st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">HOUSTON</st1lace></st1:City> 37 - Rice 21<o></o>
<o> </o>
Cougars stepping way down in class after admirable effort at <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Alabama</st1lace></st1:State>. Cross-town rival Rice notched its 1st victory of season last week at Southern Miss, with help from seven turnovers by host. How long can sputtering Owl offense (just 67 YP vs. Eagles!) trade with potent <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Houston</st1lace></st1:City> attack? Rice ground game got boost from true frosh RB Hill (100 YR, including 54-yard TD) in win over USM.

(06-Hou. 31-RICE 30...H.17-14 R.31/131 H.28/96 H.22/35/0/233 R.12/26/1/152 H.0 R.1)

(06-Hou. -14' 31-30 05-HOU. -15' 35-18 04-Rice +4' 10-7 at Reliant...SR: Houston 24-9)

OREGON 44 - Washington State 20--Acknowledge Wazzu's sell-out effort last week vs. ASU, but not sure Cougs can dig deep again after emptying chamber in another losing effort. Besides, Bill Doba's blitz packages that flustered Sun Devil QB Carpenter aren't likely to work vs. UO's mobile Dennis Dixon, and shudder to think what damage Ducks' spread option can cause vs. burnable WSU "D" that's allowing 46 ppg on road.

(06-WASH. ST. 34-Ore. 23...O.25-20 W.41/193 O.31/104 O.28/47/2/367 W.20/23/1/179 W.2 O.2)

(06-WSU +3' 34-23 05-Ore. -4 34-31 04-Ore. +3' 41-38...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Oregon</st1:State></st1lace> 39-38-7)
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Wisconsin 24 - <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">PENN</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">STATE</st1laceType></st1lace> 19<o></o>
<o> </o>
Look for <st1:State w:st="on">Wisconsin</st1:State> to rebound from loss at <st1:State w:st="on">Illinois</st1:State> (and end of 14-game winning streak) with a resolute effort facing <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Penn</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace> squad that's only had success against flawed or injured teams this season. PSU QB Morelli has thrown 5 ints. in last 2 games, while counterpart Tyler Donovan threw for 392 yds. at <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Illinois</st1lace></st1:State> last Saturday. Expect Badger RB P.J. Hill to be ready, and he & vet Wisconsin OL should have some success vs. grudging Nittany Lion defense. TV--ABC

(06-WIS. <st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">13-Penn St.</st1:address></st1:Street> 3...W.20-12 W.45/167 P.19/36 W.16/26/0/174 P.19/36/1/165 W.2 P.2)

(06-WIS. -7 13-3 05-PSU -12 35-14 04-WIS. -3 16-3...SR: <st1lace w:st="on">Wisconsin</st1lace> 8-4)
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<st1:State w:st="on">NEBRASKA</st1:State> 31 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Oklahoma</st1lace></st1:State> State 30<o></o>
<o> </o>
Husker offense quite competitive, but Bill Callahan has not been able to plug the leaks in the NU defense, which last week endured its second 600-yard allowance TY at <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Missouri</st1lace></st1:State>. Cowboy offense, powered by WR Adarius Bowman & RB Dantrell Savage, scoring 36 ppg in Big XII play. But OSU's chances better if QB Zac Robinson (check status) able to play.

(06-OKLA. ST. 41-Neb. 29...N.29-25 O.41/267 N.40/211 N.21/39/0/241 O.13/21/1/229 O.1 N.1)

(06-OKLAHOMA STATE +5' 41-29...SR: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Nebraska</st1lace></st1:State> 37-4-1)
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<st1:State w:st="on">Texas</st1:State> 32 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">IOWA</st1lace></st1:State> STATE 20<o></o>
<o> </o>
Mack Brown takes on former UT co-defensive coordinator Gene Chizik, now the head man in <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Ames</st1lace></st1:City>. Premium talent in short supply at ISU, but Longhorns' youth in secondary & OL, plus some absences at WR, making things tougher TY for Colt McCoy (10 TDs, 10 ints.). The Bass/Scales RB duo easing a bit of pressure on sr. QB Cylcone QB Meyer.

(06-TEXAS <st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">37-Iowa St.</st1:address></st1:Street> 14...T.24-21 T.40/193 I.27/21 I.25/45/2/302 T.19/24/1/246 T.1 I.0)

(06-TEXAS -25' 37-14...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Texas</st1:State></st1lace> 6-0)
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<st1:State w:st="on">Illinois</st1:State> 27 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">IOWA</st1lace></st1:State> 17<o></o>
<o> </o>
Must check health status of <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Illinois</st1:State></st1lace> offensive cogs QB Juice Williams & WR Rejus Benn, but still comfortable backing resurgent Illini. Few teams have as many injury problems as <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Iowa</st1lace></st1:State>, and stodgy Hawkeyes are at a distinct speed disadvantage. Iowa defense starting to crack, as Hawkeyes have yielded 65 points vs. Indiana & Penn State after giving up just 35 in first four. Illini HC Zook holding better cards.

(06-Iowa 24-ILL. 7...Il.21-20 Ia.42/154 Il.35/121 Il.12/39/4/194 Ia.17/27/1/190 Ia.0 Il.0)

(06-Iowa -21 24-7 05-IOWA -18' 35-7 04-Iowa -12 23-13...SR: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Illinois</st1lace></st1:State> 37-28-2)
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<st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Boston</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">College</st1laceType></st1lace> 35 - NOTRE DAME 14<o></o>
<o> </o>
Although we can't confirm the rumor that the Pope has switched his allegiance to BC, we can confirm that ND is going to facing a lot more vs. Eagles than it did vs. crippled UCLA, which was down to a walk-on 3rd-string QB last week in Pasadena. That's not the case vs. BC's NFL-bound sr. QB Ryan, who should move vs. Irish defense, as did most competent foes in first month of season. And training wheels still on Charlie Weis' "O" that still can't throw downfield with much consistency. TV--NBC

(04-Boston College +7 24-23...SR: Notre Dame 9-7)
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Western Michigan 25 - <st1lace w:st="on">NORTHERN ILLINOIS</st1lace> 24<o></o>
<o> </o>
Mustering just 25 points in losses to C. Michigan & Temple the last two weeks an indication of <st1lace w:st="on">Northern Illinois</st1lace>' trouble in the red zone. Husky RB Justin Anderson has run for 163 ypg the last 4, but NIU has won just one. WMU lost to <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Akron</st1lace></st1:City> on an 89-yard free-kick return on final play last week, and recent defensive shortcomings just what Huskies (4-0 last 4 as home dog) need.

(06-W. MICH. 16-N. <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Ill.</st1:State></st1lace> 14...W.21-10 W.40/129 N.22/0 W.29/44/1/251 N.14/25/3/157 W.0 N.0)

(06-WMU +3 16-14 05-NIU -10 42-7 04-Niu -19' 59-38...SR: <st1lace w:st="on">Western Michigan</st1lace> 20-11)
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Tcu 27 - STANFORD 19<o></o>
<o> </o>
Okay, we know Jim Harbaugh motivated his Stanford team to play waaaay over its head vs. USC. But it might be a bigger challenge to get Cardinal ready for an encore after monumental upset over Trojans. And, while Stanford celebrating, TCU seething after another narrow defeat (at <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Wyo</st1lace></st1:State>). Frog "O" buoyed by return of RB A. Brown, and let's see how Cardinal OL deals with TCU's ravenous blitzers. (FIRST MEETING)
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<st1:State w:st="on">CALIFORNIA</st1:State> 41 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Oregon</st1lace></st1:State> State 20<o></o>
<o> </o>
Guessing which OSU team shows is up about as tricky as predicting who will shine at next GOP presidential debate. But since Beavers (23 TOs!) still apt to self-destruct at any moment, would rather trust Jeff Tedford's potent Cal attack that can burn overagressive OSU "D" and make Beavs pay dearly if they lapse into giveaway mode. Banged-up Bear "D" in better shape after bye week, too.

(06-Cal. 41-ORE. ST. 13...C.25-16 C.33/142 O.24/56 C.22/31/1/341 O.23/34/0/244 C.0 O.1)

(06-Cal. -9 41-13 05-Osu +16 23-20 04-Cal. -6' 49-7...SR: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">California</st1lace></st1:State> 33-27)
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<st1laceName w:st="on">Fresno</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType> 30 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">IDAHO</st1lace></st1:State> 23<o></o>
<o> </o>
Tempted with <st1:City w:st="on">Fresno</st1:City> now that frosh RB Matthews (167 YR at <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Nevada</st1lace></st1:State>) has emerged. And <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Idaho</st1lace></st1:State> likely again going with little-used 5th-yr. sr. QB Nooy (only 8 completions at SJSU) while starter Enderle heals hand injury. But slashing RB D. Jackson has returned to Vandal lineup, and clever HC Akey's scheming kept <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Idaho</st1lace></st1:State> competitive vs. more-potent foes than Bulldogs in September.

(06-FSU 34-Ida 0...F.23-11 F.42/290 I.30/107 F.14/23/2/109 I.30/107 F.14/23/2/109 I.10/30/1/92 F.0 I.0)

(<st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">06-FRESNO ST.</st1:address></st1:Street> -11' 34-0 05-<st1:City w:st="on">Fresno</st1:City> St. -28' 40-10...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Fresno</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace> 5-4)
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Air Force 27 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">COLORADO</st1lace></st1:State> STATE 22<o></o>
<o> </o>
Never mind that CSU probably the "best 0-5 team" in country. Rams (on 12-game losing streak!) have forgotten how to win, and some MWC sources now wondering how long it will be before Sonny Lubick announces retirement. With QB Hanie absorbing weekly beatings, doubt Rams can outscore resourceful AFA bunch that rediscovered RB Hall (169 YR) in win over UNLV.

(06-A. FORCE <st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">24-Colo. St.</st1:address></st1:Street> 21...A.24-16 A.64/318 C.27/106 C.14/23/2/282 A.8/13/0/102 A.2 C.0)

(06-AFA -6 24-21 05-CSU -3' 41-23 04-AFA +1' 47-17...SR: Air Force 25-19-1)
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*<st1:City w:st="on">AKRON</st1:City> 26 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Temple</st1lace></st1:City> 21<o></o>
<o> </o>
Though Akron buoyed by near miraculous 39-38 comeback win at Western Michigan (Zips scored final 16 pts. in last 4:54, including 89-yd. free kick return on final play!), still prefer to "take" with equally excited Temple squad that snapped 8-game losing streak in last-minute 17-15 upset win vs. Northern Illinois. Owls strong-armed, fiery jr. QB DiMichele (former Toronto Blue Jay draftee has 561 YP last 2 games) can burn zipless Zip defense that's permitted 1806 yds. last 4 games. Hootin' Owls are 7-1 vs. spread last 8 vs. MAC teams. (DNP...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Temple</st1:City></st1lace> 9-7)
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<o> </o>

*Lsu 31 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">KENTUCKY</st1lace></st1:State> 16<o></o>
<o> </o>
LSU coming off incredibly draining 28-24 comeback victory vs. Florida, but don't foresee any letdown, especially with shocking Southern Cal upset putting undisputed No. 1 Tigers in driver's seat for BCS title game. LSU's formidable RB trio of Hester, K. Williams & blazing soph Holliday (combined 185 YR vs. tough Florida front 7) will allow versatile QB Flynn to work play-action vs. ill-equipped UK stop unit (11th in SEC run defense, 5 ypc). Wildcats all-star QB Woodson, who made several key mistakes in <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">South Carolina</st1lace></st1:State> loss, won't "fix it" vs. stifling LSU defense (6.4 ppg, 1.3 ypc, 18 sacks, 41% allowed, 10 ints., 1 TD).

(06-LSU 49-Ky. 0...L.28-14 L.43/268 K.23/61 L.19/25/0/278 K.16/41/1/166 L.0 K.0)

(06-LSU -26 49-0...SR: LSU 38-15-1)
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*Auburn 27 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">ARKANSAS</st1lace></st1:State> 19<o></o>
<o> </o>
Compelled to go with revenge-minded <st1lace w:st="on">Auburn</st1lace> squad that has won 12 of its last 13 on SEC road. Tigers have cleaned up their mistakes (only 3 giveaways in last 3 weeks). And with steadier QB Cox benefiting from return of unsuspended star RB Lester (77 YR vs. Vandy), <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Auburn</st1lace></st1:City> outscores strong, but one-dimensional Hog attack, led by unreliable QB Dick. Fast, swarming <st1lace w:st="on">Auburn</st1lace> front (3.2 ypc) atones for unusually-poor effort vs. Ark. LY (gave up season-high 279 YR).

(06-Ark. 27-AUB. 10...Ar.17-16 Ar.45/279 Au.31/60 Au.17/29/0/153 Ar.7/10/0/87 Ar.0 Au.0)

(06-Ark. +15 27-10 05-Aub. -7' 34-17 04-AUB. -13 38-20...SR: <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Auburn</st1lace></st1:City> 9-6-1)
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*UAB 24 - Tulane 23<o></o>
<o> </o>
Poor pointspread role for UAB (just 3-10-1 as favorite since 2005) under former HC Watson Brown, although Blazers have quietly covered 3 straight (all as big underdog) for new mentor Callaway (former <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Georgia</st1lace></st1:country-region> o.c.). Tulane has veteran DL & best weapon on field in sr. RB Forte (578 YR in last 3 games). Green Wave's green soph QB Scelfo had just 154 YP, no TDP last week at Army, however.

(04-TULANE +18 59-55...SR: Tulane 3-2)
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<o> </o>

*<st1:State w:st="on">Connecticut</st1:State> 21 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">VIRGINIA</st1lace></st1:State> 20<o></o>
<o> </o>
Check status of UVa RB Peerman, who was ACC's leading rusher prior to hurting his foot in 1st Q at Middle Tennessee. Even if Peerman available, favor fundamentally-sound UConn (just 1 TO in each of first 5 games). Huskies have extra week of prep, patient leadership at QB with juco Lorenzen, two quality RBs in sophs D. Brown & <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Dixon</st1lace></st1:City>, and a solid defense. Upset no big surprise. (FIRST MEETING)
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*<st1:State w:st="on">LOUISIANA</st1:State> TECH 24 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">New Mexico</st1lace></st1:State> State 23<o></o>
<o> </o>
With NMS's prolific QB Holbrook (check status) hampered by nagging rib injury, favor defensively-tougher La Tech squad thrilled to be back in Ruston following challenging 3-game road trip. Bulldogs competent QB Champion should perform like one vs. yielding Aggie defense (41 ppg).

(06-N. MEX. ST. 50-La. Tech 23...N.32-22 L.29/135 N.26/133 N.43/57/0/518 L.23/40/3/296 N.1 L.1)

(06-NMS -12' 50-23 05-LTU -10' 34-14...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">New Mexico</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace> 4-2)
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*<st1:City w:st="on">TULSA</st1:City> 48 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Marshall</st1lace></st1:City> 27<o></o>
<o> </o>
True, <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Tulsa</st1lace></st1:City>'s defense (47 ppg last 4!) very vulnerable. But so is <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Marshall</st1lace></st1:City>'s young, depth-shy stop unit. So, compelled to lay points with more dynamic Hurricane & consistently-productive sr. QB P. Smith (1827 YP & 15 TDP on 62% in first 5 games). Visiting Herd just 2 covers in last 20 away from <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Huntington</st1lace></st1:City>! (FIRST MEETING)

*<st1laceName w:st="on">MICHIGAN</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">STATE</st1laceType> 27 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Indiana</st1lace></st1:State> 26
<o> </o>
Indiana attack developing rapidly, as QB Kellen Lewis taking advantage of emerging sophs Ray Fisher (9 recs., 106 yds. vs. Minny) & Bryan Payton (13 carries, 90 yds., 3 rush TDs vs. Gophers) to augment Hoosier attack. Lewis & WR James Hardy tormented MSU defense last season, as Lewis had a season-high 5 TD passes (4 to Hardy) in 46-21 upset. Spartan defense has failed last two games, so take any points with improved Hoosiers.

(06-IND. <st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">46-Mich. St.</st1:address></st1:Street> 21...I.26-8 I.51/185 M.26/66 I.15/26/1/261 M.14/28/1/149 I.2 M.1)

(06-IND. +7 46-21 05-MSU -18 46-15 04-Msu -3 30-20...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Michigan</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace> 39-14-2)
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*<st1:State w:st="on">TEXAS</st1:State> TECH 41 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Texas</st1lace></st1:State> A&M 27<o></o>
<o> </o>
Bigger--but slower--A&M has had its problems lately with TT, as Red Raiders are 11-2 vs. spread last 13 in series, including 6-0 in Lubbock! And QB Harrell (28 TDP) and RS frosh WR Crabtree (17 TDC already!) on record-breaking pace! Aggies will try to control ball with QB McGee & bruising <st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">RB J. Lane</st1:address></st1:Street> (10 TDR), but TT defense tends to rise up in this rivalry.

(06-Tx. Tech 31-TX. A&M 27...T.24-22 A.47/250 T.11/41 T.32/45/0/392 A.9/20/1/103 T.1 A.0)

(06-Tech +2' 31-27 05-TECH -15 56-17 04-TAM -2' 32-25 (OT)...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Texas</st1:State></st1lace> A&M 34-30-1)
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*<st1:State w:st="on">OKLAHOMA</st1:State> 31 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Missouri</st1lace></st1:State> 27
<o> </o>
OU's defense has sprung a few leaks last three games, giving up 354 YP and 21 points at <st1:City w:st="on">Tulsa</st1:City>, blowing a 24-7 lead at <st1:State w:st="on">Colorado</st1:State>, and allowing 324 YP vs. <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Texas</st1lace></st1:State>. Thus, will side with 5-0 <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Missouri</st1lace></st1:State> and Tigers' versatile spread offense, as TEs Rucker & Coffman (62 combined recs.) ever so reliable, and speedy RS frosh Maclin helping QB Daniel both his rushing and receiving.

(06-Okla. 26-MO. 10...O.21-20 O.52/231 M.27/76 M.23/46/3/284 O.11/19/0/127 O.2 M.1)

(06-Oklahoma +1' 26-10...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Oklahoma</st1:State></st1lace> 63-23-5)
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*<st1laceName w:st="on">KANSAS</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">STATE</st1laceType> 31 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> 23<o></o>
<o> </o>
It's obvious there is some coaching (and QBing) going on at <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Colorado</st1:State></st1lace>. But host K-State will be pretty much dead in the Big XII North if it loses a second straight division game at home. It turned out the Buffaloes had things easy in last week's 43-23 win at porous Baylor. Not so vs. determined, defensively-tougher K-State with OLB/DE I. Campbell pressuring QB.

(06-Ksu 34-COLO. 21...K.19-16 C.40/225 K.38/188 K.22/26/0/251 C.10/18/0/145 K.0 C.1)

(06-Ksu +3' 34-21 05-Colo. -7' 23-20 04-COLO. +2' 38-31...SR: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> 43-18-1)
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*SOUTHERN MISS 33 - Smu 19<o></o>
<o> </o>
Eagles kicking themselves for handing previously-winless Rice 7 turnovers (and a victory) at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Hattiesburg</st1lace></st1:City> last week. As long as USM offense avoids repeat of that suicidal performance, host's defensive superiority should be decisive factor in this matchup. Star Eagle soph RB Fletcher will run wild vs. swiss-cheese SMU stop unit (allowed 31+ points & 500+ yards in 4 of 5 games). (FIRST MEETING)
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*SOUTH <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">FLORIDA</st1lace></st1:State> 35 - Ucf 17<o></o>
<o> </o>
Following emotional, upset win over <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">West Virginia</st1lace></st1:State>, not surprised by USF's ho-hum victory at lightly-regarded Florida Atlantic. But Bulls will summon another rip-snortin' effort against shellshocked cross-state rival UCF, which gave up 28 points in mistake-filled 3rd Q during loss at <st1lace w:st="on">E. Carolina</st1lace>. Huge defensive edge for host USF, which has covered 6 of last 7 in front of burgeoning <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Tampa</st1lace></st1:City> faithful.

(06-S. <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Fla.</st1:State></st1lace> 24-UCF 17...20-20 U.34/140 S.38/100 S.22/32/1/333 U.19/44/2/219 S.0 U.1)

(06-South <st1:State w:st="on">Florida</st1:State> -1 24-17 05-SOUTH <st1:State w:st="on">FLORIDA</st1:State> -7' 31-14...SR: <st1lace w:st="on">South Florida</st1lace> 2-0)
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*UTEP 45 - East <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Carolina</st1lace></st1:City> 40<o></o>
<o> </o>
An extra scoreboard might be needed to keep track of tally in this one, as UTEP & ECU have peppered their last 2 foes with a combined 185 points! Miners have more YR in last 3 games than all of LY, so no surprise if rapidly-maturing RS frosh QB Vittatoe leads host to another heart-stopping win. (FIRST MEETING)
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*Byu 27 - UNLV 22<o></o>
<o> </o>
Maybe Wayne Newton will last longer on "Dancing with the Stars" than UNLV in the MWC race. But regional sources insist Rebs worth another look back at Sam Boyd Stadium, where they've provided good value as dog (8-4 last 12 in role). UNLV "D" sturdier than last two versions torched by better BYU attacks, and RB Summers (another 100 YR at Air Force) balancing Mike Sanford's Shotgun Spread.

(06-BYU 52-Unlv 7...B.28-18 B.41/308 U.26/92 B.20/25/1/266 U.19/38/4/216 B.0 U.2)

(06-BYU -28' 52-7 05-Byu -12 55-14 04-Unlv +10 24-20...SR: BYU 11-3)
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<o> </o>
<o> </o>

*<st1laceName w:st="on">ARIZONA</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">STATE</st1laceType> 31 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Washington</st1lace></st1:State> 13<o></o>
<o> </o>
Although RS frosh QB Locker providing uplift for U-Dub program, he's still a work in progress, and other elements of Husky attack (especially 100th-ranked passing game) not keeping pace. So trading points with Dennis Erickson's more refined ASU "O" could prove problematic. Note Sun Devils' 11-2 mark last 13 laying DDs at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Tempe</st1lace></st1:City>.

(06-Asu 26-WAS. 23 (OT)...W.16-15 A.34/190 W.35/126 A.16/23/0/170 W.14/32/2/148 A.0 W.0)

(06-Asu -1' 26-23 (OT) 05-ASU -16' 44-20...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Washington</st1:State></st1lace> 15-11)
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<o> </o>

SOUTHERN CAL 33 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Arizona</st1lace></st1:State> 17<o></o>
<o> </o>
We're tempted to call Dr. Phil for help in this one, with <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Arizona</st1:State></st1lace> continuing to display schizo tendencies, and SC's frame of mind hard to gauge after historic upset loss vs. Stanford. But continuing sloppiness and possible absence of QB Booty (little-used backup Sanchez likely to start) makes Trojan recommendation dicey. Past Mike Stoops Cat teams have played SC tough, and Pete Carroll's defensive schemes should allow "Air Zona" spread to dink effectively. TV-ABC

(06-S. <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Cal</st1lace></st1:State> 20-ARIZ. 3...S.22-8 S.42/202 A.19/M16 S.24/39/1/179 A.14/25/1/170 S.1 A.1)

(06-Usc -21 20-3 05-USC -37' 42-21 04-USC -35 49-9...SR: <st1lace w:st="on">Southern Cal</st1lace> 24-6)

ADDED GAMES
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*<st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">ARKANSAS</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">STATE</st1laceType></st1lace> 28 - La.-Lafayette 24<o></o>
<o> </o>
Sun Belt opposition not blinking at sight of ASU just because Indians played <st1:State w:st="on">Texas</st1:State> and <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Tennessee</st1lace></st1:State> tough. And now that ASU "D" springing leaks, ULL's potent infantry (with RB Fenroy back in action) can keep Ragin' Cajuns within earshot.

(06-LA.-LAF. <st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">28-Ark. St.</st1:address></st1:Street> 13...18-18 L.41/265 A.38/233 A.13/30/0/132 L.10/18/1/107 L.1 A.1)

(06-ULL -6 28-13 05-ASU -11 39-36 04-ULL -3' 27-24...SR: La.-Lafayette 18-16-1)
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*La.-Monroe 30 - NORTH <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">TEXAS</st1lace></st1:State> 29<o></o>
<o> </o>
Look out for <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">ULM</st1lace></st1:City>'s "Tazmanian Devil" (RB Taz Dawson 100+ YR first five of '07), who could damage suspect UNT front 7. But Todd Dodge's Mean Green spread offense proving it can do business vs. Sun Belt defenses, and road chalk unfamiliar territory for Warhawks.

(06-LA.-MON. 23-N. <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Tex.</st1lace></st1:State> 3...L.21-7 L.47/216 N.25/74 L.12/19/0/193 N.11/21/2/63 L.1 N.0)

(06-ULM -7 23-3 05-Ulm -4' 24-19 04-UNT -8 45-30...SR: La.-Monroe 12-11)
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*<st1laceName w:st="on">Middle</st1laceName> <st1laceName w:st="on">Tennessee</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType> 29 - <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">MEMPHIS</st1lace></st1:City> 27<o></o>
<o> </o>
Blue Raider offense getting big spark from athletic true frosh QB Dasher, who was recruited by much higher-profile programs as a DB. And MTS defense (allowing just 16 ppg in last 3) hanging tough. <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Memphis</st1lace></st1:City> owns only 2 SU wins over Bowl Subdivision teams in last 1+ seasons.

(DNP...SR: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Middle</st1laceName> <st1laceName w:st="on">Tennessee</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace> 12-7-1)

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 14

*<st1laceName w:st="on">BOISE</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">STATE</st1laceType> 51 - <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Nevada</st1lace></st1:State> 13<o></o>
<o> </o>
Wouldn't blame Nevada HC Ault for diverting team charter away from <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Boise</st1:City></st1lace> after Wolf Pack has taken its lumps vs. Broncos (and how, losing and failing to cover last 7 meetings, never closer than 31!). And now Ault breaking in a new triggerman (soph Kaepernick) after QB Graziano was KO'd vs. <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Fresno</st1lace></st1:City>. Do you think Ian Johnson is licking his chops for shot at bottom-ranked <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Nevada</st1lace></st1:State> rush "D?" CABLE TV--ESPN

(<st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">06-Boise St.</st1:address></st1:Street> 38-NEV. 7...B.25-4 B.52/178 N.22/106 B.20/27/1/299 N.6/15/0/35 B.0 N.4)

(06-Bsu -2' 38-7 05-BSU -20' 49-14 04-Bsu -25 58-21...SR: <st1laceName w:st="on">Boise</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType> 21-12)




COLLEGE KEY RELEASES



PURDUE by 6 over <st1:State w:st="on">Michigan</st1:State>

<st1:State w:st="on">WISCONSIN</st1:State> by 5 over <st1laceName w:st="on">Penn</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType>

AUBURN by 8 over <st1laceName w:st="on">Arkansas</st1laceName>

<st1laceName w:st="on">BOISE</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">STATE</st1laceType> by 38 over <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Nevada</st1lace></st1:State> (Sun., Oct. 14)

Confidential Kick-Off

The Gold Sheet

America's Handicapping Leaders For 50 Seasons!


11 RUTGERS over *Syracuse
Late Score Forecast
RUTGERS 47 - *Syracuse 14

Long-time Big East sources tell us Rutgers can't wait to get back on gridiron
after suffering back-to-back losses for 1st time since '05. Normally-potent
Scarlet Knight attack (32 ppg), featuring productive QB Teel (5th in pass
efficiency) & tireless RB Rice (622 YR, 10 TDs), should quickly recapture its
mojo vs. a Syracuse defense yielding 38 ppg. Scouts further report
beleaguered Orange HC Robinson (only 6-23 SU at 'Cuse) used 9 true frosh to
increase team's overall mobility & speed vs. WV. That strategy didn't work,
as Mounties scored on 9 of their 1st 11 possession en route to 55-14 bashing
in Carrier Dome. And after facing the productive offenses of Maryland &
Cincy, look for an angry, quick Rutgers "D" to smother Orange attack that's
surpassed 20 pts. just once in past 13 games. 'Cuse's team leader sr. LB/DE
McClain says he is "sick" with what's going on. That won't change.


10 ILLINOIS over *Iowa
Late Score Forecast:
ILLINOIS 28 - *Iowa 17

Ending Wisconsin's 14-game winning streak was proof that HC Ron Zook has
turned Illinois fortunes around. An old adage is that "good players make
good coaches" and the Illini are an example of that, having out-recruited the
vast majority of their opponents the last few years. Iowa is one of the
teams Zook has out-recruited, and injuries or suspensions have sapped the
Hawkeyes of several key players, most notably WRs Andy Brodell & Dominique
Douglas, OT Dace Richardson, LB Mike Klinkenborg, and TE Tony Moeki. As a
result, Hawkeye HC Kirk Ferentz has played 11 true frosh, the most since he's
been at Iowa. Zook says QB Juice Williams & WR Rejus Benn (both banged up
vs. Badgers) are on track to play vs. Iowa. Hawkeye prowess at home has
faded, as Iowa is just 2-6 vs. the number last 8 at once-feared Kinnick
Stadium.


10 AIR FORCE over *Colorado St.
Late Score Forecast:
AIR FORCE 27 - *Colorado St. 19

Amazingly, snakebit CSU has now gone the equivalent of a full season (12
games!), as well as a calendar year, since its last win on October 7, 2006.
And MWC sources suggest the fight is simply out of depleted Rams, who failed
to circle the wagons vs. beatable San Diego State last week, prompting
sources to speculate that veteran HC Sonny Lubick might announce retirement
soon. So we're a bit surprised that CSU is laying points to a rejuvenated AFA
bunch, especially with sr. QB Carney enjoying the freedom associated with new
HC Calhoun's shotgun that replaced Fisher DeBerry's more-restrictive option.
Moreover, veteran Falc "D" creating all sorts of havoc with variety of blitz
schemes orchestrated by shrewd d.c. DeRuyter, which ought to further fluster
desperate Ram QB Hanie.



10 *CINCINNATI over Louisville
Late Score Forecast:
*CINCINNATI 47 - Louisville 27

This game exemplifies how fast things can change these days in college
football. Last year, under defensively-oriented Mark Dantonio, Cincy had an
offense that produced 20 ppg and barely supported its stubborn defense. This
year, with Brian Kelly having installed his spread offense and added transfer
QB Ben Mauk (a former starter at Wake Forest), the Bearcats have rolled up 43
ppg. With the offense giving rest to the ball-hawking defense (which leads
the nation with 25 takeaways), the stop unit is yielding only 12.7 ppg.
Meanwhile, the loss of coach Bobby Petrino to the pros is obviously resulting
in an adjustment phase for Louisville to new HC Kragthorpe. And the Cardinal
defense-without NFL first-round DT Amobe Okoye up front and three DBs in the
secondary-is giving up 31 ppg! Cincy 5-0 vs. spread TY.


10 HOUSTON over *Jacksonville
Late Score Forecast:
HOUSTON 16 - *Jacksonville 13
(Sunday, October 14)


Credit Gary Kubiak for bringing stability, toughness and confidence to 3-2
Houston. His deal for QB Matt Schaub has provided consistency and leadership
at that key position, and Schaub's strong arm gives the Texans the ability to
threaten the entire field. Underdog Houston has a history of playing well
vs. the Jaguars, going 8-2 vs. the spread overall and 4-1 in Jacksonville,
with 6 straight-up wins in the series! And the Texans are much stronger up
front on defense TY with amazing rookie DT Amobe Okoye joining LY's two
rookie keepers, LB DeMeco Ryans and DE Mario Williams (a combined 8 sacks for
the trio so far TY). The conservative nature of the Jacksonville offense
should help keep this game tight all the way, giving Houston a chance to
steal another win.


TOTALS: UNDER (38) in the Tennessee-Tampa Bay game-Titans defense much better
than people expected; injuries limiting the options of Jon Gruden on
offense

UNDER (43) in the New Orleans-Seattle game-Without the power of
Deuce up the middle, foes effectively limiting the effectiveness of Drew
Brees and Reggie Bush.

HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): GEORGIA (-7) at Vanderbilt-After last
week's rout in Knoxville, HC Richt returns to basics, and does not stop, with
embarrassed Bulldogs...TENNESSEE (-6.5) at Mississippi State-Huge QB edge for
Vols; Florida's back-to-back losses give UT genuine hopes of reaching the
title game!...UTAH (-13.5) vs. San Diego State-Aztecs have to win more than
one game before we believe their defense is sound enough to stop a good
spread attack...CALIFORNIA (-14) vs. Oregon State-If Beavers continue their
turnover ways on the road at Cal, Bears' speed will have the number covered
by halftime...WASHINGTON (+3) at Green Bay-Redskins have the talented
secondary (four No. 1 picks) to keep Favre in check; the emerging offense to
win the game.

Pointwise

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
GEORGIA over Vanderbilt RATING: 1
PENN STATE over Wisconsin RATING: 1
TEXAS TECH over Texas A&M RATING: 2
KANSAS over Baylor RATING: 3
COLORADO over Kansas State RATING: 4
WAKE FOREST over Florida State RATING: 4
CINCINNATI over Louisville RATING: 5
CENTRAL MICHIGAN over Army RATING: 5



NFL KEY RELEASES
NEW ENGLAND over Dallas RATING: 2
OAKLAND over San Diego RATING: 3
TENNESSEE over Tampa Bay RATING: 4
SEATTLE over New Orleans RATING: 4
ATLANTA over New York Giants RATING: 5
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ATS 3* Toronto
Doc's 3* Toronto

Madmen Sports *

NHL
Tor -129


The Parlay King
NHL
Car/Tor Under 6



Win Sports Now
NHL
Toronto -130



Super Sports Pix

NHL
Carolina Hurricanes -vs- Toronto Maple Leafs
Over 6 (+111)







GOALNET (from Don Wagner's site)


GOALNET'S Benny Fredericks : In three seasons has won over 160 units by releasing over 750 plays on the ice.

5-1 on regular plays year to date.

Reg. play : Toronto -1.30




RED ZONE

Carolina +ml



BOB AKMENS
CAR / TOR UNDER 6

Easy Money Sports



Tuesday's Selections

Major Nhl Release

Carolina +130

Best Bet

Joe Wiz

NHL
Toronto (-140)



Vernon Croy

paid and confirmed

Carolina