MG Man 10-3 in the first round. Thursday's NL Game one winners inside!!!

MGMan · Oct 10, 2007

Well everyone is going to think I'm crazy but I'm sticking with what got me here. 10-3, +19 units in round one.

Webb is 3-3 against Col this year and only 1-2 at hm. Colorado is hot and I'm going with 3* Col +115.

I also think everyone is looking this as a low scoring affair with these two pitchers going. 4 of 6 games Webb pitched against the Rockies went over including 2 of 3 at hm. Francis pitched great in game 1 against Philly, but that was during the day where his era is more then 2 runs a game better. Throw in both teams are over more then under in this situation, i.e. Col more overs on the rd and AZ more overs at hm and that both hit better by 20% pts against the lefty or righty they are facing and I'm going against everyone with a 4* over 7.5

GL

MGMan :dancefool

pj.sports · Oct 11, 2007

isn't Webb 1-3 against colorado this season?

Ramonskee · Oct 11, 2007

pj.sports said:
isn't Webb 1-3 against colorado this season?

This year he is 1-3 w/ a 5.77 in 39 IP
At Arizona vs. them he's 0-2 in 3 starts, 21 IP, with a 6.00

But, his last outting vs. the Rockies in a very crucial game at Colorado, he pitched 7 IP, 8 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 2 SO.
His next outting was also his last, vs. the Cubs, 7 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 9 K.

In his last 2 starts, both VERY crucial and important games, he is 2-0, 1.93 ERA, 14 IP, 12 H, 3 R, 5 BB, 11 K

Add to this how pissed off the Diamondbacks are at their fans for not showing up (+, extra motivation to perform) and Webb being more confident as he's the only pitcher to beat the Rockies in their last 18 or 19 games.

I'll take Webb -125 ANY day ESPECIALLY at home. He was a bigger favorite against Zambrano and the Cubs in the NLDS, shows how powerful the streak the Rockies are on is. Take advantage of it.

MGMan · Oct 11, 2007

Guys I love the feedback and was out of town all day so I couldn't provide feedback. When I said Webb was 3-3, I meant in games he started against the Rockies, the DBacks were 3-3 as a team. Sorry if I confused anyone.

Ramonskee, I looked at Webb and his recent starts and he's been outstanding. MLB is a game of streaks and until I lose, I'm not going to break the streak. I think the fact that Webb was the last to beat Col is motivation for the Rocks to continue their streak and get revenge.

The biggest surprise for me was the fact AZ was only a 128 fav. If the Rockies weren't so hot they would've been 180 against this young pitcher. It was as if Las Vegas was telling everyone to bet on AZ.

I know this is all being said after five innings but I just got home from my flight. I need some runs and hope for a 2-0 night!!

GL to all of you!!

MGMan :dancefool

MG Man 10-3 in the first round. Thursday's NL Game one winners inside!!!

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