Picks by the Numbers - Playoff Edition (9-10, +$216)

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Dreamin' Big
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Nov 11, 2006
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Postseason Record: 9-10, +$216

First off I will give you guys my series plays....
Diamondbacks to win NLCS (+115) *$400 to win $460*
Red Sox to win ALCS (-170) *$510 to win $300*
Diamondbacks to win World series (+500) *$100 to win $500*
Rockies to win World Series (+350) *$100 to win $350*
Indians to win World Series (+260) *$100 to win $260*


Yes, I'm predicting a Diamondbacks/Red Sox World Series. If Randy Johnson was only healthy so we can see him oppose Curt Schilling in a game or two.
If you're wondering about those World Series winner bets, I pretty much have some of my money coming back if the Red Sox lose the ALCS and cost me $500, especially if the Diamondbacks win it all.
If the Red Sox win the ALCS but the Diamondbacks lose the NLCS, I lose $300 (Indians WS bet, DBax WS bet, and DBax NLCS, 300 of that 400 gets offset by my Red Sox win). The Rockies winning the WS would get me that money back. Or if they lose it, I lose $100 more. Not a bad risk/reward scenario.


Now for my game plays...
Diamondbacks ML (-125) *$375 to win $300*
Diamondbacks -1.5 (+194) *$150 to win $291*


Good luck everyone.
 

Dreamin' Big
Joined
Nov 11, 2006
Messages
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I posted this in another thread....

This year he is 1-3 w/ a 5.77 in 39 IP
At Arizona vs. them he's 0-2 in 3 starts, 21 IP, with a 6.00

But, his last outting vs. the Rockies in a very crucial game at Colorado, he pitched 7 IP, 8 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 2 SO.
His next outting was also his last, vs. the Cubs, 7 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 9 K.
In his last 2 starts, both VERY crucial and important games, he is 2-0, 1.93 ERA, 14 IP, 12 H, 3 R, 5 BB, 11 K

Add to this how pissed off the Diamondbacks are at their fans for not showing up (+, extra motivation to perform) and Webb being more confident as he's the only pitcher to beat the Rockies in their last 18 or 19 games.

I'll take Webb -125 ANY day ESPECIALLY at home. He was a bigger favorite against Zambrano and the Cubs in the NLDS, shows how powerful the streak the Rockies are on is. Take advantage of it.


Also wanted to throw in...

Hawpe, Helton, and Matsui will have to really step it up as they are the only left-handed batters on the team (Matsui is a switch). Right handed batters hit .199 vs. Webb this year and .219 vs. him from 2004-2006.
 

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