Well the oddsmakers also feel that way but in baseball... nobody ever knows for sure. I'm from Minnesota and I can remember the 87 twins who only won 85 games yet were able to win the WS as did the Cards last year with only 83 wins. GL
LOL
Being the futures guru that you are you will appreciate this, I had the TWINS that year at 40-1 ........to just win the pennant(get to the WS) semi-large.
I had liked the TWINS coming into the season and when they picked up Jeff Reardon, I pounced on the 40-1 around town within 24 hours.........much of it being wagered at the Coast properties.
I reckon I watched no less than 100 Twins games that year in their entirity..............and to make it sweeter, I was on vacation in Michigan when they defeated the Tigers to win the pennant................and thus was jumping in the streets of Marquette, MI celebrating the score.......