ICe-- You're speaking in Ace- Ace. Please clarify a little. Thanks.
Not sure what you dont understand. If line is -2 all day and moves late to -3.5 I try and first look for -2 at slow moving books but if not I look to grab +3.5.
See this is the problem bettors look to much at who they are betting (what team). I am focusing 100% on the number. Both teams have a number/strike price that I will take. You could bet -2 and in the same game I could bet +3.5 and we both have great bets.
Went 8-0 last nite in the NBA. Not at all saying this is what to expect but if you ALWAYS bet numbers at their apex you will win in the 55% range. Plus these are easier to find as these are genreally at shaper books or reduced juice shops that over react and move fast.
Like when you try to middle a game, in all reality both sides have to be +ev for the bets to be profitable. The Pinny lean is all about betting the slow moving side but if the number moves enough and you dont catch the move you can bet the other side of it and still have a good bet.
For example in the NBA last nite I bet numbers that werent really seen till late yesterday and they had moved enough to create value on the other side (IMO). This is market capping in reverse but is still market capping and what i am trying to do going forward. I had Phoenix -4 -105 last nite when line was -5.5/-6 all day. Late line move and number at its apex.
Also had LA Clippers +8.5 when line was -7 most of the day
over 210 NY knicks game when line bottomed out form 214 down to 210.
Sacremento -1.5 -105 when line was -3 most of the day.
These are all numbers at their highest or lowest points. Now you can bet the other side of these games and also have great numbers if you can catch the move before the books move them. It is market capping and something I am doing to add volume to what I am doing and been doing fairly well with it. Bottom line if all or most of your numbers are at there apex than bet it. Sort of liking betting the sharp side of a profitable middle, both bets are +ev.