The following may help when betting live. All figures are the percentages per drive/possession
CLEVELAND @ ARIZONA (13 expected drives each)
CLEVELAND
Pts per drive 1.92
TDs 22.7
FGs 14.6
Punts 39.2
T/Os 14.6
Score chance 37.3
No score 62.7
TDs red zone 61
ARIZONA
Pts per drive 2
TDs 22
FGs 14.1
Punts 36.6
T/Os 17
Score chance 36.1
No score 63.9
TDs red zone 71.4
The balance of figures suggest this is a good game to lay the leader especially at normal prices, avoid laying either in the red zone
TAMPA BAY @ NEW ORLEANS (12 expected drives)
TAMPA
Pts per drive 1.87
TDs 19.2
FGs 16.2
Punts 42.5
T/Os 10.8
Score chance 35.6
No score 64.6
TDs red zone 44.
NEW ORLEANS
Pts per drive 1.58
TDs 18.8
FGs 8.8
Punts 40.1
T/Os 19.3
Score chance 27.6
No score 72.4
TDs red zone 74.3
Two things stick out here on Tampa, their low turnover % which means dont be relying on mistakes to get them beat and their low red zone % where laying them could profit. Ducking and diving with New Orleans may be the way to go, laying them early on drives considering the high %s of no scoring and Turnovers, but get out past half way as their red zone scoring % is higher than New England.
BUFFALO @ WASHINGTON (11 expected drives)
BUFFALO
Pts per drive 1.45
TDs 16.2
FGs 16.3
Punts 46
T/Os 13.5
Score chance 32.5
No score 67.5
TDs red zone 38.1
WASHINGTON
Pts per drive 1.95
TDs 20.1
FGs 19.5
Punts 35.8
T/Os 16.8
Score chance 39.6
No score 60.4
TDs red zone 52.8
The opposite of the Cleveland game here so the leader could be value especially The Redskins as Buffalos % all round are desperate. The figures say The Bills are as bad in the red zone as any part of the field suggesting long throws, wait till their well in Redskin territory to lay them. :drink:
CLEVELAND @ ARIZONA (13 expected drives each)
CLEVELAND
Pts per drive 1.92
TDs 22.7
FGs 14.6
Punts 39.2
T/Os 14.6
Score chance 37.3
No score 62.7
TDs red zone 61
ARIZONA
Pts per drive 2
TDs 22
FGs 14.1
Punts 36.6
T/Os 17
Score chance 36.1
No score 63.9
TDs red zone 71.4
The balance of figures suggest this is a good game to lay the leader especially at normal prices, avoid laying either in the red zone
TAMPA BAY @ NEW ORLEANS (12 expected drives)
TAMPA
Pts per drive 1.87
TDs 19.2
FGs 16.2
Punts 42.5
T/Os 10.8
Score chance 35.6
No score 64.6
TDs red zone 44.
NEW ORLEANS
Pts per drive 1.58
TDs 18.8
FGs 8.8
Punts 40.1
T/Os 19.3
Score chance 27.6
No score 72.4
TDs red zone 74.3
Two things stick out here on Tampa, their low turnover % which means dont be relying on mistakes to get them beat and their low red zone % where laying them could profit. Ducking and diving with New Orleans may be the way to go, laying them early on drives considering the high %s of no scoring and Turnovers, but get out past half way as their red zone scoring % is higher than New England.
BUFFALO @ WASHINGTON (11 expected drives)
BUFFALO
Pts per drive 1.45
TDs 16.2
FGs 16.3
Punts 46
T/Os 13.5
Score chance 32.5
No score 67.5
TDs red zone 38.1
WASHINGTON
Pts per drive 1.95
TDs 20.1
FGs 19.5
Punts 35.8
T/Os 16.8
Score chance 39.6
No score 60.4
TDs red zone 52.8
The opposite of the Cleveland game here so the leader could be value especially The Redskins as Buffalos % all round are desperate. The figures say The Bills are as bad in the red zone as any part of the field suggesting long throws, wait till their well in Redskin territory to lay them. :drink: