Is it OK for posters to post these lines?

Puccini

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• Dec 13, 2007

• #1

Do you think it's OK for posters to post lines they got many hours before, like the night before? I'm talking about lines that have changed quite a bit.

Personally, I feel that someone should post a line as soon after they got it as possible. It just bugs me when someone posts a play at noon that doesn't exist anymore and then, when questioned, they say I bet it at 2AM last night. I'm not questioning their integrity. I'm sure they did bet that line at 2 AM. Of course, they should always bet the best line they can get--that's really not the issue.

Some posters claim they got their lines at some local. Some posters post their plays 2 minutes before the game starts. Bugs me. Does it bug you?

I know it's kind of freewheeling here at the RX--but where do you draw the line?

 

G.MONEY

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• Dec 13, 2007

• #2

I believe they ask you to post lines that are avaliable to all when you are posting picks. I also know you will be called out for that crap if you do it to often

 

trytrytry

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• Dec 13, 2007

• #3

you dont really draw the line. a person should post a line that is there or had just moved. its information that is exchanged. Only play solid lines if you miss a move take a pass unless you still see some value. dont be too concerned if so and so appears to win a game by 1/2 point and you pushed it or lost it just smile and use it as information.

 

Kornholio

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• Dec 13, 2007

• #4

It is definetely O.K. If you tail somebody and they post what they played (whenever they played it), it is nice to know the number they thought had value. If a guy I tail posts Bradley +6 and I go look and it is +4 now, I'll lay off.

If they are an attention whore just trying to get a better record for their internet persona that is another story.

 

bellyputter

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• Dec 13, 2007

• #5

Back in the computer days, I used to watch guys get destroyed following Billy laying bad #s.

 

whalewager

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• Dec 13, 2007

• #6

better question is why it BUGS you so much

 

SportSavant

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• Dec 13, 2007

• #7

its not OK, we ask our members to use WA (widely available) lines at the time they post.

 

Puccini

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• Dec 13, 2007

• #8

whalewager said:

better question is why it BUGS you so much

Click to expand...

Nice catch on my overuse of the word "bugs." It is an annoying word.

 

whalewager

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• #9

it bugged me

 

BIGSHOTMAXXX

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• #10

I hate bugs, especially red ants....and that stupid bunny...

 

PO69

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• Dec 13, 2007

• #11

Well it is their thread usually. It shouldnt matter to anyone else what line they put in their own thread

 

winbet

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• Dec 14, 2007

• #12

If posters werent allowed to use past numbers there would only be something like 3 showing a profit at the end of the Year. The other Forum moneymaker is accidently forgetting the juice on extra 1/2 pts. :drink:

 

MrJ

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• Dec 14, 2007

• #13

If the belief is that 1% of bettors win and there are 38000 posters on the site then there would be 380 successful bettors. I'm not saying that is an accurate figure but it's not like a winning bettor is a needle in a haystack here, particularly when you consider that successful posters are more likely to continue to post than those who aren't successful, so naturally there will be a bias towards being successful among the regulars.

However most of these aren't beating WA lines and I think only a very small percentage would actually post picks. Variance aside, I think that it wouldn't be an unreasonable estimate for successful bettors who post picks to number in the single digits. I also think a successful bettor is less likely to post picks. Only a small percentage of the winners on this side are actually profitable bettors; most are just on the positive side of variance. In fact, of the posters I'd consider successful bettors there would be no more than a few who post picks.