How tight do you think the Pinny line is and also, do you think a -112 at Pinny on 5 cent lines can beat a -105 line elsewhere? -110 I'm guessing it would be tough. I know theres been a lot of talk about this on this site, but wasn't sure exactly how much of an edge people think the pinny lean is....
It's a huge edge, despite what some might say. Trust me on that one.
-112 isn't much of a lean. Basically if you have a decent scalp you have a lean worth playing, so you'd need a -124/+114 where others have -110/--110 (or -119/+109 vs -105/-105, etc). Just don't play the take back on pin - those are sucker bets.
Been playing pin and matchbook leans for quite some time - works incredibly well.
-112 isn't much of a lean. Basically if you have a decent scalp you have a lean worth playing, so you'd need a -124/+114 where others have -110/--110 (or -119/+109 vs -105/-105, etc). Just don't play the take back on pin - those are sucker bets.
Been playing pin and matchbook leans for quite some time - works incredibly well.
I'm not too sure what the question is. I believe that Pinny lines, in large, mainstream markets (NFL sides and totals, MLB sides and totals, NBA sides, NHL sides) are very efficient.
The edge you can get by basing your plays on the Pinny lean can vary wildly depending on your criteria, i.e. at what point is the lean big enough, at what moment do you consider the market to be stable enough to weigh Pinny against the consensus - and how much of a better price can you get elsewhere.
Playing -105 while Pinny is at -112, which I think is what you're talking about, is most likely profitable, at least if you're betting on one of the aforementioned markets.
This is just my opinion of course. I'm sure others have different views on the matter.
The edge you can get by basing your plays on the Pinny lean can vary wildly depending on your criteria, i.e. at what point is the lean big enough, at what moment do you consider the market to be stable enough to weigh Pinny against the consensus - and how much of a better price can you get elsewhere.
Playing -105 while Pinny is at -112, which I think is what you're talking about, is most likely profitable, at least if you're betting on one of the aforementioned markets.
This is just my opinion of course. I'm sure others have different views on the matter.
