They have been posting about this all week in the NFL Forum, I'll just post My reply there.
The true line comes out at -8. Not only do you have to consider the worth of Home field advantage, which many would say is over the conventional 3 ( I have it at 4.5) but New Englands spread has been inflated for some time. Whether The books carry this over in the play-offs is uncertain, although this game will have low drives total they may still be feeling the early season cost.
Total is 48 without considering the Weather. :drink:
The true line comes out at -8. Not only do you have to consider the worth of Home field advantage, which many would say is over the conventional 3 ( I have it at 4.5) but New Englands spread has been inflated for some time. Whether The books carry this over in the play-offs is uncertain, although this game will have low drives total they may still be feeling the early season cost.
Total is 48 without considering the Weather. :drink:
Just done some extra work on this and there's a huge lean to Jacksonville with the Cappers and maybe the recreational Players will be put off by seeing 35 points being put up on them. With that lean coming in at +8.5 the books have no choice but to play a straight line here at 10.5, anything else is a plant to get Patriot Punters. :drink:
