Been following alot of steam in CBB the past few years and I have noticed it wins alot more than it loses with CBB totals. I dont blame the books with putting these numbers up late as to me it looks like they are getting beat with these huge moves.
This must be the one bet the bookmaker can not get his finger on as well as the sharps. I noticed this last year also. These totals are all over the place and from my calulations on following these (and I am sure I miss a ton of them) they have won at 54-56% the past 2 seasons.
I have no documented proof other the bets I have made the past few seasons (and that is well into the mid 50% range) but of the major sports that are bet, this seems to be where the number cruncher/handicapper is exploiting. Been reading a few numbers guys at other forums who have been using some obscure stats like pace ratings and effencinency ratings, that are making better numbers than the books (IMO).
It also seems there is a sense of fear amongst the books with booking these as some of the bigger shops have put somethings in place to slow down getting hit hard on them.
I could be wrong but I would love to hear from a few that book and if they are noticing the bigger players who are betting these are winning more than they are losing. Not your average fan but the more serious players and how the books feel about them. Thanks.
This must be the one bet the bookmaker can not get his finger on as well as the sharps. I noticed this last year also. These totals are all over the place and from my calulations on following these (and I am sure I miss a ton of them) they have won at 54-56% the past 2 seasons.
I have no documented proof other the bets I have made the past few seasons (and that is well into the mid 50% range) but of the major sports that are bet, this seems to be where the number cruncher/handicapper is exploiting. Been reading a few numbers guys at other forums who have been using some obscure stats like pace ratings and effencinency ratings, that are making better numbers than the books (IMO).
It also seems there is a sense of fear amongst the books with booking these as some of the bigger shops have put somethings in place to slow down getting hit hard on them.
I could be wrong but I would love to hear from a few that book and if they are noticing the bigger players who are betting these are winning more than they are losing. Not your average fan but the more serious players and how the books feel about them. Thanks.
