question for seasoned bettors (old school)

fivedoorsdown · Jan 17, 2008

when it comes to playoff, conference finals ,that sort of thing.
do you guys layoff as most of the value in lines really isnt there.
like if the nfl playoffs are going do you go to other sports in hopes of finding soft lines because the books maybe not concintrating on that action due to the playoffs. or do you go balls to the wall in the playoffs.
seems to me it's really a bad time to try and lay big bucks on these. naturally some games you have a good hunch or see a weak line and go with it.

bellyputter · Jan 17, 2008

I don't wager on them or even watch them. I could care less. I'll be watching the Bob Hope. Good Luck

Fishhead · Jan 17, 2008

More squares bet big games so in many instances one can find better value in big games than an ordinary regular season game.

jwunderdog · Jan 17, 2008

I think the NFL is the toughest market to beat in general. Playoffs you may have a little better chance because all the public $ may be hitting on one side. In gerneral your odds of winning my increase by a % or 2 but how much more should you risk if you think you have a 56% of winning Vs. a 53% chance of winning? Playoffs are way over bet in general. It should be treated as just "one more # to bet or not".

TheWolf · Jan 17, 2008

JWU made some good points......me personally, I am done with trying to cap the NFL after this year. Too tough to try to beat consistently. Next year I am only looking to play a few games a month when and if the situation calls for it. NFL lines are too sharp.

punter · Jan 17, 2008

Big games as big horse races are a poor places to find value.

nhoj · Jan 17, 2008

NFl is easy. If you think not play a whole season of NBA.

D2bets · Jan 17, 2008

I agree with Fish. As far as individual game goes, big games are the best. The downside is that there are just not as many events when it's a single game or two games, as opposed to, for example, a full slate of NFL Sunday games.

$tinky · Jan 17, 2008

Seems to me like this is a time when books fear teasers the most. Look at some of the numbers some of these sharp books open with "-9 +115" . To me that is saying "please don't tease this 7.5 point favorite down to 1.5". They could care less if you take the other side and get the dog up to like 15 because this number doesn't really factor in anyway.

sparticus · Jan 17, 2008

i have done quite well playing teasers during bowl season & nfl playoffs with the exception of last week & ind. colts who i had all over the place as a pick, in other words just win the game, oh well that's why it's called gambling, lol.

Anti-liberal · Jan 17, 2008

fivedoorsdown said:
when it comes to playoff, conference finals ,that sort of thing.
do you guys layoff as most of the value in lines really isnt there.
like if the nfl playoffs are going do you go to other sports in hopes of finding soft lines because the books maybe not concintrating on that action due to the playoffs. or do you go balls to the wall in the playoffs.
seems to me it's really a bad time to try and lay big bucks on these. naturally some games you have a good hunch or see a weak line and go with it.

Playoffs are great because of all the props they put up, as opposed to limited props during the regular season. Instead of trying to figure out who will cover the spread, you should be picking soft numbers out of the 100 or so props out there on these games.

TTinCO · Jan 17, 2008

nhoj said:
NFl is easy. If you think not play a whole season of NBA.

Fuck.....or one night of NBA.

question for seasoned bettors (old school)

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fivedoorsdown

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bellyputter

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TheWolf

THINK OUTSIDE THE BOX.

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