Super Bowl spread questions (Where am I going wrong here??)

Would like to get some opinions on this (Especially from the "Professional money" guys):

Okay, was reading this covers article about the Super Bowl line

Sports Betting and Gambling Odds Online

And from the way these oddsmakers are talking, it's pretty much what I figure. "Sharps' hitting the line early, "Public" waiting until gameday (blah, blah, blah)

Okay, here is where I'm confused, the quote below from sportsinteractions oddsmaker:

Francis Doyle: The line was set high initially on the basis that squares would eat up the chalk. This has not happened, and the Giants are proving quite a popular pick. Even the general sports media are giving the Giants far more of a chance than they gave the Patriots themselves against the Rams six years ago. People believe in the Giants. So far.

OKAY.

If these guys know that the professional cappers are gonna hit the number early, and the public waits until Saturday or Sunday, how does the above quote makes sense????

Did the oddsmakers think the early "professional" money would also go to the Patriots side, or is this guy just clueless and doesn't know what he's talking about???

AND

How much has the Brady injury talk affected the line?? Would NE be up to a 2 TD Favorite or more if he was 100 % healthy???

Brady injury no effect on line, I do not believe.


THere is more money bet on this game than any other. Much public money is on this game. THe super Bowl is the most bet on event of the year! Explain what you mean. Pros bet early and public late....that is easy. Talk specifics what is your question. Patriots have been over inflated line for awhile now in last handful of games and not covering.

TB #1,

Specifically, The main thing I'm puzzled about is the first line of Doyle's statement:

Francis Doyle: The line was set high initially on the basis that squares would eat up the chalk.

This makes no sense to me if the "sharps" are betting early and the "public" late.

Wouldn't the oddsmakers set the line in anticipation of "sharp" action???

Ego74 said:

TB #1,

Specifically, The main thing I'm puzzled about is the first line of Doyle's statement:

Francis Doyle: The line was set high initially on the basis that squares would eat up the chalk.

This makes no sense to me if the "sharps" are betting early and the "public" late.

Wouldn't the oddsmakers set the line in anticipation of "sharp" action???

Click to expand...

sharps havent done too much they took 14 and so far(but it is close) i have more giant bets and giant money...public is taking +12 slightly more than laying the 12 as of now

Ego74 said:

TB #1,

Specifically, The main thing I'm puzzled about is the first line of Doyle's statement:

Francis Doyle: The line was set high initially on the basis that squares would eat up the chalk.

This makes no sense to me if the "sharps" are betting early and the "public" late.

Wouldn't the oddsmakers set the line in anticipation of "sharp" action???

Click to expand...

I am not sure I can answer this question as well as others namely Tarter and others. I am not a book or linesmaker but a gambler even though I know what they do but not entirely. here is my think though. This game there is a lot of money by EVERYONE and the public loves favorites and the Pats. SO they make it high to offset all that money. Public bets early in this game because it is the Sueor bowl...early bets and late bets. Most bet favs as a general rule so make the line higher initially. Maybe not enough pro or sharp money to offset in this game. This is my thinking but it might be wrong. lol...