I think the public will bet the Giants and the number will go down, now 95% of the time I disagree with my above statement and believe that the public drives the number up on the SB by betting the favorite but this is just a feeling I get with this particular game. I think your Giants number (hopefully +14) is probably better than you will see all weekend and if anyone is backing the Giants they should bet now as number may drop a little mid day tomorrow. I am waiting to bet Pats moneyline -400 or better. Just my feeling.
Yes sir. $1200 or so to win $300. It is where the value is (IMO).
12 point favorites should be higher in the moneyline, I have read about this all week at forums. I am not going to say NY doesnt have a chance as anything can happen but there are such things as a live underdogs and this feels nothing like one to me. No way Eli outplays Brady, I think the Giants have played error free football every game this post season (no turnovers) and that wont happen tomorrow, no way not on that big of a stage. It's just the Pats season, they arent going to let this one slip.
I want some action on the game and I dont want to worry about that pointspread because I know the Pats aren't.
Thank You!!!!
Much appreciated. I have read this all over the place all week from some well respected guys I follow. I will say some of these guys believe in betting Pats ML and Giants +12.5 (or whatever best price they can get) and middling the game that way. Either way there is value ONLY (I know that seem odd) laying -400 on a 12 point NFL favorite.
I, too, will be laying the ML on the Pats. It is insignificant to my wager, but very important to see a well respected poster and bettor of your stature talk of such. I get sick and tired of people on this site talking the -110 line and all the BS that goes with it, much less the -400 or so you are willing and able to wager. It is just refreshing to see you do this and not talk of all the cost of a -400 line and blah-blah-blah. THANKS.
