How could you possibly know true math dictated it should have been -650?
True math? what does that mean? If a guy runs his #s comes up with -650 and the line is -450 there is value, if his #s are profitable over the long haul. I guess the right play should have been giants -145 since that this the correct # after the fact?hno:
I have no idea where these people get their #s from. yeah, after the fact it is easy to know the "true value"
I think it is almost never a wise thing to lay -400....especially in a high profile game like a superbowl....anything is possible....how many times do we have to get burned to learn this?
I am not agreeing. I very rarely if ever bet -400 plays but that is because I haven't figured out a way to do it profitable. I am sure some have. Look at the board tonight, I would take fresno -500. I think there is value in that # just based on the positive buyback #.:nopityA:shadow i dont think jwunderdog is agreeing with you:nohead:
I honestly don't know what's normal, but -400 when the spread is 12.5 seems low. (And, no, I didn't play the Pats).