There are lots of situations where a long odds on shot looks value on Paper especially when comparing to the Spread price but the only people who should be betting them are punters with big banks and nerves of Steel. For the average Punter confidence is everything and losing Two or Three heavy Favourite Bets can spell diasater, personally unless its in a live betting situation I dont go over -110 I think anything over -120 will put you on the back foot in a hurry. :drink:
True math? what does that mean? If a guy runs his #s comes up with -650 and the line is -450 there is value, if his #s are profitable over the long haul. I guess the right play should have been giants -145 since that this the correct # after the fact?hno:
I have no idea where these people get their #s from. yeah, after the fact it is easy to know the "true value"
I think it is almost never a wise thing to lay -400....especially in a high profile game like a superbowl....anything is possible....how many times do we have to get burned to learn this?
