Developement Of A Baseball System

Search

Rx. Senior
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
7,744
Tokens
While Wil and the Mods probably know all this already I'm going to go through the motions for Two reasons, the first is my work isnt completed here and I need some input and secondly it might help some posters in formulating their own systems.

I will be going through each section individually and giving reasons for the approach, anyone can feel free to add their thoughts but please understand that My views and Maths are not that of a paper trailing Geek but attained through real betting experiences. this system is for Baseball totals but can be adapted to any Sport.

1) Find a target Game for the System which will not only give the best chance of the outcome but at the sharpest line.
2) Devise a chart showing where the price available actually falls in relation to the chances of an under/over.
3) Formulate the extra components in the system to match the overall price.
4) Work out a staking plan or margin to dictate a bet/bets.
5) Make a strategy that insures getting the best Price/Number

Sounds straight forward and it is as long as the Five keys are rock solid.
After I've had My usual Saturday Night Curry with a few longnecks I will start with Number 1 :drink:
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
7,744
Tokens
Number 1 ) My experience is the further the M/L is away from Evens the more the chance of the whole expectation is flawed in spread or Total. So to get a reasonable idea We need to get to almost +100 to have a fair game.

If I asked all the Posters on here that I could give them the best Linemakers opinions for free most would drop whatever strategy they have and Toe the line in what their told, well in the Top books thats exactly what you have got but your not paying. So using Books like Pinny can save you the Donkey work and its just a matter of that line becoming critical.

As I pointed out, the true line has to be within a certain range by these Books and for the the purposes of this system We are looking for a range of 1/2 a run in Baseball. To make my 1/2 Run calculation I have used all averages to come up with a spread of -140 +105 range giving 0.40 of a run for Home advantage.

So, I'm sure Judge feels better that I've used Paragraphs but the end result for Number 1 is:

Use Pinny to find out any qualifiers, make them inside -140 +105 :drink:

PS: I forgot to ask for feedback on these points, please feel free.
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
7,744
Tokens
I see the Forum Sharps and "seen it all before" Wil and his buddies queing up to give some insight :missingte absolute jokers and then have the nerve to tell me I'm telling people how to suck Eggs. :missingte I'm out of here. :drink:
 

powdered milkman
Joined
Aug 4, 2006
Messages
22,984
Tokens
your posts are becoming more coherent........i liked the overseas versions more
 

New member
Joined
Jan 22, 2006
Messages
2,068
Tokens
I read it four times and gave up trying to understand winbet's dialect.

I mean, dude.

:monsters-
 

Rx God
Joined
Nov 1, 2002
Messages
39,226
Tokens
Number 1 ) My experience is the further the M/L is away from Evens the more the chance of the whole expectation is flawed in spread or Total. So to get a reasonable idea We need to get to almost +100 to have a fair game.

If I asked all the Posters on here that I could give them the best Linemakers opinions for free most would drop whatever strategy they have and Toe the line in what their told, well in the Top books thats exactly what you have got but your not paying. So using Books like Pinny can save you the Donkey work and its just a matter of that line becoming critical.

As I pointed out, the true line has to be within a certain range by these Books and for the the purposes of this system We are looking for a range of 1/2 a run in Baseball. To make my 1/2 Run calculation I have used all averages to come up with a spread of -140 +105 range giving 0.40 of a run for Home advantage.

So, I'm sure Judge feels better that I've used Paragraphs but the end result for Number 1 is:

Use Pinny to find out any qualifiers, make them inside -140 +105 :drink:

PS: I forgot to ask for feedback on these points, please feel free.


So are you saying you only want to limit your bets to favorites to small dogs, as in -140 to +105 ?

If I'm not mistaken, I think you once said never lay over -120 ?

Early in the season, those larger dogs like +150 seem to do well historically.

Maybe I'm reading you wrong ?
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
Tokens

Rx. Senior
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
7,744
Tokens
nice. another post no one gave a shit about.

keep up the good work!

Thats good coming from a poster who's only legitimate thread was how to get out of his mortgage. :missingte

Wil: thought you had a policy for negative posts in someone else's thread?
As usual nobody gives a fuck, all wankers. :drink:
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,106,901
Messages
13,439,380
Members
99,343
Latest member
manojkumarone17
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com