I wouldn't touch it.
Pujols and Glaus are the only players worth anything on that team and both are likely going to miss alot of games. Pujols is not at 100% and has said he'll play until his injury requires surgery. Glaus is always dinged it seems and his power is going to go down quite a bit with the park switch. That offense will be very poor. The worst in the majors if Pujols does finally succumb to his injury that has been buggin him. Defense with Glaus at 3rd isn't going to be fun if that's how it ends up.
Without Carpenter healthy, and who knows what he has left, that pitching staff looks pretty poor. I'm big on Wainwright having a breakout year but but that staff looks haggard. Peniero, Looper, Reyes, and Mulder? Mulder is done, Reyes has no control, and Peneiro/Looper are castoffs. No one knows what Clement has and the answer is probably not much.
Even the bullpen looks iffy. Springer is 39 now and last year is not going to happen again. Franklin pitched out of his mind last year as well and you should see some regression from him as well.
All in all, they have a small shot because they play in baseball's most even division with no team expected to dominate. Still, I'd get 12-1 or better before I made any play.