Moneyline from day one system....opinions please

At the end of March I was thinking of trying a system to see if it would be profitable and I would like to hear your opinions...

Do you think it would be profitable to pick 4 teams...3 of which would be top tier teams....ie Yankees, Mets, Tigers, Red Sox....and 1 shitty team...ie orioles, pirates etc...

One these four teams play the moneyline every single game no matter what the line was...thus hitting the shitty teams when it wins, and picking up the slack with the other 3 good teams...I would play one unit on 4 games with the same teams every single day, and take the dog for the fews time per year that one of my four teams would play each other...

Would the 3 other teams win enough and not be too juicy to allow for a profit??? I would think that if I could come up with 3 teams that were consistant enough it could be done...I know every team loses games but could they win enough for it to work, and would the dog be bad enough to make it up on the ones that they did win???

I would also like to parley these 4 teams each and every day for a half a unit from day one...thus making my good days really good, and the medium days just kind of there???

Could this work? Is 4 too many teams??? I am quite sure this has been done before but I would much appreciate some input as to whether this was a good idea or not...

Sorry if this doesnt make sense, I am trying to explain it as it is in my head

I had been wondering about a similar system, i.e. picking three of the best teams and playing the moneyline each game on those teams, you would win more than you lost, the problem though would be the big moneyline losses, i.e. the yanks lose as -280 against the Rays, etc.

However, I, like you, think this could be very profitable. Play the Tigers, Red Sox, and Yanks each day and I like your suggestion of playing a shitty team. I would go for one that is likely to be closer to .500 this year like Tampa than the Pirates or Royals. Tampa will be a dog enough to be profitable.

I guess the biggest question is, if your goal is to win one unit per team, per game, you would be paying a lot of juice to win one unit and a few losses could hurt the bank account quickly. But if you play a small amount, say $20 / game / team...you'd only win $10 or less depending on the moneyline for each game.

It seems like a good system, however, IMO, you would have to play for a set amount, say $20 / game, and then be satisfied with the payout for each win, knowing it will vary each game depending on the ml. Some games you could win $8 and others you could win $15.

I was going to use a set amount each day for each game...although I have no decided on the amount yet, like you said my risk option would be 20, and some days I would get paid more and some days I would be paid less...but either way I would be spending 90 per day with 4 moneylines and a parley on all 4. I am very much interested to see how long it would take to determine if this was a good idea...and I would have to commit myself for the long haul to make money...

Here are the money stats from last year.......I think this is based on 1 unit not sure............but check out where the top teams are
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD>Team</TD><TD>Record</TD><TD>Pct.</TD><TD>Money</TD><TD>Home</TD><TD>Home $</TD><TD>Road</TD><TD>Road $</TD><TD>RL</TD><TD>RL $</TD><TD>O-U</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahl2>1</TD><TD class=datahl2>Colorado </TD><TD class=datacell>90-73</TD><TD class=datacell>0.552</TD><TD class=datacell>2466</TD><TD class=datacell>51-31</TD><TD class=datacell>1474</TD><TD class=datacell>39-42</TD><TD class=datacell>992</TD><TD class=datacell>98-65</TD><TD class=datacell>3785</TD><TD class=datacell>82-74</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>2</TD><TD class=datahl2>Seattle </TD><TD class=datacell>88-74</TD><TD class=datacell>0.543</TD><TD class=datacell>1924</TD><TD class=datacell>49-32</TD><TD class=datacell>1355</TD><TD class=datacell>39-42</TD><TD class=datacell>569</TD><TD class=datacell>86-76</TD><TD class=datacell>1160</TD><TD class=datacell>83-71</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>3</TD><TD class=datahl2>Arizona </TD><TD class=datacell>90-72</TD><TD class=datacell>0.556</TD><TD class=datacell>1822</TD><TD class=datacell>50-31</TD><TD class=datacell>1326</TD><TD class=datacell>40-41</TD><TD class=datacell>496</TD><TD class=datacell>88-74</TD><TD class=datacell>1792</TD><TD class=datacell>69-83</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>4</TD><TD class=datahl2>Washington </TD><TD class=datacell>73-89</TD><TD class=datacell>0.451</TD><TD class=datacell>1622</TD><TD class=datacell>40-41</TD><TD class=datacell>841</TD><TD class=datacell>33-48</TD><TD class=datacell>781</TD><TD class=datacell>93-69</TD><TD class=datacell>1282</TD><TD class=datacell>72-79</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>5</TD><TD class=datahl2>Cleveland </TD><TD class=datacell>96-66</TD><TD class=datacell>0.593</TD><TD class=datacell>1305</TD><TD class=datacell>52-29</TD><TD class=datacell>871</TD><TD class=datacell>44-37</TD><TD class=datacell>434</TD><TD class=datacell>76-86</TD><TD class=datacell>-845</TD><TD class=datacell>72-84</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>6</TD><TD class=datahl2>Philadelphia </TD><TD class=datacell>89-73</TD><TD class=datacell>0.549</TD><TD class=datacell>1115</TD><TD class=datacell>47-34</TD><TD class=datacell>506</TD><TD class=datacell>42-39</TD><TD class=datacell>609</TD><TD class=datacell>93-69</TD><TD class=datacell>2531</TD><TD class=datacell>88-68</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>7</TD><TD class=datahl2>LA Angels </TD><TD class=datacell>94-68</TD><TD class=datacell>0.580</TD><TD class=datacell>753</TD><TD class=datacell>54-27</TD><TD class=datacell>1106</TD><TD class=datacell>40-41</TD><TD class=datacell>-353</TD><TD class=datacell>81-81</TD><TD class=datacell>678</TD><TD class=datacell>75-80</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>8</TD><TD class=datahl2>Boston </TD><TD class=datacell>96-66</TD><TD class=datacell>0.593</TD><TD class=datacell>459</TD><TD class=datacell>51-30</TD><TD class=datacell>69</TD><TD class=datacell>45-36</TD><TD class=datacell>390</TD><TD class=datacell>85-77</TD><TD class=datacell>1078</TD><TD class=datacell>75-84</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>9</TD><TD class=datahl2>Texas </TD><TD class=datacell>75-87</TD><TD class=datacell>0.463</TD><TD class=datacell>367</TD><TD class=datacell>47-34</TD><TD class=datacell>1419</TD><TD class=datacell>28-53</TD><TD class=datacell>-1052</TD><TD class=datacell>76-86</TD><TD class=datacell>-2587</TD><TD class=datacell>68-80</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>10</TD><TD class=datahl2>Detroit </TD><TD class=datacell>88-74</TD><TD class=datacell>0.543</TD><TD class=datacell>162</TD><TD class=datacell>45-36</TD><TD class=datacell>-393</TD><TD class=datacell>43-38</TD><TD class=datacell>555</TD><TD class=datacell>77-85</TD><TD class=datacell>-507</TD><TD class=datacell>80-72</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>11</TD><TD class=datahl2>Toronto </TD><TD class=datacell>83-79</TD><TD class=datacell>0.512</TD><TD class=datacell>101</TD><TD class=datacell>49-32</TD><TD class=datacell>956</TD><TD class=datacell>34-47</TD><TD class=datacell>-855</TD><TD class=datacell>83-79</TD><TD class=datacell>428</TD><TD class=datacell>67-91</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>12</TD><TD class=datahl2>San Diego </TD><TD class=datacell>89-74</TD><TD class=datacell>0.546</TD><TD class=datacell>-68</TD><TD class=datacell>47-34</TD><TD class=datacell>-152</TD><TD class=datacell>42-40</TD><TD class=datacell>84</TD><TD class=datacell>81-82</TD><TD class=datacell>357</TD><TD class=datacell>80-76</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>13</TD><TD class=datahl2>Kansas City </TD><TD class=datacell>69-93</TD><TD class=datacell>0.426</TD><TD class=datacell>-108</TD><TD class=datacell>35-46</TD><TD class=datacell>-705</TD><TD class=datacell>34-47</TD><TD class=datacell>597</TD><TD class=datacell>85-77</TD><TD class=datacell>-664</TD><TD class=datacell>63-88</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>14</TD><TD class=datahl2>St. Louis </TD><TD class=datacell>78-84</TD><TD class=datacell>0.481</TD><TD class=datacell>-473</TD><TD class=datacell>43-38</TD><TD class=datacell>-177</TD><TD class=datacell>35-46</TD><TD class=datacell>-296</TD><TD class=datacell>78-84</TD><TD class=datacell>-1169</TD><TD class=datacell>76-76</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>15</TD><TD class=datahl2>Milwaukee </TD><TD class=datacell>83-79</TD><TD class=datacell>0.512</TD><TD class=datacell>-507</TD><TD class=datacell>51-30</TD><TD class=datacell>1129</TD><TD class=datacell>32-49</TD><TD class=datacell>-1636</TD><TD class=datacell>82-80</TD><TD class=datacell>-101</TD><TD class=datacell>84-69</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>16</TD><TD class=datahl2>LA Dodgers </TD><TD class=datacell>82-80</TD><TD class=datacell>0.506</TD><TD class=datacell>-587</TD><TD class=datacell>43-38</TD><TD class=datacell>-374</TD><TD class=datacell>39-42</TD><TD class=datacell>-213</TD><TD class=datacell>70-92</TD><TD class=datacell>-2587</TD><TD class=datacell>86-71</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>17</TD><TD class=datahl2>Atlanta </TD><TD class=datacell>84-78</TD><TD class=datacell>0.519</TD><TD class=datacell>-754</TD><TD class=datacell>44-37</TD><TD class=datacell>-536</TD><TD class=datacell>40-41</TD><TD class=datacell>-218</TD><TD class=datacell>83-79</TD><TD class=datacell>276</TD><TD class=datacell>83-73</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>18</TD><TD class=datahl2>Chi. Cubs </TD><TD class=datacell>85-77</TD><TD class=datacell>0.525</TD><TD class=datacell>-981</TD><TD class=datacell>44-37</TD><TD class=datacell>-867</TD><TD class=datacell>41-40</TD><TD class=datacell>-114</TD><TD class=datacell>72-90</TD><TD class=datacell>-1635</TD><TD class=datacell>66-86</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>19</TD><TD class=datahl2>NY Yankees </TD><TD class=datacell>94-68</TD><TD class=datacell>0.580</TD><TD class=datacell>-1062</TD><TD class=datacell>52-29</TD><TD class=datacell>-140</TD><TD class=datacell>42-39</TD><TD class=datacell>-922</TD><TD class=datacell>83-79</TD><TD class=datacell>474</TD><TD class=datacell>79-72</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>20</TD><TD class=datahl2>Chi. White Sox </TD><TD class=datacell>72-90</TD><TD class=datacell>0.444</TD><TD class=datacell>-1114</TD><TD class=datacell>38-43</TD><TD class=datacell>-796</TD><TD class=datacell>34-47</TD><TD class=datacell>-318</TD><TD class=datacell>84-78</TD><TD class=datacell>-153</TD><TD class=datacell>70-81</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>21</TD><TD class=datahl2>Florida </TD><TD class=datacell>71-91</TD><TD class=datacell>0.438</TD><TD class=datacell>-1135</TD><TD class=datacell>36-45</TD><TD class=datacell>-1211</TD><TD class=datacell>35-46</TD><TD class=datacell>76</TD><TD class=datacell>76-86</TD><TD class=datacell>-2334</TD><TD class=datacell>90-62</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>22</TD><TD class=datahl2>NY Mets </TD><TD class=datacell>88-74</TD><TD class=datacell>0.543</TD><TD class=datacell>-1160</TD><TD class=datacell>41-40</TD><TD class=datacell>-2353</TD><TD class=datacell>47-34</TD><TD class=datacell>1193</TD><TD class=datacell>71-91</TD><TD class=datacell>-1776</TD><TD class=datacell>78-76</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>23</TD><TD class=datahl2>Tampa Bay </TD><TD class=datacell>66-96</TD><TD class=datacell>0.407</TD><TD class=datacell>-1344</TD><TD class=datacell>37-44</TD><TD class=datacell>-575</TD><TD class=datacell>29-52</TD><TD class=datacell>-769</TD><TD class=datacell>79-83</TD><TD class=datacell>-1694</TD><TD class=datacell>82-72</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>24</TD><TD class=datahl2>Minnesota </TD><TD class=datacell>79-83</TD><TD class=datacell>0.488</TD><TD class=datacell>-1405</TD><TD class=datacell>41-40</TD><TD class=datacell>-1442</TD><TD class=datacell>38-43</TD><TD class=datacell>37</TD><TD class=datacell>75-87</TD><TD class=datacell>-1632</TD><TD class=datacell>66-83</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>25</TD><TD class=datahl2>Cincinnati </TD><TD class=datacell>72-90</TD><TD class=datacell>0.444</TD><TD class=datacell>-1525</TD><TD class=datacell>39-42</TD><TD class=datacell>-1037</TD><TD class=datacell>33-48</TD><TD class=datacell>-488</TD><TD class=datacell>81-81</TD><TD class=datacell>-944</TD><TD class=datacell>88-68</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>26</TD><TD class=datahl2>Oakland </TD><TD class=datacell>76-86</TD><TD class=datacell>0.469</TD><TD class=datacell>-1600</TD><TD class=datacell>40-41</TD><TD class=datacell>-1255</TD><TD class=datacell>36-45</TD><TD class=datacell>-345</TD><TD class=datacell>79-83</TD><TD class=datacell>-1159</TD><TD class=datacell>70-84</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>27</TD><TD class=datahl2>Pittsburgh </TD><TD class=datacell>68-94</TD><TD class=datacell>0.420</TD><TD class=datacell>-1663</TD><TD class=datacell>37-44</TD><TD class=datacell>-925</TD><TD class=datacell>31-50</TD><TD class=datacell>-738</TD><TD class=datacell>78-84</TD><TD class=datacell>-1639</TD><TD class=datacell>83-70</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>28</TD><TD class=datahl2>Houston </TD><TD class=datacell>73-89</TD><TD class=datacell>0.451</TD><TD class=datacell>-1781</TD><TD class=datacell>42-39</TD><TD class=datacell>-341</TD><TD class=datacell>31-50</TD><TD class=datacell>-1440</TD><TD class=datacell>73-89</TD><TD class=datacell>-2320</TD><TD class=datacell>79-76</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>29</TD><TD class=datahl2>Baltimore </TD><TD class=datacell>69-93</TD><TD class=datacell>0.426</TD><TD class=datacell>-1896</TD><TD class=datacell>35-46</TD><TD class=datacell>-1502</TD><TD class=datacell>34-47</TD><TD class=datacell>-394</TD><TD class=datacell>86-76</TD><TD class=datacell>475</TD><TD class=datacell>82-73</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>30</TD><TD class=datahl2>San Francisco </TD><TD class=datacell>71-91</TD><TD class=datacell>0.438</TD><TD class=datacell>-2067</TD><TD class=datacell>39-42</TD><TD class=datacell>-1076</TD><TD class=datacell>32-49</TD><TD class=datacell>-991</TD><TD class=datacell>79-83</TD><TD class=datacell>-1414</TD><TD class=datacell>72-84</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

you will lose,

abandon that system,

do more research, and ask more questions from the Top cats on the boards,,,

good luck
tater