I guess playing runlines can be profitable if you know how to pick your spots, but on average runlines are worse bets than moneyline because the juice is usually higher. Also, I fail to see the point in parlaying a runline with something else. But I guess it doesn't hurt, either, if you think the O/U would be a good play on its own as well and you you don't pay more juice when parlaying it than you would when betting it on its own.
Any non-correlated parlay is a losing proposition against betting your plays straight, period.
Historically, 30% of MLB games are decided by one run. So it's tougher to find value when giving up 1.5 runs. It's possible, but fairly rare.
And don't forget as most -1.5 favorites are home teams, they don't bat the bottom of the ninth if leading (for example, by one run).
Historically, 30% of MLB games are decided by one run. So it's tougher to find value when giving up 1.5 runs. It's possible, but fairly rare.
And don't forget as most -1.5 favorites are home teams, they don't bat the bottom of the ninth if leading (for example, by one run).
There's no confusion, I understand what you want to do. My advice still stands:
Parlaying a run-line with the game's total could be justified as correlated, and possibly +EV.
Parlaying a run-line with another game's total (or in any other combination) is non-correlated, and definately -EV. It's just gambling, pure and simple.
