Jake's Picks - MLB Opening Day (with writeup)

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Record: 0-0

My lines:

Boston -160, U8.5 -115

Actual lines:

Boston -150, U9.5 -110

Bet:


Boston/Oakland Under 9.5 -110

Daisuke does have some issues but he is pitching in his home country and will likely get a great night's sleep and come out prepared. Alot of his inadequacies last year were after he tired and had a fatigued arm. His arm should be good to go and it's not like Oakland has a ton of offense. Swisher is gone, Bradley is gone, Stewart is gone, Chavez is injured. Is a lineup of Suzuki, Barton, Ellis, Crosby, Hannahan, Brown, Denforia, Buck, and Cust going to scare anyone? Didn't think so.

Blanton did give up alot of runs to the Red Sox the last time they met last season but it was after Oakland was out of the playoff picture and you didn't see Joe's best stuff. The Red Sox struggled to hit away from home last season and just weren't in a rhythm away from the Green Monstah (my Boston accent). Blanton pitched against the Red Sox earlier in the season and was very effective.

The ballpark does have a short left field fence but everything else is very similar to your average American ballpark. The only way this goes over is if alot of balls go over the left field wall, but I don't see that happening enough to discourage my bet.

Both teams also have good bullpens. Neither of them should give up late runs in bunches.

Good luck to everyone this season.
 

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JAKE!

we draft in 20 minz
ur ass better show up! lol

I am trying to get in but my password won't work and the password reset doesn't do jack...
 

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Got in...
 

Just Win Baby!!!!!
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Jake, what's your opinion on taking Bostion -1.5 to get +105. Looking at Oaklands lineup vs. Boston's I am liking that play myself.
 

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Jake, what's your opinion on taking Bostion -1.5 to get +105. Looking at Oaklands lineup vs. Boston's I am liking that play myself.

I had a tiny lean on Boston but nothing strong enough to play. Blanton can dominate this team, it's definitely possible. That being said, it's not a horrible bet to go with the -1.5 if you don't want to lay the big juice. Anything over -160 or so I usually go with the run line.
 

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Jake, is it being played where the Yomiuri Giants play? If so, Baseball Prospectus Park Factors listing has it as 950. 1000 is average with lower numbers leaning to pitching. Good luck tonight.
 

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Jake, is it being played where the Yomiuri Giants play? If so, Baseball Prospectus Park Factors listing has it as 950. 1000 is average with lower numbers leaning to pitching. Good luck tonight.

Pretty sure on this. It's Tokyo Dome and I'm 99.9% sure the Giants play there. The park has a really short left field but everything else is large enough. It is a hitters' park from what I've heard. The park dimensions are alot like Fenway Park if the Monster was a normal size fence. That's the easiest way to explain it.
 

SSI

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im sitting this one out but will definately be watching........ good luck on the play Jake and have a good season.....

ill be joining our group here with MLB totals all season, just passing on the opener.
 

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im sitting this one out but will definately be watching........ good luck on the play Jake and have a good season.....

ill be joining our group here with MLB totals all season, just passing on the opener.

Best of luck to you as well this season. I hope the totals treat you well.
 

SSI

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who is going in the 2nd game?

Jake i think they have the line about right in this one.... wont get too many redsox games under 9 this year. maybe beckett in some good matchup, especially on the road.

Blanton under rated for sure, better hold them down for you.

i think your on the correct side but sweating out a baseball under is not where i want to be early tomorrow morning... ill be watching (for sure) and hope they dont have that big inning or push that one extra one across on you late.

lets make this a good and lively year, here at the RX and oh yeah, lets be profitable.

sunday night: braves/nats
 

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Under now at -120.
 

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who is going in the 2nd game?

Jake i think they have the line about right in this one.... wont get too many redsox games under 9 this year. maybe beckett in some good matchup, especially on the road.

Blanton under rated for sure, better hold them down for you.

i think your on the correct side but sweating out a baseball under is not where i want to be early tomorrow morning... ill be watching (for sure) and hope they dont have that big inning or push that one extra one across on you late.

lets make this a good and lively year, here at the RX and oh yeah, lets be profitable.

sunday night: braves/nats

Lester and Harden
 

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LOSER. Bullpen blew it. 7 runs scored going into the last inning. Always fun to get those out of the way early.
 

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And 4-4 going into extras and still had a shot. Grr. Not cool to wake up to this but I guess that's baseball for ya.
 

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And 4-4 going into extras and still had a shot. Grr. Not cool to wake up to this but I guess that's baseball for ya.


I woke up and saw it 4-4 as well, and thought I was done. Got lucky. I am on the under tomorrow.
 

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