baseball 3/30-4/6

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Nationals +154.44 2U to win 3.0888u
Nationals +1.5 -107.07 to win 2U

I'm using kelly so 1%-5% =1u, 6%-10% = 2u, etc so what I bet might be a little different

YTD 0-0
 

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Brotha Sig.
I see by your plays you are a dog man.

Could you explain in a nutshell your kelly system.How did you arive at Nats for 2 units?

Tommorow I like
AZ
St L.
Houston
KC
W/Sox
...and whoever the dog is in the Twins/Angels 4 game set.

I also like Milw.,SF,Balt in game 2 if they lose the first game of series.
 

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oh kelly is just determining bet sized based on your perceived edge. i just used the range % for posting purposes, cause i don't want to post the exact amount i'm betting

based on my % vs the line i got, i thought i had ~11% edge, plugged my win % and line into the calculator at sbr to get my bet size

i just bet where there's value, whether or not they're dogs/favs

i haven't updated the rosters/line up's for tomorrow's game, but i'll probably be on (based on what i believe are the best line ups)

KCA, Tor, Cle, Florida (big), Tex, St Louis, D'Backs
 

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I'm keepin my eye on you boy:103631605

Yeah, I play almost all dogs.I would like to see how at you arrive at your picks.how in depth you go.Maybe you could explain as the year goes on.

I try to get one win out of a series with a verying progression based on past performance of a team in another team park.If a team has played .500 at a teams park as a dog then I try to pick up one win.
To me there is only one stat W's and L's the rest is bullshit but I would like to be proven wrong.

GL this year.
 

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thanks

Yesterday: 2-0 +5.0888u
YTD: 2-0 +5.0888u

3/31:
D'Backs +103.95 3U
Royals +188.1 2U
Indians -169.69 2U

will probably add more soon, waiting for some line movements
 

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Adding:
Rangers +175 2U
Orioles +117 1U
Florida +190.08 3U crappy line, but can't wait anymore
Florida +1.5 +120 2U
Cardinals +101.97 2U
Twins +127.71 1U
 

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Yesterday: 5-5 +6.2912u
YTD: 7-5 +11.38u
4/1:
BOS -126 2U
TEX +178.2 4U
FLO +190.08 2U
HOU +175.23 2U
SFN +146.52 0.5U
MIN +116.82 0.5U
 

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Why do you have such strange lines (+190.08 and such)? Matchbook with commission? Or converted decimal lines?

Also, if you don't mind asking, how long do you already bet baseball and what were your results in the last seasons?
 

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matchbook w/commision for most of them

normal looking lines are at other books

first year
 

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Yesterday: 4-4 +10.0186
YTD: 11-9 +21.3986u

KCA +163.35 1U
CHA +142.56 1U
Tor +133.65 2U
ARI -104.04 1U
BOS +128.7 1U
HOU +135.63 1U
SFN +150.48 2U
FLO +143.55 1U
TEX +137.61 2U
 

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Yesterday: 5-4 +4.0676u
YTD:16-13 +25.4662u
ARI +11.85 2U
KCA +160.38 1U
WAS +151.47 2U
MIL +122.76 2U
TBA -122.22 1U
TOR +143.55 1U
LAA -104.04 0.5U
SLN +116 0.5U
CHA +158.4 0.5U
 

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