MistaFlava's MLB MONDAY ***Power Selections*** (Half Writeups & Analysis)

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MistaFlava's 2008 MLB Record: 1-1 (+3.00 Units)

Welcome all to another season of bases. I had a great record last season but do not have time to get into writeups and analysis until a few weeks from now when CBB is done for good. So until the CBB season is done I will be posting plays only with no explanation.

Enjoy the games and good luck this season!


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Monday, March 31



View attachment 4990 San Francisco Giants ML +176 (1 Unit) View attachment 4987

The San Francisco Giants are large underdog in one of MLB's biggest West Coast rivalries and thats a big mistake if you ask me at this stage of the season. I mean a lot of pitchers don't have their top stuff, a lot of lineups are not ready to unload and I just don't understand this line. The way I see right now the public is in love with Brad Penny and the Dodgers but that has me a bit baffled seeing how the Dodgers were 0-2 SU last season when Penny started against this team at home and he is going up against one of the most jekyll and hyde pitchers (and probably one of the most overrated of the last few seasons) Barry Zito. Now the catch here is that Zito started two games in LA last season and the Giants won both those games (including the series finale). The Dodgers have actually lost three straight with Penny on the mound against the rival Giants and lost four of the last five when he faces them. For those of you who follow this West Coast baseball you will know that the road team has done pretty damn well in this series winning 13 of 18 meetings last season and I expect that trend to carry into this game. The Giants finished the year off on a pathetic note losing to almost all the righties they faced but I like the matchup with Penny today and I know for a fact that Zito did well when pitching the first game of a series last season. Penny has actually been one of the most profitable pitchers to bet on the last few seasons as his team has won 41 of his last 60 starts but I am fading him in this game. Zito's first road start last season was an 8-0 win over the Colorado Rockies as a +125 underdog where he went 6 innings, allowed 3 hits and struck out four guys. Giants for me in this one as road team continues to dominate.​

Trend of the Game: San Francisco is 4-1 the last five times they have faced Brad Penny.​


San Francisco 5, LA Dodgers 3​






View attachment 4986 Minnesota Twins ML +120 (1 Unit) View attachment 4988

Johan Santana is gone, Liriano is starting in the minors and you would think the Twins are a team that is quickly fading and about to miss the playoffs for a bunch of years to come. Having said that, this is a new start for them where they don't have to rely on Santana as much as they have the past few seasons and they can finally concentrate on working as a team and feeding off each other to have a better all around effort in 2008. The Angels on the other hand are once again expected to dominate in the AL West and that's no surprise but they send Jered Weaver to the mound tonight and something tells me he gets off to a slow start this season. Weaver pitched once in the Dome last season and that was a 5-2 win by the Twins. On the mound for Minnesota in this one is Livan Hernandez (I cant believe im betting on this slob but I like the matchup) and the last time he faced the Angels was back in 2005 as a member of the Nationals where he won as a +123 underdog. The Angels were cash money last season when Weaver was favored by -110 to -150 as they went 9-2 in those games and brought their backers some nice cash. However, Weaver is nowhere near as effective on the road as he is at home and the Anges finished the season by losing 5 of his last 7 road starts. The Angels won the last four meetings between these teams and now its time to break trend. The Twins are a young team with some experienced veterans and a good mix of hitters that I think could make some noise here. Delmon Young has potential to be a superstar in this league if he keeps his head straight and the additon of Lamb and Everett brings a little bit of NL flavor to this team. The Twins have their sites set on a strong start to the season and seeing how Weaver is and always has been beatable on the road, I think these guys get thid done in front of the hometown crowd.​

Trend of the Game: LA Angels are 2-5 in Jered Weaver's last seven road starts.​


Minnesota 7, LA Angels 5​






View attachment 4985 Houston Astros ML +146 (1 Unit) View attachment 4989

The Astros will be primed to get things going in 2008 after a very mediocre 2007 and why not start right now against one of the best pitchers in baseball with your own ace on the mound? I really like some of the moves this team made in the off-season giving Miguel Tejada a fresh start and loading their offense with guys who can really smash the ball. They still have Lance Berkman, Carlos Lee and Hunter Pence and I think that although their rotation is lacking, this team is a few moves away from making some noise in this division or in the wildcard hunt. Roy Oswalt is on the mound for Houston here and he has won the last two times he started in this stadium (last three seasons). As a matter of fact, I don't know if you guys know this or not but Oswalt has 9 career starts versus the Padres and the Astros have won 8 of those starts. Jake Peavy is on the mound for yet another opener and this could very well be his best season ever if he brings some of the same stuff he's had the last two seasons. Having said that, despite allowing only 2 ER's in his last 14 innings of work against Houston at home, Peavy has lost both his last home starts against Houston and I don't know why this one is going to be any different. As has always been the case, the Padres struggle to score runs for their ace. I think the Padres have one of the weakest lineups in the NL this season with guys like Giles, McAnulty, Gerut, Gonzalez, Greene, Iguchi, Kouzmanoff and Bard filling the batting order, I am calling for this team to miss the playoffs. Houston finished the season 7-0 in their last seven games as underdogs in 2007 and they managed to win 5 of Roy Oswalt's last 6 starts as an underdog of +150 or less. This is a team that shows up for their ace, I like what Oswalt looked like in Spring Training and I have no problem backing him at this price. San Diego won 10 of their last 11 home games last season versus right handed starters and they were one of the most profitable home teams to bet on the second half of the season. However, I do not trust this team with Peavy at such a low price and this is a spot I made a lot money fading this team in last season. The UNDER is also a very good wager here but I am sticking to my guns and banging the Astros in this one.​

Trend of the Game: Houston has won 8 of 9 when Roy Oswalt starts against the Padres in his career.​


Houston 4, San Diego 1​





:toast:​
 
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I Like the Minn and Hou pick but the gians suck and Zito is 3-12 in april.
 

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